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PODCAST

Arms Control Wonk

Jeffrey Lewis & Aaron Stein

The nuclear weapons, arms control, disarmament and nonproliferation podcast. Companion to the popular Arms Control Wonk blog (www.armscontrolwonk.com). Hosted by Jeffrey Lewis & Aaron Stein.

news politics

All Episodes

48:03

The IAEA's questions for Iran

Arms Control Wonk ·

2020/04/17

The International Atomic Energy Agency has questions about three sites in Iran -- but Iran doesn't feel like answering. Aaron, Anne and Jeffrey discuss the atomic archive, access to suspect facilities, and environmental sampling. Plus, there are a few things in recent IAEA reports that worry us. Support us over at Patreon.com/acwpodcast!

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34:21

Tracking the PLA Rocket Forces

Arms Control Wonk ·

2020/04/15

The People's Liberation Army Rocket Forces used to be a nearly opaque organization to all but a few open-source researchers. Now, increased availability of satellite-imagery and public media enable open-source exploitation and tracking of PRC missile forces like never before. Decker Eveleth joins Jeffrey and Scott to discuss open-source tracking PRC missile brigades, his geolocated order of battle KMZ, and the increasing accessibility of open-source research methods. Links of Note: Decker's blog

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44:22

Mort Halperin and the Okinawa Decision

Arms Control Wonk ·

2020/04/10

Mort Halperin a giant as an academic and a policy practitioner. And he's working on a memoir that covers his sixty year career in foreign policy. Mort played an important role in the US decision to revert Okinawa to Japanese control without nuclear weapons -- a case study Jeffrey teaches in is class on decision-making. Jeffrey talks to Mort about that pivotal period in US-Japanese relations. Support us over at Patreon.com/acwpodcast!

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29:24

Biden and the Bomb

Arms Control Wonk ·

2020/03/26

Joe Biden is the presumptive Democratic presidential nominee. While the popular perception of Biden is that he's quite moderate, on nuclear issues he's always been relatively progressive. Aaron and Jeffrey discuss Biden and bomb. Support us over at Patreon.com/acwpodcast!

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36:27

The PLA Rocket Force's Rapid Expansion

Arms Control Wonk ·

2020/03/24

China's People's Liberation Army Rocket Force (PLARF) has been very busy in the last few years, testing new high-tech missiles and standing up new launch brigades. Superproducer Scott joins Jeffrey and Anne to talk about reports of the PLARF test launching over 100 missiles in 2019, rapidly expanding since 2017, and some of the data issues with analysis of the PRC's nuclear and missile arsenal. Links of Note: The PLARF launched over 100 missiles in 2019:

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34:23

Visualizations and Verification

Arms Control Wonk ·

2020/02/26

James Palmer of the UK's Atomic Weapons Establishment joins the ACW trio to talk about the importance of 3D modelling and data visualization, including recreations of North Korea's Punggye-ri nuclear test site and virtual reality training simulations. Links of Note, Courtesy of James Palmer: Enhanced briefings for a CTBTO On-site Inspection SnT2017 (Palmer and Stevanović). How to put technical data into an enhanced briefing (Palmer and Stevanović). Posters with example images (click ‘Download

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32:23

Iran's Space Launchers and Solid Missiles

Arms Control Wonk ·

2020/02/20

Iran tested a satellite launch vehicle, and it failed. But this isn't a reason to cheer. Iran showed off a lot of goodies this month, pointing to an active solid-propellant missile program and has no said a future satellite launch is going to use a solid-propellant space launch vehicle. This is bad news. Aaron and Jeffrey talk about Iran's space program and why we should embrace the Simorgh and worry about the future. Support us over at Patreon.com/acwpodcast!

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32:27

Investigating PS752 with Open-Source Intelligence

Arms Control Wonk ·

2020/01/22

After the Iranian ballistic missile raid on U.S. forces in Iraq, the IRGC appears to have accidentally shot down a Ukrainian airliner flying out of Tehran. The Iranian government took about 3 days to admit that it was shot down, initially denying that it was shot down. Prior to the admission, the Arms Control Wonk Podcast slack channel jumped on the case and started a collaborative open-source intelligence effort to figure out what actually had happened and if Iran's denial held water. Friend of the

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47:08

Iran’s Missile Strikes in Iraq

Arms Control Wonk ·

2020/01/14

As it turns out, the ACW trio thinks that Iran’s missiles are accurate. Super accurate. As Anne flies across the United States, Aaron and Jeffrey spoke about Iran’s ballistic missile strikes Ain Assad Air Base in Iraq, why the strike on Erbil may have been an outlier, and how nobody is in control of escalation. Support us over at Patreon.com/acwpodcast!

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19:57

Iran's Fifth Step

Arms Control Wonk ·

2020/01/08

The ACW crew discusses the JCPOA...again. Iran has announced its 5th step away from the JCPOA. The trio discusses what that means, what it doesn't mean, and where we go from here. And, for your ease of reference, Iran's Five Steps: May 2019: No longer limit stockpiles of LEU or heavy water July 2019: No longer limit uranium enrichment to 3.67% September 2019: Abandoned all limits on R&D for new centrifuges November 2019: Resume uranium enrichment at Fordow, resulting in a podcast. January 2020:

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20:02

The U.S.'s Post-INF Ballistic Missile

Arms Control Wonk ·

2019/12/12

Launch a missile, get a pod, post-INF Treaty edition. On December 12, 2019, the U.S. Air Force and the Strategic Capabilities office tested a "prototype conventionally-configured, ground-launched ballistic missile" from Vandenberg AFB. The trio talks Twitter hot takes, the Strategic Capabilities Office, the future of U.S. missile procurement, and the future of intermediate-range ballistic missiles. Support us over at Patreon.com/acwpodcast!

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16:57

North Korea's Mysterious Engine Test

Arms Control Wonk ·

2019/12/12

Sohae is open for business! The ACW Gang talks North Korea's recent engine test at Sohae and marvels (again) at the power of satellite imagery. Was this test Kim's "Christmas Gift" to Trump? Or just a stocking stuffer? Support us over at Patreon.com/acwpodcast!

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31:04

The Future of Opens Skies

Arms Control Wonk ·

2019/12/12

What is the future of the Open Skies Treaty? The Arms Control Wonk trio talk the Open Skies Treaty, the conspiracy theories that now permeate the debate about Russian aircraft, and why the treaty matters. Support us over at Patreon.com/acwpodcast!

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22:25

Iran's Four Steps

Arms Control Wonk ·

2019/11/13

Iranian President Hassan Rouhani has announce yet another "step" away from the JCPOA, the fourth this year. As Iran resumes feeding UF6 into some of the cascades at the Fordow Enrichment Plant, Anne and Jeffrey discuss the steps that led us here and the prospect for preserving the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action. Support us over at Patreon.com/acwpodcast!

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52:32

China's 70th National Day Parade

Arms Control Wonk ·

2019/11/06

Everybody loves a parade, especially one with missiles and drones. Superproducer Scott joins Jeffrey and Anne to discuss the new hardware displayed in early October, and how great it is to watch the PRC's flag-raising ceremony. Scott has waited seven years for this parade, so that he can finally get a legitimate high-resolution shot of the DF-41 solid propellant ICBM. Less expected were the DF-17 hypersonic glide vehicle, the JL-2 submarine-launched ballistic missile, the "WZ-8" air-launched

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32:35

Tailkits and the Turks: US Nuclear Weapons in Turkey

Arms Control Wonk ·

2019/10/15

The New York Times reported recently that US officials are considering removing US nuclear weapons from Turkey. Aaron knows a bit about this, so Jeffrey called in from his car on the road to San Francisco, and Anne called in from a foggy Monterey to talk about nuclear weapons in Turkey. Producer's Note: Due to the impromptu nature of this podcast, audio quality is poor. Apologies for any gnashing of teeth. Support us over at Patreon.com/acwpodcast!

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42:54

North Korea's New SLBM: The Pukguksong-3

Arms Control Wonk ·

2019/10/08

It is finally here! Two years after seeing posters for the Pukguksong-3 during Kim Jong Un's visit to the Chemical Material Institute of the Academy of Defense Science in 2017, the North Korea has finally tested the next generation of its submarine launched ballistic missiles. Joseph Dempsey of the International Institute of Strategic Studies returns to talk with Jeffrey about the new SLBM, the possible new submarine, and the difficulty of deploying an SLBM. Our previous epic, three-part podcast

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39:39

An Iranian Missile Attack on Saudi Arabia?

Arms Control Wonk ·

2019/09/19

Iran may have just rocketed oil facilities in Saudi Arabia. The ACW trio asks what else is new, after time spent analyzing Qiam strikes on Riyadh. With tensions increasing in the Gulf, and questions about a potential US strike to punish Iran for its cruise missile strike, Aaron, Anne, and Jeffrey are joined by Fabian Hinz to talk Iranian cruise missiles and recent events in the Gulf. Support us over at Patreon.com/acwpodcast!

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31:54

Abadeh

Arms Control Wonk ·

2019/09/14

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, speaking just days before an election, revealed an alleged new nuclear site in Iran, dubbed Abadeh. On this week's episode, the ACW trio talk about the revelation, what the satellite pictures show may be happening at the site, and why Iran's razing of the site doesn't match up to the full Lavizan-Shian treatment- at least not yet. Support us over at Patreon.com/acwpodcast!

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52:02

Russia's Mysterious Nuclear-powered Missile Accident

Arms Control Wonk ·

2019/08/22

Russia tested something and maybe kinda sorta told the truth about a subsequent spike in radiation. What happened? who knows? In this episode, the ACW trio discuss the explosion in Nenoksa and why it may have been a test to support the Skyfall (Burevestnik) program that went wrong. Support us over at Patreon.com/acwpodcast!

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