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PODCAST

Eurodollar University

Jeff Snider will guide you through the realm of monetary science. Multiple episodes uploaded each week, discussing big news and key current events, the state of markets and what they are telling you, as well as historical summaries and deep background material so that you can understand what’s really going on in this eurodollar’s world.

business investing

All Episodes

18:45

Authorities realize the situation is beyond critical,...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/07/26

#dollar #cny #currency #deflation #recession #china China's PBOC FX interventions by themselves aren't having much luck which is why the central bank has directed commercial banks to assist, including earlier today with an aggressive push. The market weakness in the currency like the intervention is a warning of big problems and not just about China. Those were likewise acknowledged by the politburo in its mid-year assessment which offered little by way of solutions to these vexing and

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18:27

Latest global data paints even uglier picture of...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/07/25

#recession #manufacturing #services #globaleconomy #deflation #inflation With Germany and Europe already struggling to escape from the earlier recession, most recent July data on forward-looking sentiment shows the situation worsening substantially over the months still ahead. In the US, PMI numbers indicate the same if not yet to the same degree and intensity. Becoming more globally synchronized and deflationary.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisDeutsche Bundesbank Monthly

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19:36

Market strategists get cold feet at the worst...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/07/24

#interestrates #inflation #deflation #recession #inversion #ratehikes A slew of Wall Street types are getting impatient - and cold feet - waiting for a recession they're not sure is happening. The market is sure causing them to wonder if the market is just wrong with its massive inversion. No, this time is never different. Eurodollar University's weekly conversation w/Steve Van MetreIf Powell Wants Higher Rates, He Should Ask Why He's Not Getting

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23:51

BRICS plan to remake the world order.

Eurodollar University ·

2023/07/23

#dollar #brics #gold #currency #money #eurodollar Next month, the BRICS summit is going to introduce a new common currency and one backed by gold. Or is it? Before it even begins, the group seems like it will have to proceed without the I and the S. Or any monetary sense. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisThe Eurodollar Standard Isn't Going Anywhere Anytime

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18:18

We aren't supposed to say the R-word but that's what...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/07/21

#recession #inflation #deflation #taiwan #semiconductor #apple Taiwan Semiconductor reported pretty awful results blaming the global macroeconomic environment, specifically singling out inventory bloat as well as China's failed reopening. The effects aren't being limited to that side of the Pacific; the spillover is already affecting projects in the United States. We aren't supposed to say "recession" yet that's what we keep finding in big ways and small. Eurodollar University's Money &

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18:26

It has all been an illusion and now the brutal truth...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/07/20

#recession #china #germany #trade #export #deflation #bonds Germany reported trade data exposing the resilient economy fallacy as a product of nothing more than the temporary nominal price illusion. Volumes are down huge and as values fall there's no more cushion from lack of activity. This isn't about Germany so much, either, as we can see in trade w/the German's biggest customers: China and the US of A. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisBloomberg: ECB Hawk Klaas Knot

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18:32

Over a hundred years of data and very few exceptions.

Eurodollar University ·

2023/07/19

#recession #deflation #inflation #retailsales #industrial #consumer US Industrial Production fell for the second month in a row, dropping the Fed's index below the same period a year ago. A negative yearly change in IP has accompanied all 18 of the economic contractions in the NBER's library. Only six times in over a century has IP been negative on an annual basis without any full-scale recession. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisBloomberg: Stocks Climb After Yellen Eases

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18:42

Latest data deluge confirms real dangers and...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/07/18

#china #recession #inflation #deflation #industrial #spending #money China's GDP report as well as its monthly statistics confirm first reopening isn't just completely dead, instead the entire economy is already rolling over and heading toward more weakness. The global recession combined with China's own problems - which weren't really about the pandemic - have left the Chinese exposed to a dangerous downside and no lockdowns to blame this time. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro

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17:55

U.S. Has Fallen: Even a top food producer is...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/07/17

#recession #inflation #deflation #globaltrade #india #credit #bankIndia reported a huge drop in exports, one of its worst on record. A major US food producer says demand has worsened to the point some of its brands are having to cut prices. American banks are now scaling back certain loans. What do all these have in common? US consumers and the deflationary recession.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisConagra Earnings Report

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18:09

Individuals run out of money; can't pay taxes.

Eurodollar University ·

2023/07/16

#recession #inflation #deflation #taxes #employment #unemploymentIndividual income tax payments to Uncle Sam are running almost half a trillion (with a "T") behind same months in FY 2022. Withholdings are way off and claimed refunds are way up. At the same time, the June CPI showed broad-based disinflation and a little deflation. These two results aren't unrelated.Eurodollar University's weekly conversation w/Steve Van MetreTwitter:

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17:52

US prices down by the most on record and Chinese...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/07/15

Great Inflation 2, or soft landing? Those are the only two choices we're given for #inflation #deflation #recession when neither of those was ever likely. The reasons why the soft landing isn't happening and another Great Inflation simply can't are easily found in historical comparisons. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisBloomberg: El-Erian Says Soft-Landing Narrative Gains Steam, Don’t Fight

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18:38

The dollar is up to is economy-wrecking ways again.

Eurodollar University ·

2023/07/13

The Chinese aren't taking their #eurodollar #dollar woes weakening yuan lying down #recession. But they aren't doing a whole lot meaningful about it, either. Why and why not? That's the (euro)dollar conundrum.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisPBOC: Notice of the People's Bank of China and the State Administration of Financial Supervision on Extending the Deadline of Relevant Policies for Financial Support to the Steady and Healthy Development of the Real Estate

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18:29

And with credit now outright falling for them, it...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/07/12

#Consumer #spending is down already and now we're getting data which shows by how much, #recession. There's no #inflation here. Disney theme parks are empty, consumer #credit is actually contracting, the bad news is just getting started. Steve Van Metre nailed it when he pointed out services and vacation weakness on this channel just a couple months ago. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisWSJ: Disney World Hasn’t Felt This Empty in

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18:22

World's biggest economies aren't just struggling,...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/07/11

China reported some of the worst #inflation consumer and producer price estimates in its modern history, within range of the worst parts of 2009. Such damaging #deflation shows #globalrecession #recession getting worse, and worse for everyone outside China it is becoming more synchronized. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisReuters: UPDATE 1-Goldman Sachs raises 2023 China GDP growth forecast to

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18:20

Where did it all go? It was all a lie.

Eurodollar University ·

2023/07/10

It's the greatest story no one wants to tell. Money printing. Inflation. Deflation. Interest rates. Crash. The Fed. What is QT? What was QE really? They're all lies and you don't have to take my word for it. I've got all the numbers, their math, and the truth. Eurodollar University's weekly conversation w/Steve Van MetreForbes Advisor: Quantitative Tightening (QT) Explainedhttps://www.forbes.com/advisor/investing/what-is-quantitative-tightening/BIS Working Papers No 1105The demand for

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18:43

Catastrophic results for Japan and the US credit...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/07/09

Saudi Arabia extended its #oil production cuts for another month. Given what the Japanese reported for #income, not hard to see why #recession Plus, US bank #credit crunch accelerated at the end of June when #lending fell further and cash cushions rose. #globalrecession Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIPhttps://www.eurodollar.universityhttps://www.marketsinsiderpro.comhttps://www.PortfolioShield.netRealClearMarkets Essays:

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18:20

Now what?

Eurodollar University ·

2023/07/08

June #payrolls #jobs data stumbled badly. Worse, previous months were revised a lot lower erasing prior acceleration. The #unemployment rate went lower, though that was the lone bright spot (which you shouldn't consider as one). US #recession is more than fully on track which raises alarms given how recessions usually work in labor markets. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisRemarks by Governor Ben S. Bernanke At the Meetings of the American Economic Association, San Diego,

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18:36

What could possibly go wrong?

Eurodollar University ·

2023/07/07

Central banks want rates to go up but markets have largely resisted. Upping the ante, the FOMC admits there's going to be a recession but claims it will raise its rates anyway. As a result, this pushes the Fed pivot somewhat further into the future by raising the bar for any rate cuts. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisBloomberg: Bets on ‘Year of the Bond’ Persist in Face of Still-Hawkish

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18:20

Getting out of control: another key CORE number...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/07/06

Central banks have said inflation risks are all in core price numbers. Here's yet another core instead deeply in deflation, so bad it fell at a rate we haven't seen since the worst part of the Great Recession. And though it may "only" be a producer price figure, history conclusively shows that it - not core CPIs - is the one to follow. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisTwitter:

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18:14

A decision has collectively been made on the second...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/07/04

The manufacturing recession has reached its critical point where producers have to decide to keep workers or start laying them off. Unemployment is now rising because the second half economic rebound just isn't happening. Instead, work is disappearing as new sales fail to materialize forcing companies worldwide to make their choice.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisS&P Global US Manuhttps://www.pmi.spglobal.com/Public/Home/PressRelease/347746d7505243f8b84ca01657a4410aJPM

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1,370 results

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