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PODCAST

5 in 5 with ANZ

Start your day with 5 in 5 with ANZ. You’ll hear the five things you need to know about the global economy and markets in under 5 minutes. Plus a deep dive into emerging trends and issues. Hosted by business and financial journalist Bernard Hickey, the podcast features exclusive insights from ANZ’s global team of experts. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/

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All Episodes

9:58

Friday: ECB on track to cut before Fed

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/04/11

The ECB held its policy rate overnight and remains on track to cut in June - before the Fed. China inflation data weaker than expected. Singapore’s GDP figures to include a Taylor Swift effect. Traders are on yen intervention watch.In our bonus deep dive interview on the oil outlook, ANZ Senior Commodities Strategist Daniel Hynes says any jump towards US$100/bbl is likely to spark an OPEC supply response. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at

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9:54

Thursday: Strong CPI hits US rate cut hopes

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/04/10

A strong US CPI has pushed back expectations for a fully-priced rate cut by the Fed from July to November. US Treasury yields are up 20 basis points and US stocks fell. The Aussie and Kiwi dollars have fallen more than 1% this morning. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Chief Economist for Southeast Asia and India, Sanjay Mathur, has reviewed March PMI data for Asia’s main economies (ex-China), and says India’s exceptionalism showed through. Before accessing this podcast, please read the

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7:54

Wednesday: US yields fall on CPI hopes

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/04/09

Treasury yields fall on hopes inflation is moderating. The Yen firms after reports the BoJ may raise its inflation outlook. Taiwan’s CPI is lower than forecast. Australian consumers see higher inflation. The RBNZ is expected to hold its cash rate. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Economist Bansi Madhavani looks at what’s at stake in South Korea’s general election today for fiscal and monetary policy. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at

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9:46

Tuesday: Traders reduce Fed cut bets

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/04/08

US Treasury yields hit fresh 2024 highs overnight as traders continued to reprice expectations for Fed rate cuts. The Philippines’ central bank holds but turns hawkish on inflation risks. Australia’s housing imbalance is expected to keep supporting prices. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Senior Commodities Strategist Daniel Hynes explains what’s driving gold’s stunning rally. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at

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8:59

Monday: Markets eye rate cuts by ECB, Fed

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/04/07

Stronger than forecast US jobs growth pushed up Treasury yields on Friday night, but wage growth was more moderate, leaving the Fed still on track for a rate cut in July. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Pacific Economist Kishti Sen says Fiji needs to build four-and-a-half thousand new hotel rooms over the next decade. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/

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9:54

Friday: Eyes ahead to 200k US jobs growth

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/04/04

All eyes are on US non-farm payrolls tonight. Australian households spent plenty going to Taylor Swift concerts; Building approvals weaken on both sides of the Tasman, and Kiwi house values track sideways.In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Commodities Strategist Soni Kumari looks at why you paid so much more for your Easter eggs this year - a soaring cocoa price. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/

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9:35

Thursday: Powell says 'wait and see'

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/04/03

US jobs growth beat expectations overnight, but was offset by weaker services sector growth. Fed Chair Jerome Powell is in ‘wait and see’ mode on rate cuts this year. Gold is over US$2,300/oz this morning. Australian consumers expect higher inflation In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Economist Krystal Tan looks at the inflation and interest rate outlooks across Asia for the rest of 2024. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at

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8:47

Wednesday: Stocks fall on rate cut caution

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/04/02

Global stock markets weakened overnight on further evidence that interest rates might stay higher for longer. Oil hit its highest price since October last year on fears around global supply, and Australian house prices continue their march upward. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Head of G3 Economics Brian Martin, says the US Federal Reserve and the ECB won’t want real interest rates to rise as inflation falls. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at

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9:57

Tuesday: US rate cut bets retreat

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/04/01

Treasury yields are jumping as strong US manufacturing data increases doubt about a rate cut by the Fed in June. That broke a surge in the Gold price, which had earlier hit a new high overnight. China’s manufacturing activity is also on the rise. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Head of G3 Economics Brian Martin, says this quarter’s data is where the rubber will meet the road for whether central banks can cut rates this year. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at

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10:00

Thursday: Australian inflation shakes off Taylor Swift

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/03/27

Markets are on yen intervention alert. Australian inflation data was softer than expected. China’s industrial profits beat expectations. And New Zealand’s Government is set to borrow more as its economy slows.In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Pacific Economist Kishti Sen explains why Papua New Guinea’s depreciating currency is not driving structural change. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/

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8:08

Wednesday: Inside a herd of FX forecasters

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/03/26

Markets are mixed ahead of key US inflation data and Easter holidays for many. US consumers feel more confident. Australian renters are much less confident than home owners. New Zealand budget policy detail is due later today. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Data Scientist Somayeh Shiri reveals her findings from an analysis of herding behaviour among foreign exchange forecasters. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at

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9:47

Tuesday: Emerging Asia rides AI chips boom

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/03/25

Markets are unsettled this morning, with oil and gold up solidly on geo-political concerns in the Middle East and Eastern Europe. There’s more Fed-speak and ECB-speak about when rates might be cut, and by how much. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Chief Economist for Southeast Asia and India, Sanjay Mathur sorts through emerging Asia’s Q4 GDP data to find the winners and themes, especially with the boom in advanced chip manufacturing. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer

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10:00

Monday: RBA still on track for November cut

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/03/24

The US$ starts the week strong vs the A$, NZ$ and yen after a dovish BoJ hike and markets seeing fewer Fed rate cuts this year. Market attention is on Australian inflation data on Wednesday for signals on whether the RBA can cut in November. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Senior Commodities Strategist Daniel Hynes visits China and finds surprisingly resilient demand for iron ore. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at

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10:00

Friday: Surprisingly, Taiwan hikes and SNB cuts

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/03/21

Taiwan’s central bank hikes unexpectedly, while the Swiss National Bank surprises with the first rate cut of the majors. The Bank of England holds. Strong Australian jobs growth hits hopes for an early rate cut from the RBA. New Zealand is in recession.In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Chief Economist for Greater China Raymond Yeung surveys the seven key ‘D’ risks facing China in the year of the Dragon, starting with Deflation. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at

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8:47

Thursday: Fed holds, but sees one less cut in 2025

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/03/20

The Fed has just held its Fed Funds Rate as expected, but has raised dot plot track by around 25 basis points in 2025. British inflation slowed in February, but the Bank of England is still expected to hold; The BoJ is watching a weak yen closely, and New Zealand GDP today could show a technical recession. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Senior Economist Blair Chapman investigates a new trend of Australian job seekers holding off starting new jobs in January, and why that could affect today’s

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9:42

Wednesday: BoJ hikes and RBA turns dovish

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/03/19

The Bank of Japan has scrapped negative interest rates, hiking for the first time in 17 years. The Yen fell. US Treasury yields also fell ahead of the Fed’s decision tonight. The RBA held, but turned slightly dovish, which pushed the Aussie dollar down. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Commodities Strategist Soni Kumari looks at how record US oil output changes the outlook for oil prices this year. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at

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9:53

Tuesday: Traders reduce bets Fed will cut in June

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/03/18

US Treasury yields and the dollar rose overnight as traders pared back expectations of the Fed’s rate cuts. Japan’s Nikkei closed up over 2.5% on expectations of a dovish Bank of Japan hike today, and the RBA is set to hold, but maintain a tightening bias In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Senior Economist Miles Workman says New Zealand is at risk of a credit rating downgrade because of a high current account deficit. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at

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9:30

Monday: Eyes on Bank of Japan for historic move

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/03/17

The Bank of Japan, the Reserve Bank of Australia, the US Federal Reserve and the Bank of England are all scheduled to make rates decisions this week. The BoJ may even hike. In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ strategist Soni Kumari analyses how China’s shift to renewable power is shifting demand for commodities. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/

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9:48

Friday: US PPI inflation hotter than forecast

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/03/14

US producer price inflation data was hotter than expected. US bond yields are up, as is the US dollar. US stocks are down. House prices in New Zealand are flat, although net migration to NZ set new record highs. Iron ore could fall under US$100/tonne.In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Chief Economist for Greater China Raymond Yeung wraps up his analysis of China’s National People’s Congress and explains why the focus is shifting away from the annual growth target to longer-term structural

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9:35

Thursday: Oil jumps after Russian refinery explosions

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2024/03/13

Oil prices surge after Ukrainian attacks on Russian refineries. US stocks dip ahead of key retail sales data. The Bank of Japan is set to hike to 0.0% as wages surge. The ECB is seen cutting in June. Inflation in New Zealand may beat the RBNZ’s forecast.In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Chief Economist for Greater China Raymond Yeung explains how a two-tiered property system is emerging in China as authorities promote affordable housing over the private market, which could take pressure off a

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