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PODCAST

Eurodollar University

Jeff Snider will guide you through the realm of monetary science. Multiple episodes uploaded each week, discussing big news and key current events, the state of markets and what they are telling you, as well as historical summaries and deep background material so that you can understand what’s really going on in this eurodollar’s world.

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All Episodes

19:33

The last seasonal low point for liquidity unleashed...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/06/09

The global #dollar system is at its weakest point at these specific calendar spots, most susceptible to #collateral problems causing #deflation in #money. With the #bank crisis still raging under the surface, we're going to take a deeper look inside the shadows to see if we can find some answers here.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisOFR: Why Is So Much Repo Not Centrally

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18:40

First mistake is being impatient with a banking...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/06/08

Central banks in Australia and Canada ended their short #ratehikes #interestrates pause, ignoring the global #recession risks China just reminded everyone about for their own #inflation biases. History (not to mention markets) caution against prematurely shifting when faced with such a high level of uncertainty. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisWorld Bank Global Economic Prospectshttps://www.worldbank.org/en/publication/global-economic-prospectsRBA Statement by Philip Lowe,

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18:34

This is not some future problem. It is happening...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/06/07

We can actually see #deflation right now in the form of falling producer prices. Europe reported a record drop in its PPI which has major implications starting with #recession and what this means for #inflation. Declining oil and producer prices today are linked to consumer prices and the economy tomorrow. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisDo Producer Prices Lead Consumer

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17:41

Global resignation: we've finally reached the point...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/06/07

Deflation and recession are everywhere. Almost. Of the few holdouts, only some of the US labor data starting with the least serious of the accounts. Apart from it, markets and macro are almost completely in sync. The ambiguity of previous months is melting away in favor of clarity. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIPhttps://www.eurodollar.universityhttps://www.marketsinsiderpro.comhttps://www.PortfolioShield.netRealClearMarkets

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17:44

Desperate act confirms global recession conditions.

Eurodollar University ·

2023/06/06

Saudis try for #oilpricehike but #oil runs instead into unmovable #recession. The real #economy continues to weaken which means demand is dominating market factors, not supply. Confirming the oil market's view of the situation, key US services data tumbles. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisCNBC: https://www.cnbc.com/2023/06/05/opec-oil-prices-pop-after-saudi-arabia-pledges-production-cuts.htmlTwitter:

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18:59

The global market crash everyone sees but no one...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/06/05

#realestate and property #assetbubble across the world is going bust risking a renewed #bankcrisis plus #recession the US. The situation in #China with developers rather than turning around is causing the government to repeat its failed strategies. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisBloomberg: China Mulls New Property Support Package to Boost

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18:16

This doesn't fit at all with what everyone is saying...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/06/04

Payroll report (CES) shows steady growth in top-line jobs though anything but everywhere else. Hours are being outright cut while employment (CPS) was down big with economic recession ramping up. Even the unemployment rate jumped for once. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIPhttps://www.eurodollar.universityhttps://www.marketsinsiderpro.comhttps://www.PortfolioShield.netRealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7THE

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19:07

Another crucial milestone you shouldn't miss.

Eurodollar University ·

2023/06/02

Inflation pressures are disappearing as deflation and recession conditions continue to take over. The Federal Reserve won't be able to keep up its interest rate stance for very long. The 5-year TIPS breakeven was once the epitome of the "inflation" panic, swelling to record highs during March 2022's shock crisis. And while the Fed continues to see inflation everywhere, that same market measure just hit a new multi-year low. Worse, it did so while more and more points to the fact time's up

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18:19

Credit crunch is spreading throughout Europe, already...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/05/31

Oil can't catch a sustained bid, too easily falling right back into contango. With the US debt ceiling agreement (in principle), rates markets worldwide can now go back to their regularly scheduled alarms. And they have. European banking data shows why that is as contagion spreads across loan books. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisCNBC: Credit Suisse weighs capital hike, possibility of exiting U.S.

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18:43

It's the incomes, stupid.

Eurodollar University ·

2023/05/30

Everyone loves GDP including the government agency which calculates it. Even so, GDI has been a more useful signal for cyclical changes, particularly peaks. Last week's GDP update included the first look at current GDI estimates. These don't leave any room for interpretation or imagination. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisTwitter:

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18:48

Why it is always the government for these things.

Eurodollar University ·

2023/05/29

Structural inflation or something else. To mainstream Economists, consumer prices are being driven by structural forces such as demographics, oil production, and, of course, government. As Ronald Coase once said, torture the data long enough and it will confess.Eurodollar University's weekly conversation w/Steve Van MetreRonald Coase: Volume Title: Economic Research: Retrospect and Prospect, Volume 3,Policy Issues and Research Opportunities in Industrial

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19:55

An escalating series of monetary tremors still...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/05/28

Trying to figure out the state of the economy and monetary system by looking backward through consumer price estimates is, well, backward. To understand where we're going, we have to look forward by breaking down the eurodollar details, decoding the data and its signals. Where money is moving...and where it isn't. Shedding some light into the dark eurodollar shadows.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisDTCC GCF

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18:54

It is going to get a lot worse before any chance of...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/05/26

German GDP revisions show the country already mired in recession despite the government's assurances there wouldn't be one. And to reemphasize the global nature of the deflationary setback, US corporate profits tanked in the first quarter right when American hiring and wages was hoped to be enough for the soft landing. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisBloomberg: Scholz Sees Germany Riding Out War in Ukraine Without

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18:20

Why there is so much near-certainty about the worst...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/05/25

The deflationary wave sweeping the global system isn't one thing or another, it is becoming all the things everywhere. That's what makes such a compelling case for the worst case, a deflationary recession. Not just US banks or US markets, here we examine European markets and forward rates and what those mean. SPOILER: the same things.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisSemiannual Monetary Policy Report to the Congress; Chairman Jerome H. Powell; July 17,

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17:10

Supply cuts just can't keep up with banking crisis,...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/05/24

Saudi Arabia's oil minister implicitly threatened more action from OPEC due to "low" prices and growing short positions betting against supply constraints. Demand is increasingly dire and not just for energy. Deflationary signals are growing in other commodities as well as a whole bunch of economic data, too. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisTelegraph (India): Reserve Bank of India intervenes strongly to stop rupee slide without targeting any

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18:59

Proving once again it's the Euro$'s world. When it...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/05/23

The LIBOR scandal won't go away because it hasn't been properly identified. Govts and officials have alleged it was banks who misbehaved when all along it may have been authorities. Why did they get rid of LIBOR? Because it exposed the real corruption in the monetary world. The EURODOLLAR's world. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisBBC: Interest rate 'rigging' evidence 'covered up' by bankshttps://www.bbc.com/news/business-65635243RCM: New Urgency In the Marketplace Lacks

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19:15

With deposits still falling, govt/Wall St trying...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/05/22

Treasury Secretary Yellen held talks with major Wall Street CEOs and bank advisors, raising the subject of further bank mergers. Though that part of the discussion wasn't in the official readout, it was reported anyway and something Yellen had already said in public just a little while ago. There is every reason to believe there is more big trouble ahead. Govt/Wall Street discussions of "mergers" is just more confirmation. Eurodollar University's weekly conversation w/Steve Van

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18:34

Banks disclosed the "trigger for systemic risk" as...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/05/21

Everyone remotely familiar with banking over the last few years knows there's systemic risk and it starts with commercial real estate (CRE). The Fed's very own Financial Stability Report for May 2023 exposes the details behind the scenes. With CRE prices falling for the first time in over a decade, valuations will eventually have to be adjusted and then all bets are off. Literally.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisFOMC Transcript: Oct 2008

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18:19

The dollar isn't crashing, it is surging again and at...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/05/19

WTI futures curve moved further in contango, now joined by another major milestone for the dollar bull-ying its way across Asia. China's yuan has slumped substantially, today falling well below 7 to the dollar. CNY wasn't the only one caught up in the goring, though. The dollar bull's "sudden" return is a particularly bad omen especially now. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisRemarks by Governor Ben S. BernankeBefore the National Economists Club, Washington,

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18:49

Crude flips again just as retailers warn and business...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/05/18

The expression "slowly at first, then all at once" can describe an economy's descent into nasty recession. There are warning signs all over starting with WTI back in contango. Major retailers have nothing good to say about the state of their customers. US total sales are already declining and in nominal terms. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisAP: Home Depot sees first annual sales decline in more than a decade as housing streak ebbs, rates

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1,370 results

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