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PODCAST

5 in 5 with ANZ

Start your day with 5 in 5 with ANZ. You’ll hear the five things you need to know about the global economy and markets in under 5 minutes. Plus a deep dive into emerging trends and issues. Hosted by business and financial journalist Bernard Hickey, the podcast features exclusive insights from ANZ’s global team of experts. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/

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All Episodes

9:18

Tuesday: Australia GDP puzzle takes shape

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/09/02

Global markets were quiet overnight due to the US Labor Day holiday. The final pieces of Australia’s GDP puzzle fall into place today; Job ads show a cooling Australian labour market, and we look at which state capital house prices are pulling away. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Senior Economist Miles Workman digs into New Zealand’s latest jobs data to highlight which sectors, regions and age groups are feeling the brunt of previous monetary policy tightening. Before accessing this podcast,

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9:28

Monday: US economy on approach for soft landing

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/09/01

Global markets are laser-focused on US jobs data this week to confirm the Fed can pinpoint a soft landing. Australia’s tax cuts are yet to show in retail sales growth. India’s GDP growth was below the Reserve Bank of India’s forecasts.In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Australia Senior Economist Catherine Birch explains why lower headline inflation figures in Australia aren’t telling the full story. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer

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9:56

Friday: Rate cuts fire up NZ business confidence

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/08/29

US stocks are strong on more signs of a soft landing. NZ business confidence surges as rates are cut. Australian capital investment plans remain strong, and India’s GDP figures later today may send the Reserve Bank of India a dovish signal. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Chief Economist for Greater China Raymond Yeung unpacks how changing global supply chains are driving capital outflows from China’s manufacturers. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer

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9:55

Thursday: Australian core inflation falling again

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/08/28

US stocks are trading down ahead of of chipmaker Nvidia’s results later this morning; There’s support for an ECB September cut; Australia’s inflation in July was stronger than expected, while house building remains soft; And there’s ongoing weakness in New Zealand’s jobs market.In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Chief Economist for Greater China Raymond Yeung explains why there’s been record high outflows of capital from China in recent quarters. Before accessing this podcast, please read the

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9:27

Wednesday: USD nears 2024 lows

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/08/27

The US dollar weakened again overnight to near its low this year. Australia’s inflation figures today will be dominated by Government subsidies lowering electricity prices and there’s welcome news for the Bank of Japan in producer price inflation figures.In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ’s Agriculture Economist Susan Kilsby explains what’s behind the rise in dairy prices recently, leading to ANZ Research to boost its NZ farmgate price forecast. Before accessing this podcast, please read the

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8:57

Tuesday: Oil jumps on Mid East conflict

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/08/26

Oil has jumped 2-and-a-half percent on renewed conflict in the Middle East. The US dollar strengthened overnight as traders continued to digest signals out of Jackson Hole. And New Zealand’s Government rushes to try and reduce energy prices. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ’s Chief Economist for Southeast Asia and India, Sanjay Mathur, explains why Vietnam is not the only big winner from the friendshoring trend to pull some parts of supply chains out of China. Before accessing this podcast,

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9:50

Monday: Powell says it's time to cut rates

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/08/25

Jerome Powell says the time has come to cut rates. They may eventually 200 basis points. The Kiwi dollar is rising against the Aussie despite a smaller interest rate premium. Japan is set to keep hiking. Inflation in Singapore below forecasts. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Maddy Dunk looks at how an eventual fall in Australian interest rates might effect house prices differently in different cities. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer

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8:19

Friday: Talk of big Fed rate cuts fading

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/08/22

US manufacturing contracts, keeping the Fed on course to cut next month, but Fed speakers see only gradual falls. Those comments drove Treasury yields up and stocks down this morning. PMIs in Australia and Japan have picked up.In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Head of FX Research Mahjabeen Zaman looks ahead to key speeches today by the heads of the US and Japan central banks. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer

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8:26

Thursday: US jobs growth revised down by 818k

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/08/21

US jobs growth is revised down, cementing Fed rate cut bets and sending the world’s reserve currency down further. Thailand and Indonesia hold rates, and Japan’s export data indicates some weakness in global demand.In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Head of Australian Economics Adam Boyton analyses how Australia is tracking for a ‘soft’ economic landing after such a rapid rise in interest rates. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer

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9:43

Wednesday: Dual mandate stops RBA hiking

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/08/20

The US dollar continues to weaken as rate cut hopes solidify; RBA minutes show its dual mandate kept a rate hike in check; New Zealand house prices fell ahead of the RBNZ’s rate cut, and Indonesia could cut rates today, while Thailand looks set to hold.In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Head of Australian Economics Adam Boyton presents ANZ Research’s revised Australian economic forecasts and says why the RBA can hold until February. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer

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9:50

Tuesday: US dollar weakens ahead of rate clues

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/08/19

Markets are looking ahead this week to Jackson Hole for firmer clues on rate cuts. Currencies are already on their way - the US dollar weakening against the Yen, and the Aussie rising; Iron Ore prices are slumping, and Gold is on the bounce. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Head of Asia Research Khoon Goh maps out the future for Asian currencies after the unwind of the yen carry trade. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer

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8:40

Monday: Market focus turns to Jackson Hole

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/08/18

Markets are turning to Jackson Hole later this week for signs from the world’s central bankers about the speed and size of expected rate cuts. Central banks make decisions in Thailand, Indonesia and South Korea. And there’s good news from New Zealand’s economy In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Senior Commodities Strategist Daniel Hynes talks about the weather, and in particular what a change from El Nino to La Nina means for markets. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer

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8:56

Friday: Extra supply tempers jobs jump

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/08/15

US retail sales jump and give global stocks a boost. Australia’s jobs rise is tempered by rising participation. The Philippines’ central bank cuts. China’s domestic demand slumps, while Japan’s GDP gets a consumer shot in the arm. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ FX Analyst Kausani Basak reviews PMI data to reveal which Asian economies are riding an AI-Technology demand boost. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer

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9:40

Thursday: RBNZ cuts, signals more to come

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/08/14

The RBNZ kicks off its easing cycle with a 25 bps rate cut. Australian jobs figures today may show when the RBA might move. US CPI inflation in July met expectations. There’s another ‘will they - won’t they’ rate decision today, in the Philippines.In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ New Zealand Chief Economist Sharon Zollner analyses why the RBNZ felt it was able to cut rates a full year ahead of its previously published forecasts. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer

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9:47

Wednesday: Markets on edge for live RBNZ decision

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/08/13

Weaker-than-expected US producer prices support rate cut bets ahead of key CPI data tonight. Australian wage growth is moderating, but only slowly. And it’s a ‘will they/won’t they’ monetary policy review day in New Zealand.In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ New Zealand Chief Economist Sharon Zollner looks ahead to that ‘live’ Monetary Policy Review for the Reserve Bank of New Zealand later today. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer

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9:47

Tuesday: Aus wages key inflation pointer for RBA

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/08/12

Global markets were stable overnight ahead of US price data later this week; Australian wages data today will be watched closely by the RBA, and India’s CPI dips below 4%, although perhaps only temporarily. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Head of FX Research Mahjabeen Zaman says the Dollar-Yen exchange rate appears have have found a near-term floor after a wild couple of weeks. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer

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9:51

Monday: How Trump v 2.0 may hit Asian exports

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/08/11

Markets are bracing this week for fresh US inflation data on Wednesday night, Australia wages and jobs figures on Tuesday and Thursday, a the RBNZ’s decision on Wednesday. In China, more signs of weak retail demand are expected on Thursday. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Economist Krystal Tan examines what a second Trump Presidency might mean for Asian exports. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/

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9:56

Friday: A$ jumps on hawkish RBA speech

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/08/08

US stocks rally on easing fears of a US recession. The Aussie dollar jumps after Governor Michele Bullock says the RBA won’t hesitate to hike and thought about hiking earlier this week. The Reserve Bank of India holds rates hawkishly. New Zealand inflation expectations drop.In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Economist Dhiraj Nim explains why India’s success in reaching a sustainable current account deficit is masking much needed under-investment. Before accessing this podcast, please read the

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10:00

Thursday: No smoking gun for RBNZ cut

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/08/07

Markets were calmer overnight, with Bank of Japan officials offering reassurance that hikes won’t happen amid instability. New Zealand’s Q2 job figures left no smoking gun for an August rate cut, and the Reserve Bank of India is set to hold rates today.In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ New Zealand Senior Economist Miles Workman analyses how Australia’s relatively stronger jobs market is attracting Kiwis across the Tasman again. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer

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9:28

Wednesday: RBA holds hawkishly

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/08/06

Global markets have regained some ground, with the Nikkei up 10.2%, US stocks up 2%. Meanwhile, the RBA held hawkishly through the turmoil, New Zealand unemployment is set to jump, and Japanese wages are on the rise.In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Head of Australian Economics Adam Boyton digs into the hawkish tones and forecasts in the RBA’s statement on monetary policy yesterday. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer

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