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PODCAST

The NZ Property Market Podcast

Brought to you by Cotality, formerly CoreLogic. Each week co-hosts Nick Goodall and Kelvin Davidson will bring you all the latest news, stats and insight to keep you up to date with everything to do with the NZ residential property market. Including sales volumes, house price indices, buyer activity, interest rates, loan-to-value ratio restrictions and all of the macro economic factors that influence our largest asset class. Contact us on twitter @NickGoodall_CL or @KDavidson_CLThis podcast is for

business investing

All Episodes

27:11

FHB dominance and the diesel shock

The NZ Property Market Podcast ·

2026/04/20

Send us a question/idea/opinion direct via text message! Wellington is drying out after a night of torrential rain, but the economic data remains heavy. This week, Nick Goodall and Kelvin Davidson unpack the March Buyer Classification data, which shows first-home buyers (FHBs) holding a record 27–28% of the market. We also look at the measured return of smaller investors and why movers are currently staying put. With the Q1 CPI inflation data due tomorrow, we analyse the latest mo...

en-nz

25:24

CCCI Q1 results: the calm before the transport-cost...

The NZ Property Market Podcast ·

2026/04/13

Send us a question/idea/opinion direct via text message! This week, Nick Goodall and Kelvin Davidson break down the Q1 2026 Cordell Construction Cost Index (CCCI). While cost growth remains relatively controlled at 1% for the quarter, building costs are now 30% higher than they were in March 2020. We discuss why this controlled growth might be short-lived as global supply chain disruptions and transport cost hikes begin to flow through the industry. We also analyse the latest RBNZ mortg...

en-nz

17:00

OCR Special: Vigilance, ceasefires, and the...

The NZ Property Market Podcast ·

2026/04/08

Send us a question/idea/opinion direct via text message! The RBNZ keeps the OCR at 2.25%, but with inflation forecasts shifting to 4.2% for June, the wait and see period has a very clear focus on rising costs. In this special reactionary episode, Nick Goodall and Kelvin Davidson break down today’s Reserve Bank (RBNZ) Monetary Policy Review. While the decision to hold the Official Cash Rate (OCR) at 2.25% was widely expected, the focus has shifted to the Bank's updated inflation outlook and th...

en-nz

29:04

March HVI: A line in the sand?

The NZ Property Market Podcast ·

2026/04/07

Send us a question/idea/opinion direct via text message! March data confirms a property market upturn was underway - but global second-round inflation risks may have just drawn a line in the sand. In this episode, Nick Goodall and Kelvin Davidson break down the March Home Value Index, which saw a second consecutive 0.2% rise in national property values. While momentum was clearly building in Christchurch, Dunedin, and Invercargill through the first quarter, the escalating conflict in the Midd...

en-nz

44:46

Australia, New Zealand, and Uncertainty

The NZ Property Market Podcast ·

2026/03/29

Send us a question/idea/opinion direct via text message! In this episode, Kelvin Davidson hosts Gerard Burg, Head of Research in Australia, to discuss the global economic environment, differences and similarities between Australia and New Zealand, and their impacts on the housing markets. They explore recent monetary policy actions, supply chain issues, and geopolitical risks affecting energy and construction sectors. Sign up for news and insights or contact on LinkedIn, X @NickGoodall_CL or ...

en-nz

36:18

Market fatigue and the stagflation shadow

The NZ Property Market Podcast ·

2026/03/22

Send us a question/idea/opinion direct via text message! This week’s episode explores the sluggish start to 2026, where a weaker-than-expected Q4 GDP result meets a growing sense of sales fatigue. Nick and Kelvin break down why the movers are the key to the next price cycle and how the Reserve Bank might navigate the worst-case scenario of stagflation. Is the New Zealand property market hitting a crescendo of sluggishness? Following a strong end to 2025, the first two months of 2026 have seen...

en-nz

35:01

The affordability reset: is the handbrake finally off?

The NZ Property Market Podcast ·

2026/03/16

Send us a question/idea/opinion direct via text message! The Q4 Affordability Report is out, and the data shows a significant shift in the New Zealand housing market. After four years of adjustments, key measures of affordability are returning to long-term averages - but as geopolitical tensions rise, will this recovery be cut short? This week, Nick and Kelvin provide essential property market advice on how to interpret these "normalising" figures and what the latest migration turnaround mean...

en-nz

29:36

Petrol shocks & global tensions: Will the RBNZ hike...

The NZ Property Market Podcast ·

2026/03/09

Send us a question/idea/opinion direct via text message! A surprise 0.2% rise in national property values meets a shifting global landscape. Nick Goodall and Kelvin Davidson analyse how geopolitical tensions could force the Reserve Bank's hand. In this episode, the research desk tackles the unexpected 0.2% rise in the February Home Value Index. While an upturn always starts somewhere, the significance of this month is its broad-based nature - with every main centre, including Auckland, seeing...

en-nz

30:46

The January lending reset & the record-breaking FHB

The NZ Property Market Podcast ·

2026/03/01

Send us a question/idea/opinion direct via text message! January’s lending data has landed, and while the crazy peak of December has passed, the underlying numbers reveal a market that is far from quiet. In this week's Monday morning yarn, Head of Research Nick Goodall and Chief Economist Kelvin Davidson dive into a return to normality for New Zealand lending. After the bank-switching surge of late 2025, January's figures show a billion-dollar increase over the previous year, signaling ...

en-nz

40:36

IWD special "Embrace change and lead with curiosity"

The NZ Property Market Podcast ·

2026/02/25

Send us a question/idea/opinion direct via text message! In this episode of the New Zealand Property Market podcast, Cotality Head of Research Nick Goodall interviews Nicole Ferguson, National Director of Loan Market NZ to celebrate International Women's Day 2026. Nicole shares her journey from Australia to New Zealand, her leadership experiences, and insights on gender equity in the property and finance industries. We explore challenges faced by women, the importance of confidenc...

en-nz

33:24

Economic and housing interdependence

The NZ Property Market Podcast ·

2026/02/23

Send us a question/idea/opinion direct via text message! This week, following the release of the Cotality Monthly Chart Pack for February, Nick and Kelvin discuss recent sales data, regional buyer trends, and economic indicators. They explore the impact of timing on market activity, regional disparities, and the influence of economic recovery on housing demand following the RBNZ MPS and OCR hold from last week. Sign up for news and insights or contact on LinkedIn, X @NickGoodall_CL or @...

en-nz

10:58

OCR hold - balanced and patient

The NZ Property Market Podcast ·

2026/02/18

Send us a question/idea/opinion direct via text message! In this episode Nick and Kelvin discuss the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's decision to hold the official cash rate at 2.25%. They analyse the economic forecasts, including GDP growth and inflation expectations, and explore the implications for the housing market. The conversation highlights the balance between caution and optimism in the current economic climate, with a focus on upcoming economic indicators and their potenti...

en-nz

30:07

All eyes on the new Governor

The NZ Property Market Podcast ·

2026/02/15

Send us a question/idea/opinion direct via text message! This week Nick and Kelvin discuss the current state of the economy, focusing on monetary policy, net migration trends, and lending data. They analyse the implications of the Reserve Bank's upcoming monetary policy statement and the recent Cotality Pain and Gain report for Q4 2025, which highlights the profitability of property resales. Sign up for news and insights or contact on LinkedIn, X @NickGoodall_CL or @KDavidson_CL and ema...

en-nz

28:09

A 'good' increase in unemployment?

The NZ Property Market Podcast ·

2026/02/08

Send us a question/idea/opinion direct via text message! This week Nick and Kelvin discuss the latest trends in the housing market as reflected in the Cotality Home Value Index for January 2026. They analyse the mixed signals from the economy, including the recent increase in the unemployment rate and its implications for the housing market (it is not all bad). The conversation also touches on regional variability in property performance and the outlook for upcoming economic reports and event...

en-nz

34:03

Bank switching goes bonkers

The NZ Property Market Podcast ·

2026/02/01

Send us a question/idea/opinion direct via text message! This week Nick and Kelvin discuss the recent lending data from the Reserve Bank, highlighting a significant increase in bank switching and refinancing activity. They explore the impact of cash incentives on borrower behavior and the implications for the housing market. The conversation also touches on insights from the Cotality decoding report, listener questions about spare capacity in the economy, and the dynamics of the l...

en-nz

56:23

Decoding 2026

The NZ Property Market Podcast ·

2026/01/30

Send us a question/idea/opinion direct via text message! In this episode of the New Zealand Property Market Podcast, host Nick Goodall and guests discuss the findings of the Decoding 2026 report, which surveyed over 1,000 property professionals about their read on the market and expectations for the future. The conversation covers the improved sentiment in the market, regional differences in property values, the impact of interest rates, and the evolving digital landscape in real estate. ...

en-nz

38:27

All about inflation

The NZ Property Market Podcast ·

2026/01/25

Send us a question/idea/opinion direct via text message! This week Nick and Kelvin delve into the latest inflation data for Q4, discussing its implications for the official cash rate and the broader economy. They explore the nuances of core inflation, the dynamics of the property market, and the significant role of first-time buyers (following the release of the January Chart Pack). The conversation highlights the ongoing economic recovery and the various indicators that suggest a...

en-nz

27:36

Construction industry positives

The NZ Property Market Podcast ·

2026/01/19

Send us a question/idea/opinion direct via text message! This week Nick and Kelvin discuss the latest trends in the construction sector, focusing on the Cordell Construction Cost Index (CCCI) for Q4. They note that construction costs have remained relatively flat, with a slight increase of 0.9% for the quarter and 2.3% for the year, which is below the long-term average. The conversation highlights the potential for increased activity in the construction sector due to low interest rates and im...

en-nz

32:50

The year of rebuilding confidence

The NZ Property Market Podcast ·

2026/01/12

Send us a question/idea/opinion direct via text message! This week Nick and Kelvin discuss the property market's performance in 2025, highlighting the minor decline in property values and the resilience of first home buyers. They delve into lending trends, investor dynamics, and the potential impact of global economic factors on the local market as they look ahead to 2026. Sign up for news and insights or contact on LinkedIn, X @NickGoodall_CL or @KDavidson_CL and email ngoodall@cotality.com ...

en-nz

23:01

The Cotality Home Value Index (Property Academy...

The NZ Property Market Podcast ·

2026/01/04

Send us a question/idea/opinion direct via text message! In this episode of the NZ Property Market Podcast we republish in full the Property Academy podcast, from OPES Partners where Cotality Head of Research Nick Goodall made a guest appearance to discuss the intricacies of the Cotality Home Value Index. Along with hosts Ed McKnight and Andrew Nichol, Nick delves into the revolutionary hedonic index, which uses regression modelling to estimate property values based on various characteristics...

en-nz

387 results

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