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PODCAST

Handelsbanken Insights Economic Update

Handelsbanken UK

Welcome to the Handelsbanken Insights podcast where we share news and commentary on the UK economy and property sector. New episodes each Monday. Handelsbanken is a local, relationship bank, built on sustainable values. Visit https://www.handelsbanken.co.uk/en/ to find out more about us and our unique model. Follow us on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/25058754/admin/dashboard/ See https://www.handelsbanken.co.uk/en/about-us/important-information for privacy information.

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All Episodes

00:11:45

#166 🏡 Where are house prices heading in 2025?

Handelsbanken Insights Economic Update ·

2024/12/09

What does our UK Chief Economist James Sproule think will happen to house prices in 2025? Plus, what are the trends in levels of UK business investment?Rate and subscribe wherever you're listening.

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00:10:27

#165 How optimistic are businesses about the UK...

Handelsbanken Insights Economic Update ·

2024/12/02

James Sproule talks to Daniel Mahoney about business' response to the Budget.Plus, Dan explains why there's some positive news for the UK housing market from the mortgage approval figures.And our Head of Forecasting, Johan Löf, looks at the economy President Trump will inherit next year.All in under 15 minutes.Rate us wherever you're listening.

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00:13:06

#164 A quick history of inflation 🎈

Handelsbanken Insights Economic Update ·

2024/11/25

⏮ If you remember the late 1980s you'll remember that was the last time we had the kind of inflation that we've had in the past few years in the UK.On a special edition of our podcast, we look at what's driven inflation spikes historically, how governments have tried to wrangle it and why your rate of inflation might be different from someone else's. Plus, we get a preview of what's in this month's Rate Wrap newsletter - all squeezed into under 15 minutes. Subscribe on your favourite podcast app,

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00:12:35

#163 Rachel Reeves and the Mansion House "manifesto"

Handelsbanken Insights Economic Update ·

2024/11/18

On Handelsbanken Insights this week with Sonia Rothwell and Daniel Mahoney. The Chancellor's hotly-anticipated speech at the Mansion House revealed more detail on Rachel Reeves' plans for the UK economy - was it as downbeat an outlook as the headlines might suggest? Plus, GDP slightly underwhelmed but is Dan concerned? Looking further afield, how does the UK economy compare with our neighbours in Europe? All in under 15 minutes. Listen, rate, subscribe wherever you get your podcasts.

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00:12:07

#162 Trump and the art of the international trade deal

Handelsbanken Insights Economic Update ·

2024/11/11

Following the results of the US election, this week James Sproule and Daniel Mahoney look at how Donald Trump will approach trade deals compared with his predecessor. Plus, alongside the latest cut in interest rates the Bank of England offered a gloomier outlook for growth, James digs into the data. Finally, James reveals what his analysis of commercial property shows about the direction of yields. All in under 15 minutes.

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00:14:18

#161 Rachel Reeves' first Budget: digested 🧮

Handelsbanken Insights Economic Update ·

2024/11/04

Chancellor Rachel Reeves delivered Labour’s first Budget since 2010, and the first one ever delivered by a female chancellor. James Sproule and Daniel Mahoney have pulled together some of the most important announcements to explain what the Budget shows about the government’s plans for the UK economy over the next Parliament. All in under 15 minutes. Why not review us wherever you're listening?

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00:14:20

#160 🗽 US elections: How would a Trump "wall of...

Handelsbanken Insights Economic Update ·

2024/10/28

In a special episode of the podcast, our UK Chief Economist James Sproule is joined by our Head of Forecasting, Johan Löf to discuss the impact next week's US elections could have on the global - and UK - economic outlook.From the threat of blanket global tariffs to more benign outcomes, they unpick what could be the consequences of the November 5 vote. All in under 15 minutes. Listen and subscribe wherever you get your podcasts - and why not leave us a review while you're there?

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00:13:22

#159 ⏳ Budget countdown: the IFS has some ideas

Handelsbanken Insights Economic Update ·

2024/10/21

As the minutes count down to the actual Budget, this week the team discusses what the respected think tank the Institute for Fiscal Studies thinks are the Chancellor's options as it publishes its Green Budget. Plus, what is driving capital values for the top 15% of commercial property? And Tom Barker from our Capital Markets team joins the pod to tell us what's going to be in this month's Rate Wrap newsletter. All in under 15 minutes. Sign up to the Rate Wrap.

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00:12:11

#158 🔭 Looking ahead to inflation and employment figures

Handelsbanken Insights Economic Update ·

2024/10/14

It's an interesting week for data which could influence the Bank of England's next interest rates decision. James Sproule and Daniel Mahoney discuss what the inflation and labour market figures might show and why. And in a week where the Nobel Prize in Economics was awarded for research into prosperity, James looks at whether concerns that there'll be a flight of high net worth residents from the UK could be being overstated. Finally, James looks at energy efficiency in the UK property sector. All

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00:12:26

#157 Do buoyant US jobs numbers bode well for UK...

Handelsbanken Insights Economic Update ·

2024/10/07

This week on the podcast, James Sproule and Daniel Mahoney explain why much better than expected US jobs figures affect the interest rates outlook in the UK. Plus, why has UK business investment been so sluggish for so long? Finally, James digs into what new government data shows about income equality in the UK. All in under 15 minutes. Subscribe and rate us wherever you're listening.

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00:14:06

#156 September flash PMIs, and introducing our new...

Handelsbanken Insights Economic Update ·

2024/09/30

James Sproule joins Sonia Rothwell on this week’s Economic Update, to chat about the economic news you need to know.They discuss what the latest flash PMI numbers say about the prospects for the UK economy. Plus, following Chancellor Rachel Reeves’ speech to the Labour Party conference, were there any hints as to what we might expect from her first budget? And in a new monthly segment for the podcast, Cameron Willard from our Capital Markets team is joining us to talk about what’s happening in the

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00:12:17

#155 Pre-Budget confidence concerns

Handelsbanken Insights Economic Update ·

2024/09/23

🧮 With a long gap between the General Election and Chancellor Rachel Reeves' first Budget, recent data measuring consumer and business confidence is showing a slight wobble. In this week's podcast, James Sproule and Daniel Mahoney unpack what the Bank of England's interest rate-hold as well as confidence surveys say about the outlook for the UK economy. And if extra long-term economic projections are your thing, James takes a look at the Office for Budget Responsibility's Fiscal

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00:12:27

#154 Global Macro Forecast AND interest rates...

Handelsbanken Insights Economic Update ·

2024/09/19

We welcome a new expert to the podcast this week as our Head of Forecasting Johan Löf chats to James Sproule about Handelsbanken's latest Global Macro Forecast (spoiler alert: it's positive news). Plus, as the Bank of England prepares to vote on interest rates, UK Economist Daniel Mahoney shares what he expects to see. All in under 15 minutes. As ever, please subscribe and rate us wherever you're listening. Read our Global Macro Forecast

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00:11:48

#153 📢 Trends episode klaxon 📢

Handelsbanken Insights Economic Update ·

2024/09/09

Transport trends and what's happening to productivity are on the agenda for this week's podcast with James Sproule and Daniel Mahoney. James has been looking at a number of datasets to find out how the UK's transport habits are changing and what that might mean for wfh trends (two trends for the price of one!). Plus, measuring productivity is not easy but what can we glean from the available data? James takes a look. And finally, with speculation around potential tax rises on premium

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00:13:30

#152 Interest rates are finally going ⏬ but how quickly?

Handelsbanken Insights Economic Update ·

2024/09/02

In the first Handelsbanken Insights episode of our new season, James Sproule and Daniel Mahoney recap what happened while we were away, including the impact of the first interest rate cut of the current cycle.Plus as the rumour mill cranks into life ahead of Rachel Reeves' first budget, James explains why we should look out for "kite flying". And James digs into what data on commercial property reveals about emerging trends. All in under 15 minutes. Listen, rate and subscribe on your

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00:19:44

#151 Your most-asked economics questions - answered!

Handelsbanken Insights Economic Update ·

2024/07/29

For the final episode of this season of Handelsbanken Insights Economic Update, James and Dan welcome Jasmine Crabb from our Capital Markets Desk to answer some of the most-asked questions from our event audiences.They explain what causes inflation, where are interest rates going, which data they all look at when making their economic forecasts, and also share their favourite piece of economic trivia. It's a bumper edition until we see you again in September. Please subscribe and rate us

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00:13:13

#150 The King's Speech: 3 key takeaways

Handelsbanken Insights Economic Update ·

2024/07/22

On the penultimate episode of this season, James Sproule and Daniel Mahoney take a look at three of the 40 bills announced in last week's King's Speech.They also consider how that and recent jobs and inflation data could decide when we'll see the first interest rate cut. And finally, a deep dive into the health of the London offices market. All in under 15 minutes. Why not follow us where you're listening so that you don't miss an episode?

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00:14:50

#149 Economists ready their spreadsheets for...

Handelsbanken Insights Economic Update ·

2024/07/15

Inflation and earnings data are going to provide the data backdrop to this week's King's Speech where the new government will set out its legislative programme for the year. Our UK Chief Economist James Sproule tells Sonia Rothwell what he's expecting the numbers to show and what they could mean for interest rate cuts (includes bonus "in the bag" trivia).Plus, James shares why we should be following what the Bank for International Settlements has to say about commercial real

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00:13:26

#148 New beginnings, same problems?

Handelsbanken Insights Economic Update ·

2024/07/08

In a packed podcast this week. After the UK and French elections, Sonia Rothwell and Daniel Mahoney talk about how the markets have responded to the results, including why housebuilders' stocks received a boost in the UK. Dan also shares what the new government's plans are for the economy as well as the challenges it faces. Plus, is the latest Bank of England data on savings levels good news? Listen in to find out. Follow us wherever you get your podcasts and why not leave us a review

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00:17:29

#147 What do markets make of 3 important elections?

Handelsbanken Insights Economic Update ·

2024/07/01

It's been a week of election drama, but don't worry, James Sproule and Daniel Mahoney are on hand to explain how what happens in politics is playing out in the UK, French and US markets.And as the Bank of England publishes its latest financial stability report, James shares the bank's thinking about a new addition to its risk scenarios. Listen, subscribe and rate us wherever you get your podcasts.

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