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LessWrong (30+ Karma)

LessWrong

Audio narrations of LessWrong posts.

technology philosophy

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5:20

“Scalable End-to-End Interpretability” by jsteinhardt

LessWrong (30+ Karma) ·

2025/12/19

This is partly a linkpost for Predictive Concept Decoders, and partly a response to Neel Nanda's Pragmatic Vision for AI Interpretability and Leo Gao's Ambitious Vision for Interpretability. There is currently somewhat of a debate in the interpretability community between pragmatic interpretability---grounding problems in empirically measurable safety tasks---and ambitious interpretability----obtaining a full bottom-up understanding of neural networks. In my mind, these both get at something

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13:33

“Help keep AI under human control: Palisade Research...

LessWrong (30+ Karma) ·

2025/12/19

TL;DR: Please consider donating to Palisade Research this year, especially if you care about reducing catastrophic AI risks via research, science communications, and policy. Donations are matched 1:1 up to $1.1 million. You can donate via Every.org or reach out at donate@palisaderesearch.org. Who We Are Palisade Research is a nonprofit focused on reducing civilization-scale risks from agentic AI systems. We conduct empirical research on frontier AI systems, and inform policymakers and the public

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31:54

“BashArena: A Control Setting for Highly Privileged...

LessWrong (30+ Karma) ·

2025/12/18

We’ve just released BashArena, a new high-stakes control setting we think is a major improvement over the settings we’ve used in the past. In this post we’ll discuss the strengths and weaknesses of BashArena, and what we’ve learned about how to make settings for high stakes control research. BashArena Overview BashArena is a control setting: a dataset designed to support the kind of adversarial game we studied in the original AI control paper and Ctrl-Z. In general, control settings require two

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9:25

“A basic case for donating to the Berkeley Genomics...

LessWrong (30+ Karma) ·

2025/12/18

IntroductionReprogenetics is the field of using genetics and reproductive technology to empower parents to make genomic choices on behalf of their future children. The Berkeley Genomics Project is aiming to support and accelerate the field of reprogenetics, in order to more quickly develop reprogenetic technology in a way that will be safe, accessible, highly effective, and societally beneficial. A quick case for BGP: Effective reprogenetics would greatly improve many people's lives by

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11:18

“Announcing RoastMyPost” by ozziegooen

LessWrong (30+ Karma) ·

2025/12/17

Today we're releasing RoastMyPost, a new experimental application for blog post evaluation using LLMs. Try it Here. TLDR RoastMyPost is a new QURI application that uses LLMs and code to evaluate blog posts and research documents. It uses a variety of LLM evaluators. Most are narrow checks: Fact Check, Spell Check, Fallacy Check, Math Check, Link Check, Forecast Check, and others. Optimized for EA & Rationalist content with direct import from EA Forum and LessWrong URLs. Other links use

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11:24

“The Bleeding Mind” by Adele Lopez

LessWrong (30+ Karma) ·

2025/12/17

The simulator theory of LLM personas may be crudely glossed as: "the best way to predict a person is to simulate a person". Ergo, we can more-or-less think of LLM personas as human-like creatures—different, alien, yes; but these differences are pretty predictable by simply imagining a human put into the bizarre circumstances of an LLM. I've been surprised at how well this viewpoint has held up in the last three years, and have updated accordingly. Still, there are deep differences not implied by

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5:06

“Still Too Soon” by Gordon Seidoh Worley

LessWrong (30+ Karma) ·

2025/12/17

We had to let Sammie go last Wednesday. The lump first appeared on her nose sometime in the Summer of 2024. It was small. You could miss it if you didn’t know her face. The vet did a biopsy. Melanoma. We were told the median survival time was 6 months. Over the next 18, we did everything we could to make her life comfortable. When the tumor grew too large, we’d have it debulked. When she couldn’t clean herself anymore, we brushed her and gave her baths. In the end, we had to hand feed her when the

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15:28

“Non-Scheming Saints (Whether Human Or Digital) Might...

LessWrong (30+ Karma) ·

2025/12/17

Contextualizing Foreword The user "cdt" wrote to me: Please put this in a top-level post. I don't agree (or rather I don't feel it's this simple), but I really enjoyed reading your two rejoinders here. I don't normally do top level posts because I don't tend to believe that its possible to change people's minds for the better if they aren't exactly and precisely posed to seek an answer (or whatever (its more complicated than that)). But when someone who seems to be a person reading and writing in

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4:57

“Mistakes in the Moonshot Alignment Program and What...

LessWrong (30+ Karma) ·

2025/12/17

Good things about the program: I learnt a lot about alignment in doing the prep, interviewed a lot of agent foundations researchers, learnt some neuromorality, talked to some neuroscientists, saw lots of what it takes to organize an event like this and have it go well. Marketing went pretty well - got 298 candidates, ~50% of whom had phds, applicants included senior researchers/engineers from Nvidia, Meta, AMD, AWS, etc. And also feels like there's a lot left on the table for the marketing, lots

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8:30

“Dancing in a World of Horseradish” by lsusr

LessWrong (30+ Karma) ·

2025/12/17

Commercial airplane tickets are divided up into coach, business class, and first class. In 2014, Etihad introduced The Residence, a premium experience above first class. The Residence isn't very popular. The reason The Residence isn't very popular is because of economics. A Residence flight is almost as expensive as a private charter jet. Private jets aren't just a little bit better than commercial flights. They're a totally different product. The airplane waits for you, and you don't have to go

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2:08

[Linkpost] “Announcing: MIRI Technical Governance...

LessWrong (30+ Karma) ·

2025/12/17

This is a link post. MIRI's Technical Governance Team plans to run a small research fellowship program in early 2026. The program will run for 8 weeks, and include a $1200/week stipend. Fellows are expected to work on their projects 40 hours per week. The program is remote-by-default, with an in-person kickoff week in Berkeley, CA (flights and housing provided). Participants who already live in or near Berkeley are free to use our office for the duration of the program. Fellows will spend the first

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3:40

“Radiology Automation Does Not Generalize to Other...

LessWrong (30+ Karma) ·

2025/12/16

The NYT article Your A.I. Radiologist Will Not Be With You Soon reports, “Leaders at OpenAI, Anthropic and other companies in Silicon Valley now predict that A.I. will eclipse humans in most cognitive tasks within a few years… The predicted extinction of radiologists provides a telling case study. So far, A.I. is proving to be a powerful medical tool to increase efficiency and magnify human abilities, rather than take anyone's job.”[1] I disagree that this is a “telling case study.”[2] Radiology

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43:01

“GPT-5.2 Is Frontier Only For The Frontier” by Zvi

LessWrong (30+ Karma) ·

2025/12/16

Here we go again, only a few weeks after GPT-5.1 and a few more weeks after 5.0.There weren’t major safety concerns with GPT-5.2, so I’ll start with capabilities, and only cover safety briefly starting with ‘Model Card and Safety Training’ near the end. Table of Contents The Bottom Line. Introducing GPT-5.2. Official Benchmarks. GDPVal. Unofficial Benchmarks. Official Hype. Public Reactions. Positive Reactions. Personality Clash. Vibing the Code. Negative Reactions. But Thou

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5:56

“Scientific breakthroughs of the year” by technicalities

LessWrong (30+ Karma) ·

2025/12/16

A couple of years ago, Gavin became frustrated with science journalism. No one was pulling together results across fields; the articles usually didn’t link to the original source; they didn't use probabilities (or even report the sample size); they were usually credulous about preliminary findings (“...which species was it tested on?”); and they essentially never gave any sense of the magnitude or the baselines (“how much better is this treatment than the previous best?”). Speculative results were

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91:09

“Response to titotal’s critique of our AI 2027...

LessWrong (30+ Karma) ·

2025/12/16

Introduction In June, a Substack/LessWrong/EA Forum user named titotal wrote “A deep critique of AI 2027's bad timeline models”. Our original model that they were critiquing can be found here, with a brief overview below.[1] In a nutshell, we disagree with most of titotal's criticisms. While they pointed out a few mistakes, for which we are grateful, on the whole we think the problems that they pointed out do not add up to the model being “bad.” In this post we will explain why. While we initially

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18:38

“Defending Against Model Weight Exfiltration Through...

LessWrong (30+ Karma) ·

2025/12/15

Authors: Roy Rinberg, Adam Karvonen, Alex Hoover, Daniel Reuter, Keri Warr Arxiv paper link One Minute Summary Anthropic has adopted upload limits to prevent model weight exfiltration. The idea is simple: model weights are very large, text outputs are small, so if we cap the output bandwidth, we can make model weight transfer take a long time. The problem is that inference servers now generate an enormous amount of tokens (on the order of ~1TB tokens per day), and the output text channel is the one

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9:24

“Do you love Berkeley, or do you just love Lighthaven...

LessWrong (30+ Karma) ·

2025/12/15

Rationalist meetups are great. Once in a while they're life-changingly so. Lighthaven, a conference venue designed and run by rationalists, plays host to a lot of really good rationalist meetups. It's best-in-class for that genre of thing really, meeting brilliant and interesting people then staying up late into the night talking with them. I come here not to besmirch the virtues of Lighthaven, but to propose the active ingredient isn't the venue, it's the people. (The venue's great though.) 1. In

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12:08

“A Case for Model Persona Research” by nielsrolf,...

LessWrong (30+ Karma) ·

2025/12/15

Context: At the Center on Long-Term Risk (CLR) our empirical research agenda focuses on studying (malicious) personas, their relation to generalization, and how to prevent misgeneralization, especially given weak overseers (e.g., undetected reward hacking) or underspecified training signals. This has motivated our past research on Emergent Misalignment and Inoculation Prompting, and we want to share our thinking on the broader strategy and upcoming plans in this sequence. TLDR: Ensuring that AIs

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13:55

“The Axiom of Choice is Not Controversial” by...

LessWrong (30+ Karma) ·

2025/12/15

The Axiom of Choice is obviously true, the well-ordering principle obviously false, and who can tell about Zorn's Lemma? Jerry Bona I sometimes speak to people who reject the axiom of choice, or who say they would rather only accept weaker versions of the axiom of choice, like the axiom of dependent choice, or most commonly the axiom of countable choice. I think such people should stop being silly, and realize that obviously we need the axiom of choice for modern mathematics, and it's not that

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19:05

“A high integrity/epistemics political machine?” by...

LessWrong (30+ Karma) ·

2025/12/14

I have goals that can only be reached via a powerful political machine. Probably a lot of other people around here share them. (Goals include “ensure no powerful dangerous AI get built”, “ensure governance of the US and world are broadly good / not decaying”, “have good civic discourse that plugs into said governance.”) I think it’d be good if there was a powerful rationalist political machine to try to make those things happen. Unfortunately the naive ways of doing that would destroy the good

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LessWrong (30+ Karma)

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