PODCAST

Economy Watch

Interest.co.nz / Podcasts NZ, David Chaston, Gareth Vaughan, interest.co.nz

We follow the economic events and trends that affect New Zealand.

business investing

All Episodes

00:05:47

Global activity settles into a more modest expansion

Economy Watch ·

2024/09/08

Kia ora,Welcome to Monday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we lead with news expectations of flatter demand are hurting commodity prices. And that includes some key food prices which are also impacted by healthy supply levels.But first, this coming week will bring more attention to inflation rates. We will get monthly updates from the US, China, and India

00:25:25

Pierre van Heerden: How it costs twice as much to set...

Economy Watch ·

2024/09/06

Grocery Commissioner Pierre van Heerden wants a third supermarket competitor to set up shop in New Zealand in order to tackle the country’s supermarket duopoly, but reducing the barriers to entry won’t happen overnight.“What we've been told by these players is when they come and they want to open up a large store in New Zealand, the cost to get a spade in the ground is double that of Australia,” he says in a new episode of the Of Interest podcast. “Now that is significant. And when they look at 'do

00:04:44

Data positive even if that is not the market sentiment

Economy Watch ·

2024/09/05

Kia ora,Welcome to Friday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we lead with news mixed news but the underlying vibe is positive.First in the US, all eyes are now on tomorrow's August non-farm payrolls report. Analysts expect a rise of +160,000 jobs. But today's pre-cursor ADP Employment Report sharply undershot that level suggesting only +99,000 jobs will be

00:06:15

Markets eye US labour market softening

Economy Watch ·

2024/09/04

Kia ora,Welcome to Thursday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we lead with news markets see a cooling US labour market in signals ahead of this weekend's August non-farm payrolls report.But first, US mortgage applications rose by an insignificant +1.6% from the previous week in the last week of August, a low and stable situation. They are now -4% lower than

00:04:45

Back from holiday in a negative mood

Economy Watch ·

2024/09/03

Kia ora,Welcome to Wednesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we lead with news financial markets are looking for excuses to be negative, and they found one - sort of.But first up today there was another full dairy auction and that brought a somewhat disappointing result. Overall prices fell a minor -0.4% in USD, down -1.1% in NZD. This event failed to

00:04:46

China's slowdowns accentuate imbalance risks everywhere

Economy Watch ·

2024/09/02

Kia ora,Welcome to Tuesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we lead with news the world's second largest economy may be seriously out of balance, with implications for everyone.With the US on holiday. the big global influences come from elsewhere today. First up, the private Caixin PMI for Chinese factories moved up from a minor contraction in July to a

00:06:11

World's major economies set for a positive run to the...

Economy Watch ·

2024/09/01

Kia ora,Welcome to Monday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we lead with news the big northern hemisphere countries are starting to report their August activity levels - and most of them are fine.But first in China, their official August PMIs were released over the weekend. Their factory PMI fell a bit further into a minor contraction. New orders, foreign

00:04:41

A US$1 tln here, 40 degrees there bookmark global...

Economy Watch ·

2024/08/28

Kia ora,Welcome to Thursday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we lead with news the northern holiday season can still spring a few economic and market surprises.First in the US, mortgage applications last week were little-changed from a week ago (down -0.5%) and that is despite mortgage rates falling for a fourth consecutive week to 6.44% for their benchmark

00:03:50

Where have the children of China gone?

Economy Watch ·

2024/08/27

Kia ora,Welcome to Wednesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we lead with news the last few days of the northern summer holiday period that is quiet but basically positive.First, American retail sales at physical stores were up +5.0% last week from the same week in 2023, another pointer that the consumer side of the American economy hasn't stumbled yet.But

00:36:48

Imre Speizer: What to expect from interest rates and...

Economy Watch ·

2024/08/27

With US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell signalling interest rate cuts ahead, the US dollar's likely to weaken with the Kiwi dollar rising against it, Imre Speizer, Head of NZ Markets Strategy at Westpac Institutional Bank, says.Speaking in a new episode of the Of Interest podcast, Speizer says although the expected central bank interest rate trajectory is very similar in NZ and the US over the next 12 months, financial markets will focus much more on the US."If the two racehorses go neck and

00:06:23

Fickle markets accept a global soft landing has been...

Economy Watch ·

2024/08/25

Kia ora,Welcome to Monday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we lead with news it seems the global soft landing has been achieved.But first, the week ahead will feature some chunky economic data from the world's largest economies but no first-tier data. This seems befitting of the final week of the summer break in the northern hemisphere when end the week

00:05:19

August PMIs mostly positive

Economy Watch ·

2024/08/22

Kia ora,Welcome to Friday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we lead with news financial markets in the US have the jitters ahead of a key speech by Fed boss Powell tomorrow at the Jackson Hole central bank shindig. Equities fell, bond yields rose, and the USD firmed and expectations grew Powell will make the case for only a gradual pace of rate

00:04:43

NZ might benefit from an EU-China dispute

Economy Watch ·

2024/08/21

US jobs growth not as strong as first reported. Fed minutes confirm likely September cut. China threatens the EU on dairy trade.

00:24:46

John Small: The 'faster, safer, cheaper' banking...

Economy Watch ·

2024/08/20

The process of growth will be the main benefit from a scaled up Kiwibank, while public acclaim will be a key measure of open banking's success, Commerce Commission Chairman John Small says.Small spoke to interest.co.nz for the latest episode of the Of Interest podcast, which will be published later on Wednesday. The interview came after the Commission released the final report from its market study into personal banking services. The Government says it'll act on all 14 recommendations from the

00:05:26

The global economy delivers summer gains

Economy Watch ·

2024/08/20

Kia ora,Welcome to Wednesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we lead with news the northern summer is delivering positive economic vibes.But first up today, the expected rise in dairy prices at today's full dairy auction actually came in slightly better than expected. In USD prices were up +5.5% with the key WMP price rising +7.2% and SMP up +4.0%. Volumes

00:03:22

Markets bet the Fed has won its battle against inflation

Economy Watch ·

2024/08/19

Kia ora,Welcome to Tuesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we lead with news that US dollar has fallen to a seven-month low as American disinflation extends in their economy and that is raising expectations of rate cuts in each of the Fed's remaining three reviews this year.US equity markets are rising on the same expectation, with the S&P500 moving back

00:06:24

China struggles to manage its downturn

Economy Watch ·

2024/08/18

Kia ora,Welcome to Monday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we lead with news we are now in the final two weeks of the northern holiday season, and that is anchored by the central bank shindig at Jackson Hole, WY starting at the end of the week.This week, China will review its Loan Price Rates later tomorrow. No change is expected. Canada will report July

00:25:11

Christian Hawkesby: Accurate GDP forecast would’ve...

Economy Watch ·

2024/08/17

Deputy Governor Christian Hawkesby says the Reserve Bank's (RBNZ) Monetary Policy Committee might have taken a different stance in May if the economic activity forecasts had been more accurate.In May, forecasts had anticipated 1% GDP growth for the calendar year. But by August, that had been revised to a 0.4% contraction, with a deep decline in the June quarter.The RBNZ chose to cut the Official Cash Rate from 5.50% to 5.25% last Wednesday partly in response to these lower economic activity

00:05:55

The US economy holding up well

Economy Watch ·

2024/08/15

Kia ora,Welcome to Friday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we lead with news the gloomsters are going to have to wait even longer for a US slowdown and 'recession'. Markets are reducing the chance of a Fed rate cut in mid-September.First up in the US, initial jobless claims came in less than last week, a surprise because an increase was expected. But to be

00:04:27

Global rate cuts now more certain

Economy Watch ·

2024/08/14

Kia ora,Welcome to Thursday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we lead with news inflation data in both the US and UK keeps rate cuts in play.The widely-anticipated July American inflation rate came in largely as expected, dipping slightly to 2.9% from 3% in June. That is its lowest level since March 2021. The "core" rate dipped to 3.2%. Rents were up +5.1%

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Economy Watch

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