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PODCAST

Moving Markets

Moving Markets is the home of podcasts at Julius Baer. Here, our expert teams share concise daily market updates in ‘Moving Markets Daily’ which is complemented by ‘Moving Markets: The View Beyond’, a weekly show dedicated to discussing the context, thematic angles, and investment implications behind key topics shaping the news cycle and conversations among our relationship managers and clients. The information contained in this podcast is marketing material. Opinions expressed do not constitute

news business news

All Episodes

11:06

25 or 50 bps? That is the question

Moving Markets ·

2024/09/16

Markets are eagerly anticipating a rate cut from the US Federal Reserve this week. We only have to wait until Wednesday to find out whether they opt for 25 or 50 basis points. Ahead of this, US stock markets rallied. European markets also advanced after the ECB cut rates on Thursday. Asian markets are a little more mixed after disappointing Chinese data and the upcoming Bank of Japan meeting on Friday. Markus Wachter joins the show today to provide the technical viewpoint on, amongst other

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11:43

Will the Fed go big? Gold hits new records amid rate...

Moving Markets ·

2024/09/13

Markets are abuzz with speculation that the Federal Reserve may deliver a larger-than-expected 50 basis-point rate cut next week. As a result, yields have tumbled, and gold prices have surged to new record highs. Meanwhile, equity markets continue their winning streak, with the S&P 500 index closing higher for the fourth consecutive day. Tim Gagie, Head of FX/PM PB Sales in Geneva, also joins the podcast today and he breaks down the latest developments in currencies and metals markets

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12:50

Tech rally saves the day, ECB meets today

Moving Markets ·

2024/09/12

US inflation unexpectedly rose in August, with core inflation up 0.3% month-on-month and 3.2% year-on-year. The data suggests that the Fed will cut rates next week by 25bps rather than 50bps. Markets initially reacted negatively, but US equities later rallied strongly, led by tech stocks. OpenAI is in the news for a new round of funding, valuing the company at USD 150bn. The ECB meets today and is expected to cut rates due to weak demand and low wage growth. Commerzbank rose almost 17%

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12:28

US financials under pressure and tech stocks rising...

Moving Markets ·

2024/09/11

Tech stocks led the charge overnight, while financials felt the pinch, as yields fell, and the S&P 500 eked out a gain. But despite the market's mixed signals, all eyes were on the presidential debate between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump - and some believe Harris may have gained ground. Meanwhile, with a packed schedule of central bank meetings on the horizon, we're joined by Eirini Tsekeridou from Fixed Income Research to share her insights on what to expect from policymakers in the

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12:13

Equity markets snap their losing streak

Moving Markets ·

2024/09/10

Global stocks rebounded yesterday following the worst week for the S&P 500 since March 2023, as investors await US inflation data for clues on the size of the US Federal Reserve’s coming interest-rate cut. Meanwhile, weakness in Chinese equities is intensifying as a benchmark of onshore Chinese stocks hovers near its lowest close since January 2019. Manuel Villegas, Next Generation Research, provides an update on the latest price moves in digital assets and how US politics and

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12:18

Growth concerns persist, ECB set to cut rates again...

Moving Markets ·

2024/09/09

The US employment report for August showed a slower than expected increase in jobs, but a fall in the unemployment rate to 4.2%. Markets reacted negatively, with the S&P 500 having its worst week since March 2023, closing at 5408 points. Other asset classes such as Bitcoin and oil also fell sharply. Key events this week include the release of Apple's iPhone 16 on Monday, the Harris-Trump presidential debate on Tuesday and key economic data releases, including US consumer price inflation

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16:48

Laser focus on US payrolls data

Moving Markets ·

2024/09/06

Global equity markets struggled to find interest in the last 24 hours as traders and investors alike digested more US and European data whilst waiting with baited breath for today’s US non-farm payrolls data. The only area that saw appetite was the tech sector, in particular the Magnificent Seven. Richard Tang, Head of Research Hong Kong, provides an update on the latest developments in China, as well as reiterating why we see good opportunities in Japanese equities.00:00 Introduction by

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15:58

Much to absorb in this data-heavy week

Moving Markets ·

2024/09/05

Investors are grappling with a flood of data this week. Yesterday’s releases from the US revealed a two-year high in the trade deficit, a slowdown in the labour market and a cautious outlook from the Fed’s Beige Book. However, there was some respite as US factory orders rebounded after two lacklustre months. As equities continue to struggle for traction in September, a key segment of the US Treasury yield curve brieflyinverted yesterday. In this episode, we’re joined by Norbert Rücker, Head

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11:05

Stocks dive as an eventful September kicks off

Moving Markets ·

2024/09/04

September gets off to a rocky start for stocks, with semiconductors plummeting. The S&P 500 index has suffered its worst September opening in years, tumbling over 2% amid renewed worries about overstretched valuations in AI-related stocks and a disappointing manufacturing report. Meanwhile, oil prices have wiped out their entire year-to-date gain, while the Japanese yen surges. In this episode, we're joined by Eirini Tsekeridou, Fixed Income Research expert, who shares her bullish case

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11:16

A crucial few weeks for crypto assets

Moving Markets ·

2024/09/03

European markets were flat after reaching a record high last week, held back by weak economic demand from China. Rolls Royce fell sharply on concerns over a faulty engine part in the Airbus 350. Swiss PMIs surprise to the upside, while manufacturing activity in France and Germany remains sluggish. Volkswagen plans its first plant closure in Germany since it was founded 87 years ago. In Asia, Japan's Topix index rises for a sixth consecutive session, led by financials on higher bond yields

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11:01

US jobs data to take centre stage

Moving Markets ·

2024/09/02

After US Treasuries and the S&P 500 index advanced for a fourth consecutive month in August, investors brace for September, a typically challenging month for markets, ahead of crucial US jobs data due on Friday. A significant shift to the far right in German state elections yesterday sent shockwaves through the European political landscape. Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis Research, offers an update on the markets from a technical perspective and shares his outlook for the US

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14:12

More US stocks rose than fell, even as Nvidia dropped

Moving Markets ·

2024/08/30

Nvidia did not meet lofty earnings expectations and its stock fell 6%, while revised Q2 US GDP figures beat expectations at 3%, meaning more stocks rose than fell on the S&P 500. US Treasury yields rose on the better economic data, although Treasuries are on track for a fourth month of gains. In Europe, inflation fell and Germany's DAX rose to near all-time highs. Asian equities are higher, led by China on reports ofincreased support for the ailing housing market, while Tokyo inflation

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19:52

Markets, the Fed and gold: Our CIO’s latest views

Moving Markets ·

2024/08/29

Markets braced themselves for Nvidia’s Q2 results yesterday with the top three indices all closing lower on the day. Nvidia then delivered results that beat expectations, but apparently not by enough and the stock fell more than 8% in after-hours trading. The impact was felt globally by the rest of the tech universe. In today’s special episode we also hear from our Group CIO, Yves Bonzon, who talks about his views on markets after elevated volatility this month, the Fed, where the question

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15:36

Everyone’s waiting for Nvidia

Moving Markets ·

2024/08/28

Artificial intelligence leader Nvidia reports earnings today and the market is bracing for impact. Meanwhile, US consumer confidence has taken a step up, but still lags behind pre-pandemic levels. In China, another set of disappointing earnings results has sparked concerns over the country’s slowing economy. In today’s episode, we're joined by Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research, for an update on monetary policy and bonds, and Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy, who provides

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14:32

Market divergence sees Dow surge to record high amid...

Moving Markets ·

2024/08/27

US equity benchmarks struggled in trading yesterday with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq indices posting losses amid a rotation out of big tech and into small caps. However, the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 Equal Weight indices both hit record highs after US Fed Chair Powell’s dovish comments on Friday. David Kohl, Chief Economist, shares his key takeaways from last week’s Jackson Hole summit and outlines his thoughts on the future paths of Fed and ECB policy.00:00

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11:27

Jerome Powell ignites risk assets – next up: Nvidia...

Moving Markets ·

2024/08/26

Risk assets ended the week on a strong note after Jerome Powell made it almost certain that interest rates will be cut next month. This led to a further fall in the USD and gold closing above USD 2500 an ounce for the second week in a row. Oil prices rose on rising tensions in the Middle East, but only a little as investors seem to have become immune to short-term military exchanges in the region. Nvidia is due to report quarterly results after the US close on Wednesday - it could well

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11:41

Slower to lower?

Moving Markets ·

2024/08/23

Markets saw a decent pullback over the last 24 hours, with the S&P 500 recording its worst daily performance for over two weeks. Meanwhile, the 10-year Treasury yield moved back up to 3.85%. These moves reflected investors becoming more sceptical about the chances of rate cuts of 50bps this year, thanks to more positive data and comments from Fed officials yesterday. Tim Gagie, Head of FX & PM Solutions in Geneva, talks about why this should be positive for the US dollar and why he

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11:13

Anticipating Jackson Hole: stocks surge, yields dip,...

Moving Markets ·

2024/08/22

Stocks continue their upward march as markets gear up for the much-anticipated Jackson Hole Symposium, commencing today. Preliminary payroll revisions, coupled with the latest Federal Reserve meeting minutes, strongly indicate a potential rate cut in the US in September. This could also spell good news for gold as Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research, explains in today’s podcast – and there are more reasons to be positive on the price of the yellow metal.00:00 Introduction by

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17:09

Stock rally hits a wall on shaky investor sentiment

Moving Markets ·

2024/08/21

Global equities have paused in their winning streak, posting losses ahead of revisions to US jobs data due today. Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research, shares his thoughts into the future path of Fed policy. And Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy, outlines his sector preferences when it comes to equities.00:00 Introduction by Bernadette Anderko (Investment Writing)00:41 Markets wrap-up by Jonti Warris (Investment Writing)06:31 Fixed income strategy update: Dario Messi (Head of

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12:07

The recovery rally continues

Moving Markets ·

2024/08/20

European and US equities extended their rebound yesterday, starting the new trading week on a strong footing and maintaining the momentum built last week. Most Asian-Pacific markets followed suit, with Hong Kong and China being notable exceptions. Meanwhile, oil prices saw some relief following reports that Israel had accepted a proposal to resolve disputes hindering a Gaza ceasefire agreement. Joining today’s show is Manuel Villegas from Next Generation Research, who shares his expert

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