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PODCAST

Many Happy Returns

Investing is the best way to build wealth, but comes with risk and uncertainty. Want to grow a portfolio of stocks, bonds, ETFs and more? This is the show to boost your knowledge and build your confidence. Join us on the journey through bull markets, bubbles and crashes. Bring snacks and a steady hand; we"re in it for the long haul... Hosted by Ramin Nakisa (YouTube @PensionCraft) and Michael Pugh. Contact us: mhr@pensioncraft.com

business investing

All Episodes

42:18

Trade War Truce: Crisis Averted or Just Delayed?

Many Happy Returns ·

2025/02/05

Donald Trump’s trade war has begun! Or has it? Markets breathed a sigh of relief as sweeping tariffs on Mexican and Canadian goods were suspended at the 11th hour. But with tariffs on China now in force—and Beijing hitting back—will the reprieve be short-lived? And in the Dumb Question of the Week: How do you measure the strength of a currency? --- Thank you to Trading 212 for sponsoring this episode.Claim free fractional shares worth up to ‎£⁠100. Just create and verify a Trading 212 Invest or

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43:16

Trump, Tariffs and AI: The Stories Shaping Markets in...

Many Happy Returns ·

2025/01/29

Markets are unruly beasts, swayed by shifting narratives, sudden rumours, and ever-changing expectations. But a handful of all-important stories will shape investor returns throughout 2025. From interest rates to trade policy to AI, we explore what’s capturing the market’s attention — and why it matters. And in the Dumb Question of the Week: Can bad news be good news? --- Thank you to Raisin UK for sponsoring this episode.Raisin UK is a free, easy-to-use online savings platform, with savings

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44:29

Meltdown: Scandal, Sleaze and the Collapse of Credit...

Many Happy Returns ·

2025/01/22

Credit Suisse’s collapse shook the global financial system, forcing regulators into a frantic search for solutions. We're joined by Duncan Mavin, author of the new book ‘Meltdown: Scandal, Sleaze and the Collapse of Credit Suisse’ to discuss the downfall of a banking giant. And in the Dumb Question of the Week, we ask: How do you stop a bank run? --- Thank you to Raisin UK for sponsoring this episode.Raisin UK is a free, easy-to-use online savings platform, with savings accounts from over 40

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45:48

Soaring Gilt Yields and Strained Public Finances,...

Many Happy Returns ·

2025/01/15

Gilt yields are surging, straining government finances and raising fears of tax rises or spending cuts. But is this a UK-specific problem? And will the Bank of England be forced to respond? We're joined by Simon French, Chief Economist and Head of Research at investment bank Panmure Liberum. Simon writes on economics for The Times and previously worked in senior government roles at the UK cabinet office. And in today’s Dumb Question of the Week, we ask: Why does the government need fiscal rules? ---

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42:20

Red Flags: China’s Economic Troubles, with George Magnus

Many Happy Returns ·

2025/01/08

Since the sweeping reforms of the 1980s, China's rapid industrialisation and extraordinary growth have transformed it into a true global power. But the engine of China's economic miracle is starting to sputter. Sluggish demand, mounting debt, and unfavourable demographics suggest trouble ahead. We're joined by George Magnus, a leading China expert who has written extensively on the risks facing the world's second-largest economy.And in the Dumb Question of the Week: Can we trust China’s economic

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42:42

Jingle Bulls, Jingle Bears: Are Investors...

Many Happy Returns ·

2024/12/18

Investor sentiment is more bullish than ever, with a record share of Americans expecting the S&P 500 to rise in 2025. Is this the peak of euphoria? And in today’s Dumb Question of the Week: What’s the difference between hard and soft data? --- Thank you to Trading 212 for sponsoring this episode.Claim free fractional shares worth up to ‎£⁠100. Just create and verify a Trading 212 Invest or Stocks ISA account, make a minimum deposit of £1, and use the promo code "RAMIN" within 10 days of signing

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42:41

Emerging Markets: Risky Bet or the Next Big Bargain?

Many Happy Returns ·

2024/12/11

Compared to developed countries, emerging markets have rarely looked cheaper. With valuations, economic growth, and demographic trends in their favour, is now the time to invest? Or could climate change, protectionism and debt hold them back? And in today’s Dumb Question of the Week: Is South Korea an emerging market? --- Thank you to Trading 212 for sponsoring this episode.Claim free fractional shares worth up to ‎£⁠100. Just create and verify a Trading 212 Invest or Stocks ISA account, make a

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52:32

Kaput: The End of the German Miracle, with Wolfgang...

Many Happy Returns ·

2024/12/04

Germany is one of few Western countries to remain truly industrialised, boasting a massive manufacturing base and trade surplus. And yet, things have gone off the rails, with the economy contracting and the governing coalition collapsing. We're joined by Wolfgang Münchau, whose new book argues we are witnessing the end of the German economic miracle. And in today’s Dumb Question of the Week, we ask: Why don’t Germans invest in the stock market? --- Thank you to Trading 212 for sponsoring this

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37:42

Stoic Investing: Are We Worrying About the Wrong Things?

Many Happy Returns ·

2024/11/27

Sensationalist headlines often lead to poor investment decisions, causing many investors to fixate on issues that have little impact on long-term returns. So, where should investors really focus their attention? And in today’s Dumb Question of the Week: Should you invest if you’re very nervous? --- Thank you to Raisin UK for sponsoring this episode.Raisin UK is a free, easy-to-use online savings platform, with savings accounts from over 40 FSCS-protected banks and building societies. Simply

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46:52

Trump 2.0: Political Risk and Complacent Markets,...

Many Happy Returns ·

2024/11/20

Political risk is one of the most unquantifiable aspects of investing — and one of the most consequential. Shifts in regulation, tax and trade policies can shake economies and upend asset prices. Our guest today is economist Larry Hatheway, who argues that markets vastly underestimate the dangers of a second Trump presidency. And in today’s Dumb Question of the Week, we ask: Are trade deficits a problem? --- Thank you to Raisin UK for sponsoring this episode.Raisin UK is a free, easy-to-use online

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40:23

Maxed Out Markets: Investing When Everything Is...

Many Happy Returns ·

2024/11/13

How should you invest when everything is expensive? Stock market valuations are stretched, gold is up 40% on a year ago, and bitcoin has hit an all-time high. With some analysts forecasting a ‘lost decade’ for US stocks, is it time to look elsewhere? And in today’s Dumb Question of the Week: Why is Warren Buffett holding so much cash? --- Thank you to Raisin UK for sponsoring this episode.Raisin UK is a free, easy-to-use online savings platform, with savings accounts from over 40 FSCS-protected

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39:32

Gilt Yields and Ghosts of Budgets Past: Who's Afraid...

Many Happy Returns ·

2024/11/06

Gilt yields rose after the Autumn budget as markets absorbed sharp rises in investment, taxes and borrowing. Does Liz Truss’s mini-budget still haunt UK debt markets? And is there a risk that investors will shun UK debt? In today’s Dumb Question of the Week: Does public investment ‘crowd out’ or ‘crowd in’ private sector activity? --- Thank you to Raisin UK for sponsoring this episode. Raisin UK is a free, easy-to-use online savings platform, with savings accounts from over 40 FSCS-protected banks

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47:00

Chance, Risk, and the Art of Uncertainty, with Sir...

Many Happy Returns ·

2024/10/30

Investing is an uncertain journey, where chance, risk, and luck are constant companions. But can understanding probability help us live with the unknown? We're joined by Sir David Spiegelhalter, Emeritus Professor of Statistics at the University of Cambridge and author of 'The Art of Uncertainty: How to Navigate Chance, Ignorance, Risk, and Luck'. And in today’s Dumb Question of the Week, we ask: ‘Would you want to know when you will die?’ --- Thank you to Trading 212 for sponsoring this

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43:09

Election Economics: Will A Trump Win Upend Markets?

Many Happy Returns ·

2024/10/23

The US Presidential election is less than two weeks away, and the result hangs in the balance. While markets appear calm, a second Trump term could have profound effects on global economies and investments. We discuss how the so-called 'Trump Trade' might impact different assets and sectors. And in today’s Dumb Question of the Week: Is a strong or weak dollar better? --- Thank you to Trading 212 for sponsoring this episode.Claim free fractional shares worth up to ‎£⁠100. Just create and verify a

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40:25

Time vs Money: How the Clock Transforms Your Investments

Many Happy Returns ·

2024/10/16

Investing, at its core, is about postponing consumption in the belief that time is your friend. Yet time has powerful effects on all aspects of markets, magnifying returns, blunting volatility, and warping the very value of money itself. And in today’s Dumb Question of the Week: Why can’t we time the market? --- Thank you to Trading 212 for sponsoring this episode.Claim free fractional shares worth up to ‎£⁠100. Just create and verify a Trading 212 Invest or Stocks ISA account, make a minimum

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48:11

Bracing for the Budget: Tax Rises, Black Holes &...

Many Happy Returns ·

2024/10/09

Despite record tax revenues, Britain's public services are struggling. So what's gone wrong and how do we fix it? We sit down with Paul Johnson, Director of the Institute for Fiscal Studies and author of Follow the Money, to unpick the issues behind Britain's stagnation. We explore the structural challenges facing the UK economy, strategies to revive growth, and which taxes might rise in the upcoming budget. --- Thank you to Trading 212 for sponsoring this episode.Claim free fractional shares worth

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41:43

Beijing’s Big Gamble: Stock Markets Soar On China's...

Many Happy Returns ·

2024/10/02

China’s economic boom has slowed as debt, deflation, and demographics weigh on the economy. Beijing belatedly announced a massive stimulus package, cutting interest rates and funnelling money into the stock market. But will it be enough to turn around the world's second biggest economy? And in today’s Dumb Question of the Week: What’s the difference between fiscal and monetary policy? --- Thank you to Trading 212 for sponsoring this episode.Claim free fractional shares worth up to ‎£⁠100. Just

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41:34

Productivity Crisis: Is Europe A Basket Case?

Many Happy Returns ·

2024/09/25

Europe has suffered relative decline in recent decades, beset by sluggish economic growth, ageing populations, and stagnant wages. Meanwhile, the success of US Big Tech firms has seen America come to dominate global markets. We dig into a new report from the European Union to see if it offers a way to get Europe growing again. And in today’s Dumb Question of the Week: What is “productivity”? --- Thank you to Saxo for sponsoring this episode.Sign up to claim GBP 200 back in online trading fees when

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39:13

Smart Ways to Stash Your Cash: Banks, Bonds & Money...

Many Happy Returns ·

2024/09/18

Sometimes you need a safe place to stash your cash. Savings accounts, bonds and money market funds are all options but how can you maximise returns? And should you ‘lock in a rate’? And in today’s Dumb Question of the Week: What’s wrong with Premium Bonds? --- Thank you to Saxo for sponsoring this episode.Sign up to claim GBP 200 back in online trading fees when you open an account with Saxo today via:PensionCraft | Saxo (home.saxo) Capital at risk. T&C’s apply. ---Get in touch 📧

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41:01

Confronting Uncertainty: Building a Financial Plan in...

Many Happy Returns ·

2024/09/11

Creating a financial plan for your future requires estimating numerous unknown variables. How fast will your investments grow? How much will inflation erode your savings? Will taxes increase? We discuss the most important risks to consider and how to build a reliable plan in an uncertain world. And in today’s Dumb Question of the Week: Will care costs ruin the plan? --- Thank you to Saxo for sponsoring this episode.Sign up to claim GBP 200 back in online trading fees when you open an account with

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87 results

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