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PODCAST

Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova

Pushkin Industries

Risky Business is a weekly podcast about making better decisions. The hosts, Maria Konnikova and Nate Silver, are both journalists who moonlight as high-stakes poker players. On Risky Business, they bring their analytical framework to everything from politics to poker to personal decisions. Maria has a PhD in psychology and is the author of several books including, most recently, The Biggest Bluff. While researching the book, she inadvertently became a professional poker player, with over $500,000

news politics

All Episodes

40:38

Taking Risks in Business, Poker, and Life (with Bill...

Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova ·

2024/08/08

Maria sits down with Bill Perkins, the legendary energy trader, to talk about his approach to risk in business, poker, and life. For more from Nate and Maria, subscribe to their newsletters: The Leap from Maria Konnikova Silver Bulletin from Nate SilverSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

en-US

45:30

Kamala Mode, Misinformation, and Winning the WSOP

Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova ·

2024/08/01

Nate’s election model is back on, and it’s in Kamala Mode. Nate and Maria discuss what the model shows us about Kamala Harris’ chances, and the strange election misinformation that has been going around. Then, they are joined by World Series of Poker Main Event winner Jonathan Tamayo to discuss his win – and the controversy that surrounds it. For more from Nate and Maria, subscribe to their newsletters: The Leap from Maria Konnikova Silver Bulletin from Nate Silver See omnystudio.com/listener for

en-US

36:34

Betting on Kamala Harris (with special guest Matt...

Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova ·

2024/07/23

Biden’s out of the race! Matt Glassman joins Nate to talk about what the consolidation behind Kamala Harris reveals about party politics and who she might pick for a running mate. Further Reading: Why Biden Finally Quit from Politico Can Harris Beat Trump? from New York Magazine What a Kamala Harris Presidency Might Look Like from Semafor For more from Nate and Maria, subscribe to their newsletters: The Leap from Maria Konnikova Silver Bulletin from Nate Silver See omnystudio.com/listener for

en-US

44:58

Conspiracy Theories, J.D. Vance, and Jury Duty

Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova ·

2024/07/18

Nate and Maria discuss the assassination attempt on Donald Trump and the psychology of conspiracy theorists. They talk about what Trump’s selection of J.D. Vance means for the election. And they parse the latest in the Democrats’ intra-party fight over Biden. Also on the show: Nate’s day at jury duty is a case study in bad bluffs. For more from Nate and Maria, subscribe to their newsletters: The Leap from Maria Konnikova Silver Bulletin from Nate Silver See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy

en-US

46:15

How to Convince Biden to Quit

Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova ·

2024/07/10

Nate and Maria really, really, really want Joe Biden to drop out of the race. Maria gives a psychological consult on the best way to convince Biden to quit. Nate estimates Biden’s chances of defeating Donal Trump if he stays in – and Kamala Harris’s chances of winning the election if she replaces Biden. Also: An update from the Main Event of the World Series of Poker. For more from Nate and Maria, subscribe to their newsletters: The Leap from Maria Konnikova Silver Bulletin from Nate Silver See

en-US

40:38

How to Gamble Like a Chess Player, with Jennifer Shahade

Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova ·

2024/07/04

Maria talks with Women’s Chess Grandmaster Jennifer Shahade about what chess and poker teach you about life; how statistics can help you think about having kids; and the time Maria lost a chess match in four moves. For more from Nate and Maria, subscribe to their newsletters: The Leap from Maria Konnikova Silver Bulletin from Nate Silver See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

en-US

45:38

The President Has No Clothes: Biden Should Drop Out

Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova ·

2024/06/28

In this bonus episode, Nate and Maria discuss last night’s debate between President Biden and former President Trump. They argue that Biden should drop out of the race, and discuss what might happen if he does. Further Reading: “Joe Biden Should Drop Out” from Silver Bulletin “CNN Presidential Debate: President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump” from CNN “Important Post Debate Analysis" from X user @drewjanda For more from Nate and Maria, subscribe to their newsletters: “The Leap” from

en-US

43:13

Nate’s Election Model, the Trouble with Insurance,...

Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova ·

2024/06/27

This week on Risky Business, Nate and Maria unveil Nate’s 2024 election model. (The forecast is bad news for Maria.) Also, they explain what insurance industry troubles tell us about the market for risk. And they discuss some key mistakes people make when thinking about risk. Further Reading: “Silver Bulletin 2024 presidential election forecast” by Nate Silver and Eli McKown-Dawson “Climate Change Has Hit Home Insurance. Is Health Insurance Next?” from the Wall Street Journal “The Home Insurance

en-US

42:11

Snap Elections, Global Warming, and Maria’s Favorite...

Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova ·

2024/06/20

This week on Risky Business, Nate and Maria discuss the reasoning behind Macron’s decision to hold early elections in France, how heat waves could help communicate the reality of climate change, and what we can learn from the impending sriracha shortage. The theme that ties it all together: How to think about long-term risk. Further Reading: “The stakes are high in Macron’s gamble” from the Financial Times “What A Sriracha Shortage Teaches Us About Supply Chains” from Forbes For more from Nate and

en-US

43:33

Lifetime Terms, Lifetime Bans, and the Return of...

Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova ·

2024/06/13

This week on Risky Business, Nate and Maria discuss whether Supreme Court Justice Sonia Sotomayor should retire, the perils of sports betting among professional athletes, and what the return of Roaring Kitty means for traditional market analysis. Further Reading: “Sonia Sotomayor Should Retire Now” from The Atlantic “Should Sonia Sotomayor Retire?” from Slate “MLB bans Padres’ Tucupita Marcano permanently for betting on baseball” from the NYT “Lifetime bans and careers in tatters – recent sports

en-US

48:49

Mistakes and Unknowns: Election Polls, Poker...

Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova ·

2024/06/06

This week on Risky Business, Nate gives his analysis of what Trump’s guilty verdict may mean for the election, Maria shares the biggest mistakes she’s seen at the World Series of Poker so far, and Nate reveals an interesting ripple in the sports betting ecosystem ahead of the NBA Finals.For more from Nate and Maria, subscribe to their newsletters: “The Leap” from Maria Konnikova “Silver Bulletin” from Nate SilverSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

en-US

41:11

WSOP Kickoff, Crypto ETFs, and Airfare Refunds

Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova ·

2024/05/30

Nate and Maria are in Vegas for the first week of the World Series of Poker. On today’s show, they share their top tips for acing the World Series, explain the politics behind last week’s approval of a new kind of crypto ETF, and unpack new rules for airline delays.Further Reading: “SEC Unexpectedly Expedites ETH ETF w/ Eric Balchunas” from Galaxy Brains “Biden-Harris Administration Announces Final Rule Requiring Automatic Refunds of Airline Tickets and Ancillary Service Fees” from USDOT To Buy

en-US

43:08

A Backup for Biden

Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova ·

2024/05/23

Nate and Maria start with something light: p(doom) and the possibility that AI will bring about the end of life as we know it. Then, Nate breaks down the news about the presidential debates and makes a shocking recommendation to the Democratic Party. And – most importantly – our hosts preview the upcoming World Series of Poker in Vegas.Further Reading: “OpenAI: Exodus” by Zvi Mowshowitz “Democrats Have a Better Option Than Biden” by Ezra Klein “21 Tips for Acing the World Series of Poker” by Nate

en-US

39:45

Lessons from the Final Table

Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova ·

2024/05/16

Welcome to Risky Business, a show about making better decisions. Today, Maria has lessons from a poker tournament she recently played in Monte Carlo, where she made it to the final table. Then, Nate discusses what RFK Jr.’s impressive polling numbers could mean for Biden and Trump. And Nate and Maria discuss Caitlin Clark and what her story tells us – or doesn’t – about the gender pay gap. Further Reading: The Biggest Bluff by Maria Konnikova On The Edge by Nate Silver (forthcoming) "RFK Jr. Says

en-US

2:42

Coming Soon... Risky Business with Nate Silver and...

Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova ·

2024/05/02

Launching on May 16, Risky Business is a weekly podcast about making better decisions. The hosts, Maria Konnikova and Nate Silver, are both journalists who moonlight as high-stakes poker players. On Risky Business, they bring their analytical framework to everything from politics to poker to personal decisions.Maria has a PhD in psychology and is the author of several books including, most recently, The Biggest Bluff. While researching the book, she inadvertently became a professional poker player,

en-US

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