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Capital Comments

Purdue Agriculture

Timely topics on public policy issues related to state and local government in Indiana published once a month.

government

All Episodes

00:06:24

Shocked and Not Shocked by Home Assessments

Capital Comments ·

2022/05/24

Have you received your Form 11 from your Indiana county assessor? Purdue Economist Larry Deboer has. He was both shocked and not shocked by his new assessment. In this month's episode, Larry walks us through potential impacts of property assessments.

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00:06:17

How to Read an Indiana School Referendum Question

Capital Comments ·

2022/04/19

Election Day is coming up – on Tuesday, May 3 – and school referendums will be on the ballot in nine school districts. It’s best if voters investigate the referendum issues in advance, so they know whether to vote yes or no. What if you didn’t do your homework and want to do the benefit-cost comparison on the fly, in the voting booth? Larry Deboer has advice just for you.

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00:06:30

The Residential Share of Property Taxes is on the Rise

Capital Comments ·

2022/03/30

Here’s one way to think about property taxes: The local government sets its budget, subtracts all other tax revenue, and raises the remainder with the property tax levy. The assessor measures the value of all the parcels of taxable property inside the boundaries of the government. Then the government measures the share of each parcel in total assessed value. That is the share of the levy that the owners must pay. In other words, your property’s share in the total value of property is your share of

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00:06:26

What Will Happen to Inflation?

Capital Comments ·

2022/02/22

The inflation rate was 7.5 percent from January 2021 to January 2022, the highest inflation in 40 years. It arrived suddenly and unexpectedly. A year ago the inflation rate was 1.4 percent, which was lower than the 1.7 percent average rate over the previous decade. It’s an unwelcome throwback to the Great Inflation of the 1970s. What happened, and when will it go away?

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00:06:47

Farmland Assessments will Increase for Taxes in 2023

Capital Comments ·

2022/01/28

Farmland property taxes have been falling. Total property taxes paid by agricultural property owners fell 2.3 percent per year from 2017 to 2021, mostly because of lower farmland assessed values. But farmland prices are rising. A Purdue Agricultural Economics survey showed that average farmland selling prices increased 12.5% from 2020 to 2021. Eventually, farmland assessed values will rise too.

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00:06:32

What Happens to Property Taxes During Inflation?

Capital Comments ·

2022/01/04

The property tax is the biggest source of tax revenue for most Indiana local governments, and they were worried about the effect of the COVID recession on property tax revenues. But rising home values in 2020 will increase assessed values for tax bills in 2022.

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00:06:49

We Finally Know How the Recession Will Affect...

Capital Comments ·

2021/11/29

What will be the effect of the COVID recession on the property taxes that fund Indiana local governments? I’ve been thinking and writing about the possibilities for a year and a half. Now we have enough data to answer that question. No spoilers, though. Let’s consider what could happen—and what did happen after the Great Recession in 2007-09. The Great Recession depressed new construction and reduced the demand for property. Property prices fell, especially for homes. Statewide, assessed values fell

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00:06:26

Birth Rates Have Been Falling for a Long Time

Capital Comments ·

2021/10/20

Americans are having fewer children. Reports this past summer showed that the fertility rate dropped in 2020, to 56 births per 1,000 women age 15 to 44. Only 5.6 percent of women in their child-bearing years had babies. Early indications for 2021 showed a further decline. Fertility has been dropping for more than a decade. Fertility rates peaked in 2007 at 69 per 1,000 women age 15 to 44. The rate had been rising in the decade before that. Let’s take a longer view. Much longer.

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00:06:16

What Three Forecasts Say About Our Economic Future

Capital Comments ·

2021/09/22

Where is our economy going? Let’s ask some folks whose job it is to forecast the future of the U.S. economy. How about looking at three forecasts – one from government economists, one from academic economists, and one from business economists.

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00:06:29

Last Year’s Recession Hits Indiana Local Governments...

Capital Comments ·

2021/08/19

The recession may be over for the U.S. economy, but for Indiana local governments the recession is just about to start. That’s because the property tax and the local income tax respond to economic changes with a two-year delay. What happened to the economy in 2020 happens to local tax revenues in 2022.

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00:06:22

Reasons to Celebrate the Indiana Fiscal New Year

Capital Comments ·

2021/07/22

Indiana's fiscal new year began on July 1, and there are reasons to celebrate. Listen to Dr. Larry Deboer explain why.

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00:06:16

What Kind of Inflation Problem Do We Have?

Capital Comments ·

2021/06/24

We’ve got an inflation problem. What should we do about it? That depends on what kind of inflation problem we’ve got. In May the consumer price index was 4.9% higher than it was 12 months before. The last time we saw an inflation rate that high was July 2008. The last time it was that high, and it was more than just rising gasoline prices, was October 1990. It’s the highest inflation rate in almost 31 years. Inflation has increased these past three months, March through May. Partly that’s because

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00:06:10

A State Revenue Forecast for the Ages

Capital Comments ·

2021/05/19

Might things be looking up? Dr. Larry Deboer takes a closer look at Indiana state revenue forecasts.

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00:06:19

Pent-Up Demand, Then and Now

Capital Comments ·

2021/04/21

What will happen with all the pent up demand for goods and services once the pandemic has passed? Dr. Larry Deboer has some thoughts...and a history lesson.

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00:06:08

It’s Tax Season. Where Do Your Local Taxes Go?

Capital Comments ·

2021/03/18

Tax season is coming up. Federal income taxes are due on April 15, back to the normal date after last year’s delay. That’s the due date for Indiana’s state and local income taxes, too. The first installment of the property tax is due on May 10. You pay your motor vehicle excise tax with your vehicle registration each year. The due dates are based alphabetically; my last name gives me an April 7 due date. And, of course, sales taxes and motor fuel taxes know no season. You pay those when you shop or

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00:06:05

Okun, Phillips and Our Economy

Capital Comments ·

2021/02/17

If you want to be remembered in economics, get yourself a curve. There’s the Lorenz curve, the Laffer curve, the Kuznets curve, and, probably most famous, the Phillips curve. Phillips was A.W. Phillips, an economist from New Zealand who worked in London. In 1958 he drew a curve connecting the dots between inflation and unemployment. When unemployment went down, inflation went up. The Phillips Curve took the economics profession by storm.

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00:06:29

The Recession May Be a Light Hit for LIT

Capital Comments ·

2021/01/20

The December state revenue forecast for Indiana projected that individual income tax revenue would be about $6 billion this year. But Indiana uses local income taxes too, and we know that the income tax revenues that local governments receive in 2021 will be just over $3 billion.

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00:06:23

The State Revenue Forecast: We Might be OK

Capital Comments ·

2020/12/17

Can it be, is it possible, that 2021 won’t be terrible? The state revenue forecast was released on December 16 to provide a starting point for the Indiana General Assembly to craft a new state budget. Might the coming biennium be OK? It didn’t look OK last June. State revenues suffered an extraordinary drop in the last quarter of fiscal 2020, down $1.4 billion, 27 percent less than expected. We covered the loss by restricting agency spending and drawing down balances. What had been $2.3 billion in

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00:06:11

A Tale of Two Recessions

Capital Comments ·

2020/11/19

How does the Great Recession of 2007-2008 compare to the COVID Recession of 2020? Larry Deboer, ag economist at Purdue University, explains.

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00:06:02

COVID Recession Makes Farmland Tax Predictions Harder

Capital Comments ·

2020/10/22

Though some predictions are harder than others, we are confident about this one: Property tax bills for farmland owners will go down next year. We can predict this because we know the base rate for farmland for tax bills in 2021. The base rate is the starting point for the assessment of farmland. The state’s Department of Local Government Finance applied its formula to six years of data on corn and soybean prices, land rents, interest rates and costs, and came up with $1,280 per acre. That’s 18

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