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The Kākā by Bernard Hickey

Bernard Hickey

Bernard Hickey and friends explore Aotearoa’s political economy together. thekaka.substack.com

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10:08

Daily Chorus: The problems for our new 'Laser Kiwi'

The Kākā by Bernard Hickey ·

2025/09/24

I’m making the video above freely available to all free and paying subscribers as an experiment. If you like what you see, subscribe to the paid version of The Kākā to support this work being done in public. Paying subscribers can see more analysis and detail below the paywall fold in the text and chart version published earlier today plus my Pick n’ Mix Six of today’s scoops and deep-dives elsewhere. Paying subscribers can also comment on these articles and participate in The Kākā’s chat room

15:57

Choosing marginally lower mortgage rates

The Kākā by Bernard Hickey ·

2025/09/21

This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit thekaka.substack.comBriefly in my Picks n’ Mixes and Daily Chorus of the top news, scoops and deep-dives in Aotearoa’s political economy around housing, poverty and climate on Monday, September 22:* 1News reports this morning Christchurch Hospital Emergency Department doctors have sent a letter to Health NZ pleading for more staff, funds and space. * The doctors say they’re massively overloaded, often in code red and some patients wait so

57:09

The Weekly Hoon: The GDP shock; Economic capture;...

The Kākā by Bernard Hickey ·

2025/09/18

The podcast above of the weekly ‘Hoon’ webinar for paying subscribers on Thursday night features co-hosts Bernard Hickey and Peter Bale talking with regular guests Cathrine Dyer and Robert Patman about the global economy, local and international politics and climate change. This week’s special guests were CTU Economist Craig Renney and Monopoly Watch’s Tex Edwards.This week’s Hoon featured:* The fall of US democracy;* Israel’s invasion (again) of Gaza and whether New Zealand will recognise Palestine

26:45

Voters & business leaders now blaming Govt for...

The Kākā by Bernard Hickey ·

2025/09/16

Just briefly in our political economy today, two new surveys show both voters and business leaders are now blaming the current National-led Government, rather than the previous Labour Government, for an ongoing economic slump that worsened again in August.There is more detail and analysis below, and in the video and podcast above. I have published a lightly-edited transcript of my video below. I’m able to do this work in public covering Aotearoa’s political economy because of support from paying

54:13

The Weekly Hoon: Productivity & workplace safety;...

The Kākā by Bernard Hickey ·

2025/09/11

The podcast above of the weekly ‘Hoon’ webinar for paying subscribers on Thursday night features co-hosts Bernard Hickey and Peter Bale talking with regular guests Cathrine Dyer and Robert Patman about the global economy, local and international politics and climate change. This week’s special guest Simplicity Chief Economist Shamubeel Eaqub .This week’s Hoon featured:* An initial discussion between Peter and Bernard about the death of Charlie Kirk and Rupert Murdoch’s ‘Succession’ deal with his

10:39

Why a record-high 201 NZers a day are emigrating

The Kākā by Bernard Hickey ·

2025/09/11

A record-high 201 New Zealanders emigrated each day on average in the year to the end of July, with 58% going to Australia. Australia’s labour market is now accelerating ahead of New Zealand’s stalled market, further widening the 30% wage premium over the Tasman and providing job openings there while there are none here. Both long and short term policy decisions by the New Zealand and Australian Governments and Reserve Banks have driven the widening gap over both the last 30 years, and the last two

16:23

Govt gaslights voters on health costs/GDP

The Kākā by Bernard Hickey ·

2025/09/09

Briefly in my Picks ‘n Mixes and Daily Chorus on Wednesday, September 10, the top news, scoops and deep-dives in Aotearoa’s political economy around housing, poverty and climate are:* To justify continued health sector wage and hiring restraint, the Government has repeatedly argued New Zealand’s health spending was actually higher than similar OECD countries as a share of GDP, having risen during Covid. * But a fresh report from Auckland University health finance experts shows the argument is

10:24

Why National can't afford true RBNZ independence

The Kākā by Bernard Hickey ·

2025/09/01

Briefly in this deep-dive below on the political economy of Reserve Bank independence:* A debate is now raging around the Government’s pressuring of the Reserve Bank on interest rates and bank capital policies, along with the opaque and messy exits of both its Labour-appointed Governor, Adrian Orr, and its long-time Chairman, Neil Quigley.* Both Finance Minister Nicola Willis and PM Christopher Luxon have breached the 35-year-long convention of not putting pressure on the Reserve Bank, which was

14:20

The Government just administered an inflation shock

The Kākā by Bernard Hickey ·

2025/08/31

Briefly in this deep-dive below on the political economy of administered inflation below:* The Government was elected in 2023 on a wave of public revulsion at inflation, which voters blamed on the then-Labour Government. Initially, inflation fell through 2024 because global oil and food prices had fallen in the previous 18 months. But it has come surging back in 2025, thanks to another burst of global food price inflation and a surprising cascade of new and higher Government and council fees, fines,

17:11

RBNZ says it remains 'fiercely independent'

The Kākā by Bernard Hickey ·

2025/08/28

Just briefly, RBNZ Chief Economist Paul Conway talks in the interview above about the central bank's meetings with politicians and how it remains "fiercely independent." Governments that interfere in monetary policy get higher inflation, he said.Also, Conway said:* The RBNZ was doing a ‘mini-review’ of whether it should have taken a more moderate approach to hiking interest rates in the current cycle, similar to that adopted by the Reserve Bank of Australia, which hiked 425 basis points in 2022 and

13:07

Still captured, after all these years

The Kākā by Bernard Hickey ·

2025/08/27

Briefly in my Picks ‘n Mixes and Daily Chorus on Thursday August 28, the top news, scoops and deep-dives in Aotearoa’s political economy around housing, poverty and climate are:* The Lead: Economic Growth Minister Nicola Willis decided yesterday not to pursue a structural separation of the supermarkets duopoly, opting instead to bring supermarkets into the fast-track regime and hope that the likes of Costco chooses to expand beyond West Auckland. However, Costco was consented for a Christchurch

8:58

Govt goes for growth by selling residencies

The Kākā by Bernard Hickey ·

2025/08/27

Briefly in my Picks ‘n Mixes and Daily Chorus on Tuesday August 26, the top news, scoops and deep-dives in Aotearoa’s political economy around housing, poverty and climate are:* The Lead: The Government has announced a new ‘Business Investor Visa’ (BIV) that awards residency to migrants who buy a business for at least $2 million, and a three-year fast-track work-to-residency for buyers of businesses worth over $1 million.* The Sidebar: The Government has yet to announce if these new BIV residents

17:48

What Christopher Luxon is doing to ensure 'modest,...

The Kākā by Bernard Hickey ·

2025/08/26

Briefly in my Daily Chorus on Tuesday August 26, the top news, scoops and deep-dives in Aotearoa’s political economy around housing, poverty and climate are:* The Lead: PM Christopher Luxon let slip yesterday he met with Reserve Bank Governor Christian Hawkesby last week just before the bank’s surprisingly dovish rate cut. Luxon told Hawkesby the central bank had been too slow to cut rates. He also welcomed the Reserve Bank’s proposals announced yesterday to loosen the capital requirements for bank

19:49

Memo to PM: Your 'strategy' is not working

The Kākā by Bernard Hickey ·

2025/08/18

Briefly in my Daily Chorus for all subscribers on Monday August 18, the top news, scoops and deep-dives in Aotearoa’s political economy around housing, poverty and climate are:* The Lead: Senior figures in the business community are openly questioning the Government’s 1991-style strategy of restraining Government spending to create space for lower interest rates to stimulate household spending and business investment. Via Amelia Wade for The Sunday Star Times-$* The Sidebar: That post-recession

15:14

Auckland Inc losing faith in Govt's economic strategy

The Kākā by Bernard Hickey ·

2025/08/07

Briefly in my Picks ‘n Mixes and Dawn Chorus for full subscribers on Friday August 8, the top news, scoops and deep-dives in Aotearoa’s political economy around housing, poverty and climate are:* The Lead: Auckland Chamber of Commerce CEO Simon Bridges has electrified the political and economic landscape by calling for Government stimulus to help Aucklanders struggling with 6.1% unemployment.* Bridges was effectively calling time on Auckland Inc’s patience over the Government’s

9:49

Luxon doubles down on failing strategy

The Kākā by Bernard Hickey ·

2025/07/28

Briefly for all subscribers, the key things to know from Aotearoa-NZ’s political economy around housing, poverty and climate on Tuesday, July 29 are:* Speaking on the first anniversary of tax cuts mostly received by owners of multiple homes, PM Christopher Luxon spent half an hour defending his Government’s record on cost of living, economic growth and homelessness at his post-cabinet news conference last night. He was asked if he was being defensive after fresh figures yesterday showed 27,850 jobs

4:55

Scale of regional health chasms revealed

The Kākā by Bernard Hickey ·

2025/07/27

Briefly for all subscribers, the key things to know from Aotearoa-NZ’s political economy around housing, poverty and climate on Monday, July 28 are:* Jessica Roden had the scoop last night on 1News about the scale of the postcode lottery now evident in Aotearoa-New Zealand’s health system after decades of under-funding and rampant population growth. See more below in The Lead and the podcast and video above, Charts of the day and Docs of the Day below.* Jessica’s report includes charts detailing the

18:27

'Double investment in back-to-work 'trampoline''

The Kākā by Bernard Hickey ·

2025/07/24

This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit thekaka.substack.comBriefly for all subscribers, the key things to know from Aotearoa-NZ’s political economy around housing, poverty and climate on Friday, July 25 are:* I.D.EA. has proposed a jobs guarantee and ‘Jobs launchpads’ to connect 400,000 people looking for work with employers in a major new report. See more below in The Lead, the podcast and video above, Chart of the day and Docs of the Day below.* Similar programmes in Europe

34:18

It turns out kicking homeless people out of motels...

The Kākā by Bernard Hickey ·

2025/07/23

Briefly for all subscribers, the key things to know from Aotearoa-NZ’s political economy around housing, poverty and climate on Thursday, July 24 are:* Housing Ministers Chris Bishop and Tama Potaka have finally released an official Homelessness Insights report sent to Ministers in June. It shows rough sleeping has risen between around 25% and 225% in our biggest cities in the last year since the Government started shutting down emergency housing in motels and tripled its rejection rate for housing

9:23

Luxon & Willis stranded with failing economic strategy

The Kākā by Bernard Hickey ·

2025/07/21

Briefly for all subscribers, the key things to know from Aotearoa-NZ’s political economy around housing, poverty and climate on Tuesday, July 22 are:* Inflation figures have confirmed the Government’s economic strategy is failing, with the economy sinking into stagflation just over a year out from the next election. See more below in The Lead and in the podcast above. * Unlike after previous big rate-cutting cycles, the housing market is not firing up and business investment is stalled. That’s

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