PODCAST

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Lance Roberts

It"s a show about life, markets, sweat-equity, and the pursuit of wealth in a capitalist market.

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All Episodes

46:33

7-29-25 Two Dads on Money - Grit, Grind, & Glam

The Real Investment Show Podcast ·

2025/07/29

Markets continue their bullish trend; Infrastructure build-out for AI is beginning to show up in data. Money flows return to US markets. Lance shares the bet he has with his dog; Lance & Jon share their "Two Dads" wisdom for fresh college grads' job searched & career choices, and offer three pillars for success: ○ Grit: Passion + perseverance. Stick through setbacks, stay committed, believe effort matters more than innate talent. ○ Grind: The value of hard work—late nights, travel, dedication

04:17

7-29-25 Stocks Appreciate Money Flows | Before the Bell

The Real Investment Show Podcast ·

2025/07/29

Markets continue to perform bullishly, stringing together a sixth day of gains on Monday. If Tuesday follows suit, markets will stretch out a line of positive closes stacking up against an inevitable down day, sooner or later. The question is whether markets will cross the 20-DMA: A pullback to 6,260 would not be surprising at all. WHEN that happens, we'll look next to the 50-DMA at around 6,280 and to the 200-DMA below that at 5,870. All that to say, there is some downside risk to the market

46:33

7-28-25 Big Tech Earnings

The Real Investment Show Podcast ·

2025/07/28

Lance reviews the Big News from the weekend, the trade accord between the US and the European Union, and previews the data that will drive markets this week: PCE report and a Fed meeting on tap. What will move markets? Commentary on the non-impact of Tariffs: Markets have already priced-in any change, as markets adapt. What the Fed says about QT/QE will matter. Lance shares another family drama episode, with retail therapy and a "people-cott" on Ulta make up. There is no reason to be overly bearish

04:42

7-28-25 Prelude to Pullback | Before the Bell

The Real Investment Show Podcast ·

2025/07/28

We're about to enter the two months of the year when volatility begins to pick up; August and September tend to be weaker months. Markets have had a very long stretch with minimal movement. Two things to note: Markets have been above the 20-DMA for 68-days (one of the longest stretches in history). Money flows are beginning to decline, which is a sign of investor exhaustion. Sentiment and positioning are very bullish, and there has been excess speculation as the market has continued to grind higher

46:37

7-25-25 Are You a Meme-stock Mania Dork?

The Real Investment Show Podcast ·

2025/07/25

Is your portfolio full of DORKs? Jonathan Penn and Jonathan McCarty unpack the return of meme stock mania and four speculative favorites: DNUT (Krispy Kreme), OPEN (Opendoor), RKLB (Rocket Lab), and KSS (Kohl's). These retail-loved names are soaring again—but should you follow the hype or stay grounded? We'll discuss why these stocks are rallying, the behavioral finance behind retail speculation, and the portfolio risks in chasing "lottery ticket" trades. Jonathan & Jonathan also memorialize Ozzy

46:33

7-24-25 How AI is Driving the Market

The Real Investment Show Podcast ·

2025/07/24

Artificial intelligence is no longer the future—it’s the engine behind today’s market moves. Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down how AI and machine learning are reshaping investing strategies, influencing algorithmic trading, and transforming financial analysis. Lance looks at earnings season and Tesla's results; there's nothing wrong with the markets, but all the ingredients are in place for a market reversion; what will be the catalyst? Lance corrects himself on Tesla comments; Lane and

04:49

7-24-25 What Will Be the Catalyst for Correction? |...

The Real Investment Show Podcast ·

2025/07/24

Earnings Season continues...everything is fine as reports are coming in better-than-expected for the most part. Markets enjoyed a Wednesday rally with solid buying. But interestingly, volatility collapsed, with hedging concerns "giving up" on concerns over the rise in complacency. This low VIX doesn't necessarily mean anything...along with the Put/Call Ratio and credit default swaps (see today's Daily Market Commentary - link below). Credit Spreads are extremely compressed, too. These are all good

46:33

7-23-25 Why Are Stocks Going Up?

The Real Investment Show Podcast ·

2025/07/23

Stocks are rallying despite weak fundamentals. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff examine the real reasons behind the 2025 market surge. Malcom Jamal-Warner and Ozzy Osborne pass; they always come in three's: Who's next? Trumps tariff deal with Japan moves markets momentarily; Meme stocks are back. Negative divergences while markets on the rise signal more potential for market correction (not crash!) Lance & Danny discuss why stocks are up and where the money is coming from. The Roberts' Family Saga -

03:58

7-23-25 Warning Signs in Negative Divergences |...

The Real Investment Show Podcast ·

2025/07/23

Markets opened lower on Tuesday, and rallied back in the afternoon; on Monday, markets opened higher, and fell off. Markets just aren't making much headway. Markets are still stringing together the longest run of days above the 20-DMA. This all suggests that we are going to get a correction at some point. Relative strength is in a negative divergence while the market is going up. That's a warning sign, and there's also a negative divergence in momentum as the market is moving higher, at the same

46:34

7-22-25 Two Dads on Money - Rent or Buy?

The Real Investment Show Podcast ·

2025/07/22

Renting vs Buying a Home – Which Makes More Sense in 2025? Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn, Two Dads on Money, ponder whether, with rising mortgage rates and stubbornly high rents, is it better to rent or buy right now? * What are the true costs of homeownership vs renting? * What are the hidden fees most people overlook? * What are the financial pros and cons of both options? Home ownership is often styled as the "American Dream," thanks to marketing by the National Association of Realtors (what's

04:10

7-22-25 Bonds Are Trapped in a Trading Range | Before...

The Real Investment Show Podcast ·

2025/07/22

Bonds have been trapped in a trading range for some time, with Yields stuck at around 4.3-4.4%. This is a function of economic growth and inflation. If you want to know where interest rates should trade (in terms of the Ten-year Treasury), it's GDP + Inflation: There is about an 84% correlation going all the way back to 1970. Technically speaking, there's a giant wedge being built into Yields, and they're going to break out to one side or the other. If to the upside, rates will move up to about

46:36

7-21-25 Big Questions for Big Tech

The Real Investment Show Podcast ·

2025/07/21

Can the AI boom sustain current valuations, or is a reckoning coming? Lance Roberts examines how AI and Big Tech investing trends are shaping portfolios, whether rising interest rates will derail Tech stock market outlook, and the growing risks of regulation impact on Big Tech from Washington to Brussels. Markets are still flirting with all-time highs. Lance shares the latest Roberts Family Saga, and his Coldplay strategy. Is investor exuberance getting out of hand? Options expiring within 24-hours

04:56

7-21-25 Moving Averages' Gravitational Pull | Before...

The Real Investment Show Podcast ·

2025/07/21

Markets are overbought and very extended above moving averages. This is neither out of the ordinary or a crisis situation. Markets are still flirting with all-time highs, but the deviations are important to pay attention to: Moving averages are like gravity, pulling indexes back towards the center. There is still support for stocks, thanks to earnings activity, but once the reporting is done, the focus will return to economic data, and that's when stock will be most susceptible to the gravitational

46:17

7-18-25 Money Scripts & Credit Scores

The Real Investment Show Podcast ·

2025/07/18

Richard Rosso & Matt Doyle host Rich's last live Radio-episode* and reveal the reason for Matt's recent absence from the show. Airport Security parameters; strong start to Earnings Season; references to '80's TV sit-coms; market futures, Lance's charts, the ultimate Death Cross; Richard previews Saturday's (7/19) Candid Coffee, and the genesis of the partnership with Lance Roberts; understanding Money Scripts; Netflix & streaming services; Gen-Z and Social Media. Rich and Matt discuss the

46:15

7-17-25 The Magnificent 7 Are Mediocre

The Real Investment Show Podcast ·

2025/07/17

Are the Magnificent Seven losing their magic? Lance Roberts and Michael Lebowitz get the real story behind Magnificent Seven stocks performance and what it means for your investment strategy. Lance reviews this week's PPI report (flat) showing little to no effects from tariffs. Yet. The make up of the US economy (80% services) is such that corporations will primarily pay tariffs, and likely not pass along much of the additional cost. Earnings Season continues to roll along as markets enter the

04:26

7-17-25 Prepare Now for Correction | Before the Bell

The Real Investment Show Podcast ·

2025/07/17

Earnings Season continues to roll, and the window for the buy back window won't be open until the end of the month. Starting today, markets tend to enter a seasonally-weaker period of the year as investors process earnings and volatility begins to tick higher. Market action has already been slack over the past couple of weeks, and it's highly deviated from moving averages. A reversal back to the 200-DMA is worth a 6% decline, a move that would be well-within historical norms. Of concern now is the

46:17

7-16-25 SPAC's are Back!

The Real Investment Show Podcast ·

2025/07/16

SPAC's (Special Purpose Acquisition Companies) are making headlines again. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff break down why SPAC investing is back in 2025, what’s driving the latest SPAC market trends, and what investors need to know before jumping in. Are these deals a golden opportunity or another speculative bubble? Earnings Season continues with Banks' reports and the effects of stock buy backs beginning to wane. Tuesday's CPI print had something for everyone; will PPI finally show effects of

03:53

7-16-25 Bullish Sentiment is a Contrarian Indicator |...

The Real Investment Show Podcast ·

2025/07/16

Markets are doing what the markets do best: Consolidating following a rally. Elevated momentum signals are flipping back and forth (not uncommon), and relative strength is coming down from over-bought levels. This is keeping markets from making much of an advance. The back-and-forth debate over Fed rate cuts is also making things uncertain: The markets want a rate cut, but if inflation shows up in the form of tariff impacts on PPI numbers, that news will weigh on markets today (the report to be

46:13

7-15-25 Two Dad's on Money

The Real Investment Show Podcast ·

2025/07/15

What kinds of traps and pitfalls could younger investors be falling into? Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn provide advice from Two Dad's on Money in today's episode: Nvidia is shipping its H-20 chips to China; Lance previews this week's CPI and PPI reports; earnings season is underway, stock buy backs have dominated, surging higher than ever, but will taper; Markets prepare for sector rotations. Lance & Jonathan discuss the differences betweem trading and speculating, the Math of Loss, and the cost of

04:18

7-15-25 Markets Set for Rotation | Before the Bell

The Real Investment Show Podcast ·

2025/07/15

Another market rally Monday, flirting again with all-time highs. While there is nothing overall concerning about the markets, they're always setting up for some kind of rotation. There are a few things to pay attention to now. The market is being primarily driven by three sectors: Industrials, Transportation, and Technology. Those secotrs have been outperforming relative to the S&P. Technology has been leading the charge, of late; Industrials have also been posting well. Both are tied to the AI

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The Real Investment Show Podcast

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