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PODCAST

Moving Markets

Moving Markets is the home of podcasts at Julius Baer. Here, our expert teams share concise daily market updates in ‘Moving Markets Daily’ which is complemented by ‘Moving Markets: The View Beyond’, a weekly show dedicated to discussing the context, thematic angles, and investment implications behind key topics shaping the news cycle and conversations among our relationship managers and clients. The information contained in this podcast is marketing material. Opinions expressed do not constitute

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All Episodes

9:17

A big central bank week coming up

Moving Markets ·

2023/06/12

This week is a busy one with central banks around the world expected to announce their latest interest rate decisions, including the US, Eurozone, Japan and China. There will also be a raft of macroeconomic data for investors to digest. Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, joins today's episode to talk more about the VIX index hitting a new 3-year low and equity markets hitting a 52-week high.00:14 Introduction by Bernadette Anderko (Investment Writing)00:39 Markets wrap-up by Lucija

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10:00

A bull market in the US and the Swiss franc on a roll

Moving Markets ·

2023/06/09

The S&P 500 index in the US entered bull market territory yesterday, up 20% since its October 2022 low, on optimism that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates on hold for the time being. In contrast, a rate hike in Switzerland on 22nd June appears to be a done deal, setting the Swiss franc up for a rally, especially against the US dollar, as Tim Gagie, Head of FX & PM Solutions Geneva, explains. 00:14 Introduction by Helen Freer (Investment Writing)00:33 Markets wrap-up by

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10:28

Bank of Canada’s surprise hike spooks markets

Moving Markets ·

2023/06/08

The Bank of Canada joined the Reserve Bank of Australia by resuming rate hikes yesterday. Following the surprise 25-basis-point hike, US Treasury bonds sold off. India’s government bonds also sold off despite the central bank there not hiking rates, but the Sensex stock index is heading towards record highs. Japan’s government bond yields also rose following news that Japan’s economy grew an annualised 2.7% in Q1 this year, higher than the expected 1.9%. Our Head of Next Generation

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8:47

China in the spotlight this morning

Moving Markets ·

2023/06/07

Straight after the Chinese authorities asked the country’s largest banks to lower their deposit rates, China’s trade data disappointed, with both imports and exports falling. But at least there is some positive geopolitical news as US Secretary of State Antony Blinken plans to visit China. Meanwhile, US equities enjoyed some support yesterday, with the S&P 500 closing at its highest level in 2023. Mathieu Racheter, Head of Equity Strategy, joins today’s episode to explain why we still

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16:18

US regulator files a lawsuit against crypto exchange...

Moving Markets ·

2023/06/06

The US Securities and Exchange Commission has sued cryptocurrency exchange Binance and its CEO Changpeng Zhao for US securities violations. Our Chief Economist David Kohl talks about the risk of a recession in the US, and Manuel Villegas, Next Generation Research, provides an update on the digital assets space. 00:14 Introduction by Helen Freer (Investment Writing)00:42 Markets wrap-up by Jonti Warris (Investment Writing)04:48 What’s the chance of a US recession? by David Kohl (Chief

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8:46

US equity outperformance resumes

Moving Markets ·

2023/06/05

US equities gained on Friday on the back of the deal to raise the debt ceiling and a mixed bag of economic reports that suggested the Federal Reserve would hold off on raising interest rates at its June meeting. Saudi Arabia said it would cut oil production by an additional 1 million barrels per day after the OPEC+ meeting, while Turkey has a new market-friendly finance minister. Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis Research, points out that the outperformance of US equities has

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15:16

Stocks rally on renewed economic optimism and debt...

Moving Markets ·

2023/06/02

Although this week's employment data was generally stronger and US manufacturing remains under pressure, equities and bonds broadly rallied yesterday as the outlook for central banks pausing on interest rate hikes brightened. Tim Gagie, Head of FX & PM Solutions Geneva, talks about how this could affect the US dollar, and Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research, has a guess as to which digital assets will dominate going forward. 00:14 Introduction by Helen Freer (Investment

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11:19

Debt ceiling bill passes in the House with broad...

Moving Markets ·

2023/06/01

The US House of Representatives passed a bill late yesterday to suspend the USD 31.4 trillion debt ceiling. The bill will now pass to the Senate just days before Monday’s US default deadline. Norbert Rücker, Head of Macro & Next Generation Research, provides us with an update on oil, and Nicolas Jordan, from the CIO Strategy & Investment Analysis team, shares the latest thoughts of our CIO’s Investment Committee.00:14 Introduction by Helen Freer (Investment Writing)00:43 Markets

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9:44

Weak Chinese PMI prompts market selloff

Moving Markets ·

2023/05/31

China's economic recovery weakened in May as manufacturing activity slumped, prompting investors to sell stocks and call for more stimulus to boost growth. UK business confidence fell for the first time in three months as faster-than-expected inflation figures weighed on firms' sentiment about the economy. Eirini Tsekeridou from Fixed Income Research provides insight into our views on both Greek and other eurozone sovereign bonds.00:14 Introduction by Bernadette Anderko (Investment

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11:13

US debt ceiling negotiations clear their first hurdle

Moving Markets ·

2023/05/30

Futures markets have reacted with cautious optimism to the fact that President Joe Biden and House Speaker Kevin McCarthy finally reached an agreement on a deal to raise the US debt ceiling this weekend. Nevertheless, they now face the challenge of getting the bill passed by the House of Representatives before 5th June. Our Head of Fixed Income Research, Markus Allenspach, examines the deal and its economic consequences on today’s show.00:14 Introduction by Helen Freer (Investment

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12:01

Tech sector shines as time runs out to avoid US...

Moving Markets ·

2023/05/26

The tech sector rallied strongly yesterday, while other sectors and the broader market were flat to slightly lower. This followed the upbeat outlook on AI-related demand from the US chip developer Nvidia. Meanwhile, negotiations over the US debt ceiling increase are heating up as time is running out for politicians to find a solution. And Tim Gagie, our Head of FX & PM Solutions in Geneva, talks about where he sees opportunities in currencies and metals. 00:14 Introduction by Helen

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12:54

Fitch move adds to pressure on markets

Moving Markets ·

2023/05/25

US ratings agency Fitch put the United States’ AAA bond rating on negative watch yesterday, saying that the debt ceiling negotiations have raised the risks that the government could miss payments on some of its obligations. The impact was felt by the major US indices which all closed lower, but Nvidia’s surprisingly good results did provide a boost to Nasdaq futures later. Norbert Rücker, Head of Macro & Next Generation Research, joins us to provide an update on the natural gas market,

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12:02

US debt-ceiling impasse dents investor sentiment

Moving Markets ·

2023/05/24

Global equity markets suffer losses after continued US debt-ceiling negotiations ended without a deal yesterday. This increases the likelihood that the House and the Senate will both have to vote on a deal next week to prevent the US from defaulting on its debt obligations. David Kohl, Chief Economist, shares his insights into the eurozone’s latest flash purchasing managers' index data and what this means for the growth outlook.00:14 Introduction by Bernadette Anderko (Investment

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13:15

No deal yet

Moving Markets ·

2023/05/23

The US debt ceiling negotiations are still stealing the spotlight and while House Speaker Kevin McCarthy and US President Joe Biden had a “productive” meeting yesterday, they have not yet reached an agreement. Markus Allenspach, our Head of Fixed Income Research, joins today’s episode to explain whether he thinks a deal will be reached in time and why no-one can nail down an ‘X-date’ for when the US will actually run out of money. Hannah Wise, Business Journalist, shares how listeners can

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9:59

Positive momentum in major global equity indices

Moving Markets ·

2023/05/22

The S&P 500 is at its highest level this year and the German DAX index is at an all-time high. This week, the US debt ceiling, US & eurozone interest rates, and US-China tensions are likely to be in focus. China has announced that it will ban some sales of chips from the US semiconductor company Micron Technology, even as President Biden said he expected ties with China to improve very shortly. Markus Wachter, Technical Analysis Research, points out that there have been strong moves

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15:41

Stocks up and bonds down as sentiment improves across...

Moving Markets ·

2023/05/19

The S&P 500 Index is trading at its highest level in 9 months and US Treasuries are falling as the likelihood of an end to the US debt ceiling impasse has increased in recent hours. This has implications for the US dollar and metals, as Tim Gagie, our Head of FX and PM solutions in Geneva, points out. And Carsten Menke, our Head of Next Generation Research, talks about the latest action in crypto-land.00:14 Introduction by Mike Rauber (Investment Writing)00:40 Markets wrap-up by Roman

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17:42

US debt ceiling and interest rate views in focus

Moving Markets ·

2023/05/17

The S&P 500 closed down 0.6% yesterday. Comments from Federal Reserve officials on whether further interest rate hikes will be necessary in light of strong economic data releases, and the ongoing uncertainty over the debt ceiling drove equities lower. Dario Messi, Fixed Income Research, provides our view on the ongoing US debt ceiling negotiations, noting that we are working on the assumption that a last-minute deal will be reached. Richard Tang, Equity Research Asia, talks about the

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11:06

US Treasury warns of catastrophe of a US default

Moving Markets ·

2023/05/16

US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen has warned that the US government will default on its payments by 1 June unless the debt ceiling is raised, putting pressure on Congressional Republicans and the White House to reach a deal. Eirini Tsekeridou, Fixed Income Research, shares her insights into the Turkish elections and the market impact, and Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research, gives an update on the copper market.00:14 Introduction by Bernadette Anderko (Investment Writing)00:41

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7:15

Markets dominated by politics

Moving Markets ·

2023/05/15

US stocks barely moved on Friday. President Joe Biden, House Speaker Kevin McCarthy, and other congressional leaders are planning to meet on Tuesday to discuss budget negotiations in order to avoid a US government default. In the Turkish presidential election, President Erdogan failed to win a majority of the votes, leaving him with 49.3% of the votes and his opponent, Kemal Kilicdaroglu, with 45%. Mensur Pocinci our Head of Technical Analysis provides a technical update on Chinese

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15:08

US debt ceiling, BOE rate hike, tech company news – a...

Moving Markets ·

2023/05/12

From concerns about US regional banks to the US debt-ceiling debate, the Bank of England’s interest rate hike and the raft of news from tech companies, there are plenty of headlines for investors to absorb. Tim Gagie, Head of FX & PM Solutions Geneva, joins today’s episode to shed some light on the latest developments in currencies and metals markets, and Leonardo Pellandini, Equity Strategist, is here to provide an update on the earnings season.00:14 Introduction by Helen Freer

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