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PODCAST

Moving Markets

Moving Markets is the home of podcasts at Julius Baer. Here, our expert teams share concise daily market updates in ‘Moving Markets Daily’ which is complemented by ‘Moving Markets: The View Beyond’, a weekly show dedicated to discussing the context, thematic angles, and investment implications behind key topics shaping the news cycle and conversations among our relationship managers and clients. The information contained in this podcast is marketing material. Opinions expressed do not constitute

news business news

All Episodes

10:43

Markets continue to struggle on weak data prints

Moving Markets ·

2023/10/03

Investor sentiment was dealt a further blow yesterday after manufacturing PMI data showed that manufacturing activity in the eurozone continued to weaken. The US managed to outstrip estimates, but remained in contraction territory all the same. And Manuel Villegas, Next Generation Research, provides us with the latest news from the digital assets world and the impact on crypto markets.00:00 Introduction by Helen Freer (Investment Writing)00:21 Markets wrap-up by Jonti Warris (Investment

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9:23

Stock markets breathe a sigh of relief as US...

Moving Markets ·

2023/10/02

US futures raced higher this morning following a last-minute deal on Saturday evening to keep the US government open until at least 17th November. Bond yields are, however, further elevated over concerns of inflation, higher oil prices and how long interest rates will remain high. Chinese markets will be closed this week for the Golden Week holiday. Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, explains why he is bullish on the US dollar and believes that we will see US stocks rally into year

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11:53

Stocks stage something of a comeback yesterday

Moving Markets ·

2023/09/29

US equities have struggled in September, but staged a bit of a month-end rally yesterday after US Treasury yields fell back from 15-year highs. Meanwhile in Asia, hopes that China’s Golden Week holiday will boost consumer spending are helping sentiment, as is the news that US and Chinese leaders are in talks to meet. In commodities, oil continues to grab headlines, with Brent on track for its best quarter since Q1 2022. Tim Gagie, Head of FX & PM Solutions in Geneva, joins today’s show

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13:45

As Oil grabs the headlines … can the rally last?

Moving Markets ·

2023/09/28

Benchmark US oil prices rose to USD 95 a barrel for the first time in more than a year after inventories in the nation's main stockpile fell to critical levels. Meanwhile, the prospect of a US government shutdown is weighing on markets already jittery about higher rates. Norbert Rücker, Head of Macro & Next Generation Research delves into the oil story and further expands on energy transition, whilst Nicolas Jordan shares the views from our investment committee on interest rates,

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12:00

Fears of US yields rising further drag equities lower

Moving Markets ·

2023/09/27

September continues to live up to its bad reputation in financial markets, with equities down between 3% and 7% and bond yields continuing to rise. The Federal Reserve's insistence on keeping policy tighter than expected continues to weigh on markets. Dario Messi, Fixed Income Research, explains how this could also be an opportunity for investors.00:00 Introduction by Bernadette Anderko (Investment Writing)00:24 Markets wrap-up by Roman Canziani (Investment Writing)05:57 Bond Market Update

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11:04

European and US equity markets diverge

Moving Markets ·

2023/09/26

Investor sentiment in Europe took a hit yesterday as concerns around interest rates staying higher for longer and renewed fears in the Chinese economy continued to daze markets. In the US, however, equities managed to snap their four-day losing streaks, shrugging off moves in the bond market. And Manuel Villegas, Next Generation Research, provides an update on the Bitcoin spot ETF saga and what this means for crypto markets. 00:00 Introduction by Helen Freer (Investment Writing)00:28

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10:03

Central banks rain on stock market’s parade

Moving Markets ·

2023/09/25

Equity markets closed the week lower after comments from the leading central banks forced investors to realise that they will be stuck with higher rates for longer than expected as the war against inflation continues to be fought at the monetary policy level. Asia’s stock indices are facing their own challenges today as China’s property sector continues to implode. Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, reveals what the charts say about whether September’s sell-off can be converted

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17:11

Central banks made bonds sell off

Moving Markets ·

2023/09/22

This week, one central bank after another made it clear that interest rates need to stay higher for longer. As a result, government bond yields rose sharply, the US dollar strengthened and equities sold off. Only the Bank of Japan remains on a different wavelength, keeping its monetary policy as loose as ever. In Asia, the positive news is that China may allow the immediate transfer of investment-related funds in and out of the country, while India's government bonds will be included in a

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15:39

Markets fall after 'hawkish hold' by the Federal Reserve

Moving Markets ·

2023/09/21

The Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged but hinted at one more hike in the US this year and that rates will stay higher for longer than market participants had initially thought. Yields are higher and equities lower this morning, with only the US dollar shining. Ronny Kaufmann, CIO Strategy & Investment Analysis, explains that the current expansionary US fiscal policy could make the Federal Reserve's job of balancing monetary policy even harder in the future.00:00 Introduction

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16:59

Markets breathe a sigh ahead of Fed decision

Moving Markets ·

2023/09/20

Amid rising pricing pressure in the energy sector, today it’s the turn of the US Federal Reserve to announce its latest interest rate decision. UK CPI data surprises to the downside, in a sign that sticky inflation is slowly starting to come down ahead of the Bank of England rate decision tomorrow. And our Chief Economist David Kohl provides his comprehensive insights on what we can expect from the slew of central bank meetings this week.00:00 Introduction by Bernadette Anderko (Investment

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14:16

Fiscal policy is the elephant in the room

Moving Markets ·

2023/09/19

Markets are basically on hold ahead of the US rate decision tomorrow. The oil rally, which has the potential to raise risks to inflation, has us on tenterhooks in a week dominated by central bank activity. Markus Allenspach, Head of Fixed Income Research, explains why fiscal policy might now be more important than monetary policy in the US. He also delves into the Fed’s dots and what we might read from them.00:00 Introduction by Helen Freer (Investment Writing)00:25 Markets wrap-up by

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9:02

Oil prices rise to a 10-month high

Moving Markets ·

2023/09/18

Oil prices hit a 10-month high on Friday driven by Saudi Arabian production cuts and optimism around Chinese demand. The Federal Reserve is debating whether to raise interest rates one more time this year and how much to ease rates in 2024. Rental costs in the UK have grown at the fastest rate in at least 10 years. There’s a busy agenda of central bank meetings this week. Markus Wachter from Technical Analysis Research shares his thoughts on equities and oil from a technical

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15:07

Strong US retail sales vs ECB’s lower growth forecast

Moving Markets ·

2023/09/15

European equities rallied yesterday on the prospect of an end to the European Central Bank's tightening cycle even as the growth outlook was downgraded, while US equities rose on strong retail sales figures and Hong Kong equities gained on better-than-expected data from China. Arm's IPO was well received, with the stock rising 25% on its first day of trading; US autoworkers went on strike, affecting a third of the US auto industry; and today's biggest ever options expiration could bring

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14:49

US CPI nudges higher as ECB mulls a hike or pause

Moving Markets ·

2023/09/14

Following yesterday’s US inflation data, which came in marginally higher than expectations, today it’s the turn of the European Central Bank to decide whether the unprecedented surge in eurozone inflation has fallen enough to warrant a pause in its tightening cycle. Our Head of Equity Strategy, Mathieu Racheter, shares his insights into the European and US equity market dynamics. And Tim Gagie, Head of FX & PM Solutions Geneva, provides an update on currencies and precious metals.00:00

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13:05

Tech stocks under pressure ahead of US inflation data

Moving Markets ·

2023/09/13

Tech stocks are under pressure after Oracle missed on earnings and gave a rather gloomy outlook and Apple's 'Wonderlust' event failed (so far) to inspire investors' imagination. With US inflation figures due today and the European Central Bank's interest rate decision tomorrow, Dario Messi, Fixed Income Research, explains why he remains positive that yields are peaking.00:00 Introduction by Bernadette Anderko (Investment Writing)00:54 Markets wrap-up by Roman Canziani (Head of Investment

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9:19

Riding the tech wave

Moving Markets ·

2023/09/12

Stocks around the world are being boosted not only by expectations that the Fed will pause its rate hike cycle next week, but also by investors buying into technology stocks after recent weakness and on news from companies like Tesla and Apple. In Asia, sentiment in the property sector improved after a Chinese property developer in distress reached an agreement to extend the repayment on six of its bonds. Hannah Wise, Head of Investment Communication, joins us today to provide a few details

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10:21

A positive end to a losing week

Moving Markets ·

2023/09/11

Investors breathed a small sigh of relief on Friday as European and US equity markets halted their losing streak, closing the day, if not the week, marginally higher. Recent economic data in the US has reignited rate hike fears. This Thursday we will find out what the ECB will do. Meanwhile, Japan’s central bank governor boosted the yen and government bond yields as he signalled that an end to negative interest rates might be on the cards. Markus Wachter tells us why technicals are pointing

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9:55

When is an apple not an apple? When it’s a spanner of...

Moving Markets ·

2023/09/08

Yes, Apple Inc. was the spanner in the equity markets’ works yesterday. In all fairness, it was actually the Chinese government turning the screw on Apple, as it sought to broaden its ban on foreign technology further. As Apple‘s share price dropped for the second day in a row, the impact was felt most in the tech sector and saw the Nasdaq composite fall for a fourth consecutive session yesterday, closing down 0.89%. Data released on US jobs and labour costs also upset markets and has

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11:55

Brent oil at a new high this year – quo vadis from here?

Moving Markets ·

2023/09/07

Good news on the US economy was bad news for US equities yesterday as increased interest rate expectations weighed on stocks. An expanded ban on using iPhones in China also weighed on market sentiment, and this is also spilling over to Asian markets that are a sea of red this Thursday. European luxury stocks were lower yesterday as Richemont’s chairman warned of the impact of high inflation on local demand in Europe. Norbert Rücker, Head of Macro & Next Generation Research, notes that

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12:13

Equities under pressure as bond yields, oil and the...

Moving Markets ·

2023/09/06

After Saudi Arabia and Russia both pledged to extend their supply cuts until the end of the year, oil has rallied, pushing yields higher and interrupting the rally in equities. Meanwhile, Eurozone economic data continues to come in below expectations. Dario Messi, Fixed Income Research, explains what this means for the European Central Bank's interest rate decision next week.00:00 Introduction by Bernadette Anderko (Investment Writing)00:45 Markets wrap-up by Roman Canziani (Head of

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