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PODCAST

The Real Investment Show Podcast

It"s a show about life, markets, sweat-equity, and the pursuit of wealth in a capitalist market.

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All Episodes

49:29

12-8-25 Bullish Case or Bearish Backdrop? The Real...

The Real Investment Show Podcast ·

2025/12/08

Lance Roberts looks at both sides of the Market Cycle—the bullish liquidity-driven momentum and the bearish fundamental weaknesses. With support and resistance levels tightening around the S&P 500, and the Fed meeting, economic data, and major earnings directly ahead, investors must prepare for a market that could swing in either direction in 2026. 0:00 - INTRO 0:18 - Markets Set up for Santa Claus Rally 5:30 - Expect Sloppy Trading This Week 11:22 - Economic Summit, Elf on a Shelf, & Baylor Dating

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12-8-25 Why Bitcoin Is Lagging the S&P | Before the Bell

The Real Investment Show Podcast ·

2025/12/08

Bitcoin is showing a rare divergence this year: while the S&P 500 is up roughly 17% year-to-date, Bitcoin is down about 1%. That kind of underperformance doesn't happen often, especially during strong equity trends, because Bitcoin typically trades in high correlation with broader risk assets. This week may bring sloppy trading as markets work through distribution and elevated relative-strength levels. A mild pullback wouldn't be surprising after a month-long consolidation and a normal 5%

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33:21

12-5-25 Roth Conversions, Money Rules & Financial...

The Real Investment Show Podcast ·

2025/12/05

Richard Rosso breaks down a study that modeled hundreds of thousands of retirement scenarios to determine which Roth conversion strategy performs best over a 10-year period: • Staying in a traditional IRA/401(k) and taking RMDs • A one-time Roth conversion • A gradual, multi-year conversion strategy RIA Advisors' Financial Guardrails are timeless principles for building lasting wealth and protecting your financial future. Rich also shares insights from decades of experience helping investors avoid

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46:36

12-4-25 Fed Regime Change: Is Groupthink Finally Ending?

The Real Investment Show Podcast ·

2025/12/04

Is the era of Fed groupthink finally coming to an end? For over a decade, the Federal Reserve has operated under a powerful consensus framework—one where dissent has been rare and the Chair's view has dominated policy outcomes. But shifting politics, rising dissenting votes, and increasing disagreements among FOMC members may signal a new regime change at the Fed. Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down: 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - ISM Report Shows Abnormality of Markets 4:45 - Markets Prep for Year End

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04:15

12-4-25 Volatility May Precede Santa Claus Rally |...

The Real Investment Show Podcast ·

2025/12/04

Markets rallied on Wednesday before selling off into the close, but technically this is all normal behavior. After a mild 5% pullback in early November, stocks are simply consolidating gains from the April lows. Now, markets are pushing back toward resistance at the previous highs—an area that may produce some short-term volatility. If markets can break above November's highs, it opens the door for a traditional Santa Claus Rally into year-end. Even a pullback to the 50-DMA heading into Christmas

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45:57

12-3-25 Trump Accounts Explained: Who Qualifies for...

The Real Investment Show Podcast ·

2025/12/03

What exactly are Trump Accounts, and who qualifies under the new expansion backed by Michael and Susan Dell's $6.25 billion donation? Lance Roberts and Danny Ratliff break down how the Dell Deal works, which families benefit, and why this initiative could reshape financial planning for millions of children. If you're a parent, grandparent, or financial planner, this is essential information about how these accounts may impact a child's financial future. 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Sloppy Trading Ahead 5:15

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05:18

12-3-25 Overbought vs Oversold: The Big AI Stock...

The Real Investment Show Podcast ·

2025/12/03

AI stocks inside the Mag-7 are no longer moving in unison. We're now seeing a clear split between the names that are extremely overbought and those entering oversold, opportunity-driven territory. Apple ($AAPL) ripped to all-time highs and is now heavily deviated from its long-term means — historically a tough level to sustain. Google ($GOOGL) has been the recent "darling," but it remains extremely overbought and is beginning an early correction phase. We rebalanced our Google position back to

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55:57

12-2-25 Q&A LIVE: Ask Us Anything About Markets & Money

The Real Investment Show Podcast ·

2025/12/02

Welcome to our LIVE Q&A session! Lance Roberts is taking your questions directly from the YouTube live chat—covering markets, investing, retirement planning, inflation, interest rates, the Federal Reserve, portfolio strategy, risk management, and your personal finance questions. No scripts, no agenda—just real-time answers based on data, history, and risk-focused investing principles. We'll break down what's moving the markets, how to think about pullbacks, what the Fed may do next, how valuations

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05:18

12-2-25 Markets Base Up as Bitcoin Builds a Bottom |...

The Real Investment Show Podcast ·

2025/12/02

Markets kicked off the first trading week of December with a weak open but rallied off the lows. Despite some early sloppiness, the major indices remain well-above their 100-day moving average, and the MACD Buy signal remains intact. Momentum is rebuilding, and a basing pattern appears to be forming across the board, including the NASDAQ. The bigger headline today is Bitcoin. After a sharp pullback and several weeks of ETF outflows, Bitcoin is now oversold and flashing renewed buy-signal conditions

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46:46

12-1-25 Bear Markets Are a Good Thing

The Real Investment Show Podcast ·

2025/12/01

Most investors fear bear markets—but history shows they play a critical role in building future returns. In this episode, Lance Roberts explains why market declines are not only normal, but necessary for long-term financial success. We break down how bear markets reset valuations, reduce speculation, improve forward returns, and provide disciplined investors with better long-term outcomes. Instead of focusing on predictions, we focus on the importance of managing risk, controlling emotions, and

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04:28

12-1-25 The Problem With Waiting for Corrections |...

The Real Investment Show Podcast ·

2025/12/01

Should you wait for a 5% correction before putting money to work? In today's pre-market update, Lance Roberts explains why waiting for the "perfect pullback" is one of the most costly mistakes investors make. A 5% correction is normal volatility—it happens once or twice a year. Even 10% corrections occur regularly. This year alone, markets already saw a near-20% pullback in April and a 5% dip in early November. If you're always waiting for the next pullback, your investment window becomes too

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28:12

11-28-25 Black Friday Special Edition

The Real Investment Show Podcast ·

2025/11/28

It's a cornucopia of content episode for this Friday following Thanksgiving, and Richard Rosso and Jonathan McCarty bemoan the demise of the U.S. Penny, the fallacy of risk tolerance questionnaires, Rich's Financial Fitness Garage and creating Retirement income; plus Rich's salutation for Thanksgiving. 0:00 - INTRO 0:44 - The Demise of the U.S. Penny 4:54 - Financial Risk Surveys - Rich & Jonathan's Scores 11:05 - Rich's Fitness Garage - Creating Retirement Income 24:41 - Happy Thanksgiving to You

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34:28

11-27-25 Thanksgiving Day Special - Market Cycles,...

The Real Investment Show Podcast ·

2025/11/27

Full market cycles matter more today than at any point in the last 15 years. Lance Roberts breaks down why valuations, history, and market structure all point to a simple truth: Every bull market is only half the story. The other half is the bear. Lance's approach isn't bullish or bearish. It's risk-focused. Your job as an investor isn't to predict the next crash—it's to avoid catastrophic losses that erase years of gains during the completion of a full market cycle. Lance and Danny Ratliff ponder

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44:42

11-26-25 Confidence, Chaos & The K-Shaped Economy —...

The Real Investment Show Podcast ·

2025/11/26

Peter Atwater, one of the leading voices on confidence-driven behavior in markets and society, joins Lance Roberts to share how certainty, control, and herd mentality shape every major trend investors face today. Lance and Peter discuss The Confidence Map, why people behave differently when they're in the "comfort zone" versus the "stress center," and how these shifts explain the rise of speculative investing, the bifurcated K-shaped economy, and the growing disconnect between Wall Street and Main

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54:02

11/25/25 The System Is Broken: What Money Really...

The Real Investment Show Podcast ·

2025/11/25

The financial system we rely on today isn't what it used to be. From the Fed's creation of "reserves" instead of real money to the collateral-driven markets that emerged after 2008, Lance Roberts & Garrett Baldwin break down how the game has changed—and what it means for your wealth. We cover everything from repo markets, ETFs, and the Buffett Indicator to the rise of passive investing and why sovereign nations are quietly buying gold. Plus, we explore how debasement works in real terms—through

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42:49

11-24-25 Solana vs Bitcoin: The New Treasury Strategy

The Real Investment Show Podcast ·

2025/11/24

Is Solana the next evolution of Bitcoin's corporate playbook? Lance Roberts and DeFi Development Corp. CFA, Parket White, explore how digital assets like Solana, stablecoins, and tokenized treasuries are reshaping balance sheet strategy for companies and investors alike. 0:19 - INTRO 2:11 - Digital Asset Strategy & Solana - the upside potential 3:36 - The MicroStrategy Idea - holding Bitcoin (instead of Gold) 6:31 - Treasury Vehicle Advantages - access Taxation of Cryptocurrency 9:11 - Disadvantages

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41:42

11-21-25 Roth Conversion Strategy: What Actually Works

The Real Investment Show Podcast ·

2025/11/21

Not all Roth conversions are created equal — and new research shows a clear winner. Richard Rosso breaks down a study that modeled hundreds of thousands of retirement scenarios to determine which Roth conversion strategy performs best over a 10-year period: • Staying in a traditional IRA/401(k) and taking RMDs • A one-time Roth conversion • A gradual, multi-year conversion strategy We examine how taxes, RMDs, longevity, and investment returns affect the outcome — and why a one-time conversion often

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43:12

11-20-25 How The Fed Deals Liquidity: The Monetary...

The Real Investment Show Podcast ·

2025/11/20

How does the Federal Reserve actually supply liquidity to the financial system? And why have markets become so dependent on the Fed since 2008? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down the complete Fed liquidity toolkit—from QE and QT to the Standing Repo Facility, IORB, ON RRP, OMO, and the Discount Window—and explain why these tools create the "floor and ceiling" of overnight rates. 0:00 - INTRO 0:18 - Nvidia Kill It; Rate Cut Odds Decline 4:06 - Markets Under Pressure; Setting Up for Rally

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05:49

11-20-25 Why This Pullback Isn't a Panic | Before the...

The Real Investment Show Podcast ·

2025/11/20

Markets have been under pressure lately—especially in Technology—as investors worry about stretched valuations, widening credit default swaps, and whether the AI trade is finally losing steam. Despite the noise, this remains a minor, healthy pullback of roughly 3%, not a full-blown correction. In this pre-market update, we break down why the decline feels worse than it is, why the next two weeks of November historically favor stronger performance, and how mutual fund distributions in December may

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42:47

11-19-25 Pension or Lump Sum - What's the Smarter Move?

The Real Investment Show Podcast ·

2025/11/19

Choosing between a company pension and a lump-sum payout is one of the biggest financial decisions many pre-retirees will ever face—especially for workers in industries facing layoffs or restructuring, like the major oil companies in Houston right now. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff break down the key factors to consider when comparing a lifetime pension annuity versus taking a lump-sum distribution you can invest or convert into a private annuity. Using a real-world scenario from a viewer—age 64, a

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3,221 results

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