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PODCAST

5 in 5 with ANZ

Start your day with 5 in 5 with ANZ. You’ll hear the five things you need to know about the global economy and markets in under 5 minutes. Plus a deep dive into emerging trends and issues. Hosted by business and financial journalist Bernard Hickey, the podcast features exclusive insights from ANZ’s global team of experts. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/

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All Episodes

9:59

Tuesday: China stocks, iron ore prices jump

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/09/30

China’s stock market jumps 8.5% as investors rush in. Japan’s Nikkei falls nearly 5% on concerns the new Prime Minister there is an interest rate hawk. Australia’s housing market is softening. New Zealand business confidence takes another leap higher. In our bonus Deep Dive interview, ANZ Economist Maddy Dunk says there are some silver linings in the recent bi-annual ANZ Core Logic Housing Affordability Report as affordability nationally worsened in June. Before accessing this podcast, please read

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9:24

Monday: Could Saudi Arabia flood oil markets again?

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/09/29

US inflation kept falling through August. All eyes this week will be on US jobs data on Friday. Australian lending figures may show a rise today. And consumers in New Zealand are more confident about house prices, as well as their own finances. In our bonus Deep Dive interview, ANZ Senior Commodities Analyst Daniel Hynes looks at why Saudi Arabia might be about to swamp the market with extra oil to win back market share. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer

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9:48

Friday: Gold hits record-high US$2,700/oz

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/09/26

Gold, the S&P 500 and the Euro Stoxx 500 rose to fresh record-highs on enthusiasm about the Fed’s first rate cut and China’s wide-ranging stimulus. Key US inflation data tonight is the next focus for global interest rates. In our bonus Deep Dive interview, ANZ Economist Dhiraj Nim sifts through India’s recent trade data to reveal why gold imports jumped in August. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/

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9:42

Thursday: Services inflation to worry RBA

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/09/25

Australian inflation drops within the RBA’s target band for the first time since October 2021, but sticky services prices could be a concern. The Aussie and Kiwi dollars are down about 1% after hitting fresh 2024 highs yesterday. Services inflation also remains sticky in Japan.In part two of a bonus Deep Dive interview on China’s stimulus drive, ANZ Chief Economist for Greater China Raymond Yeung explains the risks of not doing more, including the prospect of a Japan-style ‘lost decade’. Before

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9:12

Wednesday: RBA didn't discuss rate hike

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/09/24

The Reserve Bank of Australia didn’t consider a hike as it held rates yesterday. Aussie consumer confidence jumps to its highest since January 2023, and August inflation data later today should show the temporary impact of cost of living support. The NZ dollar hits a new 2024 high.In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Chief Economist for Greater China Raymond Yeung analyses yesterday’s China stimulus package and explains why it could have been bigger. Before accessing this podcast, please read the

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9:25

Tuesday: Hawkish RBA could boost AUD

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/09/23

Federal Reserve members are backing their 50 basis point rate cut, supporting views of a soft landing. The Aussie dollar is strengthening ahead of potentially hawkish RBA rate commentary today. Expectations rise for a new China stimulus package. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Senior Economist Catherine Birch analyses how the RBA is placed for its cash rate decision today following last week’s 50 basis point cut by the Fed, and the ongoing strength in Australia’s jobs market. Before accessing

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8:23

Monday: Oil slide boosting Asian economies

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/09/22

Global markets are digesting the Fed’s super-sized cut and the Bank of Japan’s decision to hold its rates, as expected. Trading and investing focus now turns to RBA rates decision on Tuesday. China’s yuan surges as exporters bring cash home. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Asia Economist Krystal Tan analyses how lower oil prices are helping some South East Asian economies more than others. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer

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8:44

Friday: Investors celebrate soft landing signs

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/09/19

Global stocks are celebrating the Fed’s big rate cut as confirmation of a soft landing. The Bank of England holds rates, as expected. The Bank of Japan is also seen holding later today. NZ GDP contracts less than the RBNZ forecast, reducing chances of an oversized cut. Australia’s jobs market continues to give the RBA a headache. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Economist Henry Russell details the trip hazards of relying on high-frequency indicators, which the Reserve Bank of New Zealand may

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9:46

Thursday: The Fed's first cut is the deepest

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/09/18

The Fed cuts by a super-sized 50 basis points and signals a total of 200 basis points of cuts by the end of 2025. Indonesia also cuts rates. The RBA will be watching Australian jobs data today. NZ’s GDP data is expected to show a contraction.In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Head of Geopolitical Risk Cameron Mitchell reviews the rise of tariffs as economic security tools, and what to expect on tariffs from whoever wins the US Presidential elections in November. Before accessing this podcast,

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9:38

Wednesday: Solid US retail sales ease recession fears

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/09/17

Strong US retail sales ease recession fears, adding slightly to expectations of a 25 basis point cut by the Fed; Australia’s consumer confidence jumps, Singapore’s chip exports get a boost, and Bank Indonesia faces a tough rates decision today.In our bonus deep dive interview, from the recent ANZ-sponsored AFR Asia summit, ANZ Head of Geopolitical Risk Cameron Mitchell explains why themes of de-globalisation and the de-coupling of the US and Chinese economies should be looked at through a different

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9:35

Tuesday: Chances grow for 50bps Fed cut

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/09/16

Market expectations for a 50 basis point cut by the Fed grow to 50/50 amid debate over whether the US jobs market is too weak for just a 25 bps move; And the Yen hits its strongest level against the US dollar since mid-2023. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ’s Chief Economist for Greater China, Raymond Yeung sees the potential for China to unveil a two trillion yuan stimulus package. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer

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7:38

Monday: Disappointing China data dump

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/09/15

China is expected to launch a stimulus package after a very weak set of economic data. Global markets are focused on the Fed starting its rate-cutting cycle. The US dollar may hold up despite lower rates. NZ’s housing market is gearing up for spring. In part two of our bonus Deep Dive interview, Australia-Asia Society CEO Anthony Bubalo talked at the ANZ-sponsored AFR Asia Summit in Melbourne about the nuances businesses now face when thinking about geopolitics. Before accessing this podcast,

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9:13

Friday: ECB cuts & focus turns to Fed

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/09/12

The ECB cuts another 25 basis points, as expected. Global markets are firm ahead of next week’s Fed decision. India’s inflation is firm, but the RBI is on track to ease in December. NZ inflation is firmer than forecast, but not enough to concern the RBNZ. In our bonus Deep Dive interview, Australia-Asia Society CEO Anthony Bubalo analyses the key themes at the recent ANZ-sponsored AFR Asia Summit in Melbourne, including how Australian businesses grappling with geopolitics. Before accessing this

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8:56

Thursday: Stronger US inflation reduces bets of...

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/09/11

US core inflation is stronger than expected in August causing markets to reduce bets for a 50 basis point cut by the Federal Reserve, the Yen hit its strongest 2024 level against the US dollar, and Australia’s strong labour market continues to surprise the RBA. In our bonus Deep Dive interview, ANZ Chief Economist for Southeast Asia and India Sanjay Mathur reviews the potential impact for businesses of expected rate cuts in Indonesia, the Philippines and South Korea this year. Before accessing this

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9:54

Wednesday: Oil slides after OPEC cuts demand forecast

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/09/10

Global markets are mixed ahead of key US inflation data tonight. Oil slumps below US$70/bbl after a demand forecast downgrade. China’s exports jump, but sluggish imports highlight soft domestic demand. And Australia’s Stage 3 tax cuts do little to spur business or consumer confidence.In in part two of a bonus deep dive interview with Australia’s Group of 8 universities CEO Vicki Thomson at the ANZ-sponsored AFR Asia Summit, Vicki explains why Australia’s universities believe there are alternatives

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9:17

Tuesday: Weak China inflation triggers concern

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/09/09

US markets bed in expectations for a soft landing ahead of key price data, China’s core inflation is the lowest in three years, prompting calls for more stimulus, and Taiwan’s exports get an AI boost. In our bonus deep dive interview, from the recent ANZ-sponsored AFR Asia summit, Australia’s Group of 8 universities CEO Vicki Thomson outlines the challenges facing Australia’s education export sector. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer

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8:53

Monday: Fed rate cut size unresolved

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/09/08

Mixed US jobs data means the debate about a 25 basis point cut or a 50 point cut by the Fed next week still very alive. Australian home lending to investors, is very strong. Vietnam’s economy is in a sweet spot, with falling inflation and strong exports. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Senior Commodity Strategist Daniel Hynes looks at the implications for Australian Iron Ore producers from weakening Chinese steel demand. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer

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8:59

Friday: RBA Governor sends strong inflation warning

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/09/05

Markets were mixed ahead of key US jobs figures tonight; The RBA Governor talks tough in the fight against inflation; Malaysia keeps rates on hold, with lower inflation forecast, while Thailand’s annual CPI falls to just 0.35%.In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Economist Henry Russell reviews how New Zealand’s housing headwinds might keep the market from previous form as interest rates fall. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer

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8:59

Thursday: RBA unlikely to be moved by weaker households

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/09/04

US Job vacancies were weaker than anyone expected in July, boosting chances of a larger cut by the Fed this month, Australia’s economy expands, although household spending weakens; as does China’s services sector.In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Senior Commodity Strategist Daniel Hynes sets out the challenges OPEC producers are facing from weakening global activity. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/

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9:41

Wednesday: Weak US manufacturing raises slowdown concern

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/09/03

Global stocks fall after weak US manufacturing data raises fears about a deeper slowdown. The Australian dollar is down over 1%; Australia’s GDP today should just be in growth territory, and South Korean inflation hits the central bank’s target.In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Group Chief Economist Richard Yetsenga reviews Australia’s trade relationship with ASEAN, from the ANZ-sponsored AFR Asia summit in Melbourne. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer

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