PODCAST

The Risk Takers Podcast

GoldenPants13

Willing to bet this is the sharpest podcast in sports bettinghttps://www.goldenpants.com/

sports fantasy sports

All Episodes

127:43

Bet Like a Bayesian & SP's DraftKings Beef | Ep 108

The Risk Takers Podcast ·

2025/06/18

This week we learn how to make more money gambling from the lessons of "The Reverend" Thomas Bayes. His theorem is the backbone of every successful sports bettor (even if they don't know it). This week we walk through examples of priors, posteriors and general Bayesian betting hygiene. It's more electric than it sounds! Andrew Mack's Book: Amazon 0:00 Bayesian Thinking Intro 10:05 Bayes in Sports Betting 51:23 News 1:07:30 SP v. DK Pick6 1:18:45 Q&A Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcas...

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129:41

From the Yankees and Google to a Pro Gambler w/ Akash...

The Risk Takers Podcast ·

2025/06/11

Second guest episode of the SP era - with a guy living the dream. Akash worked in the front offices of the New York Yankees and Miami Dolphins as well as a Google data scientist before leaving it all behind to be a full-time bettor. This builds on our recent modeling episodes as we take a jump from simple/ regression based models into the AI/ML blackbox. You can find Akash in the GP Discord under the name joshroyale 00:00 Show Intro 01:50 Yankees Front Office 11:05 Transition fro...

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127:54

How to Turn Your Projections into Probabilities...

The Risk Takers Podcast ·

2025/06/04

Have you ever projected a player to get 23.2 points and wondered if under 24.5 -115 was a +EV bet? The answer to this question and more can be found in this magic, exciting, adrenaline pumping thing called...distributions! This week the lads follow up their episode on making your own numbers with an episode on how to turn those numbers into probabilities. And the news section gets very speculative as GP returns to gambling twitter to research a story that intersects the sports betting and pok...

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127:10

How to Start Modeling Sports & Are OddsJam Customers...

The Risk Takers Podcast ·

2025/05/28

Feeling overwhelmed when considering the jump from +EV betting to building your own model? We don't blame you. The little content there is out there on how to get started makes it sound impossible. But the reality is, in the beginning, it's rather straightforward. In this episode, the boys help you get started with your first sports betting model before getting into the news and Q&A 0:00 Intro 2:30 How to Build Sports Models 55:51 News 1:15:30 Q&A Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast,...

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111:51

DFS School for Sports Bettors & Every Winning Bettor...

The Risk Takers Podcast ·

2025/05/21

GP slowly realizes he's a DFS fish as he recaps his high stakes PGA Championship lineup building strategy to SP. SP breaks down what a winning sports bettor needs to do to win in DFS (and vice-versa) SP then weighs in on Underdog allowing RTA following GP's rant last episode and the boys discuss why the state of Wyoming determined anyone who wins betting is a cheater. Questions range from how did the hosts learn to model to if SPs DraftKings VIP vacation is real? 0:00 How to Win at DFS 41...

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106:06

GP Origin Story, Underdog Allows RTA & Why No...

The Risk Takers Podcast ·

2025/05/15

GP flies solo this week and takes the opportunity to ramble on about his journey from mediocre poker player to pretty good sports bettor. (This includes a quick double-up on the signing bonus he got in business school) The news is dominated by the Real Time Assistance tool ETR released for Underdog best ball drafts. If you think that's the story - you're wrong. Because Underdog comes out and says they ALLOW this type of RTA in a move that blows the mind of anyone who's ever played online pok...

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124:23

Day in the Life of a Pro Degen & Making $50k a Year...

The Risk Takers Podcast ·

2025/05/08

This episode has it all. GP's childish morning routine, what music you should listen to while modeling, and some hot takes based on a cursory glance at the news. The Q&A is dominated by a great question at the end regarding how achievable year-over-year profits are by someone who never models or scales a betting group. Remember to join the discord (link below) if you want your question on a future episode. The discord is free and we answer almost every question - so hop and it participat...

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129:15

Account Longevity Band-Aids & Long-Term Solutions +...

The Risk Takers Podcast ·

2025/05/01

"How can I make my accounts last longer?" This is the question de jour - and in this episode, we discuss both answers to this question AND if this is even the right question to be asking... We also spend a lot of time discussing Caesers stiffing Josk McPeek $800k. This leads to interesting discussions on "when is a bet a bet", kiosk jamming, slow cashouts, and more. Then some great Q&A that tries to get us to stir the pot. Did we take the bait? 0:00 Intro 3:18 Account Limits & In...

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133:34

100th Episode Special! Sports Betting Content...

The Risk Takers Podcast ·

2025/04/24

Very special 100th episode where GP and SP reflect on the current sports betting ecosystem, the goal of the podcast and the best way to incorporate sports betting content into your process. News includes a game-changing CFTC chair nomination, debate over a void at ProphetX, and the SAFE act keeps marching us towards our eventual doom. To cap it off - the longest Q&A in podcast history. We took all the questions this week in honor of the 100th episode. If you want to join the discord and...

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114:32

Heated Backtesting Debate & Gambling GOAT Wins $60M...

The Risk Takers Podcast ·

2025/04/17

0:00 Intro 1:20 Backtesting - All you need to know 40:08 News 1:09:00 Listener Q&A Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it. My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/ Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpant...

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108:22

Betting Big Events feat. The Masters & Why SGPs are...

The Risk Takers Podcast ·

2025/04/10

0:00 Intro 3:00 Betting Big Events 56:38 News 1:20:32 Listener Q&A 1:44:10 Masters Locks (after the Masters started) Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it. My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/ Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__Proj Want to work with my...

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134:30

Edge Graveyard #1 w/ MetroPassMike + Squeezing Every...

The Risk Takers Podcast ·

2025/04/03

Today we have a very special episode. The first "edge graveyard" where we bring on a guest, talk about their betting strategies - and most importantly all share some of our favorite dead edges. Today's guest is Mike, aka @MetroPassMike on Twitter. He's a very sharp bettor who was able to squeeze a quarter million dollars out of his PERSONAL LIMITED REC ACCOUNTS in 2024. Crazy stuff - tune in! 0:00 Intro 2:40 Who really IS MetroPassMike? 9:40 Leaking edges - is it good, and what constitutes ...

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132:56

How to Be Confident in an Edge & GP Outs Guy Who...

The Risk Takers Podcast ·

2025/03/27

0:00 Intro 1:30 How to Determine Confidence in Edges 38:12 Robinhood under fire & sweeps updates 55:36 Florida regulator "hit & runs" Prizepicks & Underdog 1:06:48 What to do when exchanges show huge liquidity? 1:16:41 Should there be minimum bet requirements? (No) 1:26:30 Making life easier for P2s 1:40:10 What to do when you get stiffed? 1:52:45 How to increase your skills through learning/ networking? Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John...

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138:43

Don't Bet at Exchanges Like You do at DraftKings &...

The Risk Takers Podcast ·

2025/03/20

0:00 Intro 3:00 What are exchanges and how do they work? 28:34 Strategies for Profiting at Exchanges 49:15 Robinhood Sports Betting 55:36 Novelty Markets on Sweeps 1:10:38 John Oliver on Sports Betting 1:31:00 Q&A: Account Priming 1:55:20 Q&A: PPH 2:06:38 Q&A: Best time spent/ money made ratio and future episode topics Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting educa...

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128:39

How to Keep Going When Hit With Sportsbook Limits and...

The Risk Takers Podcast ·

2025/03/13

0:00 Intro 2:49 How to go from top down to bottom up betting 48:13 SAFE Act 1:01:38 Catastrophic week for Sweepstakes 1:13:17 Hardrock somehow not biggest sportsbook in Florida 1:18:44 DK to enter prediction markets 1:24:21 Should I be a bookmaker? 1:29:27 What to do with limited accounts? 1:43:15 Is peer-to-peer betting a good next step after getting hit with limits? Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsP...

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124:00

Adverse Selection Scares the Sh*t Out of Us and a...

The Risk Takers Podcast ·

2025/03/06

0:00 Intro 2:25 Adverse Selection Deep Dive 40:35 Betting News 1:14:35 How to Tell your Friends & Family You are a Pro Degen 1:27:11 Live EV Betting v. Live Arbing 1:34:25 Dealing with Downswings 1:52:37 Why GP NO MORE PICKS?!? Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it. My website...

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124:42

Flaming Hot Sharp Betting Takes, Day in the Betting...

The Risk Takers Podcast ·

2025/02/27

0:00 Intro 2:25 Kelly is flat out wrong 11:50 Odds screens are useless 19:00 Account priming is astrology for dudes 31:55 You need to be technical to be a great originator 39:00 Buy more picks, subscribe to more discords 45:50 Sharp books - not as sharp as we think? 52:40 Hot takes that missed the cut 59:00 NASCAR Parimutuel 1:20:40 Sweeps update/ WPT Gold 1:28:20 How to get betting to fit into your life 1:36:30 Logistics on betting partnerships 1:42:25 Best ways to evaluate new sports/ marke...

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117:49

Specialist v. Generalist, Putting Your $ to Work, and...

The Risk Takers Podcast ·

2025/02/20

0:00 Intro 1:33 Is it more profitable to be a "Specialist" or "Generalist" in sports betting? 42:16 iGaming legal blows a bad thing for sports betting? 53:51 How can sports betting skills transfer to other ventures / life? 1:04:55 Should you bonus churn with a $200k bankroll? 1:14:50 When should you take your bankroll and invest it elsewhere? 1:32:26 Does 1-click bet burn your accounts? 1:44:25 How do you win at betting if you are a "dunce"? Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by profe...

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119:04

Live Betting, Picking Markets, and Why Gamblers are...

The Risk Takers Podcast ·

2025/02/13

0:00 Intro 0:33 What Sports Betting Market Should YOU Attack? 26:45 Super Bowl Betting 29:00 Health of Industry 35:45 Sweeps Trouble 45:40 Listener Q &A 46:15 Live Betting Tips 57:45 Are Futures Worth it? 1:09:15 How to Betsize for Parlays 1:16:40 Automation v. Hand Adjustments - How to Balance 1:32:06 Will Perception of Sports Betting & Sports Bettors Get Less Negative? Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling aka GoldenPants13 and Sp...

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100:47

New Co-Host, Where Alpha Comes From & Prediction...

The Risk Takers Podcast ·

2025/02/06

Wow - very important and historic episode. My good friend SportsProjections joins the podcast as a permanent co-host and we start to actually have structure to our episodes. Each week we will bring you the same educational deep-dives as always, but now we will be addressing any news that's relevant to someone looking to make money betting and answering audience Q&A. If you want your questions on the show - join the discord at: https://www.goldenpants.com/ 0:00 Intro 4:05 Education: Wher...

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