PODCAST

FiveThirtyEight Politics

ABC News, 538, FiveThirtyEight, Galen Druke

The 538 team covers the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week.

news politics

All Episodes

50:55

Why Kansas Voted To Keep Its Right To Abortion

FiveThirtyEight Politics ·

2022/08/03

The crew discusses why the Kansas amendment that would have ended state constitutional rights to abortion failed by such a wide margin. They also consider whether abortion as an issue will motivate voters in other elections this fall and look at the primary winners in Arizona, Missouri, Michigan and Washington. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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72:09

All The Political News You Missed Last Week

FiveThirtyEight Politics ·

2022/08/01

The crew discusses Congress's recent slew of legislation and whether that trend will continue with the new "Inflation Reduction Act." They also ask whether the US is in a recession, whether Andrew Yang's third party will succeed and how the DOJ's Jan. 6th investigation is affecting former President Trump. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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65:15

The Polls And Pundits Disagree (Again)

FiveThirtyEight Politics ·

2022/07/25

In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss what to make of the divergence between the conventional wisdom that Republicans will do very well in the midterms and polling showing Democrats leading in numerous competitive Senate races. They also touch on the health of the polling industry and how much Biden's success in a potential 2024 primary hangs on Democrats' performance at the midterms. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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67:33

Americans Aren’t Happy With Biden. Or Republicans.

FiveThirtyEight Politics ·

2022/07/19

Nate Cohn, the chief political analyst at The New York Times, joins the crew to discuss the results of the latest Times/Siena College midterm polling. They also consider whether a poll that asks Americans if they think the U.S. is currently in a recession is a "good or bad use of polling." Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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53:27

Will Democrats Continue To Win In Georgia In 2022?

FiveThirtyEight Politics ·

2022/07/14

In the 2020 election cycle, Georgia found itself at the center of the American political universe. Georgians handed control of the Senate to Democrats in a pair of dramatic runoffs and voted for a Democrat for president for the first time in 28 years. Reporter Greg Bluestein explains how it happened in his new book, “Flipped: How Georgia Turned Purple and Broke the Monopoly on Republican Power,” and discusses with Galen what it means for 2022 and beyond. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit

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69:16

The Supreme Court Episode

FiveThirtyEight Politics ·

2022/07/11

With the data from the most recent term in hand, the crew discusses how far to the right the Supreme Court has gone. They also break down what that means for future cases and what it means for the legitimacy of the court overall. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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56:33

Does DeSantis's Strength Spell Trouble For Trump?

FiveThirtyEight Politics ·

2022/07/05

The crew plays an Independence Day-inspired statistics game and discusses how the most recent Jan. 6 hearing could affect how Americans view former President Donald Trump. They also analyze a new poll from the University of New Hampshire that shows the state’s likely GOP primary voters favoring Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis over Trump for the 2024 GOP presidential primary. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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40:17

The 2022 Forecast Is Live And ‘Model Talk’ Returns!

FiveThirtyEight Politics ·

2022/06/30

The FiveThirtyEight 2022 midterms forecast is live, and it shows that Republicans are strong favorites to win the House while the Senate is a toss up between the two parties. In the first "Model Talk" episode of the 2022 midterms cycle, Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss the factors behind that forecast. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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68:20

What The Politics Of Abortion Look Like Now

FiveThirtyEight Politics ·

2022/06/28

The crew discusses the political fallout from the Supreme Court’s decision to overturn Roe v. Wade. They also analyze the court's other recent rulings on gun restrictions and school prayer and preview some of Tuesday's biggest primary elections. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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32:15

Emergency Podcast: Supreme Court Overturns Roe v. Wade

FiveThirtyEight Politics ·

2022/06/24

Legal reporter Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux speaks with Galen Druke about the Justices' arguments for overturning Roe v. Wade, where the legal debate goes next and how this contrasts and complements American opinion on abortion. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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60:18

Are 1 Percent Of Americans Evil?

FiveThirtyEight Politics ·

2022/06/21

The crew breaks down a poll that asked Americans to identify from good to evil and lawful to chaotic on the Dungeons and Dragons alignment chart. They also review the mostly finalized congressional maps for the cycle and discuss new polling on American polarization. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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33:56

More Trouble For Democrats In The Rio Grande Valley

FiveThirtyEight Politics ·

2022/06/15

Republican Mayra Flores won the special election in Texas’s 34th congressional district on Tuesday, avoiding a runoff and flipping the longtime Democratic seat in Texas’s Rio Grande Valley. The crew recaps that race and other notable results from the June 14 primaries. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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60:04

Are Centrists The Most Powerful Politicians?

FiveThirtyEight Politics ·

2022/06/13

The crew discusses how a bipartisan gun control deal was reached and if this unwritten legislation could be passed by the end of the year. They also previewed and caught up on some elections, including Alaska’s special election to replace longtime Alaska congressman Don Young that took place this past weekend. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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41:50

Were The California Primaries A Blow To The...

FiveThirtyEight Politics ·

2022/06/08

The crew breaks down the results of the June 7 primaries. Overall, more moderate candidates were able to win against challengers from the Right and Left flank of both parties, although there was a sizable protest vote in some instances. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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53:44

The Democratic Divides In California

FiveThirtyEight Politics ·

2022/06/06

The crew previews California’s primaries, which offer unique insight into the divides within the Democratic Party. They also debate the usefulness of new polling on Americans’ superhero preferences by partisanship and preview the upcoming Jan. 6 hearings. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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68:47

Are Democrats Actually In Disarray?

FiveThirtyEight Politics ·

2022/05/31

The crew debates whether the Democratic Party really is actually in disarray as it struggles to pass legislation and faces a difficult midterm year, or if its hurdles are usual for any party in power. The team also discusses public opinion on gun laws after recent mass shootings in Texas, New York and California. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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40:07

Trump's Revenge Primary In Georgia Fails

FiveThirtyEight Politics ·

2022/05/25

The crew discusses the results of the primary elections in Georgia, Texas, Alabama, Arkansas and Minnesota. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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60:14

Are Trump's Endorsees About To Lose In Georgia?

FiveThirtyEight Politics ·

2022/05/23

The crew previews Tuesday's primaries in Georgia as well as contests in Arkansas, Alabama, Texas and Minnesota. They also ask whether it's too early to conclude that the leak of a draft Supreme Court opinion overturning Roe has had little impact on the political environment. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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38:23

What Tuesday's Primaries Could Mean For November

FiveThirtyEight Politics ·

2022/05/18

The crew reacts to the results in Tuesday’s primaries in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Idaho, Kentucky and Oregon. The results are mixed in terms of which factions of both parties performed well and the marquee Republican Senate primary race in Pennsylvania is still close to call and could remain that way for days. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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55:12

Who Will Win The GOP's Senate Primary In Pennsylvania?

FiveThirtyEight Politics ·

2022/05/17

The crew discusses the races to watch in Tuesday night's primaries in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Idaho, Oregon and Kentucky. They also introduce a new FiveThirtyEight collaboration with Ipsos aimed at polling Americans about the issues they care most about in the run up to the midterms. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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