PODCAST

Economy Watch

Interest.co.nz / Podcasts NZ, David Chaston, Gareth Vaughan, interest.co.nz

We follow the economic events and trends that affect New Zealand.

business investing

All Episodes

00:47:44

James Foster - the New Zealand EV, or 'batteries on...

Economy Watch ·

2024/06/28

The first New Zealand and international wave of electric vehicle (EV) uptake is probably over, with cheaper cars and better public charging infrastructure required for further major growth in the uptake of these "batteries on wheels," says James Foster. In a new episode of interest.co.nz's Of Interest podcast, Foster, who runs the EVDB website, says EVs reaching price parity with internal combustion engine (petrol) vehicles, will be a very significant development. The rise of Chinese EVs should help

00:04:46

Global food stress low

Economy Watch ·

2024/06/26

Kia ora,Welcome to Thursday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we lead with news food price signals belie talk of impending trouble.But first, US mortgage applications were virtually unchanged last week (+0.8%) from the week before, taking them to -13% lower than the same week a year ago. But at least it was a third week of rises, even if small. Mortgage

00:05:51

Doubts remain in the US & Canada that inflation is...

Economy Watch ·

2024/06/25

Kia ora,Welcome to Wednesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we lead with news questions remain about whether inflation's fall can be maintained.Today is another shadow day with mostly second-tier data released, but some of it is interesting all the same.First in the US, retail sales at physical stores were up +5.3% last week from the same week a year

00:03:43

Eyes on some big risks

Economy Watch ·

2024/06/24

Kia ora,Welcome to Tuesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we lead with news a quiet data week is bringing more focus to larger systemic issues.Today, in the absence of key data releases, we should note that after the GFC, regulators moved aggressively to get banks out of holding riskier assets. But that space has been filled by non-bank financial

00:06:16

China's investment momentum slows fast

Economy Watch ·

2024/06/23

Kia ora,Welcome to Monday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we lead with news the pressure is on China to revive its fast-slowing momentum.First however, this week will bring some key American data covering durable goods orders and PCE inflation data on Friday (NZT), new and pending house sales, and the Conference Board's consumer sentiment survey result on

00:04:20

The northern world swelters

Economy Watch ·

2024/06/20

Kia ora,Welcome to Friday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we lead with news that the start of Summer in the northern hemisphere brings excessive heat and ominous food security and immigration implications.But first, initial US jobless claims slipped slightly last week after the prior week's rise. They remain low at +227,000 even if the level is its highest

00:26:49

Cameron Bagrie: Why and how the pricing of risk...

Economy Watch ·

2024/06/20

Ask Cameron Bagrie how to improve business and rural banking and some words reoccur in his answers. Three of them are "risk", "productivity", and "bankability."With two parliamentary select committees set to hold an inquiry into banking competition, the business and rural banking markets will feature, unlike in the Commerce Commission probe into competition in the personal banking market. In the latest episode of interest.co.nz's Of Interest podcast, Bagrie, now of Bagrie Economics and Chaperon and

00:04:56

Some very large global tensions start to boil hotter

Economy Watch ·

2024/06/19

Kia ora,Welcome to Thursday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we lead with news of some very large global tensions starting to boil hotter.But first, mortgage applications in the US rose by +0.9% in the second week of June, extending the +16% surge from the previous week, which was the sharpest weekly increase since the start of 2023. Their monitoring of the

00:04:57

Aussie rate cut hopes fade

Economy Watch ·

2024/06/18

Kia ora,Welcome to Wednesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we lead with news expectations for a rate cut any time soon in Australia have faded significantly after the RBA's MPS yesterday.But first, the overnight dairy auction brought slightly lower prices overall, down -0.5% although they were unchanged in NZD terms. WMP was sold in to weakish demand and

00:04:43

China loses steam on property drag

Economy Watch ·

2024/06/17

Kia ora,Welcome to Tuesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we lead with news the steam seems to be going out of the Chinese economy as their property sector woes just drag on and on.But first, although it is still retreating, the June New York factory survey improved sharply from May, with firms there increasingly positive about the next six months.And

00:47:11

Fiona Hall & Martin Dilly: Frustrations with & war...

Economy Watch ·

2024/06/17

By Gareth VaughanHow seriously is the public sector taking the fight against money laundering and terrorism financing?This question comes up in a new episode of interest.co.nz's Of Interest podcast, featuring barrister and solicitor Fiona Hall and anti-money laundering auditor and consultant Martin Dilly.In a recent article the two raised concerns about impending job cuts to the team at the Department of Internal Affairs (DIA) tasked with supervising compliance with the Anti-Money Laundering and

00:04:56

Data slippage in most major economies

Economy Watch ·

2024/06/16

Kia ora,Welcome to Monday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we lead with news of some slippage in the world's largest economies.However, in the week ahead we will get central bank rate review decisions from China, Norway, the UK, and Switzerland. Of special interest to us will be Tuesday's one in Australia. No change is expected there at 4.35%, but the

00:04:33

Container freight rates hit 3x last year's level

Economy Watch ·

2024/06/13

Kia ora,Welcome to Friday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we lead with news some think the first signs of a labour market in the US are showing.Initial American actual jobless claims "jumped" last week to +235,000, above the expected +225,000 and to the highest level since August 2023. This may be the early signs that their labour market is softening

00:05:04

Fed shifts to one 2024 cut, four in 2025

Economy Watch ·

2024/06/12

Kia ora,Welcome to Thursday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.Today we lead with news the US expansion rolls on, pushing back the timing of when interest rate normalisation will happen.US CPI inflation came in lower than expected for May, slowing to 3.3%, the lowest in three months. In April it was 3.4% and forecasts for May were 3.4%. While this rise was lower

00:04:52

China-related sentiment downturn deepens

Economy Watch ·

2024/06/11

Kia ora,Welcome to Wednesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news that will all be overshadowed tomorrow by two key pieces of US data, their CPI and the Fed monetary policy decisions.Today, the American Redbook retail indicator came in +5.5% higher than year-ago levels, continuing its track well above inflation and showing a positive

00:03:43

The French gamble

Economy Watch ·

2024/06/10

Kia ora,Welcome to Tuesday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news the EU parliamentary election jolt has everyone's attention.But first in the US, in the four months December to March, consumer inflation expectations held steady at 3%. Then in April they rose 3.3%, and this latest NY Fed survey shows them easing somewhat to 3.2%. They were

00:07:39

Growth needs productivity gains, IMF says

Economy Watch ·

2024/06/09

Kia ora,Welcome to Monday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news the IMF is starting to worry that the US expansion could become unsustainable unless it is matched by national productivity gains.But first we should note that it is a public holiday in Australia today.However all eyes this week will be on Thursday (NZT) when the US Fed will

00:05:55

Rising freight rates makes global trade a tougher...

Economy Watch ·

2024/06/06

Kia ora,Welcome to Friday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news global trade is facing a tough challenge in containerised freight costs.But first, initial new US jobless claims actually fell modestly last week to +195,000 (although the seasonally adjusted level rose). There are now 1.67 mln people on these jobless benefits. All this is a

00:29:32

Kylie Walker: What the mission-driven Future Made in...

Economy Watch ·

2024/06/05

The Australian Government's a Future Made in Australiainitiative could attract skilled migrants and potentially investment and entrepreneurs from New Zealand, and ultimately be a catalyst for a much more sustainable future, says Kylie Walker, the CEO of the Australian Academy of Technological Sciences & Engineering.In last month's budget, Prime Minister Anthony Albanese's government unveiled a Future Made in Australia, saying this would invest A$22.7 billion over a decade to "build a stronger, more

00:06:13

A first major central bank cuts its policy rate

Economy Watch ·

2024/06/05

Kia ora,Welcome to Thursday’s Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news some central banks have started to cut policy rates, others are contemplating long holds or even rises.But first, US mortgage applications fell a sharpish -5.2% in the last week of May from the prior week to be -13% lower than the same week a year ago, itself a weak level.And

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