Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog

00:08:34

Housing Targets Missed By A Country Mile…

Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog ·

2025/01/22

The ABS today released its building activity data for the September quarter 2024. This data provides estimates of the value of building work and number of dwellings commenced, completed and under construction across Australia and its states and territories. They report that Australia commenced construction on just 43,250 new homes in the first quarter of … Continue reading "Housing Targets Missed By A Country Mile…"

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01:43:20

DFA Live Q&A Replay: The Great Australian Nightmare…....

Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog ·

2025/01/21

This is an edit of a live discussion as we deep dive into my latest mortgage, rental and investor stress modelling across Australian post codes. Property for many is turning into a nightmare! http://www.martinnorth.com/ Details of our one to one service are here: https://digitalfinanceanalytics.com/blog/dfa-one-to-one/ Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/ Find more … Continue reading "DFA Live Q&A Replay: The Great Australian Nightmare…. A Post Code Deep

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01:06:54

Its Edwin’s Monday Evening Property Rant!

Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog ·

2025/01/20

As the new property year kicks off, Edwin our property insider and I look at the really slow ramp-up, as politics collides with reality, and the ground moves under our feet. We look at the idea of settling property in Bitcoin, the latest numbers, and a new tool to examine suburb level data, as well … Continue reading "Its Edwin’s Monday Evening Property Rant!"

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00:14:04

Are We In The Midst Of A Cash Long Con?

Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog ·

2025/01/19

Last Tuesday on my live show, I discussed the current Treasury paper on Mandating Cash Acceptance in Australia. But today I want to take this further and I will outline my concern that the Government many well be playing a long con with the community ahead of the upcoming election. The paper says Cash acceptance … Continue reading "Are We In The Midst Of A Cash Long Con?"

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00:24:19

Markets Box At Shadows, As Trump 2.0 Arrives…

Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog ·

2025/01/18

This is our weekly market update, where we start in the US, cross to Europe and Asia and end in Australia, covering commodities and crypto along the way. This week we saw more volatility, but with the MSCI global index up 2.56%, and up for the year to date, and 18% for the past year. … Continue reading "Markets Box At Shadows, As Trump 2.0 Arrives…"

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00:14:48

Households Could Save A Billion, Or More…

Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog ·

2025/01/17

Given the current focus on the rise in the use of cash, it is worth remembering that each year Australian households are collectively charged somewhere between 1 billion dollars and 4 billion dollars in payment surcharges, which is a fee paid by customers, in addition to the price of a good or service, allowing merchants … Continue reading "Households Could Save A Billion, Or More…"

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00:11:13

We Are Rolling In Jobs, Jobs, Jobs… But…!

Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog ·

2025/01/16

Well, we got the December 2024 data on unemployment today, and overall Australia’s unemployment rate remained low in December as the economy extended a streak of hiring gains, underlining the labor market’s unusual resilience to elevated interest rates. Employment jumped by 56,300 — driven entirely by part-time roles — versus a forecast 15,000 gain. The … Continue reading "We Are Rolling In Jobs, Jobs, Jobs… But…!"

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00:10:13

The Gas Problem That Will Crush Australians!

Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog ·

2025/01/15

Last week the ACCC released their Gas Inquiry 2017-2030 interim report, and it makes horrifying reading. It is such a monumental stuff-up over a couple of generations, it’s hard to believe the corporations did not deliberately set up to maximise profit at the expense of ordinary Australians, while successive Governments were complicit, either because they … Continue reading "The Gas Problem That Will Crush Australians!"

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01:46:21

DFA Live Q&A HD Replay: The Real 2025 Agenda: With...

Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog ·

2025/01/14

This is an edit of a live discussion with Robbie Barwick, Research Director for the Australian Citizens Party as we discuss the real issues to be chased down this year, even as we face into the upcoming election. Given both major parties seem to be dancing to the same old tune, what should be agenda … Continue reading "DFA Live Q&A HD Replay: The Real 2025 Agenda: With Robbie Barwick"

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01:08:42

Its Edwin’s Monday Evening Property Rant!

Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog ·

2025/01/13

Another outing with our property insider Edwin Almeida, as we look at the early trends for 2025, against the political backcloth of the upcoming election. Whilst promises are cheap to make, we question their effectiveness, and ask how seriously should we take them. Edwin makes some more predictions, and we look at the latest numbers. … Continue reading "Its Edwin’s Monday Evening Property Rant!"

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00:33:02

The Great Australian Nightmare….

Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog ·

2025/01/12

In this show we look at the latest from our household surveys to end December 2024, and highlight where mortgages stress, rental stress, investor stress and overall financial stress predominates, as housing affordability continues to crash. As a result, the dream of home ownership is becoming a nightmare for many. We also examine the latest … Continue reading "The Great Australian Nightmare…."

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00:25:30

Brace For Market Uncertainty!

Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog ·

2025/01/11

This is our weekly market update, where we start in the US, cross to Europe and Asia, and end in Australia, covering commodities and crypto along the way. And this past week saw markets lower, with the MSCI global index down another 1.58% and down nearly 4% for the past month. Wall Street’s main indexes … Continue reading "Brace For Market Uncertainty!"

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00:10:34

Schrodinger’s Household Spending!

Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog ·

2025/01/10

Yesterday I went through the latest ABS data on retail and highlighted that the Black Friday sales supported household spending growth through November. This is an important indicator on the state of the economy and is a factor which will influence the RBA’s February rate cut call. But just like the proverbial Schrodinger’s cat – … Continue reading "Schrodinger’s Household Spending!"

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00:08:41

Household Spendathon Still On (For Some)…

Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog ·

2025/01/09

I have been highlighting the unequal position of households across Australia, with significant numbers in financial stress, whilst others are still spending big, and seeing real wages growing fast. This is having a weird effect on data with some signals showing significant consumer strength, and others extreme weakness. This makes it difficult at the aggregate … Continue reading "Household Spendathon Still On (For Some)…"

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00:05:43

Rental Growth Hits A Ceiling!

Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog ·

2025/01/09

The REA Group just published PropTrack Rental Price Data to December Quarter 2024. They say that National median weekly advertised rents increased by 1.6% over the December 2024 quarter to a new high of $620. But note this the asking price of new rentals. And does not cover rental increases on existing property where the … Continue reading "Rental Growth Hits A Ceiling!"

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00:09:44

Is A Rate Cut Closer Now In Australia?

Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog ·

2025/01/08

The latest monthly CPI data for November 2024 was released today, and while the headline rate rose, the important trimmed mean figure, which the RBA tracks, slipped in November despite being still able the top of the central bank’s target band. The closely watched trimmed mean core measure, which smooths out volatile items and is … Continue reading "Is A Rate Cut Closer Now In Australia?"

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01:31:52

DFA Live Q&A HD Replay: Crypto: Where To Now? With...

Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog ·

2025/01/07

Join me for a live discussion with Crypto Advocate Adam Stokes as we explore the current state of play and what is ahead for 2025. https://www.youtube.com/@adamstokes http://www.martinnorth.com/ Details of our one to one service are here: https://digitalfinanceanalytics.com/blog/dfa-one-to-one/ Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/ Find more at https://digitalfinanceanalytics.com/blog/ where you can subscribe to … Continue reading "DFA Live Q&A HD Replay:

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01:09:09

Its Edwin’s Monday Evening Property Rant!

Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog ·

2025/01/06

In the first show of our regular weekly run this year Edwin, our property insider and I look at the coverage of 2024, and the year ahead, and discuss where truth lays. The fact is some are changing their story as quickly as the wind blows. Why might that be? Always, we look at the … Continue reading "Its Edwin’s Monday Evening Property Rant!"

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00:10:33

Where Property Is Falling (and Rising)… And Why…

Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog ·

2025/01/05

The gap between average prices and affordability has widened substantially, and it is unlikely things will turn around anytime soon. And rate cuts are far from certain in the short term. If you deep dive into where home prices have risen and fallen over the past year, it reinforces the need to go granular to … Continue reading "Where Property Is Falling (and Rising)… And Why…"

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00:21:15

Uncertainty Rules As Markets Face A Wicked New Year!

Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog ·

2025/01/04

This is our weekly market update, starting in the US, Europe, Asia and ending in Australia, covering crypto and commodities along the way. 2024 ended up as an eventful year for markets, as many stock indices recorded sizeable double-digit gains, though with significant volatility. But the start of 2025 could well mark a shift in … Continue reading "Uncertainty Rules As Markets Face A Wicked New Year!"

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