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PODCAST

Eurodollar University

Jeff Snider will guide you through the realm of monetary science. Multiple episodes uploaded each week, discussing big news and key current events, the state of markets and what they are telling you, as well as historical summaries and deep background material so that you can understand what’s really going on in this eurodollar’s world.

business investing

All Episodes

18:56

The Global Monetary System Is Reliant on Swap Spreads...

Eurodollar University ·

2024/07/18

Swaps are of paramount importance to the financial world, priced by the very monetary system itself. As a consequence, swap market indications are even more critical than the yield curve. But what does it all mean, and how can you decipher what appear its confusing signals? A few minutes on some manageable basics and you're ready to read the market's big move.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisEURODOLLAR UNIVERSITY'S LIVESTREAM NEXT TUESDAY, 7/23 btw 6 - 8 pm ETEURODOLLAR

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17:36

We Need to Discuss the Yield Curve Immediately

Eurodollar University ·

2024/07/17

Another part of the yield curve un-inverted, this time the short to long segment. Demonstrating the perpetual inability to make sense of it, mainstream sources are suggesting some "Trump trade" is behind this. No. Unequivocally no. The classic bull case is building and this is merely the latest nascent signal. It isn't complete yet, but incoming data including today's negative retail sales continues to suggest the same case.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisEURODOLLAR

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20:09

It's Over: China’s ENTIRE Economy Just Collapsed

Eurodollar University ·

2024/07/16

It started Friday when China's central bank reported more than just new record low credit stats, the deterioration over the past few months has been astounding. That obviously spread to the Chinese economy which the government confirmed today with ugly data across-the-board, big miss in GDP and grim numbers on retail sales. Yet, everyone wants more "stimulus" that all this data proves didn't stimulate a thing. Something to keep in mind when thinking about upcoming Fed rate cuts.Eurodollar

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19:07

The Japanese Government Is Getting Desperate As The...

Eurodollar University ·

2024/07/15

Why does the Japanese government keep intervening trying to prop up the yen, and why does it keep failing? This isn't just about the yen or Japan, nor is it completely a matter of what's unfolding right now. There is a deeper truth that needs to be made more widely which applies universally to monetary systems around the world. And the yen's crash is the clearest example. Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van MetreCHECK OUT OUR ANNIVERSARY SALE PRICES

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18:18

Inflation Report Reveals the Truth About the Economy

Eurodollar University ·

2024/07/14

There was an unnoticed yet absolutely critical detail in the June CPI report that pointed to a lot more than just benign disinflation, a development that has only rarely been observed in decades of history. More disturbing still, the context behind this one is consistent with those few past instances including a few new pieces of subsequent information. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisFOMC Transcript April

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18:23

Bombshell CPI Report Shocks The Market (Here's What...

Eurodollar University ·

2024/07/12

The June consumer price estimates at first seemed like good news. Two months in a row at low and now negative changes. But these past two months have shown a little more weakness than most had bargained for, instead so many of the details consistent with recession indications spilling out from all over the economy. No wonder bond yields dropped sharply, though, alarmingly, swap spreads got there well before today. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisBLS June 2024

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19:44

You Won't Believe What's Happening in China

Eurodollar University ·

2024/07/11

Chinese authorities are becoming increasingly desperate over their inability to stabilize any of the economy, banking system, or markets. CNY keeps going down, as does the economy. Banks in China aren't lending while dozens are now 'disappearing.' Safety/liquidity of government bonds makes perfect sense. Not to the PBOC which is going to be shorting it by hundreds of billions and this is why.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisEURODOLLAR UNIVERSITY ANNIVERSARY SALE

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17:08

LEAKED: Interest Rate Cuts Are Coming?!

Eurodollar University ·

2024/07/10

From 'strong and resilient' to 'uh oh' in a heartbeat. The unemployment rate has intruded itself on the soft landing narrative, forcing a near-total rethink of the situation all across the mainstream. Some major bank strategists are now calling for aggressive rate cuts from the Fed at the same time the yield curve is beginning to flash bull. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisEURODOLLAR UNIVERSITY ANNIVERSARY SALE PAGEhttps://www.eurodollar.university/anniversary-saleFed

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17:45

Europe is Now In Full Blown Crisis Mode (what does...

Eurodollar University ·

2024/07/09

Political turmoil in Europe is very easy to understand. The European economy is supposed to be recovering from its unofficial recession, and yet the most recent data shows instead alarming (re)acceleration to the downside in a number of places. Realizing this means the path to clawing back some of the supply shock's price increases is disappearing, voters are simply voting accordingly. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisPew Research Center Economic ratings across 34 countries

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18:49

Oh Sh*t, The Job Market Just Broke

Eurodollar University ·

2024/07/08

Unemployment in the US is now steadily moving higher. The June 2024 employment report contained more substantial downward revisions, evidence more employers are cutting hours, and most concerning is another increase to the unemployment rate. And, contrary to many claims, it's not the "good" kind of rising unemployment.Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van MetreBLS Employment Situation Summary June 2024https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htmBloomberg The US Economic

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18:26

Phase 2 of the Commercial Real Estate Collapse Has Begun

Eurodollar University ·

2024/07/07

According to multiple recent reports, banks are very quietly selling out of CRE positions. Those reports are backed up by banking data which clearly shows an inflection in systemic loans in the space. Combined, we have strong evidence showing the second stage of the CRE bust has now started. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisReuters Big US banks withstand Fed's commercial real estate shock

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57:42

What Comes After the Dollar dies

Eurodollar University ·

2024/07/06

Modern economies have been moving in the direction of ledger money not for years or decades, for centuries. The world's current reserve currency, the eurodollar, merely represented the second stage in the evolutionary process. Now that it has surpassed its useful life, the door is wide open for the third stage which seems tailor-made for something like Bitcoin. Why hasn't the digital ledger taken advantage of the opportunity? Is there some other kind which is?Eurodollar University's Special

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19:18

This Could Force the Fed to Cut Rates in July

Eurodollar University ·

2024/07/04

Fed officials have repeatedly stated they are going to be patient before pivoting to rate cuts. But that would only be the case if the economy is actually strong and resilient. Should the labor market show signs of falling off dramatically, they'd cut their rates in a hurry. Today's macro data were filled with exactly those kinds of warning signs. EURODOLLAR UNIVERSITY'S ANNIVERSARY SALE - DETAILS AT https://eurodollar.universityEurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisBloomberg

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23:09

Recession Warning Signs You Need To Be Watching (w/...

Eurodollar University ·

2024/07/03

If you want to watch the full interview check it out at https://www.eurodollar.universityEveryone wants to know the answer to the recession question. So, by very popular demand, Eric Basmajian of EPB Macro Research checks in with Jeff on the unusual state and status of the US business cycle. The whole monumental matter just might come down to houses. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysishttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

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16:09

China's Treasury Market Just Hit a Record Low

Eurodollar University ·

2024/07/02

Government bond yields in China just plunged to more record lows as market agents are growing even more pessimistic. The unquenchable demand for safe and liquid assets has the PBOC getting ready to sell bonds into a marketplace that is increasingly concerned about a lot more than Chinese issues. More strong evidence for globally synchronized.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisBloomberg Economists Raise China Growth Forecasts as Exports

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19:14

Oh Sh*t, GLOBAL Unemployment Is Rising (What does...

Eurodollar University ·

2024/07/01

Soft landings and resilient economy supported by strength in labor markets. At least that's the narrative, the truth is completely different. Much of the developed world is being swept up in a wave of rising unemployment. Yes, including the US.;/Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van MetreBank of Canadahttps://www.bankofcanada.ca/2024/06/opening-statement-2024-06-05/https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

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18:41

The Japanese Yen Is CRASHING (what this means for the...

Eurodollar University ·

2024/06/30

Another new low for JPY as the Japanese government is shuffling up its top Finance Ministry people. Everyone continues to blame the Fed for the yen's crash but the evidence conclusively shows that's not it. This only raises the question, what is it? The yen's own track record holds the answer and it is one that applies to you.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisReuters Japan names new FX diplomat as yen hits 38-year

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18:06

Walgreens Warns: People Have Suddenly Stopped Coming

Eurodollar University ·

2024/06/28

Retail and Pharmacy giant Walgreens now says there won't be a second half rebound after all, not according to its view of the consumer economy. It was seconded by Levi's and then European behemoth H&M. All of that ties together with a record low in US pending home sales and a summer driving season that's already an enormous bust as recession forces bear down.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisNBCNews Walgreens plans store closures as CEO says consumers 'stunned' by

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20:25

You Won't Believe What China's Central Bank Is Doing

Eurodollar University ·

2024/06/27

China's top central banker confirmed last week the intention to radically change the operations of the Peoples' Bank of China. Some have speculated this equates to an imminent QE, but that has nothing to do with the reform. We've seen this before. The issue is bank, not central bank. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisBNP Implications of China's Impaired Transmission Mechanismhttps://docfinder.bnpparibas-am.com/api/files/f3e3ee55-9e19-455f-a1a6-08123581e2e9SCMP Xi Jinping to

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18:38

Primary Dealer Banks Showing Signs Of Global...

Eurodollar University ·

2024/06/26

There have been a whole bunch of ripples through the monetary system coming in from all angles pointing toward a sizable collateral disruption. The primary culprit(s) appears to be from Europe, starting in bond spreads surging off election uncertainty though we can't discount the ECB's rate cut as a factor. The eurodollar aftershocks are pronounced regardless of origin.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisIOSCO Securities Lending Transactions: Market Development and

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1,369 results

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