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PODCAST

THE WINDOW: Sports Betting Podcast

4Five Productions

The Window is a sports betting podcast hosted and produced by experienced betting analyst, Matt Russell. Matt dives deep into the NFL, NCAA sports, and the NHL, as well as March Madness, NBA Playoffs and Golf’s major championships. With extensive experience in the sports betting content space, Matt’s also a 2-time cash winner in the Las Vegas Supercontest, who believes in responsible gaming as a form of recreation. He celebrates and commiserates betting results with good humor. Join him and various

sports

All Episodes

01:05:18

THE STUART SKINNER INDUSTRIAL COMPLEX (6.10.25): The...

THE WINDOW: Sports Betting Podcast ·

2025/06/10

On Tuesday’s episode of THE WINDOW Podcast, Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic on X) looks back at Games 2 and 3 of the Stanley Cup Final between the Panthers and Oilers.While drastically different games and final scores, there were actually more similarities than you might think. A 6-1 loss for the Oilers doesn’t mean all hope is lost for Edmonton, but with the Panthers taking a series lead, there’s a new favorite in the Conn Smythe Trophy betting market, and we just happen to be holding a 95-1 ticket

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01:08:31

FIRST BLOOD (6.5.25): The Oilers take Game 1 of the...

THE WINDOW: Sports Betting Podcast ·

2025/06/05

On Thursday’s episode of THE WINDOW Podcast, Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic on X) looks back at Game 1 of the Stanley Cup Final between the Panthers and Oilers.The betting market leading into the game was fascinating as the Oilers took money on the series line, while late money appeared to go the Panthers way for Game 1. This provided a prime example of patience paying off thanks to having a plan that included a target moneyline price on the Oilers.One major sportsbook offered up an odds boost on the

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00:56:38

OIL SLICK (6.2.25): Edmonton glides by the Stars and...

THE WINDOW: Sports Betting Podcast ·

2025/06/02

On Monday’s episode of THE WINDOW Podcast, Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic on X) looks back at what went wrong the Hurricanes and Stars, as it’s a rare rematch in the Stanley Cup Final. Carolina pulled a “Bennett Scheffler” when they had to chance to make the Eastern Conference Final interesting, while blowing it for our SGP that seemed like it had a path paved for victory. Matt reflects on a Twitter exchange with ESPN’s NHL officiating expert Dave Jackson, surrounding a key moment in Game 3 of the

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01:09:23

WHAT DOES “LUCK” LOOK LIKE? (5.26.25): Yes, the...

THE WINDOW: Sports Betting Podcast ·

2025/05/26

On Monday’s episode of THE WINDOW Podcast, Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic on X) does a deep dive into the second and third games of the Stanley Cup Playoffs’ Conference Finals.While the scoreboard looks lopsided for all of them, which games have told a different story than their results?Carolina’s previously excellent goaltending has, all of a sudden, had more than just five holes.Are the Panthers overwhelming the Hurricanes with their forecheck, or are they just doing a better job of converting the

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01:07:37

STARS OVERMATCHED? SAY ‘GAIN? (5.22.25): A look back...

THE WINDOW: Sports Betting Podcast ·

2025/05/22

On Thursday’s episode of THE WINDOW Podcast, Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic on X) does a deep dive into the first games of the Stanley Cup Playoffs’ Conference Finals.Carolina goes down to Florida in the ECF opener, but was a 5-2 loss reflective of the actual performance by the Hurricanes, and is a -3 GSAx a fair assessment of Frederik Andersen? With Carolina now +200 for the series, is there reason to add to a position on the Canes?The Stars put on another third period performance for the ages to

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01:07:05

…THE MORE THEY STAY THE SAME (5.19.25): The end of...

THE WINDOW: Sports Betting Podcast ·

2025/05/19

On Monday’s episode of THE WINDOW Podcast, Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic on X) looks back at the second round of the Stanley Cup Playoffs.The Stars and Hurricanes have punched their ticket to their respective conference finals, as Dallas puts away the Jets in six games after Carolina took care of the Capitals in five. Why the return of Miro Heiskanen might end up being the difference-maker we had hoped.The Oilers finished off the Golden Knights, on the strength of… wait… the goaltending of Stuart

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01:06:51

PRETTY GOOD, BOB(rovsky)! (5.13.25): Stanley Cup...

THE WINDOW: Sports Betting Podcast ·

2025/05/13

On Tuesday’s episode of THE WINDOW Podcast, Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic on X) looks back at how things are going in Round 2 of the Stanley Cup Playoffs.The “buzz around the range” about the Maple Leafs is that they “look like the old Leafs,” but is that really true? We dig into the metrics comparing Games 1 and 2 with Games 3 and 4, before looking at how the betting market has found its way to the current odds for what is now a “best of three” series, and why they’re wider than before Game 1.Our

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01:06:54

NOT GREAT, BOB(rovsky)! (5.9.25): An in-series update...

THE WINDOW: Sports Betting Podcast ·

2025/05/09

On Friday’s episode of THE WINDOW Podcast, Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic on X) looks back at the early games in Round 2 of the Stanley Cup Playoffs. The Panthers have a goaltending issue that was at least kind of predictable??…“‘The Maple Leafs have the goaltending advantage in this series’.That’s a helluva sentence that the numbers are trying to sell us on, even at a 2% win probability estimation. Anthony Stolarz was better than Sergei Bobrovsky since the 4 Nations Face-off break, and as we see

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01:05:29

RANTANEN & RAVIN’ (5.5.25): Mikko’s revenge, 1.6...

THE WINDOW: Sports Betting Podcast ·

2025/05/05

On Monday’s episode of THE WINDOW Podcast, Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic on X) looks back at a pair of historically improbably Game 7 comeback wins.The Stars keep hope alive for those holding Stanley Cup futures tickets on a team who might be getting better, while the Jets save their season and maybe the future of their goaltender with a last-second goal and a double-overtime victory.What to make of that second round series going forward, along with a forensic autopsy of the other three series to

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01:02:03

STANLEY CUP STAT REGRESSION? (5.1.25): Looking back...

THE WINDOW: Sports Betting Podcast ·

2025/05/01

On Thursday’s episode of THE WINDOW Podcast, Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic on X) looks back at the last three nights of Stanley Cup Playoff action, and gets you set for all the Game 6s (and 7s?!?) left in the first round. The Hurricanes, Capitals and Panthers have advanced. Matt does a betting autopsy on those three short series. Then, it’s an in-series breakdown of the other five. How statistical regression might be catching up to the Avalanche and Maple Leafs, the Kings’ pending collapse, and what

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00:37:15

SHED-Y OPERATION? (4.28.25): You can’t fall from...

THE WINDOW: Sports Betting Podcast ·

2025/04/28

On Monday’s episode of THE WINDOW Podcast, Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic on X) explains why the NFL Draft has jumped the proverbial shark as a betting vehicle and why the case of Shedeur Sanders is a macrocosm of why, for the first time in as many as 20 years, Matt didn’t have a bet on the Draft.Then it’s an update on all the action of Stanley Cup Playoffs, as all eight series are still going. Matt looks back at how we thought the series might play out and how things are going through four games

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01:07:22

BOLDY PREDICTIONS (4.23.25): The Stars align, the...

THE WINDOW: Sports Betting Podcast ·

2025/04/23

On Monday’s episode of THE WINDOW Podcast, Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic on X) looks at the eight Stanley Cup Playoff games on Monday and Tuesday. The Stars-Avalanche series continues to be a fascinating betting market, while Game 1 of Oilers and Kings provides more questions than answers.The Senators’ lack of experience has killed them early in Toronto (a city blissfully unaware of what a Tailgate actually is), but will that and a goaltending disadvantage flip back in Canada’s capital?The Lightning

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01:09:00

SMOKE SIGNALS (4.21.25): Crunching the numbies after...

THE WINDOW: Sports Betting Podcast ·

2025/04/21

On Monday’s episode of THE WINDOW Podcast, Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic on X) looks at the first five games of the Stanley Cup Playoffs:How deserved was the winning team in each Game 1?How sustainable is the key element to victory?Is there a bet to make for Monday and Tuesday’s games?Plus, there’s three series still left to drop the puck, so Matt breaks down how he views those series per his series previews.Blues vs. JetsAvalanche vs. StarsDevils vs. HurricanesSenators vs. Maple LeafsWild vs

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01:09:12

ROR’ING ‘ROUND AUGUSTA (4.14.25): McIlroy finally...

THE WINDOW: Sports Betting Podcast ·

2025/04/14

On this week’s episode of THE WINDOW Podcast, Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic on X) opens the show discussing THE MASTERS, and a rare situation where cheering for someone or some THING superseded a by-the-rules bet. Until it led to one.Matt tells the story of how he eventually bet on Rory McIlroy after spending Sunday trying to balance the concept of the ‘heart hedge’. Matt talks about how decades of betting on team sports has pulled him away from being a fan of the brand (as already-rich owners bleed

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01:08:37

GOLDEN GATORS (4.8.25): Florida’s natty win, NHL...

THE WINDOW: Sports Betting Podcast ·

2025/04/08

On this week’s episode of THE WINDOW Podcast, Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic on X) opens the show discussing Monday night’s National Championship between Florida and Houston. How the Gators outlasted the Cougars, only to have a riveting (if a little sloppy) end in the saddest of ways for those of us trying to watch from the perspective of a fan, having already secured a profit with futures tickets on both sides.It’s about that time of year, as THE WINDOW is ramping up for the Stanley Cup Playoffs

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01:04:10

PARTY LIKE IT’S 2008 (3.31.25): How we got to an all...

THE WINDOW: Sports Betting Podcast ·

2025/03/31

On this week’s episode of THE WINDOW Podcast, Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic on X) discusses how each region of the NCAA Tournament bracket produced it’s 1-seed into the Final Four, for just the second time in modern history. Matt looks at shooting outliers - positive and negative - from the Sweet 16 and the Elite Eight, and how a lack of Madness in this year’s event was a bigger deal than the top teams getting to San Antonio.Matt breaks down the conceptual difference between a bet on Duke to win

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01:07:57

MINIMAL MARCH MADNESS (3.24.25): A betting recap of...

THE WINDOW: Sports Betting Podcast ·

2025/03/24

On this week’s episode of THE WINDOW Podcast, Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic on X) discusses the first weekend of the NCAA Tournament in an attempt to touch on all 52 games in 52 minutes.Matt looks at how a rough 0-3 start to Thursday came to be, in three different ways, but how it was salvaged back to (almost) even by savvy betting, and more than a little luck, in tripling-up with the UCSD-Michigan game (also known as the “Mile-high Michigan Middle”). Friday was a snoozer, but lessons were learned

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01:12:16

SELECTION NIGHT LIVE (3.16.25): It’s THE WINDOW’s...

THE WINDOW: Sports Betting Podcast ·

2025/03/17

In a special, first-ever live THE WINDOW podcast, Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic on X) went through all of the 32 NCAA Tournament games that were lined as The Selection Show was going on!Aiming to get “The Panes” the best of the number to start their betting positions on the first round, Matt looked at each game, giving his projected spread, and where he thinks each line is going, along with the side he’s either bet or wants to bet.Then, thanks to a viewer question, Matt discussed optimal bracket

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01:05:56

THE REAL MARCH MADNESS (3.10.25): The first week of...

THE WINDOW: Sports Betting Podcast ·

2025/03/10

On this week’s episode of THE WINDOW Podcast, Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic on X) discusses the first week of conference tournament games, and how handicapping becomes a fun game of “detective”, giving examples of how he’s found value in some bets, and how that value can get blown to irrelevancy with an outlier performance by a player or team. Then, Matt looks at Monday’s action with an audio version of the best bets for games in nine different conferences, including the championship games in the

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01:04:24

THE BRUTALIST SATURDAY (3.3.25): Looking back at what...

THE WINDOW: Sports Betting Podcast ·

2025/03/03

On this week’s episode of THE WINDOW Podcast, Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic on X) discusses the Oscars and how if the Academy can get “art” right, maybe there’s hope for NFL Awards voters yet. Then Matt breaks down our college basketball learning exercise as we went from clueless to ready for March Madness, only we played a “micro” price after a Saturday bloodbath. Why the variance in basketball has gotten to the point where getting the best of the number is less valuable than it once was, because

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408 results

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