PODCAST

Economy Watch

Interest.co.nz / Podcasts NZ, David Chaston, Gareth Vaughan, interest.co.nz

We follow the economic events and trends that affect New Zealand.

business investing

All Episodes

00:06:41

Soft economic data everywhere but company results...

Economy Watch ·

2024/10/28

Kia ora,Welcome to Tuesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we lead with news China is having trouble getting its economic mojo back. In fact most signals are suggesting they are slipping further behind.But first, this coming week is a very busy one in the US. Not only will they release key labour market data (JOLTS, non-farm payrolls) and PMI data (ISM),

00:05:52

Game lost, prepare to adapt

Economy Watch ·

2024/10/24

Kia ora,Welcome to Friday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we lead with news we need to get ready for a +3o future and start adapting for it.But first, initial jobless claims in the US came in at just 203,000 last week, much lower than expected. There are now 1.635 mln on these benefits. We are about a week away from getting the US non-farm payrolls report

00:04:29

Central bank rates fall, but financial market rates rise

Economy Watch ·

2024/10/23

Kia ora,Welcome to Thursday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we lead with news that while officials cut policy interest rates, markets are bidding up benchmark bond rates.But first, there was another aggressive fall in the level of American mortgage applications last week, down almost -7% from the prior week, and extending the -17% plunge from that earlier

00:04:15

US election risks rise & with them, trade risks

Economy Watch ·

2024/10/22

Kia ora,Welcome to Wednesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we lead with news the global bond selloff has eased, but the reasons for it don't seem to have changed.First up today, the IMF has lowered its global growth forecast and warned of increasing risks ahead. The growth they see is from the stronger-than-expected performance in the US despite

00:03:43

Financial markets signal risk-off until the US election

Economy Watch ·

2024/10/21

Kia ora,Welcome to Tuesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we lead with news that investors seem to be having second thoughts about Q3 earnings prospects in light of the supposedly close US election race. Wall Street is retreating and US Treasury yields are rising.But first, the US Conference Board said its Leading Economic Index fell by -0.5% in September

00:05:23

Key under-achieving data from the world's two biggest...

Economy Watch ·

2024/10/20

Kia ora,Welcome to Monday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we lead with news that signs of economic under-achievement seem to be cropping up everywhere.First though, at the end of this week we have the long weekend holiday, for Labour Day. But first, the week ahead will feature October 'flash' PMIs from all over and the third week of Wall Street Q3 earnings

00:16:27

AI generated podcast test

Economy Watch ·

2024/10/18

This is a test of the podcast generator on Google Notebook LLM

00:05:38

Beijing struggles to convince markets it is in control

Economy Watch ·

2024/10/17

US data mixed. Japanese exports fall. China stimulus unconvincing. ECB cuts. Aussie labour market rises. Freight rates weaker.

00:04:08

Current data lackluster, future view positive

Economy Watch ·

2024/10/16

Kia ora,Welcome to Thursday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we lead with news economic data is light today and we await signals from the building Wall Street earnings season. Markets seem positive about what is ahead.Meanwhile in the US, mortgage applications fell very sharply last week from the prior week, down -17% and the most in nine years (excluding

00:04:58

China targets tax on offshore investments by their...

Economy Watch ·

2024/10/15

Kia ora,Welcome to Wednesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we lead with news China is dusting off some unused regulations to shore up its deteriorating financial situation.But first, at the overnight dairy auction, prices were little-changed, down -0.2% in USD terms but up +2.8% in NZD terms. The dominant WMP price was essentially unchanged, but the

00:04:35

No progress yet for China's reinvigoration

Economy Watch ·

2024/10/14

Kia ora,Welcome to Tuesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we lead with news the world's second largest economy shows more signs of losing its expansion mojoChina's exports rose in September but at an unexpectedly slowish pace. They were expected to rise +6% from a year ago, but only rose +2.4%. This was the fifth consecutive month of export growth, though

00:05:46

Mounting deflation pressure in China

Economy Watch ·

2024/10/13

Kia ora,Welcome to Monday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we lead with news China's deflation Pressures keep on coming. And in the US disinflation rolls on, which they hope will end soon.This coming week will be another one with chunky data releases. The biggest will be on Wednesday, our own CPI result for the Q3-2024 period (Markets expect 2.0%). That

01:04:41

Andrew Coleman: Swapping NZ's gas guzzling Holden...

Economy Watch ·

2024/10/10

The Government could run a second retirement income scheme alongside NZ Superannuation as part of a transition to a new system, but according to Andrew Coleman, this couldn't be done without an increase in taxes on older people, or more general tax increases.Fresh from his 13 part interest.co.nz series on NZ's government retirement income system and associated taxes, Coleman spoke to myself and Terry Baucher on a combined episode of the Of Interest podcast and the New Zealand Tax Podcast.Coleman is

00:05:16

Eyes on Beijing as more economic policy to be released

Economy Watch ·

2024/10/10

Kia ora,Welcome to Friday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we lead with news China is wrestling with how to respond to its slowdown, with the measures announced so far causing volatility.But, first up today, and as expected, the American CPI inflation rate fell in September but by less than expected. It came in at 2.4%, down from August's 2.5%, but above

00:04:35

China's stimulus rally stumbles

Economy Watch ·

2024/10/09

Kia ora,Welcome to Thursday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we lead with news commodity prices go into reverse as the Chinese post-holiday rally stumbles after only a brief shine. It is an ominous sign.But first in the US there was a sharp fall in mortgage applications last week, down -5.5% from the prior week. That was because interest rates moved sharply

00:04:53

China market fever breaks as Beijing stimulus...

Economy Watch ·

2024/10/08

Kia ora,Welcome to Wednesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we lead with news China has not announced the new stimulus that investors were expecting, rather just re-hashing existing measures. Equity and commodity markets reacted negatively to the disappointment.But first, the American retail Redbook index rose marginally last week to be +5.4% above

00:04:01

Powerful forces roil China and the US

Economy Watch ·

2024/10/07

Kia ora,Welcome to Tuesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we lead with news of powerful forces at work in both the US and China.All eyes today will be on the opening of the Shanghai equity markets after their week-long holiday. Many think outsized gains are likely. Over that same period the Hong Kong index rose +12%. And those changes will be in

00:06:15

Away from the fighting hotspots, the global economy...

Economy Watch ·

2024/10/06

Kia ora,Welcome to Monday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we lead with news the world's economy is expanding in most places despite some 'hot' pressures.The week ahead will crescendo on Wednesday with the RBNZ Monetary Policy Review and OCR decision. But there will be a lot else going on too. India and South Korea will also have rate decisions this week

00:05:38

Markets trade cautiously ahead of US NFPs

Economy Watch ·

2024/10/03

Kia ora,Welcome to Friday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we lead with global economic attention should have shifted to tomorrow's labour market report for September, but the US waterfront strike, and the Middle East tensions has sidelined it.However first in the US, there was a minor dip in the actual number of initial jobless claims last week, but a

00:04:15

Hong Kong stocks go ballistic

Economy Watch ·

2024/10/02

Kia ora,Welcome to Thursday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we lead with news Hong Kong is gripped by an unusual stock market frenzy, up +6.6% on the day.But first, US mortgage applications fell slightly last week after the best two consecutive weeks previously. The benchmark mortgage interest rate was unchanged and still at a recent low.This weekend (NZT)

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