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Market Watch

Dovish or hawkish? Over or underweight? Bull or Bear? Investor paralysis? We speak to leading local and foreign analyst to find out how the different asset classes and markets will react to the latest news, results and even geopolitical events.

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All Episodes

5:50

On Inflation in Asia and Oil Prices Post-Osama

Market Watch ·

2011/05/03

Credit Suisse Economist Wu Kun Lung in Singapore concurs with the IMF that inflation has not cut into growth yet, and talks about unchecked increases in oil and food prices shaving growth across Asia over the next two years. He also discussed food inflation in greater depth. He expects only short term impact on sentiment from Osama bin Laden's death on crude oil prices. He talks about the relationship between currency appreciation and inflation. Interest rates in Malaysia likely to be on hold this

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3:55

Osama's Death Causes Uncertainty in Markets

Market Watch ·

2011/05/03

Malcolm E Polley, President andCIO of Stewart Capital Advisors in Pennsylvania sees much uncertainty in the markets over the likely fallout from the killing of Osama bin Laden. He also talked about whether he feel safer post-Osama's death. He expect Osama's death to continue driving the markets for the full week. Separately, he expects the Chinese economy to slow down, leading to insufficient jobs in China, which is rather worrying. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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8:37

Manulife: ETP-Related Stocks and Agriculture Counters...

Market Watch ·

2011/04/29

Jason Chong, CEO of Manulife Asset Management talked about the impact of speculation about Malaysia general elections taking place in 2012, on the FBM KLCI. He also discussed his views on consumer stocks, motor stocks, crude oil prices and themes he's pursuing. He ended with whether he'd be selling in May. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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5:37

Of Dollar Bounce, US Q1 GDP and Trichet's Replacement

Market Watch ·

2011/04/29

Tim Mulholland of China America Capital Company in Chicago views US GDP for Q1 of 1.8% as transitory, explains why and what's the impact on investor sentiment. He tells us what else he would have liked for Ben Bernanke to answer, and notes similiarities between Ben Bernanke and Alan Greenspan approach to problem-solving: printing more money. He talks about how low unemployment would have to go before the Fed raises rates. He also discussed where he sees the dollar stabilising and notes that the

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3:08

CIMB: MYR at 2.90 in Short Term, But Unsustainable

Market Watch ·

2011/04/28

Suresh Ramanathan of CIMB said Fed Reserve's announcements were mostly in line with expectations except for the raised inflation forecast. Previous inflation guidance was at 1.7%, now at 2.8%. So, not much impact on Ringgit Dollar relationship. Sees RM at 2.90 in next 2-3 weeks, but sees it as unsustainable, moving to 3.01 come June, explains why. He's sitting on the fence where Bank Negara rate hikes on May 5th are concerned.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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7:02

AUD at 110 US Cents in Short Term

Market Watch ·

2011/04/28

Ben LeBrun, market analyst and commentator at CMC Markets in Sydney, says Fed Reserve announcements would give some confidence in US markets which translates well for Asia Pac, Australia. Ben Bernanke usually dovish, nothing much changed from what he said. LeBrun also talked about the impact on tourism and manufacturing in Australia. Likelihood of RBA rate hikes depends on upcoming data, consumer, employment numbers, future inflation figures. Agrees with consensus which say rate hike by 25 basis

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6:50

OCBC: Range Trading Ahead for RM, Expects Status Quo...

Market Watch ·

2011/04/27

OCBC Currency Strategist Emmanuel Ng in Singapore attributes the Ringgit's strength to an interplay of positive external environment in favour of RM with domestic rate hike expectations. Though market expecting rate hikes in May, he explains why he thinks rates will be on hold until second half of this year. He'll be looking out for how Fed plans to turn the ship around. He has a nagging suspicion that Ben Bernanke will not surprise the market during his upcoming news conference. If he does, markets

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4:16

Same Old Expected from Fed, Alongside Strong Q2

Market Watch ·

2011/04/27

Dr Michael Yoshikami, YCMNET Advisors said it's likely there's an implicit policy that dollar weakness helps economic recovery. He's expecting more of the same from the Fed ie things are getting better etc. QE2 until June, from Ben Bernanke's much touted news conference. He expects the Fed to continue to talk interest rates down. Where instituting meaningful tax increases are concerned, the issue now is excessive government spending. In order to have deficit relief, government would need to cut

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3:40

Sarawak Plantation Not Aware of SALCRA's Move

Market Watch ·

2011/04/26

The Edge reported that sources say, the Sarawak Land Consolidation and Rehabilitation Authority ie SALCRA is eyeing a 30.3% stake in Sarawak Plantation, now held by private company Cermat Ceria Sdn Bhd. We talked about Sarawak Plantation's vital stats, the plantation theme and a view that there's no real need for Cermat Ceria to sell its stake. We also asked Sarawak Plantation what they thought about the news. Sarawak Plantation Bhd's share price rose 2.6% to close at RM2.36 on Monday, April 25th

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6:07

Awaiting Bernanke's Comments and BRICS' Evolution

Market Watch ·

2011/04/26

Malcolm E Polley, President and CIO of Stewart Capital Advisors wasn't surprised by pick up in US' housing purchases for March, but can't read from one month if there's a trend in place. Markets are weighed down by concerns that they may not be able to do much better than they already are, as well as commodity cost concerns. To remain directionless until Ben Bernanke's comments are out. Pretty good cross section of earnings this week - to watch out for Ford Motor, Coca Cola and ExxonMobil to gain

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2:57

TA Research: Star Raising Funds to Fund Existing...

Market Watch ·

2011/04/25

TA Research's Aaron Tan is of the view that Star Publications proposal to raise up to RM750 million from the capital market is in order to fund existing operations, especially its print segment. On whether it could be war chesting given rising expectations of an impending general elections, he thinks not. He expects Star to continue with its stable dividend payments. He maintains his BUY call on Star Publications with target price of RM4.42. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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6:07

On Ben Bernanke, US Q1 GDP and Corp Earnings

Market Watch ·

2011/04/25

Dodge O Dorland, Chairman and CIO of Landor & Fuest Capital Managers in New York would ask Ben Bernanke, if he had the chance, whether it's more important to raise rates too early vs. too late in the short to intermediate term, in the long term, and what has to happen to transition the short term decision for the benefit longer term. For US Q1 GDP, he's anticipating a growth rate of 1.9%, which is in line with most economists' estimates and he commented on whether the weakness is temporary

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6:12

TNB Q2 Disappoints, Target Price Lowered to RM5.40

Market Watch ·

2011/04/22

Mohshin Aziz of Maybank IB Research tells us how Tenaga Nasional Bhd's (TNB) second quarter financial results compare with its regional peers, and two main reasons for larger-than-expected drop in TNB's net profit. He also explains how he arrived at an average coal cost of USD115/mt for FY11. He ends with his rationale of a lowered target price for the stock from RM5.73 to RM5.40. TNB's second quarter net profit fell 37 per cent year-on-year to RM630m as generation costs soared due to higher coal

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7:05

Perpetual QE in the States, Sustainability of...

Market Watch ·

2011/04/22

Tim Mulholland, China-America Capital Company in Chicago thinks the US government is unlikely to take major risks as elections are due next year. He also commented on whether euphoria in world stocks, which hit their highest level since July 2008, is sustainable.As it's earnings season, discussed Blackstone, Black Rock and Morgan Stanley's results, whether chemical companies such as Dupont are a good investment idea, and if mining companies are where to put your money, considering gold, silver and

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6:17

Subsidy Cuts Possible Closer to Year End If Oil Below...

Market Watch ·

2011/04/21

Enrico Tanuwidjaja, Asian Economist at OSK DMG in Singapore sees March CPI rate of 3% as a sign that inflation is stabilising, sees 2.8% average inflation for this year. Rate pause likely in May, maybe hike in July. As food is a significant part of basket in Asia, key issue is how government manages supply distribution to ease potential disruptions so that inflation will remain under control. On the likelihood of subsidy cuts, if crude oil falls below $100 per barrel, may see cuts closer to end of

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6:52

Of Aussie Markets, Tax Exemptions for SWFs and...

Market Watch ·

2011/04/21

Ben LeBrun of CMC Markets in Sydney explains why investors can't breathe easy this week despite an upbeat earnings season driving commodities higher and the Aussie dollar to a 29-year high versus the dollar. The most important macro theme at the moment is in Europe - Greece, Spain and Italy issues. Themes have not gone anywhere, still nervous. Views terrific earnings out of US as a godsend. Awaiting clear break out territory. In terms of the Aussie share market, highs of last 12 months are 4,970

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5:01

Markets on the Road to Recovery

Market Watch ·

2011/04/20

Dr Michael A Yoshikami, YCMNET Advisors sees a high possibility of securing a deal with Congress to target $4 trillion in long-term deficit reduction. He views S&P's well timed downgrade as more a reflection of the United States' underlying problems. He also gave his views on China's reaction to S&P's negative outlook. The trajectory of dollar and creditworthiness of US is under threat unless deficit is addressed. US structural problems need to be addressed on a long term basis. Earnings

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5:57

On CPO Export Figures and Palm Oil Labeling in Aussie

Market Watch ·

2011/04/20

Ker Chung Yang of Phillip Futures in Singapore explains why he is inclined towards lower export figures for the first twenty days of April. He also talked about external factors hampering the crude palm oil (CPO) futures market, such as the South American soybean currently being harvested. Explains why he's concerned about delay in corn planting in US. Factors which could help the market to climb from the current levels are higher crude oil prices which could incentivise demand for biofuel and the

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5:43

US Rating Downgrade to Add Urgency to Debt Debate

Market Watch ·

2011/04/19

Malcolm E Polley, President and CIO of Stewart Capital Advisors, Johnstown, Pennsylvania says US rating downgrade will add more urgency to talks between Congress and the White House. Even so, he hopes quantitative easing will end this summer. In response to Obama administration's defence that S&P's outlook underestimates the ability of America's leaders to come together to address difficult fiscal challenges, he's more in agreement with S&P's rating. He also discussed how it'll influence the

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4:42

US Market To Rebound This Week

Market Watch ·

2011/04/18

Dodge Dorland of Landor & Fuest Capital Managers says the S&P 500 may test 1,345 this week, and the market will see more headwinds after seeing above market expectation earnings in the last few quarters. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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6,063 results

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