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PODCAST

UBS On-Air: Market Moves

Client Strategy Office

UBS On-Air: Market Moves brings you beyond the highs and lows of the ticker, with conversations that can broaden your thinking about market behavior

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All Episodes

02:53

UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Perceptions of...

UBS On-Air: Market Moves ·

2025/07/30

The Federal Reserve meets to decide interest rates—over a hundred economists expect no change. The question is whether one can credibly disagree, without appearing as a political puppet. A case can be made for rate cuts (if one views US President Trump’s trade taxes as a heavier burden on US consumers). However, even if a Fed member sincerely believes that scenario, their dissent would almost inevitably be viewed as Trump twitching the political puppet strings in the background.

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02:58

UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'The data in focus'

UBS On-Air: Market Moves ·

2025/07/29

The US June trade balance is due—a number once overlooked but which politics has made it matter. Are international investors rushing to buy more US-made products? They are not (Canadians seem to be rushing in the other direction). Are US consumers less inclined to buy foreign goods? Probably not—even as late as June, some imports will not yet be hit with trade taxes. The euro has weakened, allegedly in response to concerns about the economic implications of the trade “deal”; but we still lack “deal”

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19:18

Top of the Morning: CIO Strategy Snapshot - The Great...

UBS On-Air: Market Moves ·

2025/07/28

Jason drops by the studio to preview a busy week that includes an abundance of Q2 earnings results, the July FOMC meeting, and the July employment report. We also reflect on recent trade news involving the EU and Japan, and what it all means for tariffs going forward. Plus, a look at CIO’s latest positioning recommendations, and thoughts on how a big structural risk shift in the private sector is being masked by a relative market calm. Featured is Jason Draho, Head of Asset Allocation Americas,

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02:56

UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Bad news or...

UBS On-Air: Market Moves ·

2025/07/28

The EU and the US agreed that US consumers should pay more tax—levied at 15% for imports from the EU. EU President von der Leyen made vague pledges to buy stuff from and invest in the US, without the necessary authority to make those pledges reality. Pharmaceuticals and steel seem to be excluded from this deal. The result is better for the US economy than the worst-case scenario, but worse for the US economy than the situation in January this year—but it is bad news markets have probably

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05:52

Ahead of the curve with Ulrike Hoffmann-Burchardi

UBS On-Air: Market Moves ·

2025/07/28

Tune in every Monday morning ahead of the New York opening bell as Ulrike Hoffmann-Burchardi, CIO Americas and Head of Global Equities for UBS Wealth Management, briefs you on the most important market drivers in the week ahead, along with opportunities beyond the consensus. This week – Mega-tech Q2 earnings results continue, the FOMC meeting and rate decision, further potential trade developments ahead of the Aug 01 deadline, and the July employment report.

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20:41

Navigating macroeconomic & geopolitical risks with...

UBS On-Air: Market Moves ·

2025/07/25

Arif Joshi serves as a Portfolio Manager and Analyst on Lazard Asset Management's Emerging Markets Debt team. Our conversation focuses on recent and ongoing developments surrounding US trade policy, along with implications to the economy, and international markets. We also spend some time on pressing geopolitical topics such as the condition of the US-China relationship, along with the ongoing Russia-Ukraine War. Host: Daniel Cassidy

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03:01

UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Independence Day'

UBS On-Air: Market Moves ·

2025/07/25

From time to time, these comments might have given the impression of dissatisfaction with Federal Reserve Chair Powell. While one can (very) credibly disagree with Powell’s policies, those policies are independent. Yesterday, Powell defended that independence, publicly correcting US President Trump’s errors about the Fed’s building projects. Powell suggested that Trump’s trade tax policy was behind some cost overruns (a subtle reminder that US consumers pay tariffs, not foreign exporters).

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14:00

Washington Weekly Podcast: Trade deals, Congressional...

UBS On-Air: Market Moves ·

2025/07/24

Shane drops by to share the latest developments on trade, spanning Japan to the European Union. We also touch on efforts by both sides of the isle to redraw Congressional districts in states such as Texas, California, and New York. Plus, a look at why the August recess for Congress has commenced early, and what to watch out for when lawmakers return to Capitol Hill in September. Featured is Shane Lieberman, Senior Governmental Affairs Advisors, Governmental Affairs US. Host: Daniel Cassidy

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09:38

Viewpoints with Burkhard Varnholt - A global markets...

UBS On-Air: Market Moves ·

2025/07/24

On this week’s episode of Viewpoints, Burkhard shares some boots-on-the-ground insights from Germany, as he explains the drivers behind Germany’s market gains and economic momentum, including takeaways from conversations with German businesses and investors. We also touch on considerations for international investors in today’s market and macro environment.

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02:36

UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Can the Fed be...

UBS On-Air: Market Moves ·

2025/07/24

US Commerce Secretary Lutnick suggested US rates should be cut now, and Federal Reserve Chair Powell should resign or be fired. Do investors want to live in a world where Fed independence is compromised and Lutnick influences policy? To judge from the dollar’s reaction, the answer is “no”.

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03:02

UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Who to...

UBS On-Air: Market Moves ·

2025/07/23

The proposed US-Japan trade deal means US buyers of Japanese goods (including autos) face a 15% tax. Steel is still taxed at 50%. Of course, deals are not the same as implementation, as the UK steel industry can testify. There are media reports that Japanese Prime Minister Ishiba will resign in August. Investors are unlikely to expect significant policy change given the lack of a majority in either house of the Diet.

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10:04

Top of the Morning: CEO Macro Briefing Book -...

UBS On-Air: Market Moves ·

2025/07/22

Paul rejoins in-studio to spotlight a special edition of the CEO Macro Briefing Book publication series which covers tax and economic considerations that stem from the One Big Beautiful Bill, for both business owners and individuals. Featured is Paul Hsiao, Asset Allocation Strategist Americas, UBS Chief Investment Office. Host: Daniel Cassidy

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02:47

UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Independence in...

UBS On-Air: Market Moves ·

2025/07/22

US Treasury Secretary Bessent suggested a “wholesale review” of the Federal Reserve was necessary (while supporting central bank independence). In the context of recent challenges, these remarks may trouble investors. Central bank independence was critical to the post-1970s moderation of inflation, and helped prevent the post-pandemic inflation from being worse than it was.

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19:48

Top of the Morning: CIO Strategy Snapshot - Summer...

UBS On-Air: Market Moves ·

2025/07/21

Despite relatively low trading volumes and narrow trading ranges as of late, there is still plenty factors top of mind for investors that could stir up market volatility in the weeks ahead. This morning, we check-in on the Q2 earnings season, reflect on Fed independence concerns, and assess macro uncertainty stemming from evolving US trade policy. Plus, a review of CIO’s market outlook and portfolio positioning recommendations. Featured is Jason Draho, Head of Asset Allocation Americas, UBS Chief

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02:40

UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Trade continues...

UBS On-Air: Market Moves ·

2025/07/21

South Korean export data for the first part of July showed growth, adjusted for differences in working days. Semiconductor sales were strong, and exports to Europe continued to grow. The US habit of taxing its consumers if they buy foreign steel meant exports in that sector were weaker. The data is a reminder that while the US is an important economy, there are other important economies that are not burdening their consumers with additional taxes.

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06:48

Ahead of the curve with Ulrike Hoffmann-Burchardi

UBS On-Air: Market Moves ·

2025/07/20

Tune in every Monday morning ahead of the New York opening bell as Ulrike Hoffmann-Burchardi, CIO Americas and Head of Global Equities for UBS Wealth Management, briefs you on the most important market drivers in the week ahead, along with opportunities beyond the consensus. This week – How AI will feature in upcoming tech earnings, macro uncertainty stemming from evolving US trade policy, and how to think about Fed independence concerns.

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39:42

How should I be positioned? with Torsten Slok...

UBS On-Air: Market Moves ·

2025/07/18

Torsten rejoins Jason in the New York podcast studio to exchange thoughts on Fed independence (and the course for monetary policy), the direction of US trade policy (and economic implications), along with 2H25 market outlooks and portfolio positioning considerations. Featured are Jason Draho, Head of Asset Allocation Americas, UBS Chief Investment Office, and Torsten Slok, Partner and Chief Economist with Apollo Global Management. Host: Daniel Cassidy

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02:46

UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Can anyone...

UBS On-Air: Market Moves ·

2025/07/18

After this week’s events, the question is whether anyone can advocate for US rate cuts without being seen as a political puppet? Yesterday, Federal Reserve Governor Waller offered some (debatable, but valid) economic points in favor of US rate cuts, but the position is politically tainted. The problem for the Fed and markets is that the US administration’s policy continues to create considerable uncertainty about the economic outlook.

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34:30

UBS AI Podcast - CEO Series - Ep. 4 (Dr. Kai-Fu Lee,...

UBS On-Air: Market Moves ·

2025/07/17

The UBS AI Podcast explores the fascinating and evolving world of artificial intelligence, how it's transforming industries, redefining what's possible and reshaping the future. On this episode of the CEO Series, Ulrike Hoffmann-Burchardi, CIO Americas and Head of Global Equities for UBS Wealth Management, converses with Dr. Kai-Fu Lee, Chairman of Sinovation Ventures, and CEO of 01.AI.

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16:46

Top of the Morning: Fixed Income Strategist -...

UBS On-Air: Market Moves ·

2025/07/17

With 2H25 now underway, Leslie shares a performance outlook for fixed income assets, along with outlines positioning and risk considerations. We also touch on an outlook for interest rates and share views on investment grade versus high yield bonds. Featured is Leslie Falconio, Head of Taxable Fixed Income Strategy Americas, UBS Chief Investment Office. Host: Carli Torres

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