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PODCAST

Eurodollar University

Jeff Snider will guide you through the realm of monetary science. Multiple episodes uploaded each week, discussing big news and key current events, the state of markets and what they are telling you, as well as historical summaries and deep background material so that you can understand what’s really going on in this eurodollar’s world.

business investing

All Episodes

18:48

Federal authorities freaking out trying to limit the...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/07/03

Federal bank regulators are issuing guidance to banks to do everything they can potentially limit any credit losses. With recession bearing down and loan portfolios exhibiting initial signs of major stress, authorities are clearly seeking to limit the public fallout in another can-kicking scheme. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisTwitter:

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18:49

Global recession has reached a new phase.

Eurodollar University ·

2023/07/02

Despite stubborn core inflation rates in the US and Europe, each economy is exhibiting more and more definite signs of recession and deflation. Unemployment is up in Europe's biggest economies and US consumer spending has sunk. Core consumer price rates never represent resilient labor markets. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisTwitter:

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18:30

We don't need even close to these adverse scenarios...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/06/30

While Q1 GDP was revised higher for the US, that's looking back at what is now ancient history. Looking ahead at Q2 and beyond, not just recession perhaps worse in huge part because of what's being uncovered behind the growing credit crunch. The Fed's stress test uncovered substantial future risks. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisFederal Reserve Stress Test

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18:35

The outlook worsens across-the-board with banks...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/06/29

The deflation and banking crisis which really began last fall that has now become a full-blown credit crunch and recession was far more about collateral shortages than anything else. It sure wasn't rate hikes. Not only have yield curves and interest rates told the truth, one central banker in Europe admits to it, too. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisSpeech by Isabel Schnabel, Member of the Executive Board of the ECB, at the Money Market Contact Group

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18:40

Major dollar crisis brewing in Asia threatening...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/06/28

China's yuan currency has been incredibly weak to the point authorities in Beijing have been unable to successfully intervene against the dollar. It spells worldwide trouble given falling CNY is a dependable global recession and crisis signal. The worse it becomes for the Chinese, the more deflation we should expect elsewhere. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisTwitter:

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18:51

Banks around the world are taking defensive measures...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/06/27

The global economy is accelerating to the downside into more than just a short, shallow recession. It is instead sped along in the deflationary direction by the fallout from the March banking crisis which continues to spread all over the world. Credit crunch.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisBloomberg: The World’s Empty Office Buildings Have Become a Debt Time

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19:00

More alarming reports of business going dark all over...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/06/26

Economic conditions have worsened recently indicating the economy shifting gears from shallow downturn to full-blown recession. With new sales sinking, companies all over are ready to face their decision-point on workers and layoffs. Eurodollar University's weekly conversation w/Steve Van MetreTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIPhttps://www.eurodollar.universityhttps://www.marketsinsiderpro.comhttps://www.PortfolioShield.netRealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7THE

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18:36

Europe, China, even the US. Latest figures show...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/06/25

The global economy has turned a corner, and not in a good (or inflation) way. Widespread ugly data and market positioning strongly suggest the deflationary recession is accelerating to the downside. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisHCOB Flash Eurozone PMIhttps://www.pmi.spglobal.com/Public/Home/PressRelease/6a9a73ef2b4d449eb8a8d9b827cb2070S&P Global Flash US Composite PMIhttps://www.pmi.spglobal.com/Public/Home/PressRelease/6e8efbfbddde43f29eb12c5193939625Twitter:

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18:38

Once is random, twice is coincidence, here's three...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/06/23

Three more global central banks hiked interest rates despite even more determined recession signals here and abroad. Here we see just why they continue to act as if inflation is the world's biggest threat even though data and markets go completely the other way. Now labor, too. Conference Board Leading Economic Indicators for June 2023https://www.conference-board.org/topics/us-leading-indicatorsLiberty Street Economics: The New York Fed DSGE Model Forecast— June

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18:56

A simple equality explains the growing mess.

Eurodollar University ·

2023/06/22

#China yuan keeps plummeting to new lows as #deflation and #recession collide in growing global #dollar shortage. Yet, Jay Powell tells Congress he's more worried about #inflation even though this key #money signal is one among many against it. A recent paper by Ben Bernanke actually describes the mainstream problem - in the process inadvertently explaining why Powell is so off. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisTestimony Jerome Powell: Semiannual Monetary Policy Report to

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19:03

Troubling new low develops as this crucial market...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/06/21

Central banks want #interestrates to go up if only to convince you they're fighting #inflation, when #deflation is keeping a lid on those and even pushing some market #yields lower. One that is moving down is a big one worth paying attention to. Contrary to popular perception, low rates are not easy money and conditions. Just ask Ben Bernanke. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisTwitter:

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18:55

Out of options and bracing for impact, Chinese...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/06/20

China's government failed to deliver concrete "stimulus" plans because authorities are conflicted. In the absence of any good ideas for combatting deflationary recession, they'll issue more rate cuts that never work hoping beyond hope something clicks. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisSCMP: China’s State Council fans stimulus hopes with economic plan for faltering

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17:51

Rate hikers fear another 1978 even as 2008...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/06/19

#interestrates hikers and #centralbank hawks ignore failed #banks in favor of wages, Phillips Curve, and #inflation expectations. They believe the #economy has gone retro and we're stuck in 1978 when more and more each day looks too much like 2008. Eurodollar University's weekly conversation w/Steve Van MetreSpeech by Governor Christopher J. Wallerhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/waller20230616a.htmBloomberg: Fed’s Barkin Comfortable Doing More to Slow Resilient US

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18:43

Another pair join globally synchronized as it...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/06/18

Following the alarming data from China, New Zealand confirms it is has succumbed to #recession while Australia's yield curve inverted for first time since 2008. Central banks continue to focus on #inflation because of labor data that is wildly overstating economic strength. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIPhttps://www.eurodollar.universityhttps://www.marketsinsiderpro.comhttps://www.PortfolioShield.netRealClearMarkets Essays:

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18:11

It's not just the massive downside also the speed at...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/06/16

The #federalreserve is pausing while the ECB is aggressively hiking #interestrates all at the same time the People's Bank of #china is cutting theirs. What is going on with the global #economy? The answer is #recession and #deflation though those haven't yet knocked #inflation down enough for some of these central bankers. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisECB: Monetary policy decisionshttps://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pr/date/2023/html/ecb.mp230615~d34cddb4c6.en.htmlThe

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18:27

Conflicted Fed stuck btw rapidly disappearing...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/06/15

The #FOMC #federalreserve decided against another #ratehike today, instead choosing not to choose. Some officials insist #inflation is the biggest risk but apparently not enough to act right now. Instead, #recession and #bank problems still weigh enough to force this nonsense of a "hawkish pause" as a temporary compromise. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisBloomberg: There’s More Trouble Coming for Regional

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18:30

Now nine with today's US CPI. Worse, China's credit...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/06/14

#Deflation #recession shows up in both the US #CPI and #China's credit system during the same month. This isn't random coincidence, rather the effects of the global downturn speeding up and taking over more geographic and economic spaces. It's already enough to get Beijing worried, though not yet enough to do the same in DC. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisBloomberg: China Credit Growth Beats Expectations Amid Investment

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19:39

Stock crash and bank failures, yet there wasn't a...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/06/13

Are #stocks a useful indicator of #recession? How about #depression? If they were, they can't explain how there wasn't a Great Depression 2 in the late 80s. After all, there were hundreds of #bank failures especially after the Crash of '87. Yet, we remember that period of time fondly as the Great "Moderation", a prolonged age of unrivaled global prosperity. The differences btw the 80s and 30s tell us a lot about our chances in the 20s.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisFOMC

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18:38

Key data shows the situation is critical and it keeps...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/06/12

Crisis borrowing at the Fed's emergency BTFP surged this week to a new high as #bankingcrisis grows critical. We're seeing more and more signs of serious #creditcrunch which, if it continues like this, won't take long to imperil more markets and the general #economy. #recession Eurodollar University's weekly conversation w/Steve Van MetreBloomberg: Ackman-Backed Builder Says 48 Lenders Rejected Apartment

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18:39

Prices aren't just falling at a faster rate there,...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/06/11

Both producer and consumer prices in #china fell again in the month of May as global #recession continues to hammer the Chinese economy. Though central banks see only #inflation risks, the #deflationary economy is no longer a risk. This one goes a long way toward confirming it. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisBloomberg: China Central Bank Governor Reiterates Stable Policy

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1,370 results

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