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PODCAST

Eurodollar University

Jeff Snider will guide you through the realm of monetary science. Multiple episodes uploaded each week, discussing big news and key current events, the state of markets and what they are telling you, as well as historical summaries and deep background material so that you can understand what’s really going on in this eurodollar’s world.

business investing

All Episodes

21:39

This crisis has a very long way to go and this right...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/03/30

Maybe Governor Bailey was a little too honest when trying to downplay the current situation, confessing to "very heightened tensions." But what are these tensions and why have they heightened? The answers can be found deep in the bowels of big bank footnotes as well as in specific market prices.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisBank of England on heightened alert for further banking turmoilhttps://www.bbc.com/news/business-65099136Liberty Street Economics: Intraday Timing of

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20:55

This is how we know the next stage of the crisis has...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/03/29

Officials, regulators, politicians will all claim you and I are the problem. They'll begin to tell us bank panics happen because of misinformation and overly emotional depositors. Examples from the recent and distant past inform us about what's already beginning to take place now: finding a way to make it seem what's going on right now really isn't anything to worry about.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisRobert Owen: The Federal Reserve Act, Its Origins and

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20:34

Shocking data shows there is much more to the story...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/03/28

European banks find themselves back in the crosshairs of global monetary deflation, on both the receiving end and the giving end. Deutsche Bank's balance sheet offers a few clues as does the ECB's BLS going along with market shifts.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisDeutsche Bank Annual Report 2022https://investor-relations.db.com/files/documents/annual-reports/2023/Annual-Report-2022.pdfECB Q4 2022 Bank Lending

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20:25

The government is in a panic over the bank crisis to...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/03/27

Jeff and Steve speculate on why Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen called an unscheduled meeting of the Financial Stability Oversight Committee Friday. Was it to congratulate its members for stability achieved? To begin searching for a goat to scape? Figuring out which of the clowns will be stuffed into the car for the clown show?Eurodollar University's Weekly Conversation w/Steve Van MetreTwitter:

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21:50

Huge, historic moves keep rocking the global systems...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/03/26

More huge moves in markets as the Fed releases yet more crisis-level data. Treasury bill auctions continue to pile on huge demand, surging prices and plummeting even zero yields. Repo fails jumped and foreign governments "used" an historic amount of their UST securities they had in custody with FRBNY. All of it once again showing this crisis is global and still in its earliest stage. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisTwitter:

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21:06

What is the 2008 trap and how do we avoid it?

Eurodollar University ·

2023/03/24

Jay Powell's press conference yesterday acknowledged both parts of the 2008-style scenario present right now. But like his 2008 predecessors, he is once again falling into the same trap thinking this will save us and him from sharing the same fate(s).Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisTranscript of Chair Powell’s Press Conference Opening StatementMarch 22, 2023https://www.federalreserve.gov/mediacenter/files/FOMCpresconf20230322.pdfMeeting of the Federal Open Market Committee

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20:00

This next move is going to be their last - and they...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/03/23

The Fed hiked rates, no surprise, even raised consumer price forecasts and the infamous dot plots. Markets, no surprise, did not buy it one bit. there continues to be way too much which reminds us of 2008, including the confused FOMC stance.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisFOMC SEP Projections; June 24-25, 2008https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/FOMC20080625SEPcompilation.pdfTwitter:

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20:17

So-called lender of second-last resort has already...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/03/22

Yet another funding crisis indication comes to us in a report from Bloomberg. FHLB co-ops are issuing debt like we've never seen before in what can only mean major bank funding problems. The only time we ever see anything like this is crisis. And this one could even be worse than those before. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisFHLB Financial Statementshttps://www.fhlb-of.com/ofweb_userWeb/pageBuilder/fhlbank-financial-data-36Bberg: Key Lender to Regional Banks Raises $88.7

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21:04

There really is serious systemic potential about...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/03/21

Another Sunday action by the Fed, this time less about regional US banks instead acknowledging major global (euro)dollar potential dysfunction. Some maybe a lot of that is coming from Switzerland. What the Fed and other central banks are up to and how Credit Suisse fits into the deflationary/inelasticity puzzle. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisCredit Suisse Financial Reportshttps://www.credit-suisse.com/about-us/en/reports-research/quarterly-interim-reports.htmlFederal

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21:36

Severe consequences to expect months, weeks, even...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/03/20

The deflationary outburst shook up the world and it is still spreading. Financial aftershocks are still being felt but the economic fallout hasn't even begun. Just how early on in the process are we and what happens from here?Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Talk w/Steve Van MetreTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIPhttps://www.eurodollar.universityhttps://www.marketsinsiderpro.comhttps://www.PortfolioShield.netRealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7THE

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22:00

Collateral runs keep on coming and China chimes in...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/03/19

Why would anyone want to buy a T-bill from the government which didn't return anything? A zero interest loan to the feds makes no sense when you can get far better at least from the Fed. Unless you consider collateral scarcity. In the context of everything going on - including emergency borrowing at 2008 levels - this continued scramble for collateral is simply consistent with how this isn't about SVB, Signature, or even First Republic. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro

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20:30

They say everything is fine/back to normal. We can...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/03/17

The ECB hiked its interest rate benchmarks today by 50 bps. Markets everywhere basically ignored it. What happened over the past week has already left serious and lasting doubts if not persistent scars. What's priced to come next isn't more rate hikes...from anyone.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisECB Monetary policy decisionshttps://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pr/date/2023/html/ecb.mp230316~aad5249f30.en.htmlBen Bernanke; Inaugurating A New

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23:12

Multiple markets now say the crisis has begun.

Eurodollar University ·

2023/03/16

The curve shape we've been waiting for - and dreading - has finally shown up. This "bad steepening" indicates a 2008-style scenario is unfolding right now. Not a 2008 repeat, but the same general (and generally awful) combination of deflationary money and weak economy. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIPhttps://www.eurodollar.universityhttps://www.marketsinsiderpro.comhttps://www.PortfolioShield.netRealClearMarkets Essays:

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21:41

These key signals have rarely been seen before. This...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/03/15

We need to review the lessons of Bear Stearns and not just because it is the 15th anniversary of that firm's final day as an independent. The parallels go way beyond a single bank failure like Silicon Valley Bank. Comparing the recent meltdown in curves to what happened back then in the context of those Bear lessons is instructive and unnerving. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisFOMC Transcript March 10,

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20:30

More shocking fallout as even bigger market swings...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/03/14

Friday's bond/rates markets moves were almost indescribable. Somehow today's were even bigger. What is going on isn't just about SVB, though looking into SVB can help provide us with some clues. Either way, markets continued to hedge for the worst even after Fed, FDIC, and everything over the weekend which was supposed to calm everything down.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisSVB March 8, 2023, SEC Form

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18:45

What markets are telling us about potential for more...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/03/13

The real markets (not stocks) have been warning about ugliness for months. Now even the public can see it though policymakers and authorities will continue to deny it. Will there be more? Is the whole thing over? What markets are saying about it.Eurodollar University's Weekly Conversation w/Steve Van MetreTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIPhttps://www.eurodollar.universityhttps://www.marketsinsiderpro.comhttps://www.PortfolioShield.netRealClearMarkets Essays:

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21:42

A global buying panic in bonds triggered by more than...

Eurodollar University ·

2023/03/11

The payroll report was supposed to be today's sole topic. Instead, it was completely overshadowed first by a global bond buying panic sparked in Asia then carrying over throughout the US trading day. Failure of Silicon Valley Bank isn't the only problem, rather a symptom of the very deflationary money curves have been warning about.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisRecession Is the Most Obvious Answer To All the

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19:18

Biggest warning sign yet.

Eurodollar University ·

2023/03/10

If "inflation" has been such a killer, nowhere more so than for food, why wouldn't falling food prices be a welcome development? The answer is actually pretty easy to put together in a whole bunch of strong, persisting correlations which are warning you to be very careful. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIPhttps://www.eurodollar.universityhttps://www.marketsinsiderpro.comhttps://www.PortfolioShield.netRealClearMarkets Essays:

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19:34

Just what we've been warning you about.

Eurodollar University ·

2023/03/09

All that financial volatility last September and October may have been the point of no return. Immediately after, curves swung from alarming to crazy. Now we see the consequences spreading throughout the real economy, hitting Asia and China reopening hype the hardest. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisSemiannual Monetary Policy Report to the Congresshttps://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/testimony/powell20230307a.htmStatement by Philip Lowe, Governor: Monetary Policy

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22:03

The last time Congress did something big about the Fed.

Eurodollar University ·

2023/03/08

As the Great Inflation wore on into its second decade, even politicians in Congress knew it had something to do with failure at the Fed. Demanding answers, a series of reform laws were passed including the one which commands Jay Powell's presence today. Why all this happened is as important and relevant to today as anytime in between. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisFOMC Meeting October 1978 https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/FOMC19781017meeting.pdfFOMC

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1,370 results

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