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PODCAST

5 in 5 with ANZ

Start your day with 5 in 5 with ANZ. You’ll hear the five things you need to know about the global economy and markets in under 5 minutes. Plus a deep dive into emerging trends and issues. Hosted by business and financial journalist Bernard Hickey, the podcast features exclusive insights from ANZ’s global team of experts. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/

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All Episodes

9:38

Tuesday: Global rout widens after Nikkei crash & yen...

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/08/05

The rout in global markets triggered by US recession fears and the unwinding of the yen carry trade ripped through markets overnight, although there are signs of it easing up this morning. In our bonus deep dive interview, we spoke to ANZ’s Head of FX Research Mahjabeen Zaman after a day of turmoil in Asian markets to find out what on earth was going on. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/

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9:22

Monday: Markets fear US recession

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/08/04

US stocks sold off sharply on Friday night and US bond yields fell to one-year lows after weaker than expected Non Farm Payrolls data. All eyes are on the RBA tomorrow for any signs of a dovish pivot. South Korea’s inflation was hotter than expected. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ NZ Senior Economist Miles Workman unpacks a downgrade in ANZ Research’s forecast track for NZ house prices. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer

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8:45

Friday: US 10-yr under 4% after weak ISM

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/08/01

US treasury yields drop sharply on more confidence the Fed can cut three times this year. The Bank of England cuts, but only just. China’s factory output contracts in July, and Australian exports to China fall. All eyes are now on US non-farm payrolls.In our bonus deep dive interview we return to our coverage of China’s weakening consumer confidence, with ANZ Agriculture Economist Susan Kilsby explaining why authorities’ attempts to revive consumer demand are struggling to get traction. Before

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10:00

Thursday: RBA hike bets gone; BoJ hikes; FOMC holds

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/07/31

The Fed holds and leaves the door wide open to cut in September. The Bank of Japan hikes and says more tightening could be on the way. RBA rate hike bets are all but off, as Q2 CPI rises less than expected, sending the Aussie dollar tumbling. And oil jumps on new conflict in the Middle East.In our bonus deep dive interview ANZ Senior Economist Catherine Birch explains what the Reserve Bank of Australia will be looking for to gain confidence it can cut rates from February. Before accessing this

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9:30

Wednesday: Big day for interest rates

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/07/30

It’s a big day for global interest rates with the FOMC expected to guide on a September rate cut and speculation the Bank of Japan could hike. Anticipation is also building around Australia’s Q2 CPI, and whether it might force the RBA to raise rates.In our bonus deep dive interview ANZ Agriculture Economist Susan Kilsby analyses the impact weakening consumer confidence in China is having on New Zealand’s key primary exports. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer

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8:26

Tuesday: Weaker US factories support Sept rate cut

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/07/29

US stocks rise and Treasury yields fall as weaker US manufacturing activity adds to signs the Fed can cut in September; the Aussie dollar continues its fall, but CPI data tomorrow could provide support, and Vietnam’s exports surge off the back of China’s supply chain diversification. In our bonus deep dive interview ANZ Group Chief Economist Richard Yetsenga examines what President Donald Trump version 2.0 might mean for global inflation, interest rates and trade. Before accessing this podcast,

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9:59

Monday: All eyes on FOMC and BoJ this week

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/07/28

US PCE data was in line with forecasts. The Fed is seen waiting until September before cutting, rather than this week. The Bank of Japan is expected to hike on Wednesday. The Bank of England is seen holding. NZ consumer confidence bounces.In our bonus deep dive interview ANZ Senior Commodities Strategist Daniel Hynes digs into the demand and supply issues hammering iron ore prices lower. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer

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9:33

Friday: US GDP stronger than expected

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/07/25

US GDP growth beats expectations. Tonight’s US inflation data could take the Fed within touching distance of 2% inflation. The Nikkei falls the most in eight years. South Korea’s GDP contracts, making an early rate cut more possible. In our bonus deep dive interview ANZ Economist Bansi Madhavani outlines why a September rate cut by the Bank of England is looking more likely than an earlier move in August. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer

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9:50

Thursday: US stocks slump, but Yen surges

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/07/24

US stocks have fallen sharply on weak earnings from Tesla and tech stocks. The Bank of Canada cuts again. A surging Yen is pushing the US dollar down and the Aussie and Kiwi dollars are being caught in the downdraft as well.In our bonus deep dive interview ANZ’s Chief Economist for Greater China Raymond Yeung explains what needs to happen to revive China’s domestic demand as consumers refuse to spend more, despite looser monetary policy. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer

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9:55

Wednesday: Global markets pause ahead of US data

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/07/23

Markets took a breather overnight to refocus on US GDP and inflation data tomorrow night. Australian consumer confidence improves as tax cuts arrive. India delivers lower Budget deficit and Singaporean inflation is below forecasts.In our bonus deep dive interview ANZ’s Senior Economist Blair Chapman analyses how Australia’s jobs market slowdown could accelerate. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/

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9:00

Tuesday: Markets digest what Harris Presidency could...

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/07/22

Kamala Harris’ backing to replace Joe Biden supports tech stocks, while a flight to safety sees the Aussie and Kiwi dollars both fall half a percent; European stocks rise on hopes of less trade friction under a Harris Presidency; And the People’s Bank of China surprises with an interest rate cut. In our bonus deep dive interview ANZ’s Chief Economist for Greater China Raymond Yeung extracts the meaning in a key phrase to come out last week’s Third Plenum communique, and what it means for China’s

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9:59

Monday: Joe Biden won't stand for second term

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/07/21

US President Joe Biden announced this morning he won’t seek a second term. That’s after US tech stocks fell sharply on Friday night on the Crowdstrike tech outages. Australasian and Asian markets will trade first after the news. In our bonus deep dive interview ANZ’s Head of Australian Economics Adam Boyton explains how Australian households are saving a lot more than many think. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/

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9:59

Friday: ECB holds, but set to cut twice more in 2024

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/07/18

The ECB holds its official interest rates and markets see an 80% chance it will be able to cut again in September. US stocks edge lower with ongoing tech stock nerves. Australian unemployment rises a bit, which is seen reassuring the RBA.In our bonus deep dive interview ANZ Commodity Strategist Soni Kumari tracks the boom-bust cycle for lithium in recent years, due to volatility in demand for EV batteries. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer

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9:58

Thursday: Nasdaq hit by Trump comments

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/07/17

The Nasdaq is down almost 3%, especially its chip stocks, after Donald Trump said Taiwan should pay for its own defence. New Zealand’s soft inflation figures support earlier rate cuts. ANZ Research now sees a cut in November.In our bonus deep dive interview ANZ Senior Asia Rates Strategist Jennifer Kusuma analyses the risks to economic growth in Asia over the second half of the year. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer

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9:59

Wednesday: Strong US retail sales can't dent rate cut...

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/07/16

Stronger US retail sales do little to dent September rate cut hopes. Gold hit a fresh high overnight. New Zealand inflation is being watched for signs of weakness. Australian consumer confidence falls again. Bank Indonesia looks set to hold rates.In our bonus deep dive interview ANZ’s Head of Asia Research Khoon Goh looks ahead to a possible fourth set of Renminbi reforms as Chinese authorities seek to boost the effectiveness of monetary policy. Before accessing this podcast, please read the

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9:59

Tuesday: US stocks rise on Trump bets

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/07/15

US stocks and the dollar firmed in the first day of trading after the assassination attempt on US Presidential candidate Donald Trump. China’s GDP growth was below expectations, and there’s further downbeat data on New Zealand’s economy. In part 2 of our bonus deep dive interview on China’s Third Plenum, ANZ Chief Economist for Greater China Raymond Yeung explores what the key meeting could mean for China’s private sector. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer

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8:58

Monday: Safe havens eyed after Trump assassination...

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/07/14

Markets are focused on safe havens after the assassination attempt on former President Trump. China’s exports are set to soften as US demand wanes. India’s CPI was above expectations, and NZ’s manufacturing sector falls deeper into recession. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Chief Economist for Greater China Raymond Yeung explains why this week’s third plenum meeting of China’s key leaders is so important. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer

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8:33

Friday: CPI fall thumps Treasury yields & US$ lower

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/07/11

US inflation was much softer than expected overnight, which shunted down Treasury yields and the US dollar. Rates were held in Korea, but with a dovish turn, and there’s more signs of a softening New Zealand economy for the RBNZ to think about.In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Economist Maddy Dunk looks at how the RBA views fiscal easings in state budgets because of cost-of-living measures. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer

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9:01

Thursday: NZD tumbles on RBNZ 'pivot'

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/07/10

Ahead of US June CPI data tonight, market bets are firm for a September cut by the Fed; The New Zealand dollar tumbles as markets see the Reserve Bank pivot towards a first cut, and there are official rates decisions today in Korea and Malaysia.In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ New Zealand Chief Economist Sharon Zollner discusses the importance of next week’s Kiwi CPI after a dovish turn by the RBNZ yesterday. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer

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9:36

Wednesday: Powell cites inflation progress, but wants...

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/07/09

US markets stick with September rate cut bets after the Fed Chair delivers ‘something for everyone’ in Senate appearance; Australian consumers are more gloomy after headlines the RBA could hike, and New Zealand’s Reserve Bank is expected to hold rates later today. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Head of FX Research Mahjabeen Zaman analyses where both the Aussie and Kiwi dollars are headed this year - and which looks set to come out on top. Before accessing this podcast, please read the

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