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PODCAST

LessWrong (Curated & Popular)

Audio narrations of LessWrong posts. Includes all curated posts and all posts with 125+ karma.If you"d like more, subscribe to the “Lesswrong (30+ karma)” feed.

technology philosophy

All Episodes

35:25

“Getting 50% (SoTA) on ARC-AGI with GPT-4o” by...

LessWrong (Curated & Popular) ·

2024/06/18

ARC-AGI post Getting 50% (SoTA) on ARC-AGI with GPT-4oI recently got to 50%[1] accuracy on the public test set for ARC-AGI by having GPT-4o generate a huge number of Python implementations of the transformation rule (around 8,000 per problem) and then selecting among these implementations based on correctness of the Python programs on the examples (if this is confusing, go here)[2]. I use a variety of additional approaches and tweaks which overall substantially improve the performance of my m...

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15:19

“Why I don’t believe in the placebo effect” by...

LessWrong (Curated & Popular) ·

2024/06/15

Have you heard this before? In clinical trials, medicines have to be compared to a placebo to separate the effect of the medicine from the psychological effect of taking the drug. The patient's belief in the power of the medicine has a strong effect on its own. In fact, for some drugs such as antidepressants, the psychological effect of taking a pill is larger than the effect of the drug. It may even be worth it to give a patient an ineffective medicine just to benefit from the placebo effect...

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8:47

“Safety isn’t safety without a social model (or:...

LessWrong (Curated & Popular) ·

2024/06/14

Crossposted from the AI Alignment Forum. May contain more technical jargon than usual.As an AI researcher who wants to do technical work that helps humanity, there is a strong drive to find a research area that is definitely helpful somehow, so that you don’t have to worry about how your work will be applied, and thus you don’t have to worry about things like corporate ethics or geopolitics to make sure your work benefits humanity.Unfortunately, no such field exists. In particular, technical ...

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7:29

“My AI Model Delta Compared To Christiano” by...

LessWrong (Curated & Popular) ·

2024/06/13

Preamble: Delta vs CruxThis section is redundant if you already read My AI Model Delta Compared To Yudkowsky.I don’t natively think in terms of cruxes. But there's a similar concept which is more natural for me, which I’ll call a delta.Imagine that you and I each model the world (or some part of it) as implementing some program. Very oversimplified example: if I learn that e.g. it's cloudy today, that means the “weather” variable in my program at a particular time[1] takes on the value “clou...

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7:27

“My AI Model Delta Compared To Yudkowsky” by...

LessWrong (Curated & Popular) ·

2024/06/10

Preamble: Delta vs CruxI don’t natively think in terms of cruxes. But there's a similar concept which is more natural for me, which I’ll call a delta.Imagine that you and I each model the world (or some part of it) as implementing some program. Very oversimplified example: if I learn that e.g. it's cloudy today, that means the “weather” variable in my program at a particular time[1] takes on the value “cloudy”. Now, suppose your program and my program are exactly the same, except that somewh...

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5:29

“Response to Aschenbrenner’s ‘Situational Awareness’”...

LessWrong (Curated & Popular) ·

2024/06/07

(Cross-posted from Twitter.) My take on Leopold Aschenbrenner's new report: I think Leopold gets it right on a bunch of important counts.Three that I especially care about: Full AGI and ASI soon. (I think his arguments for this have a lot of holes, but he gets the basic point that superintelligence looks 5 or 15 years off rather than 50+.)This technology is an overwhelmingly huge deal, and if we play our cards wrong we're all dead.Current developers are indeed fundamentally unserious about th...

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5:02

“Humming is not a free $100 bill” by Elizabeth

LessWrong (Curated & Popular) ·

2024/06/07

Last month I posted about humming as a cheap and convenient way to flood your nose with nitric oxide (NO), a known antiviral. Alas, the economists were right, and the benefits were much smaller than I estimated.The post contained one obvious error and one complication. Both were caught by Thomas Kwa, for which he has my gratitude. When he initially pointed out the error I awarded him a $50 bounty; now that the implications are confirmed I’ve upped that to $250. In two weeks an additional $750...

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4:05

“Announcing ILIAD — Theoretical AI Alignment...

LessWrong (Curated & Popular) ·

2024/06/06

Crossposted from the AI Alignment Forum. May contain more technical jargon than usual.We are pleased to announce ILIAD — a 5-day conference bringing together 100+ researchers to build strong scientific foundations for AI alignment. ***Apply to attend by June 30!*** When: Aug 28 - Sep 3, 2024Where: @Lighthaven (Berkeley, US)What: A mix of topic-specific tracks, and unconference style programming, 100+ attendees. Topics will include Singular Learning Theory, Agent Foundations, Causal Incentives...

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4:57

“Non-Disparagement Canaries for OpenAI” by aysja,...

LessWrong (Curated & Popular) ·

2024/05/31

Since at least 2017, OpenAI has asked departing employees to sign offboarding agreements which legally bind them to permanently—that is, for the rest of their lives—refrain from criticizing OpenAI, or from otherwise taking any actions which might damage its finances or reputation.[1]If they refused to sign, OpenAI threatened to take back (or make unsellable) all of their already-vested equity—a huge portion of their overall compensation, which often amounted to millions of dollars. Given this...

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13:46

“MIRI 2024 Communications Strategy” by Gretta Duleba

LessWrong (Curated & Popular) ·

2024/05/30

As we explained in our MIRI 2024 Mission and Strategy update, MIRI has pivoted to prioritize policy, communications, and technical governance research over technical alignment research. This follow-up post goes into detail about our communications strategy. The Objective: Shut it Down[1]Our objective is to convince major powers to shut down the development of frontier AI systems worldwide before it is too late. We believe that nothing less than this will prevent future misaligned smarter-than...

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66:19

“OpenAI: Fallout” by Zvi

LessWrong (Curated & Popular) ·

2024/05/28

Previously: OpenAI: Exodus (contains links at top to earlier episodes), Do Not Mess With Scarlett JohanssonWe have learned more since last week. It's worse than we knew.How much worse? In which ways? With what exceptions?That's what this post is about. The Story So FarFor years, employees who left OpenAI consistently had their vested equity explicitly threatened with confiscation and the lack of ability to sell it, and were given short timelines to sign documents or else. Those documents cont...

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1:26

[HUMAN VOICE] Update on human narration for this podcast

LessWrong (Curated & Popular) ·

2024/05/28

Contact: patreon.com/lwcurated or [perrin dot j dot walker plus lesswrong fnord gmail].All Solenoid's narration work found here.

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5:12

“Maybe Anthropic’s Long-Term Benefit Trust is...

LessWrong (Curated & Popular) ·

2024/05/28

Crossposted from AI Lab Watch. Subscribe on Substack.Introduction. Anthropic has an unconventional governance mechanism: an independent "Long-Term Benefit Trust" elects some of its board. Anthropic sometimes emphasizes that the Trust is an experiment, but mostly points to it to argue that Anthropic will be able to promote safety and benefit-sharing over profit.[1]But the Trust's details have not been published and some information Anthropic has shared is concerning. In particular, ...

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16:07

“Notifications Received in 30 Minutes of Class” by...

LessWrong (Curated & Popular) ·

2024/05/27

Introduction. If you are choosing to read this post, you've probably seen the image below depicting all the notifications students received on their phones during one class period. You probably saw it as a retweet of this tweet, or in one of Zvi's posts. Did you find this data plausible, or did you roll to disbelieve? Did you know that the image dates back to at least 2019? Does that fact make you more or less worried about the truth on the ground as of 2024?Last month, I performed...

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7:42

AI companies aren’t really using external evaluators

LessWrong (Curated & Popular) ·

2024/05/24

New blog: AI Lab Watch. Subscribe on Substack.Many AI safety folks think that METR is close to the labs, with ongoing relationships that grant it access to models before they are deployed. This is incorrect. METR (then called ARC Evals) did pre-deployment evaluation for GPT-4 and Claude 2 in the first half of 2023, but it seems to have had no special access since then.[1] Other model evaluators also seem to have little access before deployment.Frontier AI labs' pre-deployment risk assessment ...

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6:42

EIS XIII: Reflections on Anthropic’s SAE Research...

LessWrong (Curated & Popular) ·

2024/05/24

Crossposted from the AI Alignment Forum. May contain more technical jargon than usual.Part 13 of 12 in the Engineer's Interpretability Sequence. TL;DROn May 5, 2024, I made a set of 10 predictions about what the next sparse autoencoder (SAE) paper from Anthropic would and wouldn’t do. Today's new SAE paper from Anthropic was full of brilliant experiments and interesting insights, but it ultimately underperformed my expectations. I am beginning to be concerned that Anthropic's recent approach ...

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6:30

What’s Going on With OpenAI’s Messaging?

LessWrong (Curated & Popular) ·

2024/05/22

This is a quickly-written opinion piece, of what I understand about OpenAI. I first posted it to Facebook, where it had some discussion. Some arguments that OpenAI is making, simultaneously: OpenAI will likely reach and own transformative AI (useful for attracting talent to work there). OpenAI cares a lot about safety (good for public PR and government regulations). OpenAI isn’t making anything dangerous and is unlikely to do so in the future (good for public PR and government regulation...

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29:05

Language Models Model Us

LessWrong (Curated & Popular) ·

2024/05/21

Produced as part of the MATS Winter 2023-4 program, under the mentorship of @Jessica RumbelowOne-sentence summary: On a dataset of human-written essays, we find that gpt-3.5-turbo can accurately infer demographic information about the authors from just the essay text, and suspect it's inferring much more. Introduction. Every time we sit down in front of an LLM like GPT-4, it starts with a blank slate. It knows nothing[1] about who we are, other than what it knows about users in general. But ...

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0:51

Jaan Tallinn’s 2023 Philanthropy Overview

LessWrong (Curated & Popular) ·

2024/05/21

This is a link post.to follow up my philantropic pledge from 2020, i've updated my philanthropy page with 2023 results.in 2023 my donations funded $44M worth of endpoint grants ($43.2M excluding software development and admin costs) — exceeding my commitment of $23.8M (20k times $1190.03 — the minimum price of ETH in 2023).--- First published: May 20th, 2024 Source: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/bjqDQB92iBCahXTAj/jaan-tallinn-s-2023-philanthropy-over...

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84:44

OpenAI: Exodus

LessWrong (Curated & Popular) ·

2024/05/21

Previously: OpenAI: Facts From a Weekend, OpenAI: The Battle of the Board, OpenAI: Leaks Confirm the Story, OpenAI: Altman Returns, OpenAI: The Board Expands.Ilya Sutskever and Jan Leike have left OpenAI. This is almost exactly six months after Altman's temporary firing and The Battle of the Board, the day after the release of GPT-4o, and soon after a number of other recent safety-related OpenAI departures. Many others working on safety have also left recently. This is part of a longstanding ...

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693 results

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