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PODCAST

5 in 5 with ANZ

Start your day with 5 in 5 with ANZ. You’ll hear the five things you need to know about the global economy and markets in under 5 minutes. Plus a deep dive into emerging trends and issues. Hosted by business and financial journalist Bernard Hickey, the podcast features exclusive insights from ANZ’s global team of experts. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/

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All Episodes

9:53

Friday: US GDP up 4.9% as ECB holds

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2023/10/26

US GDP grew 4.9% in the Q3, which beat expectations, but core inflation measures were subdued, encouraging bond investors to push yields lower. US stocks fell overnight after poorly-received results from Meta and UPS. In our bonus deep-dive interview, ANZ’s Head of G3 Economics Brian Martin explains why US Government stimulus is getting more traction this time around. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/

en

10:00

Thursday: ANZ now sees RBA hiking on Nov 7

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2023/10/25

Australian inflation was faster than expected in the September quarter, which has prompted ANZ’s economists to forecast a rate hike on Melbourne Cup day. In our bonus deep-dive interview, ANZ’s Senior International Economist Tom Kenny explains what the term premium is, how it’s changed and why it matters. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/

en

9:06

Wednesday: Oil slides after weak European data

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2023/10/24

Oil prices fell a further 2% overnight to well under US$90/bbl after European PMI surveys showed a deeper contraction in activity and the IEA forecast oil demand falling by 2030 for the first time. In our bonus deep-dive interview, ANZ’s Head of G3 Economics Brian Martin explains why the ECB is likely to hold on Thursday night for the first time in 11 meetings. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/

en

7:58

Tuesday: US bonds volatile ahead of PMIs

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2023/10/23

US Treasuries were volatile again overnight. The 10-year hit 5% and then slid in late New York trade, which dragged on the US dollar and boosted US stocks. In our bonus deep-dive interview, ANZ’s Head of FX Research Mahjabeen Zaman looks at which currencies are winning and losing in the hunt for safe havens. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/

en

9:58

Monday: Stocks down on high bond yields

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2023/10/22

Global stocks are starting the week down again thanks to high bond yields and plenty of nerves about geo-politics. In our bonus deep-dive interview, ANZ NZ Economist Andre Castaing unpacks why New Zealand has a trade deficit of 3.5% of GDP. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/

en

9:08

Friday: US 10-year nudges 5% as Powell speaks

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2023/10/19

The US 10-year Treasury bond yield nudged 5% this morning after Jerome Powell reaffirmed the Fed was finding higher bond yields useful in fighting inflation. In our bonus deep-dive interview, ANZ’s Senior Asia Strategist Zhaopeng Xing points to the ‘lipstick effect’ that held back retail sales during China’s Golden Week. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/

en

9:24

Thursday: US 10-year hits 16-year high of 4.91%

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2023/10/18

US Treasury bonds sold off again overnight, pushing the 10-year yield to 4.91%, its highest level since 2007. Oil rose 2% on a drop in US inventories. Chinese GDP was stronger than expected. In our bonus deep-dive interview, ANZ’s Head of G3 Economics Brian Martin explains why Treasury yields are rising, even though the Fed appears to have paused rate hikes. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/

en

9:17

Wednesday: Hot US retail sales drive yields up

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2023/10/17

The bond market selloff resumed in earnest overnight after better than expected US retail sales figures In part two of our bonus deep-dive interview, ANZ’s Chief Economist for Greater China Raymond Yeung looks at how China might fix the debt problems at its Local Government Financing Vehicles (LGFVs). Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/

en

9:50

Tuesday: US debt issue plans weigh on investors

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2023/10/16

Investor concerns about US Government plans for big issues of new Treasury bonds to fund ongoing deficits is driving up bond yields globally this morning. In our bonus deep-dive interview, ANZ’s Chief Economist for Greater China Raymond Yeung has identified a tipping point for the debt bound up in China’s key Local Government Financing Vehicles (LGFVs). Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/

en

9:44

Monday: Oil & US$ stronger as Gaza invasion nears

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2023/10/15

Oil prices are up sharply this morning on signs Israeli troops will advance into Gaza within hours. A flight to safer assets is strengthening the US$ vs the Aussie and Kiwi dollars, while the yen is weak at 149.59/$. In our bonus deep-dive interview, ANZ Group’s Chief Economist Richard Yetsenga reviews the Fed’s recent comments, previews the week ahead and analyses changing investment flows in Asia. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at

en

9:50

Friday: US$ & yields up on warm super-core inflation

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2023/10/12

US Treasury yields surged again overnight after fresh signs of heat in US super-core inflation data. That pushed the US dollar up against the Aussie dollar, the Kiwi dollar and the euro. In our bonus deep-dive interview, ANZ’s Head of Asia Research Khoon Goh unravels a rise in portfolio outflows in Asia-ex China and looks ahead. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/

en

9:33

Thursday: Oil prices slide on Saudi assurances

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2023/10/11

Oil prices fell after Saudi Arabia reassured markets it would use its oil supplies to stabilise prices. US Treasury yields fell further on benign inflation data and more Fed comments that rates can be paused. In our bonus deep-dive interview, ANZ Senior Strategist David Croy looks at the weight of new Government bonds being issued to pay for deficits that are helping to force up yields globally, including in New Zealand. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at

en

9:57

Wednesday: Markets rally on Fed comments

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2023/10/10

Stocks and bonds rallied globally this morning after a Fed official said rates wouldn’t have to rise again. The A$ and NZ$ rose to multi-week highs vs the US$, helped by a report China is planning US$137b of new infrastructure spending. In our bonus deep-dive interview, ANZ Asia Economist Krystal Tan explains how high oil prices for longer will hit some Asian economies more than others. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at

en

9:33

Tuesday: Oil up on fear of wider Mid-East conflict

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2023/10/09

Oil prices have bounced on fear the conflict in Gaza and Israel could spread to Iran. The Aussie and Kiwi dollars are firmer this morning on softer market expectations for a Fed rate hike in either November or December. In our bonus deep-dive interview, ANZ’s NZ Chief Economist Sharon Zollner previews New Zealand’s election this Saturday. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/

en

9:29

Monday: Nonfarm payrolls double expectations

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2023/10/08

US jobs growth was much stronger than expected, but the resulting initial bond market selloff was eventually tepid as it became clear wage growth and unemployment weren’t quite so inflationary In our bonus deep-dive interview, ANZ Australia Senior Economist Adelaide Timbrell details the RBA’s level of comfort with financial stability in its half-yearly review. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/

en

9:57

Friday: Markets jittery ahead of key US jobs data

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2023/10/05

Markets are unsettled and wary of US non farm payrolls data tonight. Oil prices fell sharply again overnight. In our bonus deep-dive interview ahead of the Monetary Authority of Singapore’s next policy decision, ANZ’s Head of Asia Research Khoon Goh explains why it nudges the S$ about to control inflation, rather than interest rates. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/

en

9:57

Thursday: Slow jobs data ends bond rout, for now

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2023/10/04

A fragile calm has returned to global markets after weaker-than-expected US jobs growth data halted this week’s rout in US Treasuries. Oil prices fell 5%. In part two of our bonus deep-dive interview marking the 40th anniversary of the Hong Kong dollar’s peg, ANZ’s Chief Economist for Greater China Raymond Yeung looks at its digital future, and why a renminbi link is unlikely. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/

en

9:45

Wednesday: Intervention fear as yen hits 150

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2023/10/03

US Treasury yields surged again overnight, boosting the US dollar vs the yen and the Aussie and Kiwi dollars. US stocks slumped 1.5-2%. The yen spiked after briefly going through 150, triggering unconfirmed talk of intervention. In part one of our bonus deep-dive interview, ANZ’s Chief Economist for Greater China Raymond Yeung explains the importance of the Hong Kong dollar’s unbroken peg with the US dollar on the eve of its 40th anniversary. Before accessing this podcast, please read the

en

9:18

Tuesday: Inside the US bond market selloff

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2023/10/02

US bonds sold off aggressively overnight on the ‘higher-for-longer’ view after a Government shutdown was averted and US factory activity was above forecasts. In our bonus deep-dive interview, ANZ’s Head of G3 Economics Brian Martin explains why the ‘higher-for-longer’ story is taking hold and how US fiscal and monetary policy is being projected around the world. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/

en

9:23

Monday: US shutdown averted

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2023/10/01

A shutdown of US Government spending was averted at the last minute. US inflation data was benign ahead of key non-farm-payrolls data on Friday. In our bonus deep-dive interview, ANZ’s Pacific Economist Kishti Sen looks at how the Pacific’s $1.6 billion infrastructure deficit could be solved. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/

en

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