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PODCAST

Eurodollar University

Jeff Snider will guide you through the realm of monetary science. Multiple episodes uploaded each week, discussing big news and key current events, the state of markets and what they are telling you, as well as historical summaries and deep background material so that you can understand what’s really going on in this eurodollar’s world.

business investing

All Episodes

23:00

Eurodollar Futures Contemptuously Reject Fed Hike...

Eurodollar University ·

2022/06/19

One day prior to the Federal Reserve raising its policy rate by a *bananas* big 75-basis point the Eurodollar Futures market moved its yield curve inversion into the next four quarters. As fast as the Fed is hiking, the market is betting it will 'imminently-ish' be cutting. Market contempt!----EP. 251 REFERENCES----More Data And Markets To The Idea Something (big) Changed A Couple Months Ago:

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40:00

Reaction Show: Jay Powell Press Conference 75bps Hike...

Eurodollar University ·

2022/06/18

The pinnacle of investigative, introspective financial journalism assembled in front of the Federal Reserve chairman on June 15, 2022 and asked him... questions? Hardly. Weak sauce. In this episode Jeff Snider responds as a Fed chairman SHOULD respond - honestly.----EP. 250 REFERENCES----Transcript of Press Questions at Fed Conference June 15, 2022: https://www.federalreserve.gov/mediacenter/files/FOMCpresconf20220615.pdfAlhambra Investments Blog: https://bit.ly/3wh01G2RealClear Markets

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29:00

Reaction Show: Jay Powell Opening Statement 75bps...

Eurodollar University ·

2022/06/17

Jeff Snider reacts live to Jay Powell's June 15, 2022 opening statement to assembled members of the press regarding the Federal Reserve's 75-basis point rate hike to the Federal Funds target range: the overarching message, overall economic activity, inflation, labor, and the 3/4-point move.----EP. 249 REFERENCES----Transcript of Chair Powell’s Press Conference June 15, 2022: https://bit.ly/3bbk40NAlhambra Investments Blog: https://bit.ly/3wh01G2RealClear Markets Essays:

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22:00

Crash of 1907 - Lessons for Today [Eurodollar...

Eurodollar University ·

2022/06/15

The Crash of 1907 'convinced' Washington DC that a central bank was needed. Or, perhaps more likely, the Crash of 1907 was used as an excuse for a national central bank. ----EP. 248 REFERENCES----The Premium For Cash Is Presently Enormous: https://bit.ly/3xr0G7lAlhambra Investments Blog: https://bit.ly/3wh01G2RealClear Markets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7Epoch Times Columns: https://bit.ly/39ESkRf-------THE EPISODES-------YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisLVurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPnApple:

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27:00

The Myth of Paul Volcker: Part 2 [Eurodollar...

Eurodollar University ·

2022/06/14

We are told that Paul Volcker led the Federal Reserve into the breech and bravely and knowingly raised short-term interest rates so as to bring about a recession and extinguish the 1970s Great Inflation. But according to Fed transcripts Volcker & Co. fell ass-backwards into recession.----EP. 247 REFERENCES----Monetary Policy Is All Talk All the Time, and Always Has Been: https://bit.ly/3xNg9A1The Myth of Paul Volcker and the Powerful Fed [Eurodollar University, Ep. 221]:

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33:00

8.6% CPI is Neither Inflation, Nor the US Economy...

Eurodollar University ·

2022/06/13

US consumer prices rose 8.6% year-over-year for the month of May 2022, says the US Bureau of Labor Statistics. Economists, financial media and central banks implicitly conflate this price expansion with money expansion (inflation) and economic expansion (booming) - that's a mistake.----EP. 246 REFERENCES----CPIs Aren't the Economy, and They're Not Inflation: https://bit.ly/3MMn8NXUnited States Inflation Rate: https://bit.ly/3MNJ3nYNo Pandemic. Not Rate Hikes. Doesn’t Matter Interest Rates

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41:00

Students Destroy International Competition with...

Eurodollar University ·

2022/06/11

Pine-Richland High School won a 120+ team international competition debating whether the dollar's hegemony is detrimental. Pine-Richland won due to their preparation, perspiration, inspiration... and because they ambushed the competition with something called "the eurodollar". Sponsored by the Brewer Foundation, each year the International Public Policy Forum hosts a new debate. Teams from across the globe submit responses with the top 64 submissions taking part in a back and forth written

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22:00

Joe Biden's Economic Plan Editorial in the WSJ...

Eurodollar University ·

2022/06/09

US President Joe Biden has a three-step plan to address the vulnerable US economy. We agree the economy is vulnerable but note that it is not for the reasons the president believes. Also, we note similarities between President Xi Jingping's 2017 messaging and Biden's 2022 narrative.----EP. 244 REFERENCES----Joe Biden: My Plan for Fighting Inflation: https://on.wsj.com/3MpUAcTPresident Phillips Emerges To Reassure On Growing Slowdown: https://bit.ly/3NuslejAlhambra Investments Blog:

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19:00

Fed's Reverse Repurchase Agreements Hits $2 Trillion...

Eurodollar University ·

2022/06/08

Two short-term money markets are yielding LESS THAN the Federal Reserve's RISK FREE reverse repurchase agreement program. Despite the Fed offering now $2 trillion in Treasury securities to the market the 'below-market' yields are signaling there's not enough money / credit / collateral / securities available -- a money shortage.----EP. 243 REFERENCES----RRP (use) Hits $2T, SOFR Like T-bills Below RRP (rate), What Is (really) Going On?: https://bit.ly/3GXNdIyAlhambra Investments Blog:

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14:00

Smoke on the Horizon: Eurodollar's Economic Warning...

Eurodollar University ·

2022/06/07

The Eurodollar Futures yield curve inverted on December 1, 2021 warning that somewhere over the horizon there was trouble. In March 2022 the US Treasury curve inverted too, confirming the earlier alert. Today the Eurodollar market is warning that trouble is on the horizon itself, and approaching.----EP. 242 REFERENCES----UST 2s & Euro$ Futures *Whites* Both Ask, Landmine At Last?: https://bit.ly/3NXb0L4Alhambra Investments Blog: https://bit.ly/3wh01G2RealClear Markets Essays:

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14:59

Too Much Inventory Flooding Retailers, Wholesalers...

Eurodollar University ·

2022/06/06

According to the US Census Bureau both retailers and wholesalers reported *bananas-crazy* increases in inventory levels. As the US economy tips over into a slowdown - and realistically a recession - these inventories will have to be purged at fire-sale prices.----EP. 241 REFERENCES----Inventory Flood Continues Just As Consumers Tap Out: https://alhambrapartners.com/2022/05/27/inventory-flood-continues-just-as-consumers-tap-out/Alhambra Investments Blog: https://bit.ly/3wh01G2RealClear

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18:00

Target, Walmart Warn Consumers Are Backing Off...

Eurodollar University ·

2022/06/05

Target, Walmart, Japanese merchandise exports, German retail sales, and the early-morning hours of US Treasury Bill trading are all sending the same message: escalating, systemic fragility of the economic order. ----EP. 240 REFERENCES----T-bills Targeted Target: https://bit.ly/3zf5teHCan’t Blame COVID For This One: https://bit.ly/3Miq6JMAlhambra Investments Blog: https://bit.ly/3wh01G2RealClear Markets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7Epoch Times Columns: https://bit.ly/39ESkRf-------THE

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22:00

Banks Scared to Make Money (and that's bad for us!)...

Eurodollar University ·

2022/05/30

A generation ago banks knew that there was money to be made and they acted upon that faith, creating money for the world economy to enrich itself. But ever since 2008 banks have been scared to do it; the risk is too great! The Global Financial Crisis never ended, it continues to the present.----EP. 239 REFERENCES----It Isn't the Fed's Theater of Rate Hikes That Got Us Here: https://bit.ly/3wvRNKkNegative Swap Spreads (FRBNY): https://nyfed.org/3wuqYX6Alhambra Investments Blog:

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17:00

Fed is Hiking when it should be Cutting [Eurodollar...

Eurodollar University ·

2022/05/28

The Federal Reserve is hiking rates as part of political theater in response to pressure from the legislative and executive branches of the US government. 'Do something!' A panoply of economic, monetary and financial accounts are screaming for looser monetary policy, not tighter.----EP. 238 REFERENCES----History Shows the Fed Would Be Cutting Rates by Now: https://bit.ly/3G2vCyFAlhambra Investments Blog: https://bit.ly/3wh01G2RealClear Markets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7Epoch Times

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20:00

Market Rates Refusing to Follow Fed's Command...

Eurodollar University ·

2022/05/26

The Federal Reserve, we are told, controls interest rates. We have learned over and over that is not true with long-term rates (e.g. yield curve inversion, Greenspan's "conundrum"). But what about short-term rates? Surely the Fed is in control. No, not really - just look at US Treasury Bills.----EP. 237 REFERENCES----Why the Fed Can’t Hike T-bill Rates and What That Really Means: https://bit.ly/3G6DSgVAlhambra Investments Blog: https://bit.ly/3wh01G2RealClear Markets Essays:

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18:00

(Nominal) Retail Sales Awesome! (Real) Sales Awful!...

Eurodollar University ·

2022/05/24

Retail sales - a temperature check on the American consumer - were absolutely fabulous in April 2022; glory, hallelujah! So then why are three different, independent surveys of the US consumer reporting results that range from "bad" to "miserable"? Because there has been NO REAL growth, only nominal.----EP. 236 REFERENCES----Shipping Around Retail ‘Inflation’: https://bit.ly/3PyeXaAAlhambra Investments Blog: https://bit.ly/3wh01G2RealClear Markets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7Epoch Times

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18:00

China Economy: Zero Covid or Zero Money? [Eurodollar...

Eurodollar University ·

2022/05/22

The Chinese reported how their economy has fared in the month of April 2022 - the results were very, very poor. It is tempting to say the illness is Beijing's 'Zero Covid' lockdown of hundreds of millions of souls. But the true illness is the long-term, degenerative money shortage.----EP. 235 REFERENCES----Synchronized Not Coronavirus: https://bit.ly/3sIimtFWhy CNY DOWN = BAD (Part 3) For Everyone: https://bit.ly/3Py0ZWkAlhambra Investments Blog: https://bit.ly/3wh01G2RealClear Markets

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18:00

USD Rise Not Due to Fed; EUR Fall Not Due to ECB...

Eurodollar University ·

2022/05/17

The Federal Reserve is hiking interest rates while the European Central Bank is in no rush to raise its policy rates. The Economics Textbook and Financial Media say that is why the dollar is rising and the euro is falling: interest rate differentials. But that is not it!----EP. 234 REFERENCES----What Really ‘Raises’ The Rising ‘Dollar’: https://bit.ly/3sr6xrxDo I Owe Christine Lagarde An Apology?: https://bit.ly/3P8s6a8Collateral Shortage…From *A* Fed Perspective:

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14:00

Treasury Bills Warning of Collateral Scarcity...

Eurodollar University ·

2022/05/15

US Treasury Bills are trading below the 'floor' set by the Federal Reserve. Why? Why guarantee less return with Treasury Bills when the Fed is promising more?! Because the market will suffer the lost return when the financial system is short monetary collateral (like UST Bills).----EP. 233 REFERENCES----Collateral Shortage…From *A* Fed Perspective: https://bit.ly/3ypudk0Alhambra Investments Blog: https://bit.ly/2VIC2wWlinRealClear Markets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7Epoch Times Columns:

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10:00

A Money ILLUSION Shows Japan is Booming [Eurodollar...

Eurodollar University ·

2022/05/13

In 1928 American economist Irving Fischer published a book titled "The Money Illusion" in which he explained the difference between nominal numbers (Japan's exports are booming! Imports are surging!) and inflation-adjusted, real numbers (Japan's exports are falling! Imports are stagnating!).----EP. 232 REFERENCES----What We Can Learn From Japan About the Real Economic Risks to the World: https://bit.ly/3sn7y45Alhambra Investments Blog: https://bit.ly/2VIC2wWlinRealClear Markets Essays:

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