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PODCAST

D3 Datacast

Talking NCAA Division 3 basketball from a data/analytics angle. Each episode we"ll talk about efficiency ratings, Top 25, NCAA regional rankings, NCAA Tournament projections, and we"ll make picks against the computer lines and point spreads. Hosted by Matt and Zac Snyder.

sports basketball

All Episodes

01:07:27

2025 Sweet 16 Preview and Updated Championship Odds -...

D3 Datacast ·

2025/03/10

The first weekend of the 2025 NCAA Division III men’s basketball tournament is in the books and what a weekend it was! The first and second rounds saw a little bit of everything - favorites cruising, upsets, overtime, great plays and great games. We can expect more of that in the tournament’s second weekend and we’re back to break it all down.As we did going into the first round, we have another in-depth look at the matchups we will see in Friday’s matchups in the sectionals. Join us as we dive deep

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00:32:44

2025 NCAA Tournament Overall Bracket Odds - D3...

D3 Datacast ·

2025/03/05

Our last show took a look at the first round favorites in the 2025 Division III men’s basketball tournament but what about beyond the first round? We’re back with another tournament preview show zooming out to look at the odds for each team to advance through the bracket.Who are the favorites to move on to the tournament’s second weekend? Who are the favorites to make a run to the Final Four and which teams have the best odds to win it all? We fire up the computer powered by the D3 Datacast team

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01:24:58

2025 Division D3 Basketball Tournament First Round...

D3 Datacast ·

2025/03/04

The 2025 Division III men’s basketball tournament bracket has been released so it’s time to break it down like only the D3 Datacast can!As we’ve done in past years we go game-by-game taking a look at how the D3 Datacast computer sees each game, talk about how the teams match up and use the computer ratings to compute win probabilities and computer lines for each matchup. Upsets are what make tournament basketball so much fun but that can only happen with some understanding or context of which games

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00:36:32

Tournament Selections and Mock Bracket - D3 Datacast...

D3 Datacast ·

2025/03/03

We had a blast tracking the 2025 NCAA Division III basketball tournament picture as the final games of the regular season played out on Sunday afternoon. All the games are now in the books so we take one more look at the final NPI rankings and talk about who is in, who is out and where everyone might be headed with a mock bracket.The official bracket will be released on Monday, March 3 at noon. Stay tuned for our reactions to the official bracket and more content coming your way as we break down the

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01:11:50

How Conference Tournaments Will Shape the NCAA...

D3 Datacast ·

2025/02/24

Conference tournament week is here for the 2024-2025 Division III basketball season and what happens this week will shape the landscape heading into the 2025 NCAA Tournament. Join us this week as we talk through all the conference tournament outlooks that have implications for the tournament bubble. Who is in good shape should they fail to win their conference tournament and who has at-large chances hanging on by a thread?There is also still a lot to play out for the race for the top eight protected

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01:39:25

Old vs. New: Winners and Losers with D3 Basketball...

D3 Datacast ·

2025/02/17

The stretch run of this Division III basketball season is playing out a little differently with the change from the old regional ranking system to the new NPI. As this would have been the week we got the first set of fully ranked regional rankings, we take a look at how those regional rankings might have looked this week under the old criteria.How would those regional rankings have slotted teams into the national picture? How do they compare to the rankings we’re getting with NPI? Has the move to

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01:02:54

Protecting the Top 8 Seeds in the NCAA Tournament -...

D3 Datacast ·

2025/02/10

After another terrific week of the 2024-2025 Division III men’s basketball season it’s time to check in on the developing picture as the NCAA Tournament draws nearer. It’s hard to believe just three weeks remain until the national tournament and there is a lot of important jockeying for position yet to play out.With the help of the D3 Datacast computer running simulations to play out the final weeks 1,000 times, we take a look at the race for the top eight protected seeds, the top 16 seed that will

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00:58:39

Bubble Watch! How are Teams Looking for At-Large...

D3 Datacast ·

2025/02/03

The calendar turning to February marks the start of the Division III basketball season stretch run. Teams are locked in to the conference races and doing all they can to secure an automatic qualifying bid to the 2025 NCAA Division III men’s basketball tournament but all but one team per conference will fall short of that goal. That leaves just 21 at-large bids up for grabs.Which teams are real contenders to receive an at-large bid should they need it and which are going at risk of seeing their

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01:14:40

Top 25, Next 25, and Protecting Top Seeds - D3...

D3 Datacast ·

2025/01/27

We are deep into the Division III men’s basketball season but if you think that means we’re gaining any clarity into the Top 25 picture, think again! This week we go deep into Matt’s Top 25 ballot then go a step further by taking a look at his next 25. Which teams are just off the ballot and do these next 25 teams have anything in common? We break it down and talk through it all.Top 25 consideration may be nice but it’s really position within the NPI rankings that teams are fighting over. We follow

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01:04:55

Which Conferences Will Get At-Large Bids to the 2025...

D3 Datacast ·

2025/01/20

There is a lot of basketball to be played between now and when at-large selections to the 2025 NCAA Division III men’s basketball tournament are made but we can still get a picture of where those bids are likely to come from. With the help of the D3 Datacast computer we simulated the rest of the season 1,000 times and applied NPI to the results.That produced results ranging from a group of conferences that had at least one team receive a Pool C (at-large) bid in all 1,000 simulations to some that

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01:09:29

What Every D3 Basketball Fan Needs To Know About NPI...

D3 Datacast ·

2025/01/13

The Division III basketball landscape has changed in terms of how teams are selected and seeded for the national tournament. The regional ranking system is a thing of the past, replaced by a single national ranking system called the NCAA Power Index, or NPI.The old system, for better and worse, was familiar so moving to a new system can lead to questions and confusion. That’s where we can help. We’ve been deep into NPI going back to an offseason episode giving an initial explanation but we’re back

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01:07:56

Ten Tightest Conference Races in D3 Basketball - D3...

D3 Datacast ·

2025/01/06

The start of January marks the traditional start to conference play so we fire up the D3 Datacast computer to run 1,000 season simulations to see which conferences are shaping up to have the tightest races.Some conferences have already started conference play, giving some teams conference wins in the bank. How remaining games yet to be played end up turning projected odds into hard wins and losses will determine which of the branching paths through our 1,000 simulations becomes reality. It is fun

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01:04:51

Things we were wrong about - Episode 99

D3 Datacast ·

2024/12/30

The break in the Division III basketball schedule has given us the opportunity to pause and reflect on what we’ve seen so far and how it may have differed from our expectations heading into the season. With a fresh set of eyes we take a look back at some things we thought in the preseason that haven’t, at least not yet, turned out the way we thought they would. Yes, we were wrong about some things and we’re ready to admit it and talk about them! We also look back at how we did against our week eight

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00:53:31

Top 10 Offenses and Defenses in D3hoops - Episode 98

D3 Datacast ·

2024/12/23

Now that most teams have played at least eight games the D3 Datacast computer is relying solely on in-season results for calculating efficiency ratings. That makes this week the perfect time to check in to see how the computer views the developing national picture - both in terms of teams that stand out as the Top 20 overall but also dive in a little deeper to see which teams are performing as the top ten offenses and defenses. There are a lot of ways to get it done so it’s more about how well you

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00:34:43

At Large Bid Fantasy Draft - D3 Datacast - Episode 97

D3 Datacast ·

2024/12/16

The D3 Datacast Pool C Fantasy Draft returns for the new season! As we have done during previous seasons, we have some fun making way too early predictions on which teams will secure at-large bids to the NCAA Division III men’s basketball tournament. Our contest is set up in a draft format where we alternate picks. At the end of the season each team on our list that does indeed make the tournament as a Pool C pick earns three points while any team that we selected that ends up a Pool A team will

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01:08:45

Top Teams Without Top 25 Votes - D3 Datacast -...

D3 Datacast ·

2024/12/09

A total of 79 different teams have received at least one vote through the three D3Hoops.com Top 25 polls that have been released this season. Does that mean all the good teams are accounted for and already on the radar of voters? Not according to the D3 Datacast computer efficiency ratings!According to the D3 Datacast computer, ten of its top 50 teams (as rated by games played through 12/8/24) have yet to be named on a single voter ballot in either the preseason Top 25 poll or either of the two

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01:11:39

Teams on the Rise! - D3 Datacast - Episode 95

D3 Datacast ·

2024/12/02

Now that we are a few weeks into the 2024-2024 Division III basketball season it’s fair to start setting aside preseason expectations as teams show us who they truly are for this season. With each game played the D3 Datacast computer ratings rely less and less on the preseason ratings and more and more on this season’s results. Most teams have played enough games that the weighting has moved to at least 50% of current season results feeding into their computer rating rather than relying on any

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00:55:04

Great Lakes Invitational Power Rankings 2024 - D3...

D3 Datacast ·

2024/11/25

The 2024 Great Lakes Invitational is in the books and it once again gave us two great days of action. After seeing all eight games in person, we asked a panel of Division III basketball media to vote in a poll to determine our power rankings based on what we saw from Calvin, Emory, Hope, John Carroll, Johns Hopkins, Marietta, Saint John’s, UW-La Crosse this weekend.These games involving so many high-level teams will have a definite impact on the first in-season D3hoops.com Top 25 poll expected to

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00:53:53

Time for a Top 25 Update?

D3 Datacast ·

2024/11/18

The first full week of the 2024-2025 Division III men’s basketball season is in the books and in a lot of ways the preseason Top 25 picture has been completely blown up. As we did in last week’s show, we take a look at some of the big results involving Top 25 teams and other games that caught our eye this past week. We are still a week away from the first in-season D3hoops.com Top 25 poll but Matt put together a mock bracket to give his updated outlook on the Top 25 picture. We also look back at how

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00:49:09

Top 25 in Shambles? - D3 Datacast - Episode 92

D3 Datacast ·

2024/11/11

The 2024-2025 Division III men’s basketball season got off to a fast start over the weekend and it is already having an impact on the Top 25 picture. Join us this week as we react to the biggest wins, surprising losses and best games and how that makes us think about the national rankings moving forward. We also look back at how we did against our week one picks slate and make our decisions on a new five-game slate for week two picks, then wrap up with a look at some ranked teams who have important

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