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PODCAST

Eurodollar University

Jeff Snider will guide you through the realm of monetary science. Multiple episodes uploaded each week, discussing big news and key current events, the state of markets and what they are telling you, as well as historical summaries and deep background material so that you can understand what’s really going on in this eurodollar’s world.

business investing

All Episodes

18:06

This Was the Final Straw to the Global Economy!

Eurodollar University ·

2024/10/20

This may end up being the final straw for what's left of the global economy. With more highly negative signals from copper, gold, oil and swaps, even bond spreads here, we're getting more impressions that the part rolling recession is now rolling right on into the full thing. If this one goes, that's usually it. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisBloomberg Carmaker Misery Is Dragging Down Global Credit Market

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18:05

BREAKING: 80% of Americans Are Broke and No One’s...

Eurodollar University ·

2024/10/18

A whopping 98% of American voters in one mainstream poll say the economy is a major concern, including 79% who rate it their top worry. Economists, the media, politicians, policymakers are at a loss to explain this. The latest data from the US government shows why that is, both the confusion and the underlying trouble. A vast majority of the evidence continues to consistently agree with what Americans are saying.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisNRF Census Retail Sales Data

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19:40

Worldwide Demand Nosedives 50% for Vital Economic Goods

Eurodollar University ·

2024/10/17

Wall Street was rocked by a huge plunge in orders for ASML, a company which produces machines that touch practically every part of the global economy. That was followed by another four-letter firm, LVMH, which reported a shock decline in revenue. Both showing the same thing from very different angles, further confirming - along with swap markets - why there will be another leg down in interest rates.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisASML Homehttps://www.asml.com/enASML Q4

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18:58

HOLY Sh*t: Bank Earnings are Out Showing MASSIVE Loan...

Eurodollar University ·

2024/10/16

We are in the thick of bank earnings and quarterly reports. The one theme they keep coming back to is...losses. It's become such a problem even JPM CEO Jamie Dimon snapped during his last earnings call. The thing is, in spouting off he told the truth about all of it. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisBloomberg Jamie Dimon Is Right. Forget the ‘Damn Number.’https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2024-10-14/jamie-dimon-is-right-analysts-need-to-look-beyond-their-modelsBank

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19:29

China is Spiraling Out of Control (Everything You...

Eurodollar University ·

2024/10/15

Another update from top Chinese officials on the status of "stimulus" comes amidst a flurry of macro and banking data from the country. While many will claim the former cancels out the increasingly grim nature of the latter, the previous data still matters at the very least to describe the size of the hole China will have to climb out of. Assuming it is even making a reasonable attempt to. That last press gathering provided few assurances. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro

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19:00

Jobless Claims Are About to Skyrocket

Eurodollar University ·

2024/10/14

A big jump in jobless claims actually muddies the picture for the labor market. Meanwhile, consumer prices that many in the mainstream are claiming as sticky...are. But not for the reasons stated. We're seeing "sticky" prices in the technical sense, and that's not good. Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van Metre Bloomberg Odd Lots Austan Goolsbee Explains the Fed’s Big Rate

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18:22

India is PLUNGING and it’s Spreading to the Rest of...

Eurodollar University ·

2024/10/14

The world’s major growth engine the past few years is showing more and worsening signs of finally cracking, including its currency hitting a record low just today. I’m not talking about the US, obviously, nor is it sickly China. India. If India has stumbled, too, as the rupee suggests, then there might be no escaping globally synchronized. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisBloomberg India’s Industrial Output Declines For First Time in Two

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31:46

BREAKING: Repo Data Exposes Major Trouble in the...

Eurodollar University ·

2024/10/11

There is a story brewing in repo. Fails have broken a long run trend and they did it in early August. Latest data from FRBNY says that's still the case. It fits with a bunch of other data as well as brings up the ongoing unwind in the real yen carry trade. Finally, behind all of it is US recession fears driving fails, collateral, Japan's withdrawal, and more. And you don't have to take my word for it; hear it (or read it) straight from a carry trader himself. Eurodollar University's Money

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20:48

China is Bailing Out Their ENTIRE Banking System

Eurodollar University ·

2024/10/10

While everyone - especially in Chinese and China-related stocks - get caught up in last month's "stimulus" frenzy, the overlooked the only real news that came out of it. Very quietly, the country's top bank regulator just casually mentioned the government was gathering a trillion yuan to "recapitalize" China's biggest six banks. Yeah. Meanwhile, volatility has hit the previously insane equity surge. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis***Eurodollar University's Fall

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18:41

Credit Card Shutdowns Begin: The First Sign of...

Eurodollar University ·

2024/10/09

Another recession warning and this one is related to brewing problems with unemployment. The September payroll report has put mainstream focus back on a soft- or no-landing scenario, but we've been there before not long ago. Meanwhile, apart from the unreliable payroll figure everything else continues to point to bigger trouble, including Americans who have stopped using their credit cards. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis***EURODOLLAR UNIVERSITY FALL SALE***Subscriptions

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17:47

Japan is CRASHING and it’s Spreading to the Rest of...

Eurodollar University ·

2024/10/08

US economic weakness continues to show up outside the country as much as inside (last payroll estimate notwithstanding). Japan's government leading indicator just tanked, lowest value since 2020 and pointing to growing trouble in Japan. Same from Mexico and even according to one by JP Morgan. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisBloomberg Ueda Hints at Dovishness After New Prime Minister Urges

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18:27

The "Profound" Impact of Rate Cuts Have BEGUN

Eurodollar University ·

2024/10/07

September's payroll estimate soared WAY above expectations. Is it a Fed miracle? This isn't the first time this has happened; in fact, each of the last two times the FOMC began cutting rates met eerily similar results. Steve and I talk about what those were and why, also why that means everything right now. Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van Metre***EURODOLLAR UNIVERSITY FALL SALE***Best subscription prices on the Deep Dive Analysis, Daily Briefing, and EDU

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18:27

How Fed Rate Cuts Actually Affect Interest Rates...

Eurodollar University ·

2024/10/06

The bond rally is now one year old and it finally got to the point where central banks - including the Fed - are getting out of the way. Now that the market got what it "wants", there's no stopping it, right? Not quite. Nothing ever goes in a straight line, starting with policy pivots. The market will always surprise you. ***EURODOLLAR UNIVERSITY FALL SALE***https://www.eurodollar.universityEurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

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19:46

Phase 2 of the Global Recession has Begun

Eurodollar University ·

2024/10/04

There are several ways to know that the second phase for the global recession has started. While there is never a clear demarcation between any stages or just recession, for that matter, there are telltale signs and we are getting them bigtime. Summer keeps showing up as full of warnings, including one that explains everything from the economy to central bankers' increasingly panicking reaction to it. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisBloomberg ECB Can’t Ignore Headwinds to

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18:32

You Won't Believe What The Bank Of Japan Just Did

Eurodollar University ·

2024/10/03

The Bank of Japan's very recent change of heart has apparently been strong enough to do the same for incoming Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba. Sounding aggressively hawkish where it came to interest rates just last week after his surprise ascent, suddenly he's completely changed his tune. Why? The answer can be found in another record low for a highly critical US$ market. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisBloomberg Ueda Keeps Rate Hikes in Play, Talks Down BOJ’s Part in

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18:50

Holy Sh*t! Jobs Have Completely Stopped Hiring

Eurodollar University ·

2024/10/02

Jay Powell again reiterated that he believes the economy is "on solid footing." The most recent data on the labor market shows he's either wrong or lying. There is no equivocating these latest estimates in which hiring has collapsed. As if that wasn't enough, it was backed up by other sources. All of it pointing to summertime being the time for recession. It's all about hiring, and that has all but disappeared. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisBloomberg Powell Says Fed Not

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18:00

Car Market Collapse Sends Major Warning to the Economy

Eurodollar University ·

2024/10/01

Car stocks got clobbered as the global auto industry is heading for a major fall. There was a flood of announcements from carmakers all over the world this weekend as carmakers are facing very difficult choices. The fallout from the growing reverse will be profound given how important a rising auto market had been up to now. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisStellantis Updates 2024 Financial

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17:46

Is The Election Holding The Economy Back (Answer May...

Eurodollar University ·

2024/09/30

Now that everyone is coming to grips with economic weakness, particularly where it comes to employment conditions, understanding the high potential for a lot more or worse, people are trying to figure out where it is coming from therefore what might be done to turn it all around. Did the Fed break the economy? Are employers worried about the next President? Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van Metrehttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

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18:15

People are Desperately Losing Hope in the Labor Market

Eurodollar University ·

2024/09/29

Americans continue to say they're alarmed about job prospects. That's what consumer confidence is truly about, not consumer spending. Workers see and understand labor market shifts before they show up in the major data sources. The latest income data show there is every reason to believe what consumers are seeing. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisConference Board September 2024https://www.conference-board.org/topics/consumer-confidence/press/CCI-Sep-2024FRBNY Consumer

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19:29

BREAKING: China Stimulus Changes Everything (Or Does...

Eurodollar University ·

2024/09/27

Not content to leave it with the PBOC's Oprah-fest of rate cutting, China's central authorities announced what's being called a massive stimulus push. The response has been near-euphoria in Chinese and other stocks, but the opposite in more crucial markets and places. All the more curious given how much other "stimulus" is being offered around the world, central bank rate cuts that are accelerating. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisThe Political Bureau of the CPC Central

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1,369 results

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