PODCAST

FiveThirtyEight Politics

ABC News, 538, FiveThirtyEight, Galen Druke

The 538 team covers the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week.

news politics

All Episodes

35:11

Weighting For Election Day

FiveThirtyEight Politics ·

2024/10/14

With three weeks until Election Day, the 538 crew analyzes the state of what remains an extremely close presidential race. They also wade into the (very nerdy) debate over “weighting by recalled vote” that is roiling the polling community.Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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48:54

The Battle For The Airwaves

FiveThirtyEight Politics ·

2024/10/10

For those in swing states, political ads are an inescapable part of life. But if you haven’t experienced the blitz firsthand, this episode of the 538 Politics podcast offers a glimpse into the barrage of campaign messages flooding our screens. Erika Franklin Fowler, director of the Wesleyan Media Project and professor of government at Wesleyan University, joins the podcast to break down the wave of ads hitting TVs, phones and browsers this election season. We explore whether Donald Trump or Kamala

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39:23

Beneath A Steady Race, A Shifting America

FiveThirtyEight Politics ·

2024/10/07

There is officially less than a month until Election Day. In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, we consider what it would mean for the Electoral College map if the polls are correct in suggesting a racial and generational realignment. We also look at how views of the conflict in the Middle East have evolved in the year since the Oct. 7 Hamas terrorist attack. And, with new information about former President Donald Trump's attempt to overturn the 2020 election, whether his behavior

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28:37

Vance Performed Well In VP Debate. Will It Matter?

FiveThirtyEight Politics ·

2024/10/02

The crew reacts to the first and only vice-presidential debate between Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz and Ohio Sen. JD Vance in this late-night podcast.Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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43:21

In A Topsy-Turvy World, The Candidates Stick To These...

FiveThirtyEight Politics ·

2024/09/30

There's a lot going on in the world as we head into the final stretch of the 2024 election: a devastating hurricane, a growing war in the Middle East, multiple high profile scandals and an upcoming VP debate. In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew asks whether any of these big stories are changing the subject of the campaign. They also look at how former President Trump and Vice President Harris are appealing to voters on some of the issues voters say are most important to them:

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44:23

How To Read Polls In 2024

FiveThirtyEight Politics ·

2024/09/26

We are in the frantic final weeks of the presidential campaign, which means Americans are obsessing over polling data more than usual. At 538, we cover this stuff year-round. So today on the show, we’re going back to the fundamentals. It doesn’t matter whether you’re a seasoned political hack or a bright-eyed newcomer: Everyone can benefit from our 10 Essentials Of Following Polls. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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41:05

Is Trump Losing His Electoral College Advantage?

FiveThirtyEight Politics ·

2024/09/23

As early voting kicks off in states across the country, the crew dives into an intensifying election season on this week’s installment of the 538 Politics podcast. They discuss whether early voting data can offer clues about November's outcome, analyze conflicting polls from key battleground states and examine the potential for a shift in the GOP’s Electoral College advantage. Plus, the team previews 538’s new Senate polling averages, focusing on the races that could determine control of the

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42:16

Has Harris Changed The Election For Black Voters?

FiveThirtyEight Politics ·

2024/09/19

Earlier this year, it seemed like the long-standing pattern of Black voters as steadfast Democrats was shifting, with a record-high percentage choosing former President Donald Trump in survey after survey. However, Vice President Kamala Harris's candidacy has sparked new enthusiasm among Black voters, boosting both engagement and her popularity. In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, Galen examines these shifts with Chryl Laird, a professor of government and politics at the University of

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41:59

Gen Z’s Historic Gender Gap

FiveThirtyEight Politics ·

2024/09/16

The U.S. Secret Service thwarted another apparent assassination attempt on former President Donald Trump over the weekend. In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast Galen speaks with 538's Mary Radcliffe and The New York Times's Ruth Igielnik about how Americans view political violence.They also look at whether presidential election polls have shifted in response to last week's debate and discuss a recent Gallup analysis showing a yawning gender gap among young Americans. Learn more about

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33:14

Harris Trolls Defensive Trump In Debate

FiveThirtyEight Politics ·

2024/09/11

The crew reacts to the first presidential debate between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump in this late night podcast.Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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38:21

Presidential Debates Do Matter

FiveThirtyEight Politics ·

2024/09/09

As an extremely close presidential campaign heads into the homestretch, economic news abounds. The jobs report released last week fell short of expectations, and the Federal Reserve appears ready to cut interest rates later this month. Will any of it matter? Or have Americans generally made up their minds about this economy? Plus, the crew previews Tuesday night’s presidential debate between Vice President Kamala Harris and former president Donald Trump, and they test their knowledge of historic

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26:09

From Here To Election Day

FiveThirtyEight Politics ·

2024/09/05

Election Day is exactly two months away, meaning the final stretch of the presidential campaign is upon us. On Tuesday’s show, we assessed the current state of the race and how we got here. Today, we look ahead to the knowns and unknowns that could shake up the race in the coming weeks.Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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34:08

Summer Is Over. Election Season Is Here.

FiveThirtyEight Politics ·

2024/09/03

Labor Day is behind us and the conventional final stretch of the 2024 presidential campaign is here. There will be a rush of advertising, debates, more urgent attention paid to jobs reports, and October surprises.In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, we look at where we are in the campaign and how we got here. In the second episode this week, we'll look at what to expect over the coming two months. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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40:51

How Trump And Harris Would Tackle The Economy

FiveThirtyEight Politics ·

2024/08/29

This month both Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump released a slate of economic proposals in an attempt to gain the upper hand on the issue most important to voters. In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, Galen speaks with Jeanna Smialek from The New York Times about the current state of the economy, voter perceptions of it and how the candidates’ proposals might shape both of those factors.Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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36:40

How RFK Jr.'s Exit Changes The Race

FiveThirtyEight Politics ·

2024/08/26

Just as the Democratic National Convention wrapped up, independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. dropped out of the 2024 race. In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew tries to parse the effect that both events could have on the presidential race. They also look to Washington state's primary for an indication of how the House popular vote might play out this fall.Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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27:29

Harris Goes Big On Night 4 Of The DNC

FiveThirtyEight Politics ·

2024/08/23

In this late-night installment of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew reacts to the final night of the Democratic National Convention.Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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33:27

Democrats Pitch 'Freedom' On Night 3 Of The DNC

FiveThirtyEight Politics ·

2024/08/22

In this late-night installment of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew reacts to the third night of the Democratic National Convention.Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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28:46

The Obamas Dominate Night 2 Of The DNC

FiveThirtyEight Politics ·

2024/08/21

The crew reacts to night two of the Democratic National Convention.Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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40:18

What To Expect From The DNC

FiveThirtyEight Politics ·

2024/08/19

The Democratic National Convention is upon us. In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew discusses what to expect from the Democrats' weeklong pitch to voters. They also consider how a shorter general election timeline changes the dynamics of the race and how Vice President Kamala Harris's coalition is different from President Joe Biden's. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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37:29

Harris Resets The Race For Latino Voters

FiveThirtyEight Politics ·

2024/08/15

One of the most promising electoral trends for Republicans during the Trump era has been a shift among Latino voters toward Republicans. The eight percentage point swing from Clinton in 2016 to Trump in 2020 represented the largest shift of any racial or ethnic group in either direction. And the erosion of support for Democrats didn’t stop there. In a poll of Latino voters in battleground states from the research group Equis in May, Biden was leading Trump among Latinos by only 5 percentage points

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