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PODCAST

Mooney on Irish Politics

A sometimes jaundiced, but always informed commentary on today"s Irish politics from Derek Mooney, an experienced campaigner, former ministerial adviser and now a public affairs consultant.

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All Episodes

00:09:35

Day One of the Count... first thoughts

Mooney on Irish Politics ·

2024/11/30

This is not so much a podcast, but just a rebroadcast of my comments on Times Radio (UK) from early this morning. Though based on the Exit poll which may have understated FF and overstated SF, the broad points remain correct. It has been my view from the start of the campaign that voters did not feel there was a viable alternative on offer... and that's not healthy for our politics in the medium term... but what might that alternative look like?

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00:21:30

A race between SF and FF for first place?

Mooney on Irish Politics ·

2024/11/25

After two polls showing Fine Gael in a steady decline has the three horse race become a two horse one with Fianna Fáil and Sinn Féin competing fiercely for first place? I discuss this with former Sinn Féin MLA for Lagan Valley, Paul Butler, and get his perspective on the final few days.

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00:11:16

Harris's Gordon Brown moment... only worse!

Mooney on Irish Politics ·

2024/11/24

Even before the Kanturk fiasco it looked like Fine Gael's highly personalised campaign, built around its leader was in trouble. Harris has just had his Gordon Brown 2010 moment... only this one is much, much worse. Can FG slide back even further? Is it now at risk of coming 3rd?

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00:21:56

From a 2.5 party polity to a 2.5 party govt

Mooney on Irish Politics ·

2024/11/22

With just one week to go, I chat with Dr David McCann of the University of Ulster about government formation once the election is over. He suggests that 2.5 / 3 party governments will be the norm from here onwards. I suggest that Sinn Féin should be driving a wedge between Fianna Fáil and Fine Gael rather than pushing the FFG line.

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00:24:21

More Independent TDs... but with a lot less influence

Mooney on Irish Politics ·

2024/11/21

With 8 days to geo I chat with old friend and self confessed "liberal hardline centrist" Jason O'Mahony about how he thins the election campaign has gone, so far. We discuss the part that independents may play in government formation and conclude that (counter intuitively) more independents will mean less influence.

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00:17:49

We've plenty of opposition... but no alternative govt

Mooney on Irish Politics ·

2024/11/19

With 10 days to go to polling day... I look at last night's RTÉ Upfront 10 podium leaders debate and conclude... there is no shortage of opposition parties... what we don't have is any alternative government.

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00:08:55

GE2024... 12 Days to Go

Mooney on Irish Politics ·

2024/11/17

Just under two weeks to go and any polling shifts are well within the margins of error. The fact that voters may not have switched on to the campaign is a not a permission slip for parties to forget the lessons of the global crash and indulge in auction politics.

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00:23:31

GE2024 - A tour of the 5 Cork constituencies

Mooney on Irish Politics ·

2024/11/15

In this episode I am joined by Stephen Spillane of the Green party. He is a long serving political activist who knows and well understands the Cork political scene. We do a tour of the 5 Cork constituencies and Stephen offers his insights on what to watch out for, in each. Check out his Cork GE2024 blog

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00:14:37

GE2024 15 Days to to

Mooney on Irish Politics ·

2024/11/14

With 15 days to go… what do we know now that we didn't know before it started… well... not a lot. One of the few things I think we can say for sure is that the voters are not yet fully engaged.

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00:08:31

GE2024... 17 days to go

Mooney on Irish Politics ·

2024/11/12

In my second GE2024 podcast I look at how the Soc Dem and Labour party leaders fared in their two media outgoings and observe that Paschal Donohoe uncharacteristically rose to the bait at the housing debate on RTÉ's Upfront with Katie Hannon.

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00:07:57

Only 18 more days to go...!

Mooney on Irish Politics ·

2024/11/11

The first of my (almost) daily series of short GE2024 podcasts looking at how the Irish general election campaign is playing out. If well begun is half done... then Fine Gael's campaign isn't even 5% done.

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00:14:05

Feeling numb as Trump's message prevails

Mooney on Irish Politics ·

2024/11/06

The morning after an appalling night before, I reflect on lessons from Trump's big win. I specifically look at his clear messaging that posed him as the voter's ally. I only saw his "Kamala is for They/Them. President Trump is for you" messaging today. It's crisp, clear and direct and speaks to concerns middle America has about the country's direction.

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00:34:36

Pre GE2024 edition... one week until election is called?

Mooney on Irish Politics ·

2024/10/29

These are my thoughts as we wait for the Irish general election to be called next week. TL;DR: I worry that many of the available options won’t resonate with voters. If I were in a different constituency I might examine my ballot paper and think: “None of the above” ...and I've voted Fianna Fáil 1, 2 and 3 at almost every election, ever. Finally, here is the link to ⁠Stefan Müller⁠'s excellent Irish Polling Indicator project, which I reference several times in this podcast.

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00:22:20

Will it be February.. or November?

Mooney on Irish Politics ·

2024/09/22

Though much of the political process speculation will focus on whether the election will be held in February 2025 or November 2024, I think it should instead look at why so many centrist and MoTR voters look at SF, FG and FF and say... none of the above.

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00:21:59

Summer 2024 Political Reading List

Mooney on Irish Politics ·

2024/07/18

This is my 7th annual Summer political reading list. Most of the books on this year’s list have been published within the past 12-18 months. All cover broadly political topics, or are (imho) of interest to those with an interest in politics, be it Irish, European, American or global. The choices are mine. I have read some, not all, but all are of interest to me.

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00:15:57

It's political maths - 23% of 50% isn't the same as...

Mooney on Irish Politics ·

2024/06/23

In this episode I look at how pleased Fianna Fáil and Fine Gael are pleased by each securing 23% of the votes of those who showed up… but point out that this is not necessarily a sign of greater things to come. That said, Fianna Fáil should celebrate its cohort of new Cllrs. See column on which this podcast is based.

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00:14:44

My Local and Euros checklist revisited

Mooney on Irish Politics ·

2024/06/12

I look my elections checklist and see how the results stack up against it. I see the predictions I got right (a few) and the ones I got wrong... and why. I also comment on the current petulant row over newspaper polling. There will be another podcast soon, looking at the Fianna Fáil Local and European results in more detail.

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00:19:01

Eve of Local and Euro Counts Checklist

Mooney on Irish Politics ·

2024/06/07

In this (short) episode I offer my checklist of what to watch out for as the ballot boxes are opened this week-end:1. Watch the Limerick Mayoral Result 2. Compare party results with GE2020, not LE2019 3. The SF vote total is important, but don't allow FF or FG to use that to deflect from their results 4. See who emerges as the biggest party or faction in local govt - how far will FF slide? 5. Don't see this an inflection point... but it may give hints as to how close we are to one?

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00:32:30

These are not mid-term elections... they're end term

Mooney on Irish Politics ·

2024/05/31

There are no election predictions in this podcast as many voters have yet to decide - instead I focus on what to watch out for as we enter the last week of campaigning. I look at how party leaders will try to manage expectations, especially around seat losses and failed gains... but above all I stress that this is NOT a mid term election - the next general election is 9 months away, at most, and could be called within 4 or 5 months.

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00:27:57

Irish Defence Policy from Debate, Not Caprice

Mooney on Irish Politics ·

2024/04/23

In this episode I return to a topic I have discussed many times - Irish Defence. Though there are some signs that things may be about to improve, the pace is no where near fast enough as the Minister responsible is more pre-occupied with positioning and messaging, than on tackling the real problems. There is also an article to accompany this podcast.

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112 results

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