PODCAST

Economy Watch

Interest.co.nz / Podcasts NZ, David Chaston, Gareth Vaughan, interest.co.nz

We follow the economic events and trends that affect New Zealand.

business investing

All Episodes

00:04:41

Trump adventure leaves a global mess

Economy Watch ·

2026/03/25

Kia ora.Welcome to Thursday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand. I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz. Today we lead with news there is a general relief rally underway as the US indicates it is pulling back from its aggressive tactics with Iran. Trump seems to be 'declaring victory', but the Iranians seem to have given up nothing he sought. The Iranians are letting non-combatant ships pass through the

00:04:47

Escalations show off-ramp options fade

Economy Watch ·

2026/03/24

Kia ora. Welcome to Wednesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand. I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz. Today we lead with news escalation in the Middle East is rising as the US is increasingly desperate to extract itself. Through all this it is adding more troops as Iran widens its attacks. It looks grim. But first up today we should note that the overnight dairy Pulse auction delivered slightly

00:04:05

Trump backs down on strikes against Iran's power system

Economy Watch ·

2026/03/23

Trump chickening out on Iran strategy. US data soft. EU sentiment dives. Moderates start to win again in Europe.

00:07:02

Investors face stagflation, reassess returns

Economy Watch ·

2026/03/22

Kia ora. Welcome to Monday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand. I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz. Today we lead with its all about watching financial markets and their reactions to the US war on Iran and its long-term impact on US fiscal management - and their November election prospects. It is going to be volatile, yo-yo mix of gloom and temporary relief rallies. During the pandemic crisis, we had

00:04:42

Energy shock to be protracted

Economy Watch ·

2026/03/19

Kia ora.Welcome to Friday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand. I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz. Today we lead with news Qatar has being hit hard by Iranian missiles today, upending the global trade in natural gas. In fact, it is clear now there will be a protracted energy shock that everyone needs to adjust to. The impacts are ahead and aren't going away. Elsewhere, US initial jobless claims came

00:05:54

Fed steady in face of local and global provocations

Economy Watch ·

2026/03/18

Kia ora.Welcome to Thursday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand. I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz. Today we lead with news deeper turmoil in the Middle East has overshadowed the US Fed meeting. But first up, in an 11-1 vote, the US Federal Reserve decided to hold its policy rate unchanged at 3.25% at todays meeting. Only Trump's insert, Stephen Miran, voted against the consensus. The immediate

00:05:13

Middle East attrition going nowhere

Economy Watch ·

2026/03/17

Kia ora.Welcome to Wednesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand. I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz. Today we lead with news financial markets are relatively calm today mainly because the Persian Gulf situation has slipped into a stalemate with no new developments good or bad. But first up today, the overnight dairy auction brought little change in overall prices, but there was surprising variation

00:05:24

Markets discount war risks

Economy Watch ·

2026/03/16

Kia ora. Welcome to Tuesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand. I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz. Today we lead with news it is becoming clearer that Iran holds the cards in the economic aspects of the Middle East conflict. Pointedly, so far no-one - not China Japan, nor NATO - has responded positively to Trump's call for naval help. Meanwhile in the US, even though crude prices retreated somewhat

00:08:02

A week of global central bank updates

Economy Watch ·

2026/03/15

Title: A week of global central bank updates ------------------------ Kia ora. Welcome to Monday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand. I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz. Today we lead with news of US$100/bbl-plus oil price is settling in as the Persian Gulf conflict itself settles in to an attritional conflict with no end in sight. And although he apparently sees no irony in it, US President Trump

00:35:07

David Cay Johnston: NZ's objective with Trump should...

Economy Watch ·

2026/03/12

Under the leadership of President Donald Trump there's a danger the United States will become an autocratic nation, not unlike China, Saudi Arabia or Russia, and New Zealand should strive to avoid becoming the focus of Trump's wrath, suggests David Cay Johnston.Johnston, a Pulitzer Prize winning investigative journalist, co-founder of DCReport and journalism professor at Rochester Institute of Technology, spoke to interest.co.nz in a new episode of the Of Interest podcast. Johnston first met Trump

00:04:27

Oil up, equities down, quagmire deeper

Economy Watch ·

2026/03/12

Kia ora. Welcome to Friday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand. I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz. Today we lead with news of oil jumping while equities slide as surging crude prices stoke inflation ‌fears. Oil tankers are ablaze. Iran said it will keep the Straits of Hormuz closed and there doesn't seem much Trump can or will do about that. And the Gulf crisis is severely disrupting global air

00:05:11

Markets ignore official data and actions

Economy Watch ·

2026/03/11

Kia ora.Welcome to Thursday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand. I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz. Today we lead with news markets seem to be ignoring current economic data releases, building up higher risk settings. First, oil prices have risen despite official fanfare that strategic oil reserves are being released. Secondly, 'risk-free' benchmark interest rates are rising despite US inflation

00:05:34

Markets bet heavily on the TACO effect

Economy Watch ·

2026/03/10

Kia ora. Welcome to Wednesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand. I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz. Today we lead with news markets are betting Trump will 'declare victory' over Iran soon and walk back his war. But the Straits of Hormuz are still effectively closed - to all but Iranian-linked vessels. Perhaps oddly, markets are assuming they will open to all 'soon'. The US Navy has escorted one

00:05:30

Can politicians cover the Iran crisis cracks?

Economy Watch ·

2026/03/09

Kia ora. Welcome to Tuesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand. I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz. Today we lead with news markets are unsure about whether public efforts to calm the financial consequences of the war on Iran will work. Just at the moment, it's a wait-and-see situation. But first in the US, the latest inflation expectations survey for February is out, revealing very little change

00:07:14

The consequences of a series of bad choices bedevils...

Economy Watch ·

2026/03/08

Kia ora. Welcome to Monday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand. I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz. Today we lead with news of zero progress in the mess in the Middle East. In fact, it has probably gotten worse. And in the week ahead, geopolitical developments will likely dictate global market directions. Reports by the IEA and OPEC this week will reveal how the institutions see the supply shock of

00:07:01

Trump's distraction war causes chaos

Economy Watch ·

2026/03/05

Kia ora.Welcome to Friday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand. I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz. Today we lead with news bankrupt US/Israeli decisions to choose war over peaceful pressure are having global consequences. But first, the Federal Reserve Beige Book for February reported that overall US economic activity increased at a slight to moderate pace in seven of the twelve Federal Reserve

00:06:10

Insurers dismiss Trump's promises

Economy Watch ·

2026/03/04

Kia ora. Welcome to Thursday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand. I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz. Today we lead with news both China and the US have parallel PMI surveys and this month each told wildly different stories about how their February economies were tracking. But first, after flat-lining in each of the past four week, US mortgage applications rose notably last week, driven by strong

00:06:47

War inflation fears spread

Economy Watch ·

2026/03/03

Kia ora. Welcome to Wednesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand. I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz. Today we lead with news inflation spike fear is gripping financial markets today as equities fall, bond yields rise, some key commodities like the oil price are spiking, and there is a sharp move toward perceptions of financial 'safety' which is hurting commodity-based currencies like the AUD and

00:06:50

The cost of war will hit inflation soon

Economy Watch ·

2026/03/02

Kia ora. Welcome to Tuesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand. I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz. Today we lead with news the world has suddenly gotten far more dangerous after the US/Israeli strike on Iran. Shipping costs especially are in a dramatic rise on necessary re-routing. The cost of war will hit inflation soon and that is a looming problem for central bank policymakers. And investors are

00:06:23

Safe haven demand to set the tone this week

Economy Watch ·

2026/03/01

Kia ora. Welcome to Monday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand. I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz. Today we lead with news Trump has got his distraction war, flooding the recent zone of poor news with an adventure he has created. Business eyes will be on how the financial markets react. (Others can watch the politics.) So far, the equity futures markets have the S&P500 virtually unchanged (+0.1%),

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