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PODCAST

Don Paul Bits o Blather on Weather, Climate, and Some Humor

A podcast which offers Western New York regional weather forecasts, extended outlooks, and which examines the broader context of warming climate impacts. There will also be jousts with junk science and disinformation so endemic to social media, and some sprinklings of humor from the ex-gag writer part of my CV. Author is now into his 47th year of operational meteorology, with extensive continuing education all along the way...although I still can"t program my VCR.

science earth sciences

All Episodes

00:05:50

Greenland Ice is Melting Faster Than Expected, and...

Don Paul Bits o Blather on Weather, Climate, and Some... ·

2024/02/14

The rate of Greenland's ice cap melt has turned out to be 20% greater than previous estimates for recent decades, and that spells global trouble. Several new studies confirm this ice mass loss, increasing the rate of sea level rises and the more common coastal flooding both with storms and monthly high tides. In addition, all this freshwater is diluting the salinity of the N Atlantic, raising the risk of a shutdown of the Gulf Stream, as has occurred several times in the Earth's history,

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00:06:21

El Nino Is Still Doing Its Thing

Don Paul Bits o Blather on Weather, Climate, and Some... ·

2024/02/12

An exceptionally strong El Nino is a key player in what will be a brief heavy snowstorm in NYC Tuesday AM (snow has become a rarity in the Big Apple), and will bring more potent Pacific storms into CA by next weekend. It also is fueling one of the mildest winters ever observed not only in WNY, but in the upper midwest and the northeast...the snow drought continues in most places east of the Rockies. Please Share, Follow.

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00:05:33

Return to Winter...Not That Big a Deal

Don Paul Bits o Blather on Weather, Climate, and Some... ·

2024/02/09

A long-advertised return to wintry weather arrives during the weekend, but it looks lots less impressive than some on social media would have had you believe. Yes, it will turn notably colder, but nothing truly harsh is yet headed our way...and snow potential is equally unimpressive for most of our region. Share, Follow.

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00:06:49

Savor This Hiatus in Western New York

Don Paul Bits o Blather on Weather, Climate, and Some... ·

2024/02/06

We're catching quite a break this week with more sunny afternoons than we've seen in a long while, and warming temperatures peaking Thursday and Friday. That transition to a wintry pattern is still coming, and appears sped up a bit next week, but it may not be a "bottom falls out" cold spell, and may not last as long as some folks have been projecting. Please Share, Follow.

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00:07:50

Silly Groundhog is RIGHT...until mid-month

Don Paul Bits o Blather on Weather, Climate, and Some... ·

2024/02/02

We can have fun with Groundhog Day. After all, Phil the Rodent didn't see his shadow (except for tv lights) this morning, and we WILL be getting nearly springlike temps by mid and late week, next week. But...this is a hiatus, NOT an early spring, as I explain in this episode. Please Share, Follow.

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00:05:02

First 1/2 February Outlook: "Meh" for Skiers, "Feh!"...

Don Paul Bits o Blather on Weather, Climate, and Some... ·

2024/01/30

Maybe a few bits o' sun Wednesday, more abundant sun likely this weekend, but no major precip in sight thru late next week, temps running a bit above average this week, and more above average next week. Quick look at a probable pattern change mid-month.

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00:05:58

January 28th, Anniversary of the Blizzard of '77

Don Paul Bits o Blather on Weather, Climate, and Some... ·

2024/01/28

The setup and the details on what has been and remains a unique, deadly ground blizzard event, not a lake effect storm, impacting all of WNY....Could there ever be another storm like it? Please Share, Follow.

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00:05:22

Modest Wintry Mess on Sunday in WNY

Don Paul Bits o Blather on Weather, Climate, and Some... ·

2024/01/26

After some flooding rain and snowmelt Friday in Erie & Niagara Cos, widespread mixed precip and snow is headed for all WNY for Sunday. Marginal temps should keep amounts modest, with some melting, but should those readings be colder than currently modeled, accumulations may be more significant...so it "bears watching." Following that, better news for those with wet basements.

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00:09:03

Don Paul and THE MOB...Funny but True tale of Messin'...

Don Paul Bits o Blather on Weather, Climate, and Some... ·

2024/01/24

A departure from science, as I venture into my pre-tv past as an NYC radio flunky, leading to my encounters with the Mafia in Manhattan. It may sound embellished, but it isn't...and should deliver some laughs or, at least, smiles (none of them from the late Joe Columbo). It's not a boring story, folks. :D

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00:05:32

Some Complications with our Evolving Thaw.

Don Paul Bits o Blather on Weather, Climate, and Some... ·

2024/01/22

A shorter episode on the big weather story...the THAW. With its onset will come some snow on Tuesday in Western New York, but no lake effect or blowing snow, and a modest amount at that. The snow is followed by plain, liquid rain Wednesday and Thursday with temps moving well above average...lots of melting will be going on, but a flood threat seems low. This moderate pattern will have staying power, too...not just in WNY but across the country.

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00:11:14

The THAW is Still Coming! (But not this weekend)

Don Paul Bits o Blather on Weather, Climate, and Some... ·

2024/01/19

A forecast and extended outlook discussion concerning a significant pattern change arriving next week, and a comparison between extreme weather impacts in Western New York compared to extreme impacts elsewhere in the U.S. (Hint: a record 28 $Billion+ disasters last year, none of them in WNY.)

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00:06:34

Another Whopper Lake Storm, then some General Snow

Don Paul Bits o Blather on Weather, Climate, and Some... ·

2024/01/17

Another oscillating band of intense lake effect snow pasted the Buffalo Southtowns by early Wednesday before shifting well north by afternoon. It will continue to oscillate, slowly shifting back toward the metro area and Northtown 'burbs by evening, and probably back to the Southtowns later this evening. More widespread lighter snow is likely Thursday, w/an embedded lake band, and still more widespread snow on Friday. Better news in the extended outlook.

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00:07:13

Round 2: Another Lake Effect Storm in WNY

Don Paul Bits o Blather on Weather, Climate, and Some... ·

2024/01/16

While this next storm may not QUITE measure up in peak wind speeds to the weekend storm, it will be another major lake effect snowstorm, with high impacts in the Buffalo metro area and nearby 'burbs. It must be kept in mind the heavy accumulations will be greatly complicated by Gusty Winds.

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00:08:40

Lake Effect Storm Updated Sunday Evening

Don Paul Bits o Blather on Weather, Climate, and Some... ·

2024/01/14

Lake snow and strong winds have pummeled the Buffalo Southtowns and some eastern 'burbs Sunday afternoon, and this duration may be a factor in getting the OP stadium ready in time for Monday even as conditions improve. Lake snow will be on the move again later tonight, shifting northward again toward and through the metro area, with some weakening. More lake effect events are likely this week, with harsh cold staying into next weekend before changes arrive.

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00:09:08

Perspective on the Lake Effect Storm in WNY

Don Paul Bits o Blather on Weather, Climate, and Some... ·

2024/01/13

Oscillations will be the troublesome name of the game in forecasting the timing and location of intense lake effect snow the remainder of this weekend, with near-Blizzard conditions within the most intense band. There will be frequent whiteouts along with frigid temps and wind chill endangering any stranded motorist. Erie County will be under a Driving Ban after 9pm Saturday, but drivers traveling outside of Erie County in affected areas should have an emergency travel kit in their vehicles

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00:08:24

Blizzard/Near Blizzard Conditions Likely This Weekend

Don Paul Bits o Blather on Weather, Climate, and Some... ·

2024/01/12

Another major winter storm will rake Western New York this weekend, with localized blizzard and near blizzard conditions likely in the strong to high winds as lake effect snow intensifies. Lake Erie shoreline flooding will develop Saturday as well, with harsh to potentially brutal conditions for the game on Sunday. Details on impacts and best estimates of lake snow movement and potential accumulations.

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00:08:43

Winter Storm and Lake Effect Potential Growing This...

Don Paul Bits o Blather on Weather, Climate, and Some... ·

2024/01/11

High Wind Watch, Lakeshore Flood Watch, and now a Winter Storm Watch in a complex wind and snow situation setting up for this weekend, with strong SE winds the first sign Friday evening. Lake Effect potential will be increasing during Saturday into Sunday night, but specificity on timing and location still a tough call. The lake snow will be accompanied by strong winds, making for very hazardous travel. I'll keep you update here and on social media.

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00:08:15

Next Major Storm on the Horizon Brings REAL Winter...

Don Paul Bits o Blather on Weather, Climate, and Some... ·

2024/01/10

By Friday, still another low pressure system will begin to explosively intensify over the deep south and head toward the Great Lakes. It will produce Severe Tstorms over the SE U.S., but will bring strong to possible High Winds in WNY by Saturday afternoon, along with developing significant lake effect snow. That snow will be close to Orchard Park by Sunday AM, and MAY shift toward the metro area. Harsh temps and wind chill are a lock for the game, with a truly wintry week to follow and more lake

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00:09:15

Monday Evening Update on HIGH WINDS in WNY

Don Paul Bits o Blather on Weather, Climate, and Some... ·

2024/01/08

A High Wind WARNING is in effect from late Tuesday AM until 4 AM Wed for All WNY counties. This podcast has details on the hazards and damage potential associated with this rare SE to NW high wind event, which is likely to produce widespread outages and tree/property damage. PLUS a look ahead to another major storm moving in Saturday with potential high winds and lake effect snow, followed by a harsh wintry Playoff Sunday. PLEASE FOLLOW.

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00:07:32

Follow-up on the Unusually Stormy US Pattern

Don Paul Bits o Blather on Weather, Climate, and Some... ·

2024/01/06

Skidworthy snow in Western New York into Sunday AM, missing the heavier snow to the east. The next storm sends Tuesday Buffalo highs to the upper 40s while producing heavy, blowing snow into the midwest/Chicago, and widespread Severe Tstorms/some Tornadoes over the SE. More storms to come with uncertain tracks and impacts. PLEASE FOLLOW.

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