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PODCAST

Eurodollar University

Jeff Snider will guide you through the realm of monetary science. Multiple episodes uploaded each week, discussing big news and key current events, the state of markets and what they are telling you, as well as historical summaries and deep background material so that you can understand what’s really going on in this eurodollar’s world.

business investing

All Episodes

18:21

Global Yield Curves Are Un-Inverting, Here's What You...

Eurodollar University ·

2024/09/26

It's not just USTs. Rates are falling all over the world faster in shorter maturities than long. That means a global wave of un-inversions and bull steepening right as more and more central banks plan to accelerate their own rate cutting. All of it for the same reason. Globally synchronized.***CHECK OUT EURODOLLAR UNIVERSITY's FALL SALE***https://www.eurodollar.universityEurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisNBB Is a recession imminent? The signal of the yield

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18:34

China Is Desperately Cutting Rates—is this the Start...

Eurodollar University ·

2024/09/25

Chinese authorities held a surprise press conference early this morning where PBOC Governor Pan Gongsheng did his best Oprah Winfrey impression handing out rate cuts to practically everyone. All that does is further expose the gravity of the situation: the more the central bank or any authority does, the worse you know it is since rate cuts never work. China just announced a lot of them. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisBloomberg China Unleashes Stimulus Package to Revive

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18:24

Europe's Disaster Is About To Spread To The World

Eurodollar University ·

2024/09/24

More confirmation that recession is coming back with a vengeance in Europe. The latest data indicates the dangers this time around including jobs and layoffs. This situation in Europe is hardly unique. This is why central bankers are out in force downplaying their own rate cuts; to the point a few policymakers are outright lying why they voted for them. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisBloomberg Fed’s Waller Says Slowing Inflation Led Him to Support Large Rate

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18:39

OMG! You Won't Believe The New Jobs Data

Eurodollar University ·

2024/09/23

The Fed just cut its benchmark rate by 50-bps even though jobless claims are among the lowest in their history. At the same time, CPI shelter prices have accelerated. Neither seems like it would warrant the Fed action yet there are good reasons to believe true unemployment is very different from claims and current market rents are plunging. Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van Metrehttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

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18:52

Here's What Happens to the Stock Market After the Fed...

Eurodollar University ·

2024/09/22

FedEx's CEO admitted some truth about the Fed's rate cut this week, and the stock was immediately punished for it, dropping 15% on Friday. This raises a bunch of questions, starting with: what happens to stocks in general when the Fed cuts rates? The answer is not what you think.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisCNBC FedEx quarterly profit disappoints as demand for speedy delivery

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18:11

You Won't Believe How Global Central Banks Responded...

Eurodollar University ·

2024/09/20

Now that the Fed has done it, everyone wants to get in on the act. They call it "undershooting" which is just a fancy word for "bonds were right." Switzerland, Canada, even the Europeans all thinking hefty and accelerated schedules. Leave it to the Brits to be the lone exception. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisBloomberg Bank of Canada Officials Split on Balance of Inflation

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19:53

Profound Implications from Feds Rate Cut Decision

Eurodollar University ·

2024/09/19

The Fed cut its benchmark rates by 50 bps in a panicky move to catch up to both the economy and the marketplace. Reaction in the latter was muted because this wasn't unexpected. All the FOMC did was confirm everything - and then deny that it did. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisBloomberg Fed Minutes Show Officials Rally Around Higher-for-Longer Rateshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-05-22/minutes-show-officials-rallying-around-higher-for-longer-ratesFOMC

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16:59

New Data Suggest Hiring Has NEVER Been this Bad

Eurodollar University ·

2024/09/18

People imagine a recession is when masses of people are being laid off and so consumer spending isn't just negative, it must be crashing. While those can happen in a downturn, they tend to show up at the end. So, if you're waiting for those to make a determination you'll be way too late. Evidence consistently and conclusively shows hiring not firing creates the recession environment that is marked by a drop in real spending. We have both.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro

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20:09

Americans Have Lost Hope in Their Economic Future

Eurodollar University ·

2024/09/17

Americans' hopes and dreams of better opportunities have utterly crashed and burned over the past five months. This isn't about more price increases, rather how those in the past have combined with recession prospects to rob the future. The 2020s have taken the worst aspect of the 2010s and added more trouble on top. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisLarry Summers The Age of Secular Stagnationhttps://larrysummers.com/2016/02/17/the-age-of-secular-stagnation/Larry Summers IMF

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17:36

Interest Rate Cuts Are Here, Here's What You Need To...

Eurodollar University ·

2024/09/16

Consumers can't afford groceries, so how is a lower reverse repo rate going to help them? Now that it is settled the Fed will cut rates next week, everyone wants to know by how much. The real story is what's behind the cuts in the first place and what that means for financial markets as well as the economy. It isn't the murder hornet rate. Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van Metrehttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

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19:42

China's Economic Crisis Just Got a Whole Lot Worse

Eurodollar University ·

2024/09/15

Authorities in China continue to do everything they can to derail the country's globally synchronized bond rally. It continues to hit record low yields anyway in spite of increasingly desperate government efforts. But why? More ugly data on banks, incomes, and Chinese jobs shows bonds are right, and not just about what's already happened to this point. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisChina Xinhua Xi Jinping presided over a symposium on comprehensively promoting ecological

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18:35

You Won't Believe What Europe's Central Bank Just Did

Eurodollar University ·

2024/09/13

The ECB cut rates for the second time, as expected, though amidst a strong bond/bund market rally that has now completely un-inverted that yield curve. This comes at a time when major businesses like Volkswagen are thinking about closing down factories due to how much idle capacity they have. What links all of these together, what explains all the facts, is that there was never a global recovery, only a transitory price illusion. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisBloomberg

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18:47

Bank Balance Sheet Reveals MASSIVE Systemic Stress

Eurodollar University ·

2024/09/12

It was all banks all day yesterday. Basel rules foul-up. Warren Buffett continuing to dump BofA. Citi dumping on credit. Deutsche unloading CRE, or trying to. JP Morgan downgrading...itself. Most of all Ally Financial admitting unemployment is fast becoming a big problem and right on its balance sheet. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisBloomberg JPMorgan Leads Banks in Dimming Outlooks, Spoiling Win on

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19:33

Interest Rates Are COLLAPSING Causing Panic Across...

Eurodollar University ·

2024/09/11

There's no September here as interest rates continue to plunge. The two-year UST is at a record low relative to the Fed. In the past when the two-year has dropped like this it has meant nothing good. Combined with the still ongoing crash in energy prices, we have a solid sense of what's coming next. And it isn't just a lot of rate cuts. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisCHECK OUT EURODOLLAR UNIVERSITY'S DDA SUBSCRIPTIONGO MUCH DEEPER AND STEP INTO THE BLACKHOLE OF MONEY AND

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18:31

China's Collapse Has Entered a Dangerous New Stage

Eurodollar University ·

2024/09/10

Interest rates continue to collapse in China even outpacing US Treasuries. Commodities are being crushed as prospects for the world's two largest economies are getting worse by the week; by the day. Over the weekend, the Chinese reported negatives in consumer and more so producer prices, adding more evidence to what is shaping up in bond markets and beyond as a looming deflation shock. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisBloomberg China’s Deflationary Spiral Is Now Entering

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19:24

Did the Fed Accidentally Leak Their Next Move?!

Eurodollar University ·

2024/09/09

We know there are Fed rate cuts coming in September and that there is very good chance it will be 50 bps. Could policymakers also surprise by ending QT (not that it matters)? Might that be a first step toward the next QE? It's not as far-fetched as you may think; after all, some at the Fed were talking rate hikes just two months ago. Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van MetreBloomberg Fed’s Waller Says Jobs Data ‘Requires Action,’ Open to Big

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19:23

Everything Is Melting Down ALL At Once

Eurodollar University ·

2024/09/08

More meltdowns across key markets, starting with the Treasury curve rapidly unwinding. Commodities are getting crushed, gasoline absolutely smoked. Swaps. Yen. The August payroll report only further confirmed the reasons why all this is happening. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisBloomberg OPEC+ Pauses Oil Supply Hike in Effort to Reverse Price

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19:04

History Shows us this ALWAYS Ends Badly

Eurodollar University ·

2024/09/06

Politicians always feel the need to do something even if they don't know why or what's actually wrong. That's all "price controls" really are since they sure don't control anything like prices. Unknown to most people, the US has already experimented with them running price and wage restrictions for several years. The results are conclusive. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisRobert Bleiberg Farewell to Wage and Price

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18:09

Japan is PLUNGING and it’s Spreading to the Rest of...

Eurodollar University ·

2024/09/05

Carry trade is back! In reality, it never left. Not because of BoJ rates hikes or threats, rather all the growing evidence the US isn't at risk of recession, so many indications showing it's here. Oil and gasoline are crashing. Curves unwinding. Forward rates project...a total mess. In time for all of the fun, JOLTS shows job openings plunge and layoffs jump.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisCNBC Job openings fell more than expected in July in another sign of labor market

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22:15

You Won’t Believe what Happened at the Discount Window

Eurodollar University ·

2024/09/04

While the world was focused on financial volatility and liquidations at the start of August, something odd happened at the Federal Reserve's Discount Window (DW). Given everything else that has gone on since then, starting with the yield curve then considering now-cracking commodities, plus foreigners' dollar buffers and even US dealer banks' collateral holdings, there aren't that many ways to interpret what banks are doing - or not - at the DW.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro

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1,369 results

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