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PODCAST

5 in 5 with ANZ

Start your day with 5 in 5 with ANZ. You’ll hear the five things you need to know about the global economy and markets in under 5 minutes. Plus a deep dive into emerging trends and issues. Hosted by business and financial journalist Bernard Hickey, the podcast features exclusive insights from ANZ’s global team of experts. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/

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All Episodes

9:38

Tuesday: Eyes ahead to FOMC and CPI

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/06/10

European stocks fall after French President Emmanuel Macron’s surprise decision to call Parliamentary elections he is forecast to lose. We preview the Fed’s decision this week, and look out to US inflation dataIn our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ New Zealand Chief Economist Sharon Zollner talks about why she sees the Reserve Bank of New Zealand cutting in February next year, rather than May. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer

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9:07

Friday: ECB cuts, but reluctantly

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/06/06

The ECB cuts rates overnight as expected, but reluctantly. Australian housing lending jumps in April as rental property investors build up a head of steam, while building work slows in New Zealand.In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Senior Commodities Strategist Daniel Hynes reviews the OPEC+ meeting earlier this week and its impact on the oil market. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/

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9:42

Thursday: Australia hangs on to growth (just)

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/06/05

Stronger US services activity is shrugged off as rate cut hopes increase off the back of a cut by Bank of Canada and expectations the ECB will also move. Australia’s economy hangs onto growth, boosted by stronger household consumption.In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Senior Economist Catherine Birch highlights work Australia’s Fair Work Commission is undertaking on gender undervaluation. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer

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9:59

Wednesday: India's election curveball

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/06/04

India’s election throws a curveball into the markets, with Narendra Modi’s BJP failing to secure a majority; US markets increase Fed rate cut bets after soft job openings data; And in Australia, weaker net export figures could be a drag on GDP data out today.In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Economist Dhiraj Nim outlines what India’s election result could mean for fiscal and monetary policy there following the election result. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer

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9:43

Tuesday: Weak US data thumps yields lower

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/06/03

US Treasury yields and stocks fell overnight as weak manufacturing and construction data indicated monetary policy is reducing demand in the US; The Aussie and Kiwi are up as the US dollar fell. Oil fell 3.7% on supply news out of OPEC+. India’s Nifty 50 stocks index rose 3.3% after exit polls indicated a third term for PM Narendra Modi. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ FX Analyst Kausani Basak looks at why imports across Asia have started to improve since bottoming out last year. Before

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9:59

Monday: Markets set to celebrate Modi win

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/06/02

India’s markets are expected to celebrate after exit polls saw Narendra Modi winning a third term. India’s GDP was also above forecasts. China’s factory activity contracted in May. Australia’s Fair Work Commission is set to slow minimum wage inflation. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Chief Economist for Southeast Asia and India Sanjay Mathur explains how extreme temperatures in India, the Philippines and Indonesia are upending rice markets again. Before accessing this podcast, please read the

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9:59

Friday: Tax cuts from July 31 may worry RBNZ

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/05/30

Global markets are mixed ahead of US PCE data. US bond yields slide from highs, dragging the US dollar down. New Zealand’s new Government delivers tax cuts and more borrowing, which may worry the Reserve Bank.In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Pacific Economist Kishti Sen explains why he believes Fiji has a three-speed economy. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/

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8:23

Thursday: Fed rate cut bets pushed out

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/05/29

Fed rate cut bets are pushed out ahead of US economic and price data. Australian inflation was stronger-than expected in April, while construction fell surprisingly in Q1. Vietnam’s CPI is on the rise, and it’s Budget Day in New Zealand. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Senior China Strategist Zhaopeng Xing explains why moves in recent days to loosen home buying rules in China’s largest cities will do little to prop up demand. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer

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9:27

Wednesday: Why the RBA might care that Aussies are...

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/05/28

US consumer confidence rises while Australians grow gloomier. Rising rice prices are expected to feed into Vietnam inflation data. Aussies are drinking cheaper booze. We look at what that might tell the RBA. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Head of G3 Economics Brian Martin explains how car insurance pricing in the US has been causing issues for headline CPI inflation, and what it could mean for the Fed. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer

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9:45

Tuesday: ECB rate cut bets boosted

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/05/27

ECB rate cut bets were boosted after its French Governor suggested a July cut could follow after June. Chinese industrial profits rose in April, after March weakness. We also look at the weaker Yuan and the Philippine Peso in recent days. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Head of FX Research Mahjabeen Zaman reveals what happened to the US dollar in her study of the eight Fed easing cycles since 1990. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer

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8:52

Monday: Eyes ahead to US, Australia & European...

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/05/26

Markets are oscillating in tune with their views on when the Fed can cut, and it’s still not clear. We look ahead to Australian inflation data on Wednesday and New Zealand’s Budget on Thursday. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Senior Commodities Strategist Daniel Hynes analyses what China’s recent property market support package could mean for steel demand and the iron ore price. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer

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9:25

Friday: Rates seen high for longer after strong US PMIs

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/05/23

Global PMI surveys suggest the US economy is rollicking along in a way that might force the Fed to keep rates high for even longer. New Zealand retail sales bounce and there’s hope tax cuts in next week’s budget might give them more of a boost.In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Senior International Economist Tom Kenny reviews how the Bank of Japan’s commentary has shifted in recent months, and why that points to more rate hikes. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer

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9:04

Thursday: RBNZ turns hawkish; BoE might too

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/05/22

Stronger than expected inflation in the UK pushes out rate cut bets, as PM Sunak calls a snap election; New Zealand’s Reserve Bank turns hawkish and pushes out rate cuts; Indonesia holds rates; Singapore’s core inflation is expected to rise. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Senior Commodity Strategist Daniel Hynes looks ahead to a key meeting of global oil producers, and what it could mean for supply and the oil price. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer

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9:02

Wednesday: Hurdle for RBA hikes is lifted

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/05/21

Global markets are flat ahead of Fed minutes. The RBA board discussed a rate hike more than was thought. Aussie renters feel more confident after the Budget. There are rate decisions today in New Zealand and Indonesia. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Senior Commodity Strategist Daniel Hynes looks at why global oil demand has been dragged down recently. One reason is Americans are driving less. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer

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9:56

Tuesday: Yields still too low to unleash China's home...

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/05/20

US Fed officials see disinflation progress and indicate rate rises are unlikely. US dollar firms further vs the Yen. China property prices would need to fall 35% to trigger buyer interest because rental yields are still too low, says ANZ China Strategist Zhaopeng Xing. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ New Zealand Senior Economist Miles Workman looks at why New Zealand’s soggy economic outlook is unlikely to get much support from the RBNZ, which is expected to hold rates at 5.5%

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9:33

Monday: China launches property rescue plan

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/05/19

China has announced a major rescue package to buy unsold apartments and remove restrictions for homebuyers. New Zealand’s economy is soggy, but shouldn’t expect help from a rate cut any time soon. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Chief Economist for Southeast Asia and India Sanjay Mathur analyses what labour costs across Southeast Asian economies say about their regional competitiveness and productivity. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer

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9:30

Friday: Australian labour market may be weaker than...

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/05/16

The Dow rises through 40,000. Fed speakers see monetary policy working. US jobless claims and factory output data reinforce hopes for a rate cut or cuts later this year. Australia’s labour market may be softening faster than the RBA is expecting. In our bonus deep dive interview, following on from our coverage of China’s politburo declaring they want to reduce unsold property inventories, ANZ Chief Economist for Greater China Raymond Yeung say they need to be careful from a financial stability

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9:10

Thursday: Soft US CPI supports rate cut hopes

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/05/15

US Treasury yields are down after April CPI was softer than expected, but the Fed may still want to wait. The Aussie and Kiwi dollars jump. Good news for the RBA as Australian wage growth peaks. Japan’s economy may have contracted in Q1. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Head of FX Research Mahjabeen Zaman discusses ANZ’s call this week that the US dollar won’t weaken as much over the year as previously expected. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer

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9:26

Wednesday: Budget leaves RBA track unchanged

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/05/14

The US Fed Chair shrugs off stronger US producer prices ahead of CPI data tonight. Power rebates & tax cuts turn Australian budget surpluses into deficits, but also cut inflation. New Zealand’s property market continues to struggle. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Head of G3 Economics Brian Martin explains why monetary policies of the world’s major central banks are diverging. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer

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9:58

Tuesday: Markets tight ahead of US CPI

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/05/13

Markets are holding tight ahead of US price data. Australian business condition fall is ok for the RBA. India’s food prices rise, but inflation close to forecast. There was good and bad news on New Zealand’s inflation front. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Chief Economist for Greater China Raymond Yeung says the Chinese Politburo’s recent shift on property policy shows authorities are facing up to the reality of high inventories and low demand. Before accessing this podcast, please read the

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