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PODCAST

Moving Markets

Moving Markets is the home of podcasts at Julius Baer. Here, our expert teams share concise daily market updates in ‘Moving Markets Daily’ which is complemented by ‘Moving Markets: The View Beyond’, a weekly show dedicated to discussing the context, thematic angles, and investment implications behind key topics shaping the news cycle and conversations among our relationship managers and clients. The information contained in this podcast is marketing material. Opinions expressed do not constitute

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All Episodes

13:16

Nvidia now larger than the German stock market

Moving Markets ·

2024/05/24

Stronger US economic data reduces the case for an interest rate cut, weighing on gold, US Treasuries and global equities. Bucking the trend, Nvidia was up almost 10% and its market cap is now larger than the entire German stock market. The latest eurozone data points to a recovery. Ethereum received a big regulatory boost and the launch of spot Ether ETFs in the US looks more likely. Tim Gagie, Head of FX & PM Solutions Geneva, notes that the CHF, which has now weakened slightly, had

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14:54

NVIDIA trumps the US central bank

Moving Markets ·

2024/05/23

Equity markets are higher following NVIDIA's stellar results and despite news that the Federal Reserve may keep interest rates in restrictive territory for longer than expected. Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation, explains why the latest Chinese stimulus package has little impact on industrial metals, and Nicolas Jordan from our CIO office summarises the views and positioning of the bank's investment committee.00:00 Introduction by Bernadette Anderko (Investment Writing)01:02 Markets

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12:58

Investors brace for volatility as US markets soar

Moving Markets ·

2024/05/22

US stocks moved higher yesterday, with the S&P 500 closing at another all-time high, but not without signs of caution among investors ahead of Nvidia’s earnings announcement today. UK inflation has fallen to its lowest level in almost three years, although April’s drop was not as large as expected which helped the pound sterling jump to its highest level in two months. Dario Messi, Fixed Income Strategy, provides us with his insights into the impact of last week’s US CPI print on the

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10:50

Markets await Nvidia results

Moving Markets ·

2024/05/21

With artificial intelligence so prominent in our lives, it’s perhaps no surprise that one of the biggest players – Nvidia – is not only partially responsible for the current explosion in the sector, but will also be a key factor in where the markets go this week, given that it reports its results tomorrow. Wall Street firms are certainly lining up for good news so let’s hope that they are not disappointed. Stock markets continue to hit new highs, with gold and silver joining the party. Our

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12:10

Dow Jones reaches new milestone

Moving Markets ·

2024/05/17

Both European and US stock markets ended yesterday’s trading session in negative territory, but the Dow Jones made some positive headlines as it touched the significant milestone of 40,000 points for the first time in history. Macroeconomic data releases from the US continued to point to a stable or gradually cooling US economy, while China reported a mixed economic picture, weighing on Asia-Pacific markets. Tim Gagie, Head of FX & PM Solutions in Geneva, joins the show today to talk

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12:55

Softer US CPI sends stock markets to fresh highs

Moving Markets ·

2024/05/16

Global equities are rallying on yesterday's lighter-than-expected US Consumer Price Index data, with investors snapping up stocks and riskier currencies. The data has led traders to raise their bets that the Fed will cut its policy rate at least twice this year. And after a recent rally in copper prices, Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research, discusses whether the copper market has moved too far, too fast.00:00 Introduction by Helen Freer (Investment Writing)00:24 Markets wrap-up

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15:20

Stocks rise ahead of key US data

Moving Markets ·

2024/05/15

A rally in big tech drove US equities close to their all-time highs as bond yields fell, with investors awaiting key inflation data for clues on the Federal Reserve’s next steps. And meme stocks are back on investors’ radar. GameStop surged 180% this week alone, raising questions about the prevailing market sentiment. Markus Allenspach, Head of Fixed Income Research, talks about how to navigate through volatile bond markets around CPI data. And Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy,

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12:20

US inflation is top of mind, even for Bitcoin

Moving Markets ·

2024/05/14

Financial markets are in wait-and-see mode ahead of US inflation data today and tomorrow, as well as Alibaba and Tencent earnings later today. French President Emanuel Macron said he is open to a major French bank being taken over by a European rival, in a bid to spur deeper financial integration in the euro bloc. Yields on 20-year Japanese government bonds rose to their highest level since 2013. Manuel Villegas, Next Generation Research, says that like any risk-on asset, Bitcoin is

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12:10

A great week for equities … and the show’s set to...

Moving Markets ·

2024/05/13

Equity markets closed last week stronger than they started it and futures broadly project the upward trend to continue today. Nevertheless, China’s latest inflation data over the weekend was disappointingly strong and the news today that China will begin an ultra-long bond selling programme was not enough to support onshore equities today. Hong Kong’s equity benchmark however climbed to its highest level since August 2023. With oil prices moving sideways and precious metals moving higher,

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13:26

Over USD 800 billion in US Treasury supply coming

Moving Markets ·

2024/05/10

A higher-than-expected reading on US jobless claims rekindled expectations of earlier interest rate cuts this year, helping US equities to close at their highest levels ever. After the Swedish Riksbank cut interest rates on Wednesday, the Bank of England gave clear indications at its policy meeting yesterday that rate cuts are on the horizon. Meanwhile, demand for corporate bonds remains very strong, although risk premiums on debt remain very tight. And Hong Kong stocks are rising on a

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16:48

Stocks struggle to hold on to gains

Moving Markets ·

2024/05/08

While European markets ended the day firmly in the green yesterday, US equities struggled as investors remained fixated on when the Federal Reserve will start cutting interest rates. Asian markets followed the US lower, with Japanese equities underperforming and the recent rally in Hong Kong and mainland China came to a halt. Oil fell close to its lowest level since mid-March, while gold held steady this morning. Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy, and Tim Gagie, Head of FX & PM

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10:54

Markets ride a wave of optimism

Moving Markets ·

2024/05/07

Global equity markets are rallying further as investors continue to revise their Fed policy bets after last week’s softer US jobs data. Asian stocks are hitting 15-month highs on renewed confidence in US interest rate cuts, while encouraging PMI data shows further evidence that the eurozone economy is healing. And as Bitcoin shows renewed strength, Manuel Villegas, Next Generation Research, provides us with an update on digital assets.00:00 Introduction by Helen Freer (Investment

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12:00

A goldilocks jobs report?

Moving Markets ·

2024/05/06

Fed Chair Powell’s ‘No hike’ message and weaker-than-expected labour market data was the perfect combination for a strong end to the week for financial markets. Off the back of this, equity markets continued their uptrend after a difficult start to the month. And Chinese equities joined other regions in entering bull market territory. Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, talks about the improved sentiment for equity markets after April’s weakness, why he expects US Treasury yields to

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12:05

Earnings still a key market driver

Moving Markets ·

2024/05/03

Swiss inflation data yesterday showed that the Swiss National Bank is in a comfortable position compared to its peers, but Swiss equity markets are clearly underperforming year-to-date. Strong earnings reports lifted US equities while markets also breathed a sigh of relief that the Fed meeting was less hawkish than feared. Oil and gold are both higher this morning as investors turn their attention to macroeconomic data releases later this afternoon. Tim Gagie, Head of FX & PM Solutions

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11:36

Fed hold underscores higher-for-longer narrative

Moving Markets ·

2024/05/02

After the US Fed announced a hold in interest rates as expected, Fed chair Powell said that fighting inflation was taking longer than expected but he poured cold water on speculation that the central bank’s next move would be to raise rates. Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research, discusses the recent spike in the price of gold and assesses the impact of Chinese demand and central bank buying.00:00 Introduction by Helen Freer (Investment Writing)00:31 Markets wrap-up by Jonti

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15:01

A surprisingly good US earnings season

Moving Markets ·

2024/04/30

German inflation accelerated for the first time since December, while China PMI data releases point to a slowly healing economy and Tesla's 15% gain helps the S&P 500 close slightly higher. Japanese stocks are gaining, with the focus on yesterday's currency intervention. Samsung's profits rise on AI demand for its chips, while German carmakers report a drop in profits. Manuel Villegas, Next Generation Research, says that macro-economic factors are in the driving seat when it comes to

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11:43

Earnings season keeps investors busy

Moving Markets ·

2024/04/29

Equity markets ended a volatile week on a strong note, with US markets recording their best week since November. Earnings generally boosted markets, although US inflation and activity data were worrying, and yields remained elevated. In the commodities space, M&A talks are adding some noise as miners look to increase their share of copper production. Markus Wachter from our Technical Analysis team talks about the technical setup of the markets and what to expect from equities,

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10:41

Monetary policy and earnings in the spotlight

Moving Markets ·

2024/04/26

While central bankers in Europe are sending signals that monetary easing may be around the corner, the Bank of Japan left its key interest rate unchanged overnight. Meanwhile in the US, stocks tumbled after data showed a sharp slowdown in economic growth and pointed to persistent inflation. The earnings season continues to make headlines, particularly the big tech companies, whilst Anglo American has rejected BHP's takeover bid. Tim Gagie, Head of FX & PM Solutions in Geneva, joins the

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16:06

Are AI-related earnings expectations impossible to meet?

Moving Markets ·

2024/04/25

Markets have had a challenging 24 hours, with equities flat in the US but lower in Europe as bonds sold off and disappointing revenue guidance from Meta weighed particularly on the tech sector overnight. Our Head of Economics & Next Generation Research, Norbert Rücker, talks about the energy market amid geopolitical risks, and Nicolas Jordan from the CIO office talks about the impact of endogenous and exogenous risks on markets and how they have adjusted their asset allocation amidst

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11:58

Equities buoyed by strong corporate and economic data

Moving Markets ·

2024/04/24

While the earnings season remains in focus, yesterday’s release of PMI data from around the globe helped to assess the economic environment. Equity markets across the board posted positive gains as investors bought into the dip in tech stocks and a strong batch of corporate earnings eased concerns about higher interest rates. In the Asia-Pacific region, Australia reported a slowdown in inflation, while the Bank of Japan is again said to be looking at currency intervention. Mathieu Racheter,

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