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PODCAST

5 in 5 with ANZ

Start your day with 5 in 5 with ANZ. You’ll hear the five things you need to know about the global economy and markets in under 5 minutes. Plus a deep dive into emerging trends and issues. Hosted by business and financial journalist Bernard Hickey, the podcast features exclusive insights from ANZ’s global team of experts. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/

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All Episodes

8:55

Friday: US$ strong vs euro on inflation divergence

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2023/08/31

The US dollar is stronger against the euro this morning after solid US consumer spending and inflation data contrasted with and more moderate inflation signs from Europe. In part two of a bonus deep-dive interview, ANZ’s Chief Economist for Greater China Raymond Yeung explains how China’s authorities are working to stop a slump in apartment prices that would threaten a ‘black swan’ event. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at

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9:58

Thursday: Big China cities help first home buyers

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2023/08/30

Guangzhou and Shenzhen have eased mortgage restrictions for first home buyers to boost apartment demand. Australia’s inflation was softer than forecast. In part one of a bonus deep-dive interview, ANZ’s Chief Economist for Greater China Raymond Yeung examines the (remote) prospects of China’s property downturn becoming a ‘black swan event’ for China’s economy. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/

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9:58

Wednesday: US bond yields JOLTed lower

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2023/08/29

US bond yields are down sharply this morning and US stocks are up on hopes the Fed won’t have to hike next month. In part one of a bonus deep-dive interview, ANZ’s Senior Rates Strategist Jack Chambers details why the RBA may accelerate its Quantitative Tightening (QT). Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/

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9:56

Tuesday: China stocks rally fizzles out

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2023/08/28

China’s authorities moved over the weekend to stimulate stock market activity, but an initial 5% surge has faded overnight. In our bonus deep-dive interview, ANZ’s Senior Rates Strategist Jack Chambers details why the RBA may accelerate its Quantitative Tightening (QT). Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/

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9:58

Monday: Fed talk boosts US$ over 146 yen

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2023/08/27

The US$ is strong above 146.4 yen after the Fed warned inflation was still too high and it may have to hike again. Traders are on high alert for BoJ intervention. In our bonus deep-dive interview, ANZ Group’s Chief Economist Richard Yetsenga looks beyond cyclical inflation to where structural inflation is stronger. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/

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9:34

Friday: Rates jitters return ahead of Jackson Hole

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2023/08/24

US stocks are down around 1% and US Treasury yields are up 3-5 basis points on concerns big central bank speeches tonight could be hawkish. US second tier data was stronger than flash PMIs indicated. In our bonus deep-dive interview, ANZ’s Chief Economist for Greater China Raymond Yeung explains the downturn in China’s property market and the wider macro-economic implications. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/

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9:22

Thursday: Global flash PMIs surprisingly weak

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2023/08/23

US stocks and bonds are rallying after the first indicators of global business activity in August were much weaker than expected, reinforcing market expectations central banks will be able to cut interest rates sooner and by more. In our bonus deep-dive interview, ANZ’s Head of FX Research Mahjabeen Zaman about whether the BRICs have any realistic hope of breaking the global financial system’s reliance on the US dollar as a reserve currency. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer

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9:52

Wednesday: PBoC escalates currency support

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2023/08/22

The PBoC has bolstered support for the renminbi, fixing the rate well above market expectations and squeezing funding costs higher for short sellers. US existing home sales fell unexpectatedly. Europe’s current account deficit surged. In our bonus deep-dive interview, ANZ’s Head of G3 Economics Brian Martin explains why the real neutral interest rate in the US is up around 1% to 0.5-1.0%. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at

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9:14

Tuesday: High US rates driving strong US$

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2023/08/21

The US dollar strengthened again overnight to over 146 yen, thanks to another surge in the 10-year Treasury yield to 4.35% ahead of a key Fed speech on Friday. In our bonus deep-dive interview, ANZ’s Head of Asia Research Khoon Goh explains why Vietnam’s economy is recovering after a slow start to 2023. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/

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9:12

Monday: All eyes on PBoC and Jackson Hole

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2023/08/20

China is expected to cut a key lending rate today and all eyes this week will be on Jerome Powell, who starts the Jackson Hole symposium on Friday night. In our bonus deep-dive interview, ANZ’s Senior Australian Economist Adelaide Timbrell delves into why Australian house prices are rising again, despite the RBA’s rate hikes. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/

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10:16

Friday: US 10-year yield at 16-year high

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2023/08/17

The US 10-year Treasury yield jumped to 16-year highs overnight on growing talk the Fed will have to hike again. Risk-sensitive currencies are weak on China’s rapid slowdown. In an extended bonus deep-dive interview, ANZ’s Group Chief Economist Richard Yetsenga looks at why China’s stimulus isn’t working this time around. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/

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9:26

Thursday: US factories humming on IRA, CHIPS

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2023/08/16

US industrial production data was much stronger than expected overnight. The RBNZ held its cash rate, but hinted it may have to do a bit more inflation fighting. In our bonus deep-dive interview, ANZ’s Head of Australian Economics Adam Boyton looks at the contest that will play out between stronger real wages as inflation falls, and higher real interest rates, also on that falling inflation. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at

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10:00

Wednesday: US retail strong, just as China slides

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2023/08/15

US retail sales data was stronger than expected, ramping up the inflation pressure on the Fed. But China’s growth is slowing sharply, leading to a surprise rate cut. Oil prices slid on China’s weak data. In our bonus deep-dive interview, ANZ’s Senior Commodities Strategist Daniel Hynes details what an even harder slowdown of apartment building in China might do to commodity prices. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at

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10:16

Tuesday: Aussie, Kiwi dollars fall below key levels

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2023/08/14

The Aussie and Kiwi dollars are down near nine-month lows this morning, thanks to a strong US dollar and concerns about China’s slowing economy. In our bonus deep-dive interview, ANZ Asia Economist Krystal Tan details how El Nino is likely to affect food production and inflation. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/

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9:34

Monday: US PPI firm, but China loans slump 89%

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2023/08/13

US PPI inflation was a bit faster than expected in July, which pushed bond yields up on Friday night. But China’s economy continues to struggle, with loan growth slumping to a 14-year low. In our deep-dive-in-five interview, ANZ’s New Zealand Chief Economist Sharon Zollner looks at whether the Reserve Bank of New Zealand can keep pausing its Official Cash Rate at 5.5% Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/

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10:45

Friday: Fed set to pause on tepid US inflation

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2023/08/10

US inflation was flat at 0.2% in July, which reinforced expectations the Fed will pause rate hikes next month. Strike threats on the Northwest Shelf are hitting global LNG markets. The RBI held rates with a hawkish twist. In our deep-dive-in-five interview, ANZ’s Group Chief Economist Richard Yetsenga explains why China can’t just flick the stimulus switch again to combat its growth slowdown. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at

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10:04

Thursday: Oil, food price headache for central banks

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2023/08/09

Oil prices rose again overnight to their highest levels since January on supply worries. Rice prices also surged to 15-year highs. Any return of food price inflation would be a headache for central banks. In our deep dive interview, ANZ’s Chief Economist for Southeast Asia and India, Sanjay Mathur, explains why tomato prices are up 800% in parts of India, and why it’s worrying the RBI. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at

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9:44

Wednesday: China's trade stats weaker than forecast

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2023/08/08

China’s exports and imports fell more than expected in July, which drove stocks down in Asia overnight. US bond yields fell too after Moody’s downgraded 10 mid-sized US banks. Deflationary signs are expected from China later today. In our deep dive interview, ANZ’s Senior International Economist Tom Kenny unravels what a ‘Goldilocks’ recovery for the US economy would mean for global interest rates. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at

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9:53

Tuesday: Deflation beckons in China

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2023/08/07

All eyes are on US and Chinese export and inflation data over the next three days. Deflation is a growing prospect in China on weak consumer spending and trade. In our deep dive interview, ANZ’s NZ’s Agriculture Economist Susan Kilsby explains how that weak Chinese consumer demand has hammered prices lower for dairy farmers in New Zealand. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/

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10:32

Monday: Something for everyone in US jobs

5 in 5 with ANZ ·

2023/08/06

US jobs growth was a bit weaker than expected, but wage inflation was a touch firmer than forecast. This week’s key data is on Chinese inflation on Wednesday. In our deep dive interview, ANZ’s Senior China Economist Betty Wang and ANZ’s Senior Commodities Strategist Daniel Hynes drill down into how commodities demand shifting from China to India will affect Australia’s exporters. Before accessing this podcast, please read the disclaimer at https://www.anz.com/institutional/five-in-five-podcast/

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