PODCAST

The Risk Takers Podcast

GoldenPants13

Willing to bet this is the sharpest podcast in sports bettinghttps://www.goldenpants.com/

sports fantasy sports

All Episodes

121:29

What Will Be Important in NFL This Year & Private...

The Risk Takers Podcast ·

2026/08/26

GP and SP start the episode off by listing 6 things they are focusing on for NFL this year on prediction markets. Then they get to the news - which includes Kalshi putting RFQ maker fees on and ETR & Rufus taking some public projections/ models private for use on prediction markets. 0:00 Keys to NFL on PMs 22:30 News 47:00 ETR & Rufus go Private 1:08:45 Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This p...

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131:50

High Roller Poker Player Takes on PMs w/ Lewis...

The Risk Takers Podcast ·

2026/08/19

In this episode we are joined by high stakes cash/ tournament poker player Lewis Spencer. We talk to Lewis about his path to playing in the biggest poker games/ tournaments: what it takes to win, how the game has changed with AI, and the state of the poker economy today. Then Lewis walks us through what skills have been transferrable to his prediction market trading - and how he is approaching finding edge using his experience beating the highest stakes poker games. Plus an epic Isildur1 sto...

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92:03

BetBash Recap & The Death of American Odds | Ep 167

The Risk Takers Podcast ·

2026/08/12

GP and SP recap their experience at BetBash including the live podcast. Then we clear a backlog of the most important news topics and make a case for recreational gambling. 0:00 BetBash Recap 40:30 News Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it. Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https:/...

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77:51

Building an Institutional Sports Market Maker w/...

The Risk Takers Podcast ·

2026/07/29

On this episode we are joined by Henry Kerins - CEO of Manhattan Athletic Group and one of the earliest employees at NoVig. MAG spun off of NoVig as an internal trading team and now trades almost every sports market across multiple venues. This is a must listen for those building their own trading operations in the space! 0:00 Intro 50:15 Listener Q&A Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast...

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140:37

World Cup, NFL Predictions, State of Industry &...

The Risk Takers Podcast ·

2026/07/22

This week we have a Q&A extravaganza. 42 questions were asked on Twitter - and we get through all of them besides 2 golf questions that one of the hosts decided to cut out (not naming names). News includes someone gaming the mysterious world cup PM sponsor, ADI Predictstreet & an ice cream shop "hedging" on Kalshi. Substack Mentioned: https://pmpulse.substack.com/ 0:00 Q&A Round 1 52:15 News 1:24:30 Q&A Round 2 Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional spo...

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127:45

"The Most Pure Form of Betting" Horse Racing w/...

The Risk Takers Podcast ·

2026/07/15

This week we are joined by professional horse bettor Dennis Montoro (https://x.com/dennycaps1) about all things horse betting. Denny explains why getting a good fair is only one of the important modeling problems in horse racing and a lot of general advice on how to win at peer to peer games. 0:00 Intro 15:30 Pari-mutuel Betting 51:00 Rebates & CAWs 1:14:10 Modelling Horse Racing 1:37:00 Listener Q&A Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilli...

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110:57

Non-Technical Traits All Top Bettors Have & ENG v....

The Risk Takers Podcast ·

2026/07/08

The news almost becomes the main topic in this episode, where GP and SP breakdown the record breaking England v. Mexico World Cup game that did most likely over a billion dollars of volume between all markets. The main topic is a look into what non-technical traits are near-universal amongst top bettors. 0:00 Traits of Top Bettors 28:30 News 1:11:00 Q&A Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podc...

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116:55

Sharp Taker EvenSteven Talks About Maxing Efficiency...

The Risk Takers Podcast ·

2026/07/01

Today on the show we are joined by EvenSteven (https://x.com/evenstevengg) - a sports bettor with seven-figures of profit on prediction markets. Steven talks about why most top down bettors shouldn't try to originate or market make, how to analyze live trading data to find edge, and what is the most important skill a live taker can have. 0:00 Sports Betting 30:30 Prediction Markets 1:10:30 Q&A Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (Golden...

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133:53

World Cup Betting Including GPs Biggest Loss of All...

The Risk Takers Podcast ·

2026/06/24

This episode SP and GP get into the first World Cup on Prediction Markets. The insanity of this world cup has surpassed our wildest expectations and we discuss what makes it unlike anything we have ever seen before. Big news and a lot of questions follow - enjoy! 0:00 First World Cup on Prediction Markets 36:00 News 1:04:30 Q&A Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting edu...

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111:19

From DFS Crusher to "Fantasy Football for Rich Kids"...

The Risk Takers Podcast ·

2026/06/18

Today GP and SP talk to James Gettinger, founding partner of Gutter Capital - one of the top preforming VC funds in the world. Why is James on our podcast you might ask? Well, before venture capital, James was one of the most profitable Daily Fantasy Sports players of all time. He pioneered contest simulations and was a first mover in many strategies that now are common amongst the best players. That ability to make the plays conventional wisdom says are stupid not only made him millions in D...

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126:55

Dead Bottom-Up Edges and SPs Triumphant Return | Ep 159

The Risk Takers Podcast ·

2026/06/10

First we welcome SP back to the podcast and he shares some exciting life news that explains his absence last week. Then SP and GP both give an example of an originating edge that they had at some point - not shocking that the "sports" are Golf and League of Legends. Big news week and some great questions follow. 0:00 Dead Originating Edges 33:10 News 1:17:30 Questions Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProje...

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141:45

Who Does AI Help in Sports Betting (PeanutBettor...

The Risk Takers Podcast ·

2026/06/04

This week SP is AFK so we get Mr. PeanutBettor to sub in as a guest host. We cover who we think will be most helped by AI along with a lot of news and great questions. Clearly SP holds the show together because this went off the rails and became the longest episode yet. 00:00 AI in Sports Betting 40:30 News 1:13:30 Q&A Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education a...

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145:34

What Sportsbooks Can Teach You About Market Making &...

The Risk Takers Podcast ·

2026/05/27

This week we kick it off with some lessons we learned retroactively from sportsbooks after we started market making on prediction markets. Then we cover the news - including the Matt Kalish v. Kalshi saga that is still going strong 2 weeks in. Then we hit one of the longest Q&As in history to clear our backlog of questions! 0:00 What Sportsbooks Got Right 25:30 News 1:14:00 Q&A Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and ...

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112:06

Why the Edge in RFQs isn't the Pricing w/ TroyCuban |...

The Risk Takers Podcast ·

2026/05/20

This week SP and GP are joined by Troy (https://x.com/troycuban) to talk about how he has made over $700k on Kalshi this year despite never originating a bet in his life. Troy is slightly different than our typical guest (only slightly) in that he comes from a traditional finance background and now only does RFQs full time. This could be the deepest dive recorded into the most important market on Kalshi! 0:00 Intro to Sports Betting 29:00 Everything RFQs 1:19:00 Listener Q&A Welcome to ...

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126:09

Managing Risk Hidden Risk on Prediction Markets | Ep 155

The Risk Takers Podcast ·

2026/05/13

Record breaking episode for most questions asked - if you asked a question and we didn't get to it, it's because this episode would have been 4 hours and we will answer on our next solo show. Today SP and GP talk about the non-obvious risks on prediction markets. As bettors we all are aware of bankroll management and betsizing tools like Kelly. But in this new world, there are more threats to your bankroll looming around every corner and being defensive is the game. We touch on FanDuel and ...

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128:38

Million Dollar Manual Trading w/ Clay Alter | Ep 154

The Risk Takers Podcast ·

2026/05/06

Today we interview Clay Alter (ClayA on Kalshi) about his start in sports betting and recent rise up the Kalshi leaderboard. Clay shocks SP and GP when he says he manages his orders fully from the orders tab on the Kalshi UI. Possibly the most manual trader we have had on and he's crossed $1.5 million in profits in 8 months on Kalshi. A great reminder that there are many ways to do it! Follow Clay on twitter: https://x.com/alter_clay 0:00 Intro 13:00 Getting Started w/ Sports Betting 38:00 ...

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129:40

How Complex do Models Need to be in 2026 & PM News...

The Risk Takers Podcast ·

2026/04/29

Nerd alert. The main topic is a discussion on deterministic v. probabilistic models in the current betting environment. News includes the solider who bet on himself to capture a foreign leader and made $440k before getting arrested and a rant on the people complaining about FandDuels injury insurance. 0:00 Deterministic v. Stochastic Sports Models 26:00 News 1:05:15 Q&A Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and Spor...

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130:27

Play Sports Betting on "Hard Mode" by Betting Main...

The Risk Takers Podcast ·

2026/04/22

Today we are joined by Justin (https://x.com/LazyBrain64) - a professional basketball bettor who bets only mainlines. That's right - no NBA props! This is a guy who bets his opinion, has lots of manual inputs into his model, and is doing it in what most consider to be one of the toughest markets in the industry. Justin not only drops a lot of betting wisdom, but also life wisdom while he explains his thoughtful path that brought him to professional bettor in a sport that he is obsessed with. ...

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126:37

Masters Recap & Returning to "Sharp Taking" | Ep 151

The Risk Takers Podcast ·

2026/04/15

GP tries to get back in the good graces of the sharp taking community while talking about the Masters. SP walks through the golf betting model he spun up just in time for the biggest event of the year. Some news goes the prediction markets way and the boys discuss their favorite books in the questions. 0:00 MASTERS RECAP & QUESTIONS 53:30 News 1:14:30 Listener Q&A Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProje...

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98:47

Which Path Should You Choose in Betting/PMs & Golf...

The Risk Takers Podcast ·

2026/04/08

In this episode we outline paths for people of all skill levels in the new betting/ predicting ecosystem. GP continues his twitter rant on deci-cent pricing in golf, and the boys answer the rest of the listener questions they missed last episode. 0:00 PM paths for bettors of all skill levels 38:45 News 55:20 Deci-cent Pricing in Golf 1:08:00 Q&A Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the...

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