PODCAST

Economy Watch

Interest.co.nz / Podcasts NZ, David Chaston, Gareth Vaughan, interest.co.nz

We follow the economic events and trends that affect New Zealand.

business investing

All Episodes

00:05:23

Sudden rise in non-economy risks twists economic signals

Economy Watch ·

2024/10/01

Kia ora,Welcome to Wednesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we lead with news of an expansion and the inevitable retaliations in the Israel/Gaza/Lebanon/Yemen flashpoints are now having an impact on global oil prices. It is also casting a pall over global sentiment as fears mounts for an even wider conflict. The shift toward safe-haven currencies has hurt

00:43:27

John Lyon: Why New Zealanders should be grateful...

Economy Watch ·

2024/10/01

New Zealanders should be grateful insurance companies remain committed to New Zealand given the country's risk exposure, John Lyon of Ando Insurance says.In the latest episode of the Of Interest podcast I asked Lyon how well general insurers are serving New Zealanders, how competitive the market is, and how the public should judge strong financial results from their insurers. As well as being CEO of Ando, an underwriting agency, he's also the former CEO of Lumley Insurance. Statistics NZ's Consumers

00:03:58

Q4 starts in a cautious mood

Economy Watch ·

2024/09/30

Kia ora,Welcome to Tuesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we lead with news we are into Q4 now and it is starting out modestly in most places, despite an eye-popping rise on the Shanghai stock exchange.First in the US, the Chicago PMI improved marginally in September although the gain was probably insignificant.Meanwhile the Dallas Fed factory survey for

00:05:50

Q4 starts with the US & Japan up, China lagging

Economy Watch ·

2024/09/29

Kia ora,Welcome to Monday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we lead all eyes are on some well-signaled and massive fiscal stimulus due for release in China.When it is announced, it will overshadow everything else. But this week will also feature a wide range of other economic data released. Top of the list will be September's PMI data from China, the US and

00:05:49

US momentum continues, China strives to regain theirs

Economy Watch ·

2024/09/26

Kia ora,Welcome to Friday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we lead China is trying to get back on track to keep up with the US economically.First in the US, the number of initial claims for unemployment benefits fell again last week and by more than expected to 181,000. In fact there has been a consistent reduction each week since the end of July. There are

00:06:06

China's big moves draw small enthusiasm

Economy Watch ·

2024/09/25

Kia ora,Welcome to Thursday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we lead with of a settling of the global economy after some big announcements by China. So far, little seems to have changed, other than investors now think they can't lose with Chinese equity investments.But first, the surge in American mortgage applications we noted last week has extended. Last

00:05:48

China to get a sugar hit

Economy Watch ·

2024/09/24

Kia ora,Welcome to Wednesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we lead with news of some major emergency moves in China to reinvigorate their economy.But first, there was a good GDT Pulse auction result earlier this morning, although the reverse of what the futures markets had signaled. There was no gain in SMP prices, holding its recent higher levels. But

00:22:20

Murray Harris: The case for higher KiwiSaver...

Economy Watch ·

2024/09/24

Milford Asset Management’s head of KiwiSaver says KiwiSaver – the country’s voluntary retirement savings scheme which is in its 17th year – is a teenager that’s about to head into adulthood.“I think it's the right time to have the discussions we were having at the [Financial Services Council] Conference. By and large, providers are pretty well aligned around how we can improve KiwiSaver and make it better for New Zealanders retirements,” Milford's Murray Harris says on a new episode of the Of

00:04:38

The major economies separate into two growth blocks

Economy Watch ·

2024/09/23

Kia ora,Welcome to Tuesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we lead with news the global expansion seems to be getting more uneven.In the US, the good economic data keeps on coming. They reported a healthy PMI expansion in September, driven primarily by their service sector which is now expanding its fastest since March 2022.And the Chicago Fed's National

00:05:20

Fed rate cut triggers financial markets

Economy Watch ·

2024/09/22

Kia ora,Welcome to Monday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we lead with news a risk-on shift will start the week in most major economies.As we wind down September this week here, into both school holidays upcoming and daylight saving on the weekend, the key focus will shift to Fonterra's results on Wednesday, and local consumer sentiment on Friday.And

00:05:55

Equities surge after the US Fed rate cut

Economy Watch ·

2024/09/19

Kia ora,Welcome to Friday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we lead with news stock markets are roaring today after the US Fed rate cut, many, including Wall Street, powering up to record highs. And interest rate curves are steepening.But first, the actual number of people making initial unemployment benefit claims in the US dropped from the previous week to

00:05:26

Market enthusiasm for a big Fed rate cut lacks...

Economy Watch ·

2024/09/18

Kia ora,Welcome to Thursday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we lead with news of a big call by the US Federal Reserve.First up you should know that the US Fed cut its benchmark policy rates by -50 bps, to the 4.75%-5.00% range, a larger cut that most professional observers had anticipated, but in line with some advance financial market pricing. (And it

00:03:44

Markets await Fed rate cut decision

Economy Watch ·

2024/09/17

Kia ora,Welcome to Wednesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we lead with news we are in the shadow of tomorrows US Fed rate decision. There almost certainly will be a rate cut, but the size of it is still in doubt. Place your bets.Meanwhile, today's dairy auction was a relatively tame affair, largely delivering what the derivatives markets signaled. But

00:03:30

Will the US Fed "go big"? And the RBNZ follow?

Economy Watch ·

2024/09/16

Kia ora,Welcome to Tuesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we lead with news financial markets are now expecting a -50 bps rate cut from the US Fed later in the week.But first up in the US, the next regional factory survey came in surprisingly strong. The NY Empire State Manufacturing Index unexpectedly jumped sharply in September to its highest since

00:07:28

Does Xi really have control of China's economy?

Economy Watch ·

2024/09/15

Kia ora,Welcome to Monday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we lead with news the world's second-largest economy is having trouble convincing anyone it is under control.This coming week it will be all about the US Fed rate decisions, and the size of the rate cut. We will get that on Thursday NZT. And there will be central bank rate decisions this week from

00:05:49

Global markets quite mixed, gold rises

Economy Watch ·

2024/09/12

Kia ora,Welcome to Friday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we lead with news it is Friday the 13th, so don't expect too much from the day.The actual number of American jobless claims last week were +178,000, a one year low, taking the total number of people on these benefits to 1.71 mln, a nine month low. But the seasonally adjusted level reported was

00:04:55

US inflation at 3yr low

Economy Watch ·

2024/09/11

Kia ora,Welcome to Thursday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we lead with news inflation is easing in the world's largest economy.First up today, the American August CPI inflation rate slowed for a 5th consecutive month to 2.5%, its lowest since February 2021 and below market expectations of 2.6%. But it was up +0.2% from July, which was as expected

00:05:30

Oil prices drop sharply

Economy Watch ·

2024/09/10

Kia ora,Welcome to Wednesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we lead with news that while oil producers see sharply lower demand, the world's largest economy shows rising retail demand.But first, the overnight dairy Pulse auction saw SMP dart higher than expected to US$2800/tonne, its highest level since February 2023. The WMP component however slightly

00:05:40

The EU is warned. Will they listen & act?

Economy Watch ·

2024/09/09

Kia ora,Welcome to Tuesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we lead with news the EU has suddenly realised it is on the wrong track, with an unstainable mix of policies which are leading them into blind social and economic alleys.But first, US consumer inflation expectations for the year ahead were unchanged at 3% in August, the same as in July and June

00:29:57

Jonathan Shapiro: Why the integrity of bond markets...

Economy Watch ·

2024/09/09

The integrity of bond markets on both sides of the Tasman is at stake as regulators probe issues of potential market manipulation, Australian Financial Review senior reporter Jonathan Shapiro says.Shapiro is covering the Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC) probe of the ANZ Group's role in a A$14 billion 2023 Australian government bond sale, and taking an interest in the Financial Markets Authority's probe into possible manipulation in New Zealand's wholesale interest rate and

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