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PODCAST

Eurodollar University

Jeff Snider will guide you through the realm of monetary science. Multiple episodes uploaded each week, discussing big news and key current events, the state of markets and what they are telling you, as well as historical summaries and deep background material so that you can understand what’s really going on in this eurodollar’s world.

business investing

All Episodes

19:06

Fallout from disastrous March is already showing up...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/04/24

According to one source, tourism/attendance at Disney's main theme park in Orlando already dropped off a cliff. Hardly a surprise, the primary risk to the global economy - not just US - isn't inflation but the deflationary money the banking crisis revealed to the public spilling over and causing major downside consequences. Slowly, at first. Eurodollar University's Weekly Conversation w/Steve Van MetreTwitter:

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19:42

Money market warnings have become too big (2008-ish)...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/04/23

Something is going on with bills. There's a debt ceiling deadline looming. Two must be related, says the mainstream, otherwise the former would mean something bad and Jay Powell said nothing bad could happen - more than the other stuff that already did, of course. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisQuantitative Easing: How Well Does This Tool

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19:46

Just insane collateral market action today shows...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/04/21

Four-week bill yield plummeted by around 60 bps at one point in today's trading. Serious monetary pressures are still there, continue to get worse even a month after the mid-March banking crisis and several weeks after officials declared it over with. They want to go back to focusing on inflation that doesn't exist for the deflation which is really starting to rampage.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisTwitter:

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18:04

Turmoil continues as dead canaries pile up in the...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/04/20

Like Warren Buffett last week, this week Elon Musk issues grave warning about health of global banks. But why? Is it inflation run amok, or the world paying in deflation for the past few years of massive distortions?Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisElon Musk Interview w/Tucker Carlsonhttps://www.foxnews.com/video/6325259104112Q1 2023 J B Hunt Transport Services Inc Earnings Callhttps://finance.yahoo.com/news/q1-2023-j-b-hunt-114817141.htmlTwitter:

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18:28

Here comes the wrecking ball as everyone is chasing...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/04/19

Brazil's President Lula traveled to Shanghai to finalize bilateral engagement bypassing the US dollar. This is not de-dollarization, rather an acknowledgement the eurodollar system is in a crisis. And that means the dollar goes up, probably way up, wrecking everything along the way. Can't blame Brazil (or China) for trying to dodge it.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisBloomberg: Hedge Funds Go All In on Dollar, First Time in Over a

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19:18

Alarming behavior of the fear ratio over the past two...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/04/18

Where are we? Is there still a crisis? Is it over(blown)? The "fear ratio" helps sort out signal from so much noise. Since it sits at the intersection of money, finance, and especially real economy, it's determination shouldn't be taken so lightly. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIPhttps://www.eurodollar.universityhttps://www.marketsinsiderpro.comhttps://www.PortfolioShield.netRealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7THE

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19:16

We're getting a better idea of how the banking crisis...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/04/17

The hawks are back at the Fed doing what Fed hawks always do. Beginning with overestimating their own tools, they then overestimate the resilience of the banking system before also overestimating how great the economy is because of the unemployment rate. Never mind they didn't see any of this coming, they assure you there's nothing else coming. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisFinancial Stabilization and Macroeconomic Stabilization: Two Tools for Two ProblemsGovernor

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19:36

Warren Buffett didn't just make shocking comments on...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/04/16

This week was a wild one, including how during it legendary investor Warren Buffett said he was selling bank stocks because there were more failures still to come. While depositors won't see any losses, that doesn't mean there won't be any. Nor fallout from it, as the latest data from markets and macro shows. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisTwitter:

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19:13

Startling statement reveals far worse danger than...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/04/14

First they said it was a growth scare. They told us to ignore inversions. Then they pointed to the unemployment rate and said there's no way we could have a recession. Now they admit there will be a recession but also how there's a chance for worse. In other words, they're following market curves like we said they would and have finally arrived just one step short of inevitable. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisTwitter:

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19:21

More big trouble in global money system together with...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/04/13

Just as the interest rate swap market had indicated, big collateral scarcity as 4w Tbill rates yesterday plummeted. Also, Japanese bills for more confirmation. Add those to the US CPI results for March and together they more than equal the end of 'inflation'.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisAustan D. Goolsbee, president and chief executive officer, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, on April 11, 2023, at the Economic Club of Chicago Forum Luncheon, in Chicago,

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19:22

Huge moves in key spreads, massive problems as...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/04/12

Alarming compression of interest rate swap spreads indicate more systemic issues in global balance sheet capacities and collateral, too. Also, the IMF reported on its World Economic Outlook where it very plainly reveals just how worried authorities have become. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisIMF WEO April 2023https://www.imf.org/-/media/Files/Publications/WEO/2023/April/English/text.ashxFT: IMF warns of ‘hard landing’ for global economy if inflation

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19:10

New data gives us badly needed details behind bank...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/04/11

The Federal Reserve's H.8 data on US commercial banks shows just how much of a systemic shock the March seasonal bottleneck had produced. Institutions got hit with historic levels of deposit declines, emergency borrowings like nothing before, and because of it massive fallout followed - and continues to follow. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisTwitter:

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19:57

Probabilities have rarely ever been this high. This...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/04/10

Markets are pricing an imminent and sharp drop for interest rates. It's not just about the Fed and rate cuts. But with regard to those, history shows the so-called reaction function flips decidedly when these things happen. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisFederal Open Market Committee Conference CallJune 5, 1989https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/FOMC19890605confcall.pdfMeeting of the Federal Open Market CommitteeJuly 5-6,

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19:59

They can no longer deny the devastating effects of...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/04/07

For all its bluster, the Federal Reserve very nearly paused its rate hikes last month for obvious reasons. Other central banks already have - two this week - which doesn't bode well for anyone. Another key milestone that curves had been predicting begins to comes true. The "pause" window is now wide open. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisWSJ: Latest Fed Increase Came Down to the Wire. ‘That Was a Rough

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19:50

Almost a month later and the situation is...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/04/06

More extreme hedging swept global markets in morning trading, including another serious collateral run. As it did, curves have been distorted to an even more concerning degree than they had been when banks like SVB and Credit Suisse were all over the mainstream. Examining Credit Suisse we can begin to understand why.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisCredit Suisse’s Fatal Bank Run Points to Gaps in Liquidity

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20:08

Huge moves today all over the place and the reasons why.

Eurodollar University ·

2023/04/05

The one thing missing so far from the 2008-style scenario - mass layoffs - hinges entirely on whether businesses believe they can hold out for a second half rebound. As the weeks even days go by, this gets less and less likely. Markets can hear and feel the avalanche of jobs cuts just ahead bringing all the nastiness that will come with it. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisJanet Yellen: Inflation, Uncertainty, and Monetary

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18:49

Massive fallout US, China, global economy not to...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/04/04

Led by Saudi Arabia, OPEC announced a surprising round of substantial and "voluntary" production cuts to combat sagging (not surging) crude oil prices. In doing so, the group confirmed every negative suspicion (and so much data) surrounding the economy's chances for this year and into next.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisTwitter:

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20:31

Real reason markets are betting more and more Fed is...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/04/03

China's reopening just might be the last gasp, the final chance to escape the dreaded 2008-style scenario. If it fails, there is nothing left for the world to pin its hopes on. Examining the latest data from China and why it isn't finding any takers.Eurodollar University's Weekly Conversation w/Steve Van MetreTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIPhttps://www.eurodollar.universityhttps://www.marketsinsiderpro.comhttps://www.PortfolioShield.netRealClearMarkets Essays:

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19:29

With crisis still raging and fallout still on the...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/04/02

Watch Jeff get really fired up over the Federal Reserve Vice Chair Michael Barr's refusal to answer questions about the "central bank's" tools even as he sought more authority from the government to presumably create new ones. The full autopsy on SVB hasn't even been done yet and the utter nerve of these bureaucrats to blame lack of authority for the failure and by implication any fallout. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisVice Chair for Supervision Michael S. Barr; Before

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19:45

This current crisis is the last piece to fall into...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/03/31

The 2008-style scenario requires two parts - bad money and bad economy. We can now more easily see the first of those even if many will refuse to admit it. How about the other? That one isn't hard to identify either, plenty of existing data to choose from. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIPhttps://www.eurodollar.universityhttps://www.marketsinsiderpro.comhttps://www.PortfolioShield.netRealClearMarkets Essays:

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1,370 results

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