Epistemic status: I wrote this up hoping people can poke holes in it because I am quite worried. Here's what we've heard so far: Local media is reporting that an employee of a BSL-3 lab in Irkutsk, Russia, died of pneumonic plague on Oct 1st. The initial quarantine covered 200 people who were in contact with the employee before she died. The FSB (Russian FBI) was seen assisting in the quarantine, which means it was not voluntary. Soviet-era whistleblowers like Ken Alibek claim Irkutsk was a major

Epistemic status: I've been an academic, climate activist and research lead in Extinction Rebellion UK's Data Analysis and Insights Circle. I co-authored most of the studies below. I am writing in a personal capacity, drawing on extensive research into climate activism. Summary People often decide whether a protest worked from a next-day poll or a hostile headline. I believe this is the wrong evidence. I see four common mistakes: polling the public when the targets are elites, measuring too soon,

A self-referential statement can trap logic in an endless loop. We can become similarly stuck when we look only to our moods and insecurities for identity and worth. Sometimes freedom begins by turning our attention outward toward truth, God, and other people.

Cross-posted from my substack. Today, I’m launching the Wildlife Technology Fund at Renaissance Philanthropy. The purpose of the fund is to scope, design, and manage coordinated research programs (CRPs), focused on making wild animal welfare interventions a reality. To do this, we’re prioritizing work that benefits both people and animals, often by working to solve some kind of wildlife conflict. While I believe we should work to solve all kinds of wild animal welfare issues, things that