PODCAST

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Lance Roberts

It"s a show about life, markets, sweat-equity, and the pursuit of wealth in a capitalist market.

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All Episodes

44:10

9/24/25 Strange Recession Signals: What Markets & Odd...

The Real Investment Show Podcast ·

2025/09/24

Are we really on the edge of a recession—or are investors just overthinking the signals? Beyond unemployment and consumer spending, unusual data points like men’s underwear sales, cardboard box demand, and even giant Halloween skeleton purchases are popping up as quirky economic indicators. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff break down: • Traditional recession signals like jobless claims, consumer spending, and market fundamentals. • Technical market warnings investors can’t ignore. • Why strange

03:17

9-24-25 Jerome Powell's Alan Greenspan Moment |...

The Real Investment Show Podcast ·

2025/09/24

Markets pulled back Tuesday as Jerome Powell had his “Alan Greenspan moment,” warning that stocks are “richly valued.” While the dip worked off some overbought conditions, futures point higher this morning and the positive trend remains intact. Lance Roberts interprets what Powell’s comments mean for investors, the widening gap between stock prices and moving averages, and why compressed volatility could set the stage for a sharper sell-off if something breaks. Stay tuned as we discuss: Why Powell’s

52:52

9/23/25 Two Dads on Money: Spotting Red Flags in...

The Real Investment Show Podcast ·

2025/09/23

Not all financial advisors are created equal. Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn break down the biggest red flags you should watch out for before trusting someone with your financial future. From hidden fees to pushy sales tactics, we’ll show you how to separate the pros from the pretenders. Whether you’re interviewing a new advisor or reviewing your current one, these insights will help you protect your money and make smarter decisions. 📺 Watch now to learn: The most common warning signs of a bad

05:41

9-23-25 Market Divergences: Rally Setup or Pullback...

The Real Investment Show Podcast ·

2025/09/23

Markets keep climbing along the moving averages, but warning signs are building. Negative divergences between money flows and price action suggest fewer buyers stepping in, even as stocks remain overbought. With support levels at the 50- and 100-day moving averages, any pullback may be shallow—and could set the stage for a year-end rally. In this pre-market update, we cover: Why divergences between money flows, oil, and energy stocks matter now. How support at key moving averages could cushion a

49:56

9-22-25 Stock Market Outlook: Bullish or Bearish?

The Real Investment Show Podcast ·

2025/09/22

Are markets set to keep climbing, or are we staring down the next pullback? Lance Roberts breaks down the bullish vs. bearish case for stocks, exploring what could fuel the rally—and what risks could trip it up. From the Federal Reserve’s latest moves, to earnings trends, market breadth, and money flows, we’ll cover the key factors driving sentiment. Whether you lean bullish or bearish, this analysis will help you understand the forces shaping today’s market. Also in this show, commentary on Lance's

05:00

9-22-25 Market Melt-Up: Why Mean Reversion Is...

The Real Investment Show Podcast ·

2025/09/22

Markets are climbing at a pace that simply can’t last. With retail investors pouring in $4 billion a day and corporate buybacks adding another $5 billion daily, the market’s steep advance has pushed prices far above long-term averages. In this Before the Bell update, Lance Roberts reviews: Why extreme inflows are fueling unsustainable market momentum The risks of overbought conditions and stretched valuations Why a 3–5% correction could happen suddenly—even if the trend remains bullish What

51:17

9-19-25 Gold Jobs the Fed - Axel Merks Market Outlook

The Real Investment Show Podcast ·

2025/09/19

From the Fed’s next move to the outlook for gold and gold miners, Axel Merk, CEO of Merk Investments, shares with Lance Roberts his take on today’s biggest market risks: The largest jobs revision ever, the Fed’s lagging response, why active management beats passive distortions, and how investors should think about risk, contrarian views, and the role of gold in their portfolios. 0:18 - Introduction of Alex Merk, CEO Merk Investments 2:01 - Annual revisions to BLS Employment Report - Largest

53:05

9-17-25 Big Day: Fed Day

The Real Investment Show Podcast ·

2025/09/18

It’s Fed Day – the most anticipated event for markets this month. The Federal Reserve’s rate decision and Jerome Powell’s press conference could shape the direction for stocks, bonds, and the economy heading into year-end. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff break down: • What the Fed is likely to announce today • The impact on interest rates, inflation, and growth • How markets ($SPY, $QQQ, bonds, gold) typically react to Fed decisions • Why risk management matters as volatility rises around policy

42:37

9/18/25 No Risk-Free Path for the Fed

The Real Investment Show Podcast ·

2025/09/18

The Federal Reserve cut rates on Wednesday, September 17, 2025 — but the path forward is anything but risk-free. Markets had already priced in much of the move, leaving investors to wonder if Powell’s guidance will calm volatility or spark fresh uncertainty. Lance Roberts and Michael Lebowitz look at what the Fed’s latest decision means for stocks, bonds, and the economy. Why Powell’s words may matter more than the rate cut itself. The risks of inflation, slowing growth, and financial instability in

03:29

9-18-25 Market Volatility Looms Following Fed Cut |...

The Real Investment Show Podcast ·

2025/09/18

Markets sold off, then rallied back to even after the Fed announced its first rate move in nine months. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq are showing early signs of rounded tops, but both are likely to set fresh all-time highs today. Volatility continues to compress, hitting new lows — but that calm may not last. Tomorrow brings one of the largest options expirations ever, setting the stage for heightened volatility as quarter-end re-balancing also comes into play. The dollar rallied on the Fed’s cut, while

04:10

9-17-25 Fed Risk, Options Expiration & Market...

The Real Investment Show Podcast ·

2025/09/17

Stocks head into today’s session on edge as the risk lies to the downside if the Fed disappoints. Adding to the mix, a record options expiration Friday could bring heightened volatility for the rest of the week. Money flows continue to chase equities, but the biggest rallies have come from the most-shorted stocks. International and emerging markets are also showing strong momentum, with many trading well above their moving averages. Still, a widening gap persists between S&P equal-weight and

58:53

9-16-25 Invest or Index? 5 Smart Strategies Explained

The Real Investment Show Podcast ·

2025/09/16

Should you invest actively or stick with indexing? Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn break down five different strategies investors use to build wealth, reduce risk, and stay ahead of the market. From active stock picking to index fund simplicity, we’ll explore the pros, cons, and real-world applications of each approach so you can better understand how they fit into your financial plan. 📺 Subscribe for more insights: https://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow SEG-1a: Fed Cuts & Commentary, Buy

06:30

9-16-25 Three Key Influences Driving Markets into...

The Real Investment Show Podcast ·

2025/09/16

Markets continue the current phase of compression and no big moves in anticipation of Fed rate cuts to be announced tomorrow. Markets are operating under the lowest levels of compressed volatility we've seen in a while. Markets have just been ticking-up (or down) 20-basis points, 30-basis points each day, not making much headway. There is a slight tilt of more buyers than sellers at this point. The MACD buy signal is ON at elevated levels, which limits much more upside. We have moved into the

44:28

9-15-25 Earnings Slowdown Ahead - Jobs Data Sends...

The Real Investment Show Podcast ·

2025/09/15

The jobs market isn’t just about employment—it’s a leading signal for corporate earnings. In this episode, we explore how recent employment data revisions and slowing job growth are flashing caution for corporate profits. Here’s what you’ll learn: Why employment trends often lead earnings results How slowing payroll growth may impact revenue and margins Key sectors most at risk from weaker labor demand What this signal could mean for the stock market outlook Portfolio considerations as corporate

03:36

9-15-25 All Time Highs on Muted Moves | Before the Bell

The Real Investment Show Podcast ·

2025/09/15

Markets hit another all time high last week, but on very muted moves as investors continue climb a wall of worry. Markets continue to test the 20-DMA and rally back above...another pullback to that level would not be surprising. Markets are somewhat over bought on a relative strength basis, and not sitting on a very tight MACD momentum signal. Retail buying is approaching some of the highest levels we've seen, while professional investors' allocations are still somewhat underweight equities

01:09:52

9-12-25 The Essential Hierarchy of Money Goals

The Real Investment Show Podcast ·

2025/09/12

Where should your money go first? Too often, people skip ahead to investing or wealth strategies before laying the right foundation. Richard Rosso and Matt Doyle break down the essential hierarchy of money goals—a clear order of priorities to help you stay on track. From emergency savings and debt reduction to investing, wealth protection, and legacy planning, this framework shows you exactly how to progress step by step. By focusing on the right goals at the right time, you’ll reduce stress,

45:06

9/11/25 There Ain't No Inflation

The Real Investment Show Podcast ·

2025/09/11

Markets and the Fed keep talking about inflation, but what’s really happening? Lance Roberts previews the upcoming CPI, PPI reports, and real-world data to explain why the official numbers don’t always match what you're feeling. From wages and rents to energy prices--is inflation is truly under control, or just hiding in plain sight. Discover how “disinflation” differs from “deflation,” why Wall Street’s narrative matters for stocks, and what it means for your portfolio. SEG-1a: Inflation Day - Will

05:00

9-11-25 The AI Trade is Back | Before the Bell

The Real Investment Show Podcast ·

2025/09/11

Good market performance on Wednesday, but that was on the backs of only a few stocks: Broadcom, Nvidia, Oracle...all AI-related. Oracle's outlook for AI-related Cap-ex spending was optimistic, which dovetailed nicely with what Nvidia had said earlier. Oracle opened the day ahead 33%, traded as high as 40%, and closed the day with a 35% gain. That action lifted the entire Tech sector, and pushed the S&P to another all-time high. Price compression is creating a wedge pattern, which markets are trying

54:45

9/10/25 Are We On the Edge of Recession?

The Real Investment Show Podcast ·

2025/09/10

Are we standing at the edge of a recession? Economic data is showing cracks: slowing job growth, weakening consumer spending, and tightening credit conditions. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve’s policies continue to weigh on growth. In this episode, Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff break down the key signals flashing caution, what they could mean for corporate earnings and market performance, and how investors should think about risk management in the months ahead; plus bonus content: Sourdough bread and

03:35

9-10-25 Money Flows Bolster Markets | Before the Bell

The Real Investment Show Podcast ·

2025/09/10

Money flows have been positive over the past few weeks, yet markets have not advanced much. Relative strength is picking up, but still in a negative divergence with the market itself. However, momentum remains very, very slow even as stocks continue to rise. Only slowly. There is a significant gap between the market and the MAG-7. More inflation prints coming in the latest CPI & PPI reports, and if they come in weaker than expected, along with the recent disappointing employment numbers, the odds

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The Real Investment Show Podcast

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