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PODCAST

Eurodollar University

Jeff Snider will guide you through the realm of monetary science. Multiple episodes uploaded each week, discussing big news and key current events, the state of markets and what they are telling you, as well as historical summaries and deep background material so that you can understand what’s really going on in this eurodollar’s world.

business investing

All Episodes

17:22

The Chinese Banking System is COLLAPSING

Eurodollar University ·

2024/04/15

Is the Great Migration about to get worse? The answer starts in China where just the week the country already reported a sharp fall in consumer prices. CNY is down and so are government bond yields there. The Chinese also said the economy suffered a big drop in exports and then suffered a record low growth rate for lending. Banking woes, trade setbacks, further declines in growth and inflation expectations. The rest of the world is going to feel the effects.Eurodollar University's Money

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17:50

Fed Reports "People Now Unable to Pay Off Credit Card...

Eurodollar University ·

2024/04/14

The economy is doing just fine according to many statistics, but according to most people it is anything but. Those aren't just idle malcontents, either. A fundamental fact of the current state of the world is that it will have to reckon for that economic pain and substantial loss. Many now merely believe that worst is behind is, but what if it is still lying just ahead?Eurodollar University's conversations w/Steve Van MetreFRB Philadelphia Q4 2023 Insights

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18:22

China's Crisis Is Sending A Warning To The World

Eurodollar University ·

2024/04/12

Yesterday's US CPI reignited the fierce debate over a possibly sticky inflation future. China just ended it by reminding the world of its stubborn deflationary present with the third largest monthly CPI drop in the last twenty years. Producer prices also decline which is a solidly disinflationary signal for China and the world regardless of the latest consumer price numbers from elsewhere. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisChina's NBS Consumer prices press

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18:39

New CPI Numbers Shock The Market! (Everything You...

Eurodollar University ·

2024/04/11

Another CPI comes in higher than expected. This isn't some harbinger of an impending price spiral, just the regular fluctuations in consumer prices driven largely by oil. It has stirred up inflation fears anyway in large part because it seems as if the CPI and especially the core rate is now stuck at a structurally higher rate. History cautions when making those assumptions. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysishttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter:

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17:48

Goldman Sachs Makes MASSIVE Bet On Lower Interests Rates

Eurodollar University ·

2024/04/10

EURODOLLAR UNIVERSITY'S SPRING SALE STILL GOING FOR A LITTLE WHILE LONGER, DETAILS AT THE LINK BELOWhttps://www.eurodollar.university/sales-page-springHawkish policymakers, oil prices, higher for longer all over the media. Why are banks, not just central banks, already cutting rates? Contrary to what you hear in the mainstream, policymakers aren't actually all that hawkish. More importantly, global markets are pricing more assertively for fragility not soft landing.Eurodollar University's

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19:02

Oil Is About To Break The Economy

Eurodollar University ·

2024/04/09

EURODOLLAR UNIVERSITY'S SPRING SALE STILL GOING FOR A LITTLE WHILE LONGER, DETAILS AT THE LINK BELOWhttps://www.eurodollar.university/sales-page-springWhat if gold and oil are actually trading on the same outcome? Despite popular misconceptions, a non-economic oil shock like the one we're currently experiencing is NOT inflationary. On the contrary, history shows it will almost certainly be disinflationary because of the negative impact it has on the economy. And if that impact is negative

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17:52

Oil inflation Fears Going Viral (Everything You Need...

Eurodollar University ·

2024/04/08

EURODOLLAR UNIVERSITY'S SPRING SALE STILL GOING FOR A LITTLE WHILE LONGER, DETAILS AT THE LINK BELOWhttps://www.eurodollar.university/sales-page-springOil is up sharply as fears over a wider conflict in the Middle East continue to rise. Quite predictably, this has raised widespread concerns over renewed "inflation." But we just did this six months ago and that example shows what we should expect today and going forward. Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van

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17:40

We Need to Talk About the Job Market Data ASAP

Eurodollar University ·

2024/04/07

EURODOLLAR UNIVERSITY'S SPRING SALE STILL GOING FOR A LITTLE WHILE LONGER, DETAILS AT THE LINK BELOWhttps://www.eurodollar.university/sales-page-springYet another blowout payroll number from the government. Even though the BLS's "other" employment estimates managed a sharp rebound on the month, the difference between the two has become intolerable. How do we know which one might be closer to reality? We make a bunch of comparisons to see which way the weight of evidence falls. Also, every

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19:05

It's Over: China's Currency Has Never Done This Before

Eurodollar University ·

2024/04/05

EURODOLLAR UNIVERSITY'S SPRING SALE STILL GOING FOR A LITTLE WHILE LONGER, DETAILS AT THE LINK BELOWhttps://www.eurodollar.university/sales-page-springChina's currency trading was wild yesterday, CNY moving just a few pips above the PBOC's daily limit. But then, the country closed down for the rest of this week leaving the whole world hanging as to what might happen next. Will yuan breach the daily band for the first time ever? Might the central bank relent like it usually does? More

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15:59

Things Are Escalating, Quickly...

Eurodollar University ·

2024/04/04

EURODOLLAR UNIVERSITY'S SPRING SALE STILL GOING FOR A LITTLE WHILE LONGER, DETAILS AT THE LINK BELOWhttps://www.eurodollar.university/sales-page-springMonday's "strong" ISM manufacturing data sparked a whirlwind of inflation fear(mongering). Today's far more important and weak ISM non-manufacturing data barely took any notice. Why is that? The answer is obvious even though the latter series on services is far more important for the overall economy especially since these estimates for it are

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18:06

We Need to Talk About the Bond Market Immediately

Eurodollar University ·

2024/04/03

EURODOLLAR UNIVERSITY'S SPRING SALE STILL GOING FOR A LITTLE WHILE LONGER, DETAILS AT THE LINK BELOWhttps://www.eurodollar.university/sales-page-springTo hear everyone tell it, bond yields are surging. Losses in the marketplace are "piling up" allegedly because hawkish central bankers will be fighting inflation a lot longer than previously hoped since the economy is so insatiably red hot. Except, none of that is true; starting with bond yields. And we can check our work, too, in a way that

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19:23

Gold Surges To All-Time Highs (Everything You Need to...

Eurodollar University ·

2024/04/02

EURODOLLAR UNIVERSITY'S SPRING SALE STILL GOING FOR A LITTLE WHILE LONGER, DETAILS AT THE LINK BELOWhttps://www.eurodollar.university/sales-page-springGold continues to soar, hitting almost as many record highs as stocks. And that's a problem because unlike stocks gold tends to be a useful indicator and warning sign. There are three theories as to what's behind the golden surge. Here we examine the evidence and consistency of all three. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisFRB

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20:50

How Bank Reserves Affect Liquidity (Macro Alf)

Eurodollar University ·

2024/04/01

It is critical to understand what is happening in China first of all. The country is suffering from a confluence of longer-term structural imbalances butting up against near-term strategies ostensibly aimed at minimizing the fallout. The risks are complex though in broad terms pretty easy to sketch out. They include potential impacts on global liquidity, one of the most misunderstood topics in finance. If are interested in Alf’s Macro Investment Fund, drop him an email for information at

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18:49

You Won't Believe What European Banks Are Doing

Eurodollar University ·

2024/03/31

CHECK OUT EURODOLLAR UNIVERSITY'S SPRING SALEhttps://www.eurodollar.university/sales-page-springWhat is it with banks these days? Well, this time it may not be the bank themselves. According to the latest data from the ECB, European depositories are lending loads to non-banks over there. That's not a good sign and in this video you'll see why that is - and why it isn't just Europeans who should be seriously concerned. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisECB Manual on MFI

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20:47

The Recession Is Here, And It's Worse Than You Think

Eurodollar University ·

2024/03/29

We keep getting more and more recession confirmation. Soft data comes in ugly and is easily corroborated by hard estimates from a variety of sources. The only part missing is the layoffs. Where are they? Part of the answer comes from hoarding, though the more important piece is not what you might think. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysishttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

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18:23

Japan Is Now Threatening MAJOR Intervention Against...

Eurodollar University ·

2024/03/28

The Japanese are really getting bothered by weakness in the yen. But where is it coming from, and what might be done about it? Officials in Tokyo are threatening to intervene again, but a review of past interventions shows not just the folly of any attempt, better yet some useful clues about what's really happening here. It isn't Japan.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisBloomberg Japan Amps Up Intervention Threat as Yen Hits Lowest Since

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19:43

What Stage Of The Recession Are We In

Eurodollar University ·

2024/03/27

As more signs of instability pile up around the world but also coming from inside the US. Those are evidence for the continuing downside to the supply shock, the same cycle, not a soft landing. What are the key differences? Employing a few critical datapoints it's easy to see how much of a divergence there already has been and what that likely means for the upcoming period. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysishttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter:

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18:57

Latest Banking Data PLUNGES At The Same Time China...

Eurodollar University ·

2024/03/26

Something just hit the US banking system. Tons of cash gone from their balance sheet seemingly as they reallocate their assets. At the same time this is going on, the dollar has surged against primarily Asian currencies rocking those countries and leading to several government backlashes. Are these all related? The answer appears to be, yes.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysishttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

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18:45

Target Gives MASSIVE Warning Of Consumer Behavior

Eurodollar University ·

2024/03/25

The bedrock assumption for a soft landing in the US is continued consumer spending. The economy around the world really needs Americans to keep spending at close to the same rate. Instead, more evidence is coming in that they are just out of gas. In addition to macro statistics, more retailers are confirming the downturn and no longer just those who sell to lower-income consumers. Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van MetreTarget Introduces New Brand, dealworthy, Featuring Low

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20:34

CLO Markets are on the Collapsing (liquidations...

Eurodollar University ·

2024/03/24

It isn't prospective rate cuts, the downward bias in market interest rates comes from real risks in the global system. The biggest of those are US commercial real estate (CRE) and China. Key developments in both show that the situation is fragile and that difficulties are serious even if playing out mainly in the shadows. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisBloomberg Real Estate Pain Is Showing Up in an Obscure Investment

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1,369 results

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